Trying to track rotations in September is similar to watching the Cha-Cha Slide at a wedding. Pitchers slide to the right…slide to the left…criss cross…CHARLIE BROWN. September brings so much rotational uncertainty with call-ups, 4 man, 6 man and even 7 man rotations utilized with spot starts out of the blue.

Here are my best guesses and some 2 start notes to help you find 2 start options this week.

  • The Blue Jays rotation is up in the air right now. There’s a few option for their 2 starter this week, and could even utilize a 4 man rotation to get a couple 2 start pitchers.
    • Jacob Waguespack could move up to Monday after a light schedule for the Jays last week. In this case, Trent Thornton would move up to Tuesday, and if the Jays do run a 4 man rotation, could be a 2 starter. Both would be in the I Immediately Regret This Decision grouping.
    • Zack Godley could also take the TBD start for Monday if he doesn’t follow Font on Sunday. Godley has enough intrigue to reach the Maybe, Maybe Not group.
  • Oakland is a bit of a mess as well. They’ve said they will give Mike Fiers a break and he got the day off Sunday. It remains unannounced whether  he will start Tuesday or have his spot in the rotation skipped. The A’s likely are running a 6 man rotation this week, and maybe even a 7 man rotation technically with their Thursday doubleheader.
  • I put Alex Wood on the list, but there are rumors that the Reds may run a 6 man rotation, which would leave Desclafani as the only 2 start option in Cinci.
  • The Dodgers and Padres are running a 6 man rotation. Padres continue using their 6 man to spread out the innings on their arms. The Dodgers have too many good pitchers to send another to the bullpen, so, unfortunately, no 2 start Walker Buehler this week.
  • The Cardinals may also run a 6 man rotation. Unfortunately, that would cost Capt’n Jack his 2 start week when I’m sure we would all rather him go 2 than Wainwright.
  • The Royals may utilize a 6 man rotation, which would cost Mike Montgomery his 2 start week.

 

No Doubt

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2 Player Rater ERA 2nd Half FIP 2nd Half BABIP 2nd Half
Gerrit Cole HOU @MIL SEA 32.5 2.35 2.72 0.248
Jack Flaherty STL SF @PIT 13.4 0.98 2.39 0.233
Mike Clevinger CLE CWS @MIN 11.5 2.04 2.25 0.341
Max Scherzer WSH NYM @ATL 20.6 4.05 4.2 0.355

Jack Flaherty is proof that you should trust the skills over the surface numbers when it comes to pitchers, and also point to the volatility that exists in pitching now.

If only some podcast out there had told you to acquire Flaherty….

 

Pretty…Pretty Good

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2 Player Rater ERA 2nd Half FIP 2nd Half BABIP 2nd Half
Ryan Yarbrough TB BAL TOR 13.3 1.15 1.72 0.187
Mike Soroka ATL TOR WSH 13.3 2.47 3.36 0.298
Mike Fiers OAK LAA DET 11.5 2.53 4.43 0.284
Kyle Hendricks CHC SEA @MIL 8.7 3.42 4.72 0.235

In case you haven’t noticed, Ryan Yarbrough has been among the best in the league in the 2nd half, and in general, as a starter this season. Yarbrough started the season as a long man, occasional spot start, and opener, but after getting the opportunity to start in August, he’s grabbed a hold of the opportunity.

 

Yes…But

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2 Player Rater ERA 2nd Half FIP 2nd Half BABIP 2nd Half
Noah Syndergaard NYM @WSH PHI 6.7 3.14 2.82 0.297
Lance Lynn TEX @NYY @BAL 16.1 3.5 3.03 0.327
Aaron Civale CLE CWS @MIN -5.1 2.35 2.47 0.273
Jake Odorizzi MIN @DET CLE 12.8 4.28 3.84 0.338
Jose Berrios MIN @BOS CLE 11.1 4.85 3.91 0.354
Anthony DeSclafani CIN PHI ARZ 4.1 3.67 4.32 0.266

Remember when Thor was up 2 groupings without thinking about it…? Yeah, me too. Although his last outing was absolutely brutal, he has improved in the 2nd half, but as you just saw, there still seem to be some command issues that have haunted him at times this year.

 

Serviceable

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2 Player Rater ERA 2nd Half FIP 2nd Half BABIP 2nd Half
Joe Ross WSH NYM @ATL -13 1.74 3.67 0.278
Mike Minor TEX @NYY @BAL 13.9 4.71 4.3 0.331
Masahiro Tanaka NYY TEX @BOS 3.8 5.71 4.45 0.294
Mitch Keller PIT MIA STL -17.5 7.45 4.31 0.455
Patrick Sandoval LAA @OAK @CWS -13.2 5.71 3.91 0.36
Alex Wood CIN PHI ARZ -13.2 5.8 6.39 0.294

Talking about how the might have fallen, remember when I told you to sell high on Tanaka and ignored me? Well, the splitter never came back, and when the pitch that carries the whole mix isn’t working, it eventually brings the rest of the mix down with it.

 

Maybe, Maybe Not, Maybe Go F Yourself

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2 Player Rater ERA 2nd Half FIP 2nd Half BABIP 2nd Half
Adrian Houser MIL HOU CHC -0.7 2.97 4.03 0.278
Daniel Norris DET @KC @OAK -8.5 3.96 5.26 0.283
Adam Wainwright STL SF @PIT -1.9 4.91 4.08 0.359
Asher Wojciechowski BAL @TB TEX -9.4 4.91 6.24 0.228
Mike Montgomery KC DET @MIA -11.8 3.98 4.72 0.351
Vince Velasquez PHI @CIN @NYM -3.7 5.18 5.27 0.264
John Means BAL @TB TEX 6.4 5.62 5.31 0.273

Part of me wanted to move Adrian Houser higher based on his recent performance. Another part of me wanted to move him down a tier because, well, it’s Adrian Houser. He lands here because the category title felt about right on him with 2 tough opponents this week.

 

Do You Feel Lucky Punk?

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2 Player Rater ERA 2nd Half FIP 2nd Half BABIP 2nd Half
Dylan Cease CWS @CLE LAA -14.1 7.09 5.82 0.341
Justus Sheffield SEA @CHC @HOU -15.2
Mike Leake ARZ SD @CIN -0.8 5.47 5.57 0.328
Drew Smyly PHI @CIN @NYM -18.9 4.97 5.33 0.307
Sandy Alcantara MIA @PIT KC -6.4 4.97 4.99 0.258
Rick Porcello BOS MIN NYY -2.7 5.62 5.38 0.296

Free Streamonator Pick: Mike Leake. Home against the Padres and then back to GABP where he has plenty of experience.

 

I Immediately Regret This Decision

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2 Player Rater ERA 2nd Half FIP 2nd Half BABIP 2nd Half
Peter Lambert COL @LAD @SD -18.8 6.6 5.4 0.329
Jordan Zimmermann DET MIN @OAK -16.3 6.18 4.62 0.297
Ariel Jurado TEX @NYY @BAL -8.8 7.52 5.93 0.338
Dereck Rodriguez SF @STL @LAD -11.1 6 5.43 0.3
Ross Detwiler CWS @CLE LAA -14 6.11 6.76 0.269
Tyler Beede SF @STL @LAD -13.6 5.48 5.51 0.345

 

Projected 2 Start Days and Opponents

Team Projected 2 Start Days Opp. 1 Opp. 2
AL EAST
BAL Monday, Tuesday @TB TEX
BOS Tuesday MIN NYY
NYY Monday TEX @BOS
TB Monday, Tuesday
Tuesday Doubleheader
BAL TOR
TOR Monday (Possible 4 man) @ATL @TB
AL CENTRAL
CWS Monday, Tuesday @CLE LAA
CLE Monday, Tuesday CWS @MIN
DET Monday, Tuesday MIN/@KC @OAK
KC Tuesday (Possible 6 man) DET @MIA
MIN Monday, Tuesday @DET/@BOS CLE
AL WEST
HOU Monday @MIL SEA
LAA Tuesday @OAK @CWS
OAK Tuesday (Possible 6 or 7 man) LAA DET
SEA Monday @CHC @HOU
TEX Monday, Tuesday @NYY @BAL
NL EAST
ATL Monday TOR WSH
MIA Tuesday @PIT KC
NYM Monday @WSH PHI
PHI Monday, Tuesday @CIN @NYM
WSH Monday, Tuesday NYM @ATL
NL CENTRAL
CHC Monday SEA @MIL
CIN Monday, Tuesday (Possible 6 man) PHI ARZ
MIL Monday HOU CHC
PIT Tuesday MIA STL
STL Monday, Tuesday (Possible 6 man) SF @PIT
NL WEST
ARZ Monday SD @CIN
COL Monday @LAD @SD
LAD Monday (6 man) COL SF
SD X (6 man) @ARZ COL
SF Monday, Tuesday @STL @LAD
  1. Lil Mo with the gimpy leg says:
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    Do u like Leake vs S D better than Waino @hm vs SF tomorrow?

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      Given only those 2 choices, I suppose I’ll take Waino.

  2. shiv says:
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    h2h playoffs round 1 start next week! 1 start of Yu or the 2 of Mike Leak next week? Yu being scratched scares me. Also have Lamet, Lucchesi, Manaea, Folty

    B Balks -.5 points
    BBI Walks Issued (Pitchers) -.8 points
    BS Blown Saves -2.5 points
    CG Complete Games 5 points
    ER Earned Runs -1 point
    HA Hits Allowed -.2 points
    HRA Home Runs Allowed -.5 points
    INN Innings 2 points
    K Strikeouts (Pitcher) 1 point
    L Losses -4 points
    NH No-Hitters 10 points
    PG Perfect Games 20 points
    PKO Pick Offs 2 points
    QS Quality Starts 2.3 points
    RL Relief Losses 1 point
    RW Relief Wins -3.5 points
    S Saves 7.5 points
    SO Shutouts 6.5 points
    W Wins 10 points
    WP Wild Pitches -.25 points

  3. Shivdaddy says:
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    Who do I start next week? Week 1 of playoffs! 12 team h2h weekly points.

    Yu with 1 start @ MIL (gio gonzalez)
    Lamet with 1 start @ HOME vs COL
    Lucchesi with 1 start @ HOME vs COL
    Mike Leak with 2 starts @ Home and @ Cin

    BBI Walks Issued (Pitchers) -.8 points
    ER Earned Runs -1 point
    HA Hits Allowed -.2 points
    HRA Home Runs Allowed -.5 points
    INN Innings 2 points
    K Strikeouts (Pitcher) 1 point
    L Losses -4 points
    QS Quality Starts 2.3 points
    SO Shutouts 6.5 points
    W Wins 10 points

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