I used to work a night shift on Tuesdays in the summer, but it was an outdoor job, so I never got to watch the All-Star Game on TV. Usually, I’d go sneak some Dairy Queen or gas station ice cream as compensation. The All-Star Game never really moved the needle for me. I suppose being a Twins fan, there’s not much to watch on my end year after year. Yankees and Dodgers fans? The All-Star Game is just another primetime game for y’all. Last night, Apple TV offered me the elite matchup of the Pirates vs the Rockies, and YouTube TV offered me Red Sox vs Yankees. Truth be told, I’ve been blacked out of Twins and Brewers games for two years now. MLB wonders why there’s an audience problem. Meanwhile, I — a guy who ostensibly likes baseball — have watched more Minnesota United soccer games than Minnesota Twins games in the past half decade. Go you Loons! ENYWHEY. If the All-Star Game is your thing, enjoy it. Me? I suppose it’s the one time a year I can watch some Twins and Brewers without being blacked out.

This is a fantasy baseball break, so let’s do the obligatory thing where we evaluate my pre-season picks, recap the hits my system made, and gloss over my misses like you’re five Heineken’s deep at a dinner party.

2022 First Half Recap

Tyler MahleElephant-minded readers recall that Mahle was my dark horse SP1 pick. Fast forward five months, and Mahle is [checks Player Rater] SP96. Yeesh. But things aren’t as bad as they look — Mahle’s xERA of 3.17 is sparkling, his SIERA of 3.85 is tolerable, and he’s got a sub 1.00 HR/9 rate. His swinging strike rate over the past seven games is pretty pedestrian — 12.8% — but there are definitely signs of a Mahle second-half surge incoming: his fastball is fine, his pitch mix is pretty normal, and that BABIP of .302 is gonna come down at some point. Obviously, he’s not getting wins while on the Reds, but what more can you ask from a pitcher that — over the last seven starts — has given you a 10+ K/9, 2.58 ERA / 3.24 FIP, and a WHIP of 1.10? If one of your league mates gave up on Mahle, it’s time to capitalize: Pick Him Up. See what I did there? I wish capitalism was as easy as the shift key.

Luis CastilloAnother one of those dark horse SP1 candidates — yes I was really into the Reds this pre-season; don’t ask why. Castillo is currently SP49 on the year, with a shimmering 2.77 ERA / 3.15 xERA / 3.03 FIP. What else could you want? Oh, Wins. Yeah, Charlie Sheen wants that too. Everything I wrote for Mahle applies to Castillo: don’t expect wins but enjoy the ratios [hops on Twitter with a bag of popcorn].

Kyle WrightI’m not going to say that I was the first analyst to tell you to pick up Kyle Wright, but I was definitely in that vanguard. I am the Lewis and Clark of small sample size. ENYWHEY. Wright’s ratios are all in the [checks thesaurus] right spot, but his 11-4 record propels him to SP13 on the season. That win luck won’t hold all season, but the ratios are so nice that I wouldn’t care. Stay on the [checks second thesaurus] right track with Wright. Seriously? I need a new thesaurus.

Justin VerlanderHere’s a miss. No, stop looking at my wife and start hydrating — this dinner party hasn’t even gotten past Uncle Jimmy’s famous Cowboy Caviar. I told fantasy managers to stay away from Verlander this year, and so far he’s proven me (us? are we in this together?) wrong. My hesitance towards Verlander stemmed from the fact that only Bartolo Colon had produced longitudinal success after missing significant time due to injury at a comparable age. Fantasy stalwart: Bartolo Colon! Of course, my error in judgment on Verlander stemmed from the fact that a fair amount of pitchers had “short-term” success in their MLB return. Like, pitchers are fine over one year spans, but they’re definitely fantasy trash over three year spans. Verlander’s doing that “short-term” success thing right now. Could Verlander be the next Bartolo Colon? Who knows! Siri, remind me about this fantasy blurb in 2025.

Shohei OhtaniI told everybody to get Ohtani with the 1.01 of your draft. He’s currently SP7 and the 14th best hitter. Please call my new psychic hotline to get the best horse picks and lottery numbers for 3.99 the first minute and 5.99 each additional minute.

Robbie RayI don’t understand why people keep writing articles about how Robbie Ray is bad this year. He’s SP24. His ERA matches his true skill stats. He’s better than 300-some other starters that have appeared this year. ‘Nuff said about my God of Glutes.

Cristian Javier / Spencer Strider / Nestor Cortes: People complained when I added Roleless Robs — pitchers who didn’t have a true role in their organization — to the SP board this year. Since adding those Roleless Robs, we’ve landed three guys who turned into full-time starters and are in the top 30 at the time of writing: Cristian Javier (SP25), Spencer Strider (SP29), and Nestor Cortes (SP16). Controversy is healthy sometimes. I’ve heard of the “Fred Durst effect,” where somebody becomes controversial just for the sake of it. The Insane Clown Posse comes to mind, too. But those controversy seekers shouldn’t be confused for contrarian thought. All I’m trying to do is to be the Tony Bourdain of fantasy sports — show you the recipe and show you how to get there. Whether you go, and how you go, that’s up to you.

Kevin GausmanStrange how people have given up on him. Why, just this morning, Coolwhip messaged me with a “who do I drop” question and Gausman was on the list. Why? The Gasman has a 1.85 FIP, 2,87 ERA, 10 K/9 and sub 2.0 BB/9. Yet, he’s SP35 with 6 wins and people think he’s given up the ghost. His past month: 1.71 ERA, 11 K/9. What about the past two months? 3.79 ERA / 2.66 ERA with 9.7 K/9. We’re fine, fam. Chill out with the “Do I start Gausman” spiel. His fastball velocity is increasing recently — everything in its right place, and now I’m off to listen to some Radiohead.

Garrett WhitlockTalk about a collapse. To be fair, he was probably injured and hiding it. At the start of the season, Whitlock soared to the top of my board, powered by a K-rate that was nearing 2021 Jacob deGrom levels. In May, Whitlock fell apart, and his 20% swinging strike rate plummeted to 5%. He spent the last month on the IL and returned on Friday to toss 2 IP with 0 hits and 3 K, so — maybe time to pick up what others left on the waiver wire?

Jacob deGromIt’s always hard to victory lap an injury, but I warned people away from deGrom during draft season because it was evident his 2021 injuries hadn’t fully healed. “But the 101MPH fastballs in pre-season!” shouted the crowds. No, stop that. You’re not drafting deGrom in the first round to throw 2 pre-season innings. DeGrom hasn’t pitched in the majors since July 7, 2021, and he’ll be back shortly after the All-Star Break according to reports. Should you roster and start him? Yes. Will he be great for, like, 60IP? Yes, most likely. Will he be your fantasy savior? Probably not. [sighs]

Kyle HendricksThere are some touts out there who work for the alphabet sites and they get paid, like, taxable money to write about fantasy sports. They play in the big leagues with the venture capital bros (it’s never sisters in fantasy sports) and their performances are tracked. They write “Draft like me!” recaps and have hashtags named after their strategies. And these guys said to go all in on Kyle Hendricks at the start of the year. Kyle Hendricks is now SP132 on the year. “But he’s a master in quality start leagues!” shout the naysayers. OK, he has 4 QS out of 16 games started; how about them apples? His season FIP is near 5, just like his ERA, and his WHIP is near 1.30. Now Hendricks just landed on the IL and won’t be back until near September. Sometimes, winning in fantasy sports isn’t about who you pick up but who you don’t pick up. As I’ve said a billion times before, fantasy analysts all use the same core stats. How you read them makes the difference. And just because somebody has achieved “toutdom” and the taxable paycheck from an alphabet company, doesn’t mean that they also — how should I put this politely — know what they’re [expletive] talking about. Whew. There, I said it. I’ll add this postscript: I’m not the fantasy savior. Heck, I’m purposefully not even giving out my best fantasy confidence equation for [thinks of hedge] reasons. I’ve abandoned all my baseball leagues this year because [waves hands around] reasons. But, one thing I won’t do to you good readers, is make up wild claims like “Kyle Hendricks reinvented himself” when the guy’s fastball — which was already slower than many high school pitchers — had slowed even more from his career norms. I mean, come on, why do people pay for that kind of analysis. ENYWHEY.

Michael KingStill stuck in a Roleless Rob position, King remains the P45 on the year going into the All-Star Break. Let’s put it this way: a guy who has started 0 games and finished only 9 out of the 33 games where he’s appeared, is the 45th-best pitcher in fantasy baseball. Stunning. Let’s put this in perspective: the ADP of the 40 range of MLB pitchers in the preseason was the likes of Clayton Kershaw, Giovanny Gallegos, Chris Sale, etc. Gallegos was RP10 by ADP. Gallegos isn’t even the full-time Cardinals closer now. Meanwhile, King has continued his tyranny over MLB batters since June with 20 IP and a ridiculous 0.89 ERA and 11.5 K/9. It’s worth remembering, King has spot-starting experience, with 30% of his pre-2022 appearances being in a starting role. The Yankees rotation has been generally healthy and effective so far, thus King moved more toward the set-up role, where he’s been thriving. That said, if the Yankees lose some starters down the stretch — and injuries are just a natural part of the game — we could see King leave the crowded Yankees bullpen situation and make some fantasy-relevant starts during the playoffs. Regardless, remember why we put Roleless Robs on the list? Because they vulture wins and protect ratios. At 6 Wins, King has more Wins than Aaron Nola, Shane Bieber, Zac Gallen, Spencer Strider, Noah Syndergaard, Luis Severino, Jordan Montgomery, etc. King has as many wins as Michael Kopech and Jordan Montgomery combined — and Kopech and JoMo have 200 IP between them. So hey, not gonna victory lap King quite yet, but those of you that jumped on the King line early have been rewarded so far.

The Rankings

Tier Name Team Confidence Own% L30$/G
1 Spencer Strider ATL 5.112 100 10.3
1 Shohei Ohtani LAA 4.995 100 76.1
1 Shane McClanahan TB 4.986 100 49.8
1 Carlos Rodon SF 4.932 100 30.5
1 Cristian Javier HOU 4.836 100 33.6
1 Corbin Burnes MIL 4.816 100 48.9
1 Max Scherzer NYM 4.758 100 42.1
1 Gerrit Cole NYY 4.598 100 27.1
1 Brandon Woodruff MIL 4.575 100 19.6
1 Dylan Cease CHW 4.561 100 41.9
1 Aaron Nola PHI 3.957 100 4.4
1 Kevin Gausman TOR 3.886 100 -20.9
1 Zack Wheeler PHI 3.812 100 8.2
1 Shane Bieber CLE 3.771 100 -5.5
1 Tarik Skubal DET 3.715 100 -51.2
1 Clayton Kershaw LAD 3.703 100 20.9
1 Max Fried ATL 3.696 100 15.7
1 Aaron Ashby MIL 3.667 70 -32.3
2 Jon Gray TEX 3.596 100 38.8
2 Alex Wood SF 3.571 91 -8.9
2 Hunter Greene CIN 3.563 55 -47.6
2 Joe Musgrove SD 3.552 100 -11.7
2 Sandy Alcantara MIA 3.531 100 35.2
2 Frankie Montas OAK 3.519 100 -15.8
2 Luis Castillo CIN 3.508 100 12.3
2 Justin Verlander HOU 3.492 100 32.1
2 Yu Darvish SD 3.462 100 9.7
2 Tyler Mahle CIN 3.459 100 -24.8
2 Alex Cobb SF 3.440 91 -18.2
2 Logan Webb SF 3.430 100 22.8
2 Corey Kluber TB 3.391 100 -0.3
2 Robbie Ray SEA 3.389 100 41
2 Carlos Carrasco NYM 3.374 100 -21.5
2 Kyle Wright ATL 3.344 100 -6.4
2 Tanner Houck BOS 3.322 100 0.8
2 Chris Bassitt NYM 3.304 100 11.5
2 Alek Manoah TOR 3.301 100 0.8
2 Nestor Cortes NYY 3.301 100 -18.1
2 Patrick Sandoval LAA 3.269 100 -27.1
2 Ross Stripling TOR 3.264 30 -4.7
2 Framber Valdez HOU 3.261 100 7.5
2 Tyler Anderson LAD 3.251 100 -6.7
2 Martin Perez TEX 3.247 98 -5.7
2 Charlie Morton ATL 3.240 100 14.2
2 Taijuan Walker NYM 3.235 100 27.8
2 Jose Quintana PIT 3.234 7 -25.5
2 Pablo Lopez MIA 3.227 100 -8.8
2 Tony Gonsolin LAD 3.213 100 16.1
2 Merrill Kelly ARI 3.205 89 17.1
2 Logan Gilbert SEA 3.196 100 -10.5
2 Marcus Stroman CHC 3.191 36 4.8
2 Sean Manaea SD 3.173 100 -19.8
2 Justin Steele CHC 3.172 5 -8.7
2 Luis Severino NYY 3.171 100 -19.8
2 Sonny Gray MIN 3.159 100 -44.6
2 Nick Pivetta BOS 3.145 86 -43.8
2 Luis Garcia HOU 3.144 100 14
2 Luis Garcia HOU 3.144 100 14
2 JT Brubaker PIT 3.144 9 -3.5
2 Jameson Taillon NYY 3.127 86 -16.4
2 Jeffrey Springs TB 3.127 77 -41.2
2 Zac Gallen ARI 3.056 100 -33.5
2 Lucas Giolito CHW 3.027 100 -27.9
2 Miles Mikolas STL 3.024 100 9.3
2 Paul Blackburn OAK 3.024 61 -43.3
2 Zach Eflin PHI 3.014 20 -33.1
3 David Peterson NYM 2.997 55 8.6
3 Triston McKenzie CLE 2.978 100 13.8
3 MacKenzie Gore SD 2.973 61 -78.9
3 Keegan Thompson CHC 2.969 30 -13
3 Jordan Montgomery NYY 2.954 100 -18.9
3 Edwin Diaz NYM 2.937 100 4.8
3 Walker Buehler LAD 2.923 89
3 Julio Urias LAD 2.919 100 19.3
3 Kyle Gibson PHI 2.912 48 -24.7
3 Drew Rasmussen TB 2.909 98 -14.4
3 Adam Wainwright STL 2.909 100 -11.2
3 Brady Singer KC 2.895 16 -19.2
3 Mitch Keller PIT 2.887 2 -21.9
3 Kenley Jansen ATL 2.886 100 2.5
3 A.J. Minter ATL 2.872 84 1.5
3 Joe Jimenez DET 2.868 1.2
3 Aaron Civale CLE 2.851 27 -28.4
3 Freddy Peralta MIL 2.843 95
3 Joe Ryan MIN 2.828 100 -11.5
3 Daniel Lynch KC 2.820 -21.6
3 Brooks Raley TB 2.814 32 0.8
3 Devin Williams MIL 2.812 100 0.8
3 Dylan Bundy MIN 2.807 16 4
3 Michael King NYY 2.805 4
3 George Kirby SEA 2.803 57 -21
3 Taylor Rogers SD 2.803 100 -1.4
3 Jordan Lyles BAL 2.799 16 5.1
3 Eric Lauer MIL 2.788 100 -11.9
3 Trevor Williams NYM 2.778 -9.5
3 Rich Hill BOS 2.776 -17.7
3 Scott Effross CHC 2.773 -2.1
3 Justin Wilson CIN 2.768
3 Noah Syndergaard LAA 2.764 89 -20.9
3 Reynaldo Lopez CHW 2.759 9 0
3 Andres Munoz SEA 2.758 25 2.3
3 Ryan Helsley STL 2.750 100 8.8
3 Raisel Iglesias LAA 2.738 100 0.5
3 David Bednar PIT 2.726 100 -4.8
3 Cole Irvin OAK 2.712 7 6.3
3 Tyler Wells BAL 2.694 45 14.8
3 Dane Dunning TEX 2.693 14 -55.2
3 Nathan Eovaldi BOS 2.687 100 -58.4
3 Liam Hendriks CHW 2.685 100 5.8
3 Hector Neris HOU 2.682 2 -2
3 Jose Berrios TOR 2.681 100 -43.1
3 Patrick Corbin WSH 2.668 11 -31.1
3 Penn Murfee SEA 2.666 -3.1
3 Josiah Gray WSH 2.655 91 -10.7
3 Zach Davies ARI 2.650 7 -35.7
3 Trevor Rogers MIA 2.647 57 -23.1
3 Ian Anderson ATL 2.641 77 -22.7
3 Eli Morgan CLE 2.632 20 -0.3
3 Ranger Suarez PHI 2.613 36 9.1
3 Collin McHugh ATL 2.609 5 1.8
3 Zach Plesac CLE 2.607 57 -14.8
3 Johnny Cueto CHW 2.606 55 16.3
3 Giovanny Gallegos STL 2.603 93 -4.7
3 Brad Keller KC 2.594 14 18.1
3 Jose Urquidy HOU 2.588 29.1
3 Hunter Harvey WSH 2.581 -5.2
3 Taylor Hearn TEX 2.575 -50.8
3 Craig Kimbrel LAD 2.572 100 1.4
3 Michael Wacha BOS 2.561 48 -8.2
3 German Marquez COL 2.555 55 -11.4
3 Michael Lorenzen LAA 2.555 20 -99
3 Jason Adam TB 2.548 41 -1.7
3 Michael Kopech CHW 2.547 98 -44.4
3 Adrian Houser MIL 2.544 5 -49
3 Clay Holmes NYY 2.539 100 -2.3
3 Caleb Thielbar MIN 2.537 -4.4
3 Graham Ashcraft CIN 2.530 2 -55.6
3 Tylor Megill NYM 2.529 32 -55.3
3 Andrew Chafin DET 2.516 -0.4
3 Trevor Stephan CLE 2.516 2 1.9
3 Kyle Freeland COL 2.514 -36.6
3 Jhoan Duran MIN 2.514 98 -0.2
3 Emmanuel Clase CLE 2.512 100 4.8
3 John Schreiber BOS 2.511 23 -0.2
3 Seranthony Dominguez PHI 2.503 98 0.3
3 Austin Gomber COL 2.494 9 -20.9
3 Josh Hader MIL 2.491 100 -5.6
3 Reid Detmers LAA 2.489 30 -11.9
3 Bryan Abreu HOU 2.486 -6.5
3 Evan Phillips LAD 2.483 25 3.8
3 Alex Lange DET 2.473 -2.6
3 Daniel Mengden KC 2.467 -26
3 Rafael Montero HOU 2.458 59 0.1
3 Antonio Senzatela COL 2.452 -37.8
3 Erik Swanson SEA 2.447 -2.1
3 Matt Strahm BOS 2.446 -2.5
3 Kyle Hendricks CHC 2.444 45 -4
3 Victor Arano WSH 2.434
3 Chris Martin CHC 2.432 -2.6
3 Blake Snell SD 2.432 86 -28.3
3 Ryan Pressly HOU 2.431 100 8.2
3 Garrett Whitlock BOS 2.421 77 6.1
3 Jorge Lopez BAL 2.419 100 3.2
3 Griffin Jax MIN 2.414 -4.9
3 A.J. Puk OAK 2.410 7 -3.1
3 JT Chargois TB 2.408
3 Cal Quantrill CLE 2.406 48 -28.2
3 Paolo Espino WSH 2.395 -37.9
3 Enyel De Los Santos CLE 2.388 -27.7
3 Jovani Moran MIN 2.388 2.1
3 Duane Underwood Jr. PIT 2.388 -5.7
3 Tanner Scott MIA 2.387 100 3.1
3 Chris Flexen SEA 2.385 25 6.7
3 Zach Jackson OAK 2.385 -1.8
3 Alex Faedo DET 2.383 -74.3
3 Jesus Luzardo MIA 2.383 55
3 Cody Stashak MIN 2.381
3 Jimmy Herget LAA 2.378 10.1
3 Trevor Gott MIL 2.376 -0.5
3 Will Vest DET 2.373 -10.5
3 Joely Rodriguez NYM 2.372 -2.7
3 Nick Nelson PHI 2.363 -10
3 Bryan Baker BAL 2.362 -17.7
3 Wil Crowe PIT 2.362 5 -9.1
3 David Robertson CHC 2.354 100 2.2
3 Peter Strzelecki MIL 2.353 -10.8
3 Matthew Festa SEA 2.352 13.5
3 Chad Kuhl COL 2.344 9 -26.8
3 Joan Adon WSH 2.343 -61.9
3 Jose Alvarado PHI 2.336 3.3
3 Zack Greinke KC 2.336 18 -5.6
3 Nabil Crismatt SD 2.333 -20.7
3 Brock Burke TEX 2.325 5 -2.7
3 Joe Mantiply ARI 2.313 7 -6.1
3 Adam Ottavino NYM 2.313 1.3
3 Dakota Hudson STL 2.309 16 -40.1
3 Kutter Crawford BOS 2.306 7 -2.7
3 Andrew Bellatti PHI 2.303 -3.1
3 Anthony Bass MIA 2.300 -1.4
3 Felix Bautista BAL 2.295 16 0.7
3 Ryan Brasier BOS 2.291 -3.9
3 Paul Sewald SEA 2.287 100 5.5
3 Andrew Heaney LAD 2.286 95 -2.6
3 Robert Dugger CIN 2.280 10.3
3 Ron Marinaccio NYY 2.277 0.1
3 James Karinchak CLE 2.276 -5.3
3 Brusdar Graterol LAD 2.271 9 0.9
3 Steven Matz STL 2.266 18
3 Yimi Garcia TOR 2.265 5.3
3 Jesse Chavez ATL 2.265 -3.1
3 Jesus Tinoco TEX 2.264 -29.5
3 Jose Quijada LAA 2.258 -4.1
3 Yusei Kikuchi TOR 2.255 9 -34.2
3 Madison Bumgarner ARI 2.246 14 -24.5
3 Pierce Johnson SD 2.246
3 Camilo Doval SF 2.244 100 -1.9
3 Jalen Beeks TB 2.242 -5.4
3 Dennis Santana TEX 2.242 5 -9.5
3 Alex Vesia LAD 2.240 2 -3
3 Matt Moore TEX 2.239 0
3 Sam Selman OAK 2.237 -6.2
3 Sam Hentges CLE 2.236 -8.6
3 Nick Martinez SD 2.235 2 -21.9
3 John Brebbia SF 2.234 -0.7
3 Wyatt Mills KC 2.229 -24.5
3 Kris Bubic KC 2.226 -45.1
3 Beau Brieske DET 2.220 -9.7
3 Daniel Hudson LAD 2.215 2 -3.3
3 Braxton Garrett MIA 2.205 18 -19.9
3 Lou Trivino OAK 2.201 84 -2.6
3 Diego Castillo SEA 2.192 36 3.8
3 Sean Hjelle SF 2.192 -100.2
3 Sean Doolittle WSH 2.192
3 Packy Naughton STL 2.190 0.3
3 J.P. Feyereisen TB 2.186 7
3 Amir Garrett KC 2.185 -7.2
3 Glenn Otto TEX 2.182 -69.5
3 Taylor Clarke KC 2.182 -0.7
3 Cole Sulser MIA 2.180 2
3 Matt Foster CHW 2.179 -6.6
3 Bailey Ober MIN 2.175 27
3 Erick Fedde WSH 2.172 -31.3
3 Daniel Bard COL 2.170 100 1
3 Garrett Richards TEX 2.169 -1.3
3 Andre Pallante STL 2.169 -41.1
3 Rony Garcia DET 2.162 26.8
3 Kyle Crick CHW 2.160
3 Colin Holderman NYM 2.159 3.7
3 Tyler Kinley COL 2.157
3 Lucas Luetge NYY 2.153 2 -1.9
3 Tommy Nance MIA 2.148 -14.4
3 Scott Barlow KC 2.148 100 3.2
3 Phoenix Sanders TB 2.143 -6.2
3 Austin Davis BOS 2.142 -9.1
3 Mike Clevinger SD 2.142 100 -17.5
3 Tayler Scott SD 2.142 -11.7
3 Trevor Megill MIN 2.141 -2.1
3 Wandy Peralta NYY 2.122 -2.7
3 Steve Cishek WSH 2.113 2 -4.6
3 Brandon Hughes CHC 2.109 -3.8
3 Alexis Diaz CIN 2.108 36 -2.6
3 Jordan Romano TOR 2.106 100 2.3
3 Dillon Tate BAL 2.104 -2.4
3 Jeremy Beasley TOR 2.104 -6.8
3 Jake Walsh STL 2.104
3 Chad Green NYY 2.101 2
3 Dany Jimenez OAK 2.095 73 1.2
3 Anderson Severino CHW 2.095
3 Jackson Stephens ATL 2.086 -6.5
3 Buck Farmer CIN 2.077 -2.5
3 Joe Kelly CHW 2.077 -8.7
3 Kervin Castro SF 2.076
3 Josh Staumont KC 2.072 7 -8.8
3 Jose Marte LAA 2.072 -30.5
3 Austin Voth BAL 2.068 -14.2
3 James Norwood BOS 2.064
3 Chris Archer MIN 2.060 2 5
3 Aaron Loup LAA 2.057 -5.8
3 David Phelps TOR 2.056 -6.1
3 Kyle Barraclough LAA 2.048
3 Daniel Norris CHC 2.043 -4.1
3 Adam Cimber TOR 2.034 11 -4.1
3 Parker Mushinski HOU 2.029
3 Joel Kuhnel CIN 2.028 -9.5
3 Ryan Feltner COL 2.027 -77.8
3 Mark Leiter Jr. CHC 2.025 -19.5
3 Drew Smith NYM 2.024 -2.9
3 Mychal Givens CHC 2.018 7 0.4
3 Connor Brogdon PHI 2.017 -1.4
3 Eric Stout PIT 2.017 1.5
3 Emilio Pagan MIN 2.012 20 -5.4
3 Hoby Milner MIL 2.007 -1.5
3 Michael Fulmer DET 2.004 18 -4.6
3 Corbin Martin ARI 2.004
3 Carl Edwards Jr. WSH 2.001 2 -17.4
3 Michael Rucker CHC 2.000 -25.6
4 Kyle Finnegan WSH 1.999 75 -5
4 Trevor Richards TOR 1.998 -3.2
4 Shane Baz TB 1.997 82 -10

 

 

62 Comments
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B-Real
B-Real
2 months ago

Thanks again for all you do.Again a guy in my league wants strider and ohtani (pitcher) from me.. he’s trying to deal Harper (word came out today he’ll be out a lil longer after getting his shot) and he offered Beiber to go along with Harper. I originally thought I should go after more like DeGrom but maybe Beiber is the guy I want . Should I jump on this offer?
Awaiting your advice! Thank you

B-Real
B-Real
Reply to  B-Real
2 months ago

Never-mind sorry for bothering you trying to get your advice while he was pressuring me but I got over on him pretty good..he sent an offer then Was going to take it down but i accepted it first and now he’s complaining haha. I got Fried, Bieber, Trout, and gave up Ohtani and Strider,
F. Peralta, and Whitlock. I hated giving up Ohtani and even strider but it was obviously worth it. But he got over on me earlier in the season that basically got Bieber for nothing so we’re even. Now hopefully Trout returns sometime in early august. Thanks again. Hopefully you agree with the move and I don’t find out I’m crazy haha.

martin rostoker
martin rostoker
2 months ago

Hi Blair,

1.Jeffrey Springs is scheduled to come off IL and pitch on Sunday at KC. i was going to pitch him. Do you agree?

Alas, some body has to be cut from this list:
Alex Cobb
Alex Wood
Mike Clevinger
Aaron Ashby
Eric Lauer
Nick Pivetta

Who would you waive from the above list?

2.I was going to sit Tyler Anderson at SF. Do you agree?

3.Grey recommends trading Tyler Anderson. Do you agree? If so, who would try and get? Also I could also add someone from the top pitching list. Suggestions

As always, thanks!!!!
Martin

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

I always appreciate the depth of your answers.

would you start Springs at KC?

Thanks!

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Hi Blair,

Thanks so much!!

it sounds like i should keep clev/lauer/pivetta/springs. This means that i would have to waive either Alex Wood or Alex Cobb to keep Springs. Who would you waive? Based on K/9, i would keep Wood and waive Cobb.

Thanks!!

martin

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Thank you! your help is very much appreciated!

Dude
Dude
2 months ago

I have Cueto and Ordirizzi. I see that you are very high on Wood and Cobb. Both are available. Need QS and ratios. Would you drop the first two for Wood and Cobb. And is Ian Anderson even worth picking up?
Thank you in advance!

Dude
Dude
Reply to  Dude
2 months ago

Also, in a Dynasty league Ashcraft or Zack Thompson?

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
2 months ago

Hi Blair,

Jeffrey Springs is scheduled to come off IL and pitch on Sunday at KC. i was going to pitch him. Do you agree?

Alas, some body has to be cut from this list:

Alex Cobb
Alex Wood
Mike Clevinger
Aaron Ashby
Eric Lauer
Nick Pivetta

Who would you waive from the above list?

As always, thanks!!!!

Martin

Dr Sauce
Dr Sauce
2 months ago

Hey Everywhere,
Would you be buying Scherzer? I play in an ESPN, roto, 6 man keep forever. I’m locked in tight race with 3 other owners … nightly changes in the rankings. An owner who is selling, has offered me Scherzer and Charlie Blackmon and his 3rd round pick for my 1st round pick next year. I should finish in the top 3 (so my pick will be 10, 11 or 12 in the first). He will likely finish 10th so his 3rd will be the 27th overall.
My current starters are McClanahan, Musgrove, Joe Ryan, Jo-Mo, Clevinger, Luis Garcia … and I have Peralta and Heaney on IL. I don’t like giving up my first but this might be no brainer. Thoughts??

Dr Sauce
Dr Sauce
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Thanks, makes sense. Does your answer change at all given that Scherzer won’t be a keep for me next year. I have Acuna, Ohtani, Robert, Tucker, Bichette, Witt and McClanahan — in all likelihood my 6 keepers will come from that group of 7. Scherzer essentially a rental until the end of the year. I could possibly package him with another guy to pick up a draft pick.

Dr Sauce
Dr Sauce
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Thanks Everywhere, think it’s worth it as well. Nice to have confirmation.
Do you see anything that suggests Lance Lynn will be revitalized post all star break? He seems lost, fastball pitcher with diminished velocity = getting hit hard!!

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
2 months ago

Hi Blair,

is Frederick Valdez of Houston a suitable star to try to get in a trade? among Cron, Wood, Cobb, aaron Ashby and Clevinger, who would you offer?

thanks!

martin

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Hi Blair

1. I am so glad that i waited for you before going for Valdez. In order to get Scherzer, who would you offer among Aaron Ashby, Cron, Wood, Cobb and Clevinger?

2 i was going to start both pablo lopez against Texas’s Jon Gray? Do you agree!

Thanks!!

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Thanks for all your ongoing help! much appreciated!

martin rostoker
martin rostoker
2 months ago

Hi Blair,

Would you start Cristian Javier against NY Yanks at Houston?

Thanks!

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Thank you!!

NCPhilly
NCPhilly
2 months ago

Can you cast the returning Jakob Junis into a tier please?

Skufer
2 months ago

The love for Strider is strong. Too good to trade away. And plus the excitement of Strider potentially staying durable throughout the ROS and delivering good ratios and a 10.0 K/9 is what’s keeping me from not trading him.

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
2 months ago

Hi Blair,

Thanks so much for all your help!

i am in second place in my 12 team Yahoo
league. i have never finalized higher than 9th. i had this idea to try and ensure my second place finish.

i have a number of top first baseman including CJ Cron and Josh Bell. i had this idea of trading CJ Cron for a top starting pitcher and maybe throwing in Alex Cobb, Alex Wood or Aaron Ashby. Do you have any suggestions for a great pitcher that i should try and get? Who would you throw in order to get a great starting pitcher besides Cron?

thanks!!!

martin

Gee
Gee
2 months ago

For ROS you still liking Ashby over Cobb or Pivetta?

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
2 months ago

Hi Blair,

i decided to follow your advice and picked up Alex Cobb by waiving Dean Kramer. Luis Severino of the yanks is available on waivers even know he is on IL-15. would you grab him? Would you waive Wood, Cobb, Aaron Ashby or Clevinger to get Sevino?

thanks!

martin

uncle ernie
uncle ernie
2 months ago

Love these second half rankings. So talking about Strider. You didn’t comment directly about his trust factor and top tier ranking. He’s available to me via trade but would like to hear a bit more about your thinking. Thanks

uncle ernie
uncle ernie
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Gotcha thanks

uncle ernie
uncle ernie
Reply to  uncle ernie
2 months ago

Would you favor him over his teammate Charlie

B-Real
B-Real
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

So you would give strider for Trout straight up without a second thought?
What about ohtani? I’d have hard time giving up ohtani for Trout… right now I have Luis Robert, Schwarber, and Julio Rodriguez in OF with Riley ohtani and Abreu at utility. So I feel keeping pitcher Ohtani is more valuable for me.but I always value your suggestions.
Thank you

B-Real
B-Real
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

No I wasn’t misreading. I have strider, ohtani (p) and ohtani (b)
I was originally offered trout for strider but he removed it immediately. I’m a Big Strider fan but would do that trade.. but then he moved on to Ohtani-pitcher for Trout. And that was my question maybe I worded it wrong but I have the ohtanis and strider. And he’s trying to deal Trout. He’s now offering Beiber and Trout for ohtani (p) and strider. But I think I should get more than Beiber. He has DeGrom who I think I could get. Would you give up Strider and Ohtani (p) for Trout and Degrom?
Thanks for your help and time

Last edited 2 months ago by B-Real
Michael Regan
Michael Regan
2 months ago

Two Luis Garcia’s (57,58). One of these Lance Lynn (missing) maybe?

Michael Regan
Michael Regan
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Both Luis’ with identical confidence ratings, ownership, $/G?

Michael Regan
Michael Regan
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

OK, just as long as the Washington shortstop doesn’t get involved?. How about Lance Lynn? He’s been sucky, but not “off the list” sucky.

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
2 months ago

Hi Blair,

I was so looking for your column and your insight!!

I would appreciate if you would review my pitching list and current strategy. I put your confidence level in parenthesis. I have used a lot of innings. I have 88 starts left.

1.I thought that the list below should always start.
Cristian Javier (4.9)
Corbin Burnes (4.8)

2.Should the following list always start? How would you use these four?

Mike Mikolas (3.1)
Jon Gray (3.6)
Tyler Anderson (3.2)
Pablo Lopez (3.2)

3.Stream the following/who to move/How to use them?
Eric Lauer (2.8)
Nick Pivetta (3.2)
Alex Wood (3.6)
Mike Clevinger (2.1)
Aaron Ashby (3.7)
Dean Kramer

Alex Cobb (3.4) is available on waivers.

Please review my decision strategy and make any suggestions.

Would you pick up Cobb (3.4). if yes, who should you waive and how would you use Cobb?

I am so looking forward to your reply!

thanks!!

martin

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
Reply to  everywhereblair
2 months ago

Thanks Blair for making me think!

1. On Thursday. i have both my pitchers going against each other. Texas Jon Gray against Miami’s Pablo Lopez. i was going to start both. Thoughts?

2. i took a second look at the waiver and the Yanks Luis Severino is on IL-15. Looking at my pitching list, would you take Severino or Woods? i would then waive Dean Kramer. Thoughts?

your help is very much appreciated!!

martin

Jimmy
Jimmy
2 months ago

Great work!! What are your thoughts on Domingo German? Does he contribute this year? He is ramping up in AAA…Do we see or Hunter Brown? And lastly does Ryan Pepiot get the call again? Thank you love your stuff!

Panik! At The Disco
Panik! At The Disco
2 months ago

I maybe don’t understand the methodology completely, so help me understand the high ranking of Aaron Ashby — he’s available on the wire in my 14-team H2H, so I can nab him for free — what do you see in him going forward that makes him an SP1 here? Thanks!

Jimmie Johnson
Jimmie Johnson
2 months ago

Where do you see Strider, Eovaldi and Gallen finishing the year, as SP2s/3s?