How do you quantify the pure power of you, yes you, the loyal Razzball Nation commenter?

How about with an 82 ranking as if from nowhere!

I’ve actually seen Nate Karns pitch in AAA, and I remember not being too impressed…  Then again I was balls deep in craft beer and a footlong hot dog with BBQ and slaw on it, so there’s that…

I really haven’t seen too much of Karns this year, but what I have seen heading into yesterday’s start is a pretty good fastball with a solid knucke-curve.  Nothing “blow you away”, but enough to keep hitters honest.  And with a garbage-ish pool of pitchers to stream in a couple of leagues where I’m behind in my innings quota, Karns was my stream of choice against a struggling White Sox offense yesterday.  Boy was I happy with the result!  So I decided to go back and watch this start complete with all of the Pitcher Profile bells and whistles to see if there’s something a little deeper here than just a 10 or 12-team matchup streamer:

First Inning: Karns’ first pitch is a fastball high and outside to Adam Eaton, fastball in there on the inside corner, 1-1.  Another fastball is fouled off, but a hanging 1-2 curve that stayed in the zone is laced into right for a leadoff single.  No radar gun for either broadcast so far (FX on the player not showing it either), but Karns looks like he’s in his usual 91-92 range.  Fastball paints the inside corner on Alexei Ramirez, then another fastball is absolutely rocketed to left field, but Joey Butler is right there for the first out.  Both with very hard contact so far.  Hanging breaking ball is inside to Jose Abreu, fastball outside, breaking ball low, 3-0.  Karns then misses by a millimeter on the inside edge with a fastball and loses him on 4 pitches.  Not a great start.  Fastball way outside to Adam LaRoche, and this isn’t going too well, surprised he didn’t get a visit after that pitch.  Change-up barely gets the zone to even it up – might have been outside – fastball with some cutter-movement backdooring the outside is slashed foul 1-2, then Karns paints the outside corner with a perfect fastball to get LaRoche looking for a big K.  Two outs, and Avisail Garcia takes a first-pitch knuckle-curve for strike one that is Karns’ best pitch so far:


Maybe getting a little confidence after the big K. although Garcia is 2-3 with 2 homers vs. Karns before this start.  Then knuckle-curve goes straight down instead of sweeping across and gets a big swing-and-miss, 1-2:


Wow, great ability to change the movement on the knuckle-curve.  Then another curveball that stayed in the zone is flared to right, and it’s caught for an easy out to get Karns out of the inning.  Just looked like a different pitcher after striking out LaRoche.

Second Inning: Melky Cabrera takes a first pitch fastball in there for strike one, then a hanging change-up is laced to third, but Evan Longoria makes the pick and gets him out.  Another loud out though…  Gordon Beckham takes strike one, fastball is outside, another heater fouled back, fastball way upstairs taken, elevated heater again gets Beckham reaching to foul it off, Beckham lays off the curveball dipping low, then a fastball on the hands doesn’t tie him up and Beckham gets his hands around on it for a double down the left field line.  The Rays broadcast and I agree – amazing at bat right there from Beckham.  Karns is outside to Carlos Sanchez, fastball blows him away, then another fastball is barely past Jake Elmore at first diving for it and through second base for a single, Beckham is able to score but Sanchez is cut down at second.  A little bit of a lucky RBI, but at least Karns gets the out for the bases clear.  Curveball gets strike one on Tyler Flowers, another curveball stays on the inside edge, but Flowers can only top it to third for an easy groundout, inning over.

Third Inning: Change-up is taken for strike one by Eaton as we return to the top, inside fastball eats him up for a flare foul, outside change-up gets him reaching fouling it off, still 0-2.  Fastball high and outside, fastball fouled off, curve is low, then a nice 2-2 change-up gets Eaton out in front for his 2nd K.  Replay shows that nice circle-change grip.  Karns then goes right after Alexei with a curveball in the zone that’s swung over and missed, curve again skips low, change-up gets a big swing over top it for a whiff, change-up is working wonders right now.  Then a high fastball doesn’t quite get high enough, and Ramirez flares it into no man’s land for a bloop single.  Unlucky stuff there, but the off-speed was working so good that at bat I’m surprised he went to a fastball.  Abreu takes ball one, fastball gets a big swing but it’s fouled off, fastball is low and Alexei steals second.  2-1 high curveball drops into the zone, curve is barely tipped foul, fastball low, then a change-up on the hands absolutely eats him up for a routine grounder to third for a huge out.  Surprised to see a change there for a big 3-2 pitch righty-to-righty.  Fastball gets strike one looking on LaRoche, big curveball gets swung over top, change-up is tipped foul, then the 0-2 fastball maybe just off the plate is cut on late for a huge strikeout to get through the inning:


Fourth Inning: Karns opens the 4th with a fastball way high to Garcia, curveball is tipped foul, fastball inside eats him up for another tip foul, then Karns climbs the ladder with a heater for a reaching, waving swing for the first out.  Fastball fouled off by Cabrera, curveball in the dirt, fastball high, then I think a hanging change-up on the outside corner is slashed to left for a single.  Cabrera slashed the last one too, really waiting back and swinging hard.  Then whoa, a curveball that went about only 50 feet is spiked and gets to the backstop for a wild pitch.  As in – wildest you’ll see.  So runner at second and a fastball paints the outside corner on Beckham 1-1, fastball on the hands popped foul, then again heater on the hands absolutely ties him up for another K.  Change is outside to Sanchez, fastball in there, then change-up that looked outside gets the call, 1-2.  Karns has been getting a pretty nice zone today.  And why not stay out there?  Outside fastball likely another strike is cut on late and missed, and Karns gets around a single to strike out the side.

Fifth Inning: Fastball in there to Flowers for strike one is Karns’ 70th pitch, curveball tapped foul, curveball barely missed and barely has Flowers holding up 1-2, then a high fastball I thought had Flowers offering but he barely holds up again, curve hit foul, fastball an inch or two low, then a 3-2 fastball gets Flowers swinging with the bat flying into the stands for Karns’ third straight K.  Good to see the fans OK with the bat flying in there with what happened last week.  Eaton fouls the first one off, change low, perfect change-up gets Eaton to swing over it 1-2, then a fastball on the outside edge is pounded into the gap for a single.  It wasn’t hit too hard, but made it through.  Fastball somehow misses the outside corner to Alexei as the strike zone seems to be off-center with a big outside edge to lefties, but tiny on righties.  Fastball just low, 2-0, curveball sweeps into the zone, fastball painting the outside edge is barely low again, 3-1.  Fastball again is roped the other way just foul by 5-6 feet down the right field line, then the payoff pitch is fouled off his foot, one more time is a fastball hit very hard to second, Eaton was running so he is safe easily to only get the one out at first.  Big at bat here with Abreu with a man in scoring position and a curve is high, curve sweeps outside, curve gets the zone 2-1, then another change-up I think – maybe a hanging curve – on the inside edge absolutely saws Abreu off for a flare caught at first to end the inning.

Sixth Inning: At 91 pitches, Karns is outside to LaRoche, curveball gets a big swing over the top it 1-1, then maybe his best change-up on the day gets LaRoche way in front, 1-2:


Then a fastball paints the low outside corner for a nasty K.  Awesome stuff there.  Then Garcia chops the first pitch curveball to third for a quick second out.  Whoa, a curveball hanging outside somehow gets strike one on Cabrera, seeing that big zone again, then a hanging curve staying in the zone is flared to left, Joey Butler lays out for it on the line but it gets past him for a bloop double.  A better outfielder makes that play though, and really should’ve been limited to a single either way.  So runner at second, two outs, and a heater is in there to Beckham, heater looked good again but is called low 1-1, interesting pitch dips low 2-1, that looked like a slider or cutter – different movement there – maybe just a curveball that was a little odd.  Hanging curve is high, fastball gets a very late swing and is tipped back, and the payoff pitch is a curveball on the inside edge that is dribbled to third, and Longo makes the play to get Karns out of the inning.  And Karns exits down 1-0 so he gets the no decision, but pitched a hell of a game.

Final Line:  ND  6.0 IP  104 Pitches (70 Strikes)  1 ER  7 Hits  1 Walk  8 K  Gamescore: 61  Gamescore+: 65.2

Final Analysis: Pretty surprising start when I broke it down, as I watched the first inning and Karns had a few loud outs to open it up, but he really looked sharp from there on out.  I’m a little surprised his Gamescore+ came out so much higher than his Gamescore with some “lucky” outs and mostly hard contact hits, but with the big Ks and the fact he only went 6 deep (Gamescore adds additional points for later innings pitched) makes the disparity explainable.

It was really annoying not having the radar gun this game, but Fangraphs has his fastball averaging 91.5 MPH on the season and that seemed about right.  Fastball command was on point in this start, with really none of them left in the heart of the zone.  The big off-speed offering is the kunckle-curve that Karns can both sweep laterally and drop vertically as seen in those first two GIFs.  But I was really surprised with the change-up, which Fangraphs lists as only used 8.4% of the time on the season.  It was keeping lefties off-balance all afternoon with a great off-speed action.  Easily the biggest positive I took out of this start.

While Karns’ line was solid, this was a dream matchup against a bumpy White Sox offense at home in the Trop.  And of the hits he allowed, five were to lefties with only two hits against from righties.  So far his splits aren’t too scary with some really low BAA (.234 v. L .210 v. R), but even with that solid change-up it seemed lefties could spot the ball better.  I should note though, that on the year lefties have a much higher BABIP (.337 before yesterday) then righties (.195), so maybe my concern is unwarranted (small sample still applies though).  It also helped the strike zone had a huge outside corner on lefties all afternoon.  It was consistent, but certainly to Karns’ advantage.

I think Karns is solid, but I’m not leaping him up into the upper edge of streamers/must-own in deepers.  Love the home park and will like him against righty-heavy line-ups, but I worry some clunkers could be ahead if that change-up isn’t working for him.  His next outing at Cleveland with their solid lefties is likely a start I’ll avoid.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Max Scherzer, WAS
3 Chris Sale, CWS
4 Felix Hernandez, SEA
5 Corey Kluber, CLE
6 Madison Bumgarner, SF
7 David Price, DET
8 Johnny Cueto, CIN
9 Gerrit Cole, PIT
10 Zack Greinke, LAD
11 Cole Hamels, PHI
12 Matt Harvey, NYM
13 Chris Archer, TB
14 Jake Arrieta, CHC
15 Sonny Gray, OAK
16 Jacob deGrom, NYM
17 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
18 Jon Lester, CHC
19 James Shields, SD
20 Michael Pineda, NYY
21 Garrett Richards, LAA
22 Danny Salazar, CLE
23 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
24 Francisco Liriano, PIT
25 Michael Wacha, STL
26 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
27 Jordan Zimmermann, WAS
28 Jeff Samardzija, CWS
29 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
30 Jose Fernandez, MIA
31 Jason Hammel, CHC
32 Carlos Martinez, STL
33 Tyson Ross, SD
34 Trevor Bauer, CLE
35 Andrew Cashner, SD
36 Alex Wood, ATL
37 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
38 A.J. Burnett, PIT
39 Scott Kazmir, OAK
40 Lance McCullers, HOU
41 Taijuan Walker, SEA
42 Clay Buchholz, BOS
43 Jose Quintana, CWS
44 Shelby Miller, ATL
45 Jesse Chavez, OAK
46 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
47 Vincent Velasquez, HOU
48 Mike Fiers, MIL
49 Collin McHugh, HOU
50 John Lackey, STL
51 Carlos Rodon, CWS
52 Julio Teheran, ATL
53 Yordano Ventura, KC
54 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
55 Jake Odorizzi, TB
56 Drew Hutchison, TOR
57 Chase Anderson, ARI
58 Jesse Hahn, OAK
59 Mat Latos, MIA
60 Trevor May, MIN
61 Justin Verlander, DET
62 Rubby De La Rosa, ARI
63 Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS
64 Patrick Corbin, ARI
65 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
66 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL
67 Aaron Harang, PHI
68 Jered Weaver, LAA
69 Rick Porcello, BOS
70 Edinson Volquez, KC
71 Phil Hughes, MIN
72 J.A. Happ, SEA
73 Kevin Gausman, BAL
74 Ian Kennedy, SD
75 Wei-Yin Chen, BAL
76 Alfredo Simon, DET
77 Ubaldo Jimenez, BAL
78 Chris Heston, SF
79 Lance Lynn, STL
80 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
81 Bartolo Colon, NYM
82 Nate Karns, TB
83 Anibal Sanchez, DET
84 Dan Haren, MIA
85 Jaime Garcia, STL
86 Jake Peavy, SF
87 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
88 Tim Lincecum, SF
89 C.J. Wilson, LAA
90 Hector Santiago, LAA
91 Mike Leake, CIN
92 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
93 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
94 Matt Moore, TB
95 Danny Duffy, KC
96 Mike Bolsinger, LAD
97 Kyle Gibson, MIN
98 Chi Chi Gonzalez, TEX
99 Michael Montgomery, SEA
100 Charlie Morton, PIT

Dropped Out: James Paxton, SEA (making no progress with his finger injury), Miguel Gonzalez, BAL (DL – groin), Tim Hudson, SF (meh, hovered in the 90s all year; nothing inspiring), CC Sabathia, NYY (was #100 last week, had to move him out for new blood)

  • As we discussed on the Podcast, the move of Felix Hernandez from 2 to 4 isn’t any sort of panic, but man those top 3 have been so, so good the past month…
  • Big callup for Vincent Velasquez, who had a few too many walks in his debut, but might’ve been jitters which you’d expect.  I didn’t think I’d have him top 50 at first, but it gets scrubby pretty quick out of the 30s.
  • So to address Eduardo Rodriguez, I picture the scene from Spaceballs when Lone Star and crew are walking across the desert and he drops the mega-hairdryer: “WELCOME TO REAL LIFE!”  A rough one, but he will still have value – it certainly wasn’t all smoke and mirrors.
  • All I can say is, my bad on Mike Foltynewicz…  Everything looked like it was happening, and he F-bombed worse than his name.
  • Man, what a start from Mat Latos!  I was so mad I couldn’t stream him in any of my leagues where I was behind IP thinking he would be available, yet a lot of owners held on…  Oh well, I streamed Karns instead, it worked out.
  • I’m sure my continual low Chris Heston rank will get a little more flack this week – luckily he had yesterday’s clunker to keep me looking sane.  He didn’t even look that good against the Mets!  Did you see that strike zone?!  And they had two lefties – TWO!  He’s at .295 average against v. lefties, and .209 v. righties.  That kind of scary split is Shane Greene-esque.  No thank you (although he obviously had to go up some).
  • With Miguel Gonzalez getting hurt, I was pumped to move Kevin Gausman way up, but he’s struggled in rehab starts breeding some pessimism that he goes right into the rotation after recovering from shoulder issues.  I’m still cautiously optimistic.
  • I guess with how well he’s pitched, Jaime Garcia has to make the ranks if there’s some chance the planets have aligned and he stays healthy for 75% of the remaining season.

Thoughts on the ranks?  And what make you of The Wrath of Karns?  Shoot your thoughts below, and happy pitching Razzball Nation!

  1. Henry says:

    Hey JB! thanks for the post.

    Would you start Syndergaard in a weekly H2H? Really want his start @ATL but idk about starting him vs TOR.

    My opponent is punting saves, so has 11 starts this week. I have 10 if i start Thor, so I’m thinking maybe I just need to try to win era/whip and give up on K’s (he has kershaw, felix, and price)


    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Henry: Thanks for stopping by man! Ugh nah TOR is too hot right now. ERA WHIP almost scares me more than low K potential… Any time!

  2. TJ says:

    Any thoughts if Ervin Santana might hold any value when he gets back from his suspension? Is he worth stashing in an NA slot until then as a potential gamble, or would I be better served trying to find a minor leaguer to stash, like Daniel Norris, Matt Wisler, Henry Owens, Andrew Heaney or Jon Gray?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @TJ: Whoa, it’s like you read my mind! I have him in my list of 3-4 guys just out, and was thinking he’d be in by next week. Of those guys, def taking Santana for the NA spot for ya

  3. Wjessereid says:

    Never been balls deep in anything but females and warm apple pie.

    I’ll have to give craft beer a shot sometime.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Wjessereid: Hahahaha, can’t forget the hot dog with BBQ on it either :)

      • Wjessereid says:

        That hotdog sounded delicious.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:

          @Wjessereid: Hah I have to get one every Bulls game!

  4. Bob michaels says:

    12 team h2h have 2 open spots add any of these guys to your team McHugh, may, peavy, rubby de la Rosa, hutch, graveman, Joe ross, Morton or are these guys all streamers?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Bob michaels: McHugh is the closest to a hold due to upside, but fastball losing velo and hit rate is scary, I think all in the streaming class. I like McHugh/May though right now, especially if you can spot May a start tonight like I am in a few leagues

  5. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:

    Great one!

    Would love to hear your thoughts on (1) J. Zimm, (2) Richards, and (3) Thor. Any concerns with these guys?

    Zimm, amazingly, hit waivers in my home league (impatient owner, presumably), so I grabbed him up without much thought, assuming that he would give a meh k/9 with very strong ratios ROS.

    Richards I just snagged as a “buy low” in a 2:2 trade in my other league (received Blackmon + Richards, gave Moss + Rodon).


    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Thanks man! Least concern with Richards who had an unlucky inning and bounced back well. Thor I think it’s expected to see growing pains, so “concern” might not be the right word, kinda “expected” some issues. Zimmermann is throwing softer and getting fewer Ks, pretty concerned there, but def worth owning. Love those moves!

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:

        @JB Gilpin: Great to hear + thanks!

        Very pleased with that Blackmon/Richards trade…Rodon has been good but looks ready to implode when the BABIP takes hold.

        Unfortunately feel the same with Zimm but, as you said, I was more than happy to drop my streamer or speculative save RP for him!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:

          @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Yeah that trade was a monster. And yeah, as long as you’re not dropping anyone too important, I’d feel good with it too, way too panicky for someone to drop him haha

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:

            @JB Gilpin: same person dropped Vogt (for pierzinsky!!!!) same day! Not sure what that was all about, but was happy to take advantage.

  6. Dylan says:

    Favorite streamer for tomorrow or stay away?
    Wada vs cinncy $7.9
    Tillman vs philly $5.1
    Charlie Morton vs white sucks $4.5
    Happ @sf $3.9
    Roark @tb

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Dylan: Give me Morton there – pitching better, getting some Ks, and White Sux is def applicable haha. I actually like him a good bit

  7. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:

    I commend you for having dropped McHugh in the rankings that you did LAST WEEK. I totally agreed with it. At about the same time Fangraphs came out with ‘consensus rankings’ and they were all still pretty high on him. Myself, I chose to put a FAAB bid and ultimately claim McCullers (10 team league probably explains why he was still around a week ago) instead of McHugh, so here’s me patting myself on the back. Oh and count McCullers as another player you seemed to be ahead of the pack on, well done there too.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @RotoLance: Yeah man he’s falling way off for me. Nice work there! Thanks man! Yeah I think JFOH gave me some crap for having him in my ranks before his debut, but it’s looking nice now, just has to keep the control in check. Thanks again!

  8. Bb says:

    Mcullers or Chavez?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Bb: Whew, I had a moment where I was like “McCullers!” and thought I may not have had it ranked that way, but alas my ranks agree with my gut :)

  9. Dave says:

    Is McHugh droppable in 12 and 10 team if you want to stream his spot

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Dave: 10 definitely. 12er, maybe, but I likely wouldn’t quite yet

  10. Sherm says:

    JB, mi amigo. Let’s hear it from you: ROS Iwakuma Cain Ventura Ross Bucholz. Rank them. Thanks mucho, sir.

    • Cheese says:

      @Sherm: Or you could just use his rankings above???????

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:

        @Cheese: Hah yup that too!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Sherm: Yo! Gimme Ross, Buch, Ventura, Iwak, Cain without looking above. Buchholz vs. Ventura is the hardest one, I still think Ross bounces back

  11. Cheese says:

    When does Jordan Zimmermann take a big fall in the rankings? Nothing in his numbers are that exciting this year.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Cheese: Soonish. Has had some runs of being good though, obviously we can’t expect last year’s Ks, but I think he could be close to 2013 Zim again

  12. Five-On-One says:

    Hey JB – a couple of questions on pitchers not in your top 100.

    CC Sabathia – two starts next week, both at home, one vMIA, the other vPHI. With those matchups is he worth starting in a 12 teamer? Same question for RADickey. He is at home against the Mets and then at TB. I’ve already grabbed Hutchison (despite his last start) for his two starts (at home vMETS and @TB).

    I also have Fiers and McHugh making two starts. Fiers is @KC and at home vMETS. McHugh is @COL and @LAA. I think I have to sit McHugh. He has been brutal lately and @COL might be ugly. And I seem to sit Fiers for all his good starts. I am planning on starting him this week, so look out!

    Thanks for the help.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Five-On-One: Ohhhh yeah in a H2H or as a streamer, sure. He was #100 last week and just needed to make room, he’s still 100-110 for me. Ughhhh I just can’t ever trust Dickey, just no upside anymore.

      Yup, have to sit McHugh and I would likely sit Fiers too. Eesh, hope he can survive the Rockies!

      • Five-On-One says:

        @JB Gilpin: So, for this week only given the matchups specified in my first question, Sabathia and Hutchison over McHugh and Fiers? And leave Dickey on the wire?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:

          @Five-On-One: Yup that’s how I’d go!

  13. Birdis says:

    1. Overloaded on offense and will be even more overloaded once Soler and V-Mart come off the DL. Was thinking of offering up C. Davis for Wacha as a start. Good move or other thoughts to help with this dilemma?
    Yahoo H2H 1yr League (10 teams)
    Batter Stats: R, H, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, SLG
    Pitcher Stats: W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP, K/9, QS, HLD
    Roster: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OF, OF, OF, OF, OF, Util, SP, SP, SP, SP, RP, RP, RP, RP, P, BN, BN, BN, DL, DL

    C: S. Perez
    1B: Goldschmidt
    2B: Kipnis
    3B: Donaldson
    SS: Bogaerts
    CI: Rizzo
    MI: Wong
    OF: Cespedes
    OF: Pederson
    OF: Gonzalez
    OF: Myers
    OF: Dickerson
    UT: Bryant
    BN: C. Davis (1B, 3B), L. Martin (OF)
    DL: Soler, V. Martinez

    SP: Kluber, Arrieta, Gray, Pineda, Fiers, Garcia
    RP: Perkins, Rondon, Ramos, Joe Smith

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Birdis: Yeah that seems like a solid move! I like Wacha a lot, and even though Davis can fill in middle for you, so can Bryant

  14. Five-On-One says:

    One more question for you, sir. I rad that Strasberg is making a rehab start Wed. What does that mean for his estimated date to start for the Nats again. Zimm is the Nat’s starter Wed. Perhaps Zimm goes to the DL when Stras comes off? Your insight is welcome.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Five-On-One: Yup, means he could be back start after that I believe, which is right after 15 days up. Nah Zimmermann wouldn’t go to DL unless hurt, I think it’s Joe Ross shifts back out, even though he’s done well. Maybe Roark back to long relief

  15. Paul says:

    no love for gallardo?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Paul: Hah, as a Brewers fan, there’s just no way I could buy him in Texas, but did consider him along with teammate Colby Lewis, but it can go so so bad

  16. PED Inc. says:

    What do you think about Fister for the rest of season? When I look at last years stats he was a solid number 2 on a pitching staff but early this year he put up streamer numbers. With him coming of the DL this week and looking solid in his rehab starts what class would you put him in?
    As always thanks for all the hard work brother!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @PED Inc.: Wow, to be 100% honest I thought his flexor tendon would keep him out longer and didn’t see he was through rehab starts already. I’m leaning his peak is maybe 80ish on my list. Much, much, much better in pts since there’s just no Ks anymore, but roto with starts or innings limits he’s just unusable. Thanks man!

  17. Pouss-Pouss says:

    Getting Lester for Kemp is a no-brainer in any format, right?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Pouss-Pouss: Ummm, yeah probably, maybe not “no-brainer” but would certainly do it

  18. Bryce Krispie Treats says:

    Hey JB,

    Need a little advice here. Im definitely offense heavy here, but I try to beat my opponents by quantity in pitching… (5×5, 12 team). I lead the league in every offensive category, and I dont want to mess with that.

    Offense – Vogt, Goldy, Kendrick, Arenado, Correa, Harper, Marte, Polanco, Pujols, and Tomas

    Pitching – Cole, Price, Arrieta, Soria, AxMan, McCullers, Corrasco, Wood, Fiers, Hutchison, and a few streamers…

    I just traded Franco and Rodon for Arrieta (keeper league). Do you think I should wait it out with Wood, Fiers, and Hutchison? They are killing my ERA and WHIP. Also, any guys that I should pick up that you have your eye on?

    Thanks as always!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Bryce Krispie Treats: Whoaaaaaa, big move! I like both sides, def helps you a ton now, I think I like it! Hutch is def closer to those streamers for me. Interested in May pitching tonight, maybe Corbin if avail, also Aaron Sanchez looked good before this minor DL trip and in a keeper could be solid down the road, so much pure ability. Any time!

  19. The old Professor says:

    No Edinson Volquez in top. 100?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @The old Professor: Yeah he’s there, #70. Or was that like a “Nooooooooo!!!!! Edison Volquez is in your top 100!!!!!!!!” haha

  20. Jake Taylor says:


    Whats your take on Corbin for this year?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Jake Taylor: eesh, tough one. All I can go on is reports, but velo is there. Command, especially with the slider might be an issue. Right now he’s in the streamer class just due to risk, but I am holding him in all leagues I have a DL spot and crossing my fingers

  21. Scott says:

    Karns delivery is pretty boring. Not buying it.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Scott: Yeah, I mean keeping him at 82 isn’t like a ringing endorsement – a good matchups play for sure though

  22. Gonzo_The_Great says:

    JB the Wise,

    My pitching sucks this year. The absolute pits. I’ve got an injured Ivan Nova and an injured James Paxton sitting on my bench (with no spare DL spot to use to stash them). Either worth dropping to take a chance on Matz?

    • Bryce Krispie Treats says:

      @Gonzo_The_Great: id drop nova for matz if you have the room… very intriguing to me, esp. if they are willing to push syndergaard to the pen for him.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:

        @Gonzo_The_Great: Yes definitely! Nova is the drop for me too, but Paxton isn’t progressing quick at all.

        @Bryce Krispie Treats: Matz is interesting for sure, but I still don’t have him ranked for fear of the innings he gives ROS. It keeps sounding like it’ll be soon, but I don’t know if he sticks all year either to conserve innings

  23. Ante GALIC says:


    Great work, thanks so much as always!

    Have a good week, man!


    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Ante GALIC: Thanks so much man! Have a good week yourself!

  24. JT says:


    Your analysis has made me a beast the past 2 seasons! You are the MAN! Who has the most upside and chance of productivity the rest of the season…. Taijuan Walker or Noah Synngaard? Thanks! Look forward to your posts and podcasts

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @JT: Thanks so much man, really appreciate that! Whewwwwww good one. Both with monster upside and big downside, I’m leaning Walker now, I think we were still seeing some bumps post shoulder issues last year and he’s finding his groove. Any time, thanks for reading/listening!

  25. Funketown says:

    JB – 10 team keeper league. I was offered Felix Herandez (can’t keep) for my Joc Pederson (2oth round keeper spot) and Carson Smith (24th round) keeper. Is there anything wrong with Felix? should i stall for another start to make sure? Pederson will probably be the #1 keeper for next year considering his keeper/draft spot

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Funketown: Whoa, yeah 20th round is mad value. I think offense being tougher to get consistent than pitching (well, it’s almost evening out now) has me holding unless you’re in 1st or 2nd and going absolutely all-in for this year and are really struggling at pitcher

  26. roger roger says:

    Would you give up Braun (his thumb being what it is: a ticking time bomb) for someone in the deGrom, Lester, Richards range? (Aiming for higher, but not sure I’ll get it.)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @roger roger: Hmmm, deGrom is looking mad beatsly, but I would certainly try for me as you mention. deGrom is close though

  27. Eric B says:

    My man, just got back from the OBX (great trip with the Mrs. but it did cost me to miss out on Buxton; which I’m still crying about on the inside) logged on and saw the new rankings. I just saw your response on the May-B thread from last week, so that answers my question in regards to my addition of Lindor… appreciate it. Speaking of Lindor I added him instead of adding Gausman, wise choice based on my current roster and rumors that Gausman may go back to the pen afterall?

    Also what are your thoughts on my other two MI’s, Alexi and Semien. I’ve added Lindor to hopefully boost my OBP and R’s. Alexi has stole a few bases and Semien can play 2B/SS/3B so I’ve stuck with them both but each are struggling a bit. My question is do you think I should add Jace Peterson in one of their spots or hold tight? I’m worried he’s going to cool off and not offer much more than my current guys and I’m already going to face some tough decisions as is once Soler, Pax and Odorrizzi return from the DL. Hopefully I have enough pitching to stay competitive until I get them back.

    Here’s my roster:
    5×5 HTH OBP
    C McCann
    1B Freeman
    2B Kipnis
    3B Santana
    SS A.Ramirez
    OF Stanton
    OF Calhoun
    OF Springer
    OF Betts
    Util Pollock
    Util Semien
    Util Avisail Garcia
    Bench P.Alvarez
    Bench Lindor
    DL Soler

    P Kluber
    P Chavez
    P Cole
    P Salazar
    P T. Walker
    SP Ventura
    SP Bauer
    RP Chapman
    RP Britton
    Bench RP Perkins
    Bench RP Melancon
    Bench SP Velasquez
    DL Paxton
    DL Odorizzi

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:

      @Eric B: Hah well at least you didn’t miss his first hit! Awesome you got to go out there, I love Okracoke.

      Yeah I like the Lindor add, tougher potential to fill with a few less question marks hurting Gausman. I think I’d hold the MI you have, Alexei gets streaky on stretches and we’ve seen what Semien can do when hot.

      • Eric B says:

        @JB Gilpin: Yeah we were at mile post 16.5, right on the beach, the weather was spot on! As for my roster, that’s kinda what I was thinking too, must be that Carolina state of mind we share lol. Thanks for the feedback, really appreciate you taking the time to do these and answer all our questions!