How do you quantify the pure power of you, yes you, the loyal Razzball Nation commenter?

How about with an 82 ranking as if from nowhere!

I’ve actually seen Nate Karns pitch in AAA, and I remember not being too impressed…  Then again I was balls deep in craft beer and a footlong hot dog with BBQ and slaw on it, so there’s that…

I really haven’t seen too much of Karns this year, but what I have seen heading into yesterday’s start is a pretty good fastball with a solid knucke-curve.  Nothing “blow you away”, but enough to keep hitters honest.  And with a garbage-ish pool of pitchers to stream in a couple of leagues where I’m behind in my innings quota, Karns was my stream of choice against a struggling White Sox offense yesterday.  Boy was I happy with the result!  So I decided to go back and watch this start complete with all of the Pitcher Profile bells and whistles to see if there’s something a little deeper here than just a 10 or 12-team matchup streamer:

First Inning: Karns’ first pitch is a fastball high and outside to Adam Eaton, fastball in there on the inside corner, 1-1.  Another fastball is fouled off, but a hanging 1-2 curve that stayed in the zone is laced into right for a leadoff single.  No radar gun for either broadcast so far (FX on the player not showing it either), but Karns looks like he’s in his usual 91-92 range.  Fastball paints the inside corner on Alexei Ramirez, then another fastball is absolutely rocketed to left field, but Joey Butler is right there for the first out.  Both with very hard contact so far.  Hanging breaking ball is inside to Jose Abreu, fastball outside, breaking ball low, 3-0.  Karns then misses by a millimeter on the inside edge with a fastball and loses him on 4 pitches.  Not a great start.  Fastball way outside to Adam LaRoche, and this isn’t going too well, surprised he didn’t get a visit after that pitch.  Change-up barely gets the zone to even it up – might have been outside – fastball with some cutter-movement backdooring the outside is slashed foul 1-2, then Karns paints the outside corner with a perfect fastball to get LaRoche looking for a big K.  Two outs, and Avisail Garcia takes a first-pitch knuckle-curve for strike one that is Karns’ best pitch so far:

Karns-curveball-1

Maybe getting a little confidence after the big K. although Garcia is 2-3 with 2 homers vs. Karns before this start.  Then knuckle-curve goes straight down instead of sweeping across and gets a big swing-and-miss, 1-2:

Karns-curveball-2

Wow, great ability to change the movement on the knuckle-curve.  Then another curveball that stayed in the zone is flared to right, and it’s caught for an easy out to get Karns out of the inning.  Just looked like a different pitcher after striking out LaRoche.

Second Inning: Melky Cabrera takes a first pitch fastball in there for strike one, then a hanging change-up is laced to third, but Evan Longoria makes the pick and gets him out.  Another loud out though…  Gordon Beckham takes strike one, fastball is outside, another heater fouled back, fastball way upstairs taken, elevated heater again gets Beckham reaching to foul it off, Beckham lays off the curveball dipping low, then a fastball on the hands doesn’t tie him up and Beckham gets his hands around on it for a double down the left field line.  The Rays broadcast and I agree – amazing at bat right there from Beckham.  Karns is outside to Carlos Sanchez, fastball blows him away, then another fastball is barely past Jake Elmore at first diving for it and through second base for a single, Beckham is able to score but Sanchez is cut down at second.  A little bit of a lucky RBI, but at least Karns gets the out for the bases clear.  Curveball gets strike one on Tyler Flowers, another curveball stays on the inside edge, but Flowers can only top it to third for an easy groundout, inning over.

Third Inning: Change-up is taken for strike one by Eaton as we return to the top, inside fastball eats him up for a flare foul, outside change-up gets him reaching fouling it off, still 0-2.  Fastball high and outside, fastball fouled off, curve is low, then a nice 2-2 change-up gets Eaton out in front for his 2nd K.  Replay shows that nice circle-change grip.  Karns then goes right after Alexei with a curveball in the zone that’s swung over and missed, curve again skips low, change-up gets a big swing over top it for a whiff, change-up is working wonders right now.  Then a high fastball doesn’t quite get high enough, and Ramirez flares it into no man’s land for a bloop single.  Unlucky stuff there, but the off-speed was working so good that at bat I’m surprised he went to a fastball.  Abreu takes ball one, fastball gets a big swing but it’s fouled off, fastball is low and Alexei steals second.  2-1 high curveball drops into the zone, curve is barely tipped foul, fastball low, then a change-up on the hands absolutely eats him up for a routine grounder to third for a huge out.  Surprised to see a change there for a big 3-2 pitch righty-to-righty.  Fastball gets strike one looking on LaRoche, big curveball gets swung over top, change-up is tipped foul, then the 0-2 fastball maybe just off the plate is cut on late for a huge strikeout to get through the inning:

Karns-fastball

Fourth Inning: Karns opens the 4th with a fastball way high to Garcia, curveball is tipped foul, fastball inside eats him up for another tip foul, then Karns climbs the ladder with a heater for a reaching, waving swing for the first out.  Fastball fouled off by Cabrera, curveball in the dirt, fastball high, then I think a hanging change-up on the outside corner is slashed to left for a single.  Cabrera slashed the last one too, really waiting back and swinging hard.  Then whoa, a curveball that went about only 50 feet is spiked and gets to the backstop for a wild pitch.  As in – wildest you’ll see.  So runner at second and a fastball paints the outside corner on Beckham 1-1, fastball on the hands popped foul, then again heater on the hands absolutely ties him up for another K.  Change is outside to Sanchez, fastball in there, then change-up that looked outside gets the call, 1-2.  Karns has been getting a pretty nice zone today.  And why not stay out there?  Outside fastball likely another strike is cut on late and missed, and Karns gets around a single to strike out the side.

Fifth Inning: Fastball in there to Flowers for strike one is Karns’ 70th pitch, curveball tapped foul, curveball barely missed and barely has Flowers holding up 1-2, then a high fastball I thought had Flowers offering but he barely holds up again, curve hit foul, fastball an inch or two low, then a 3-2 fastball gets Flowers swinging with the bat flying into the stands for Karns’ third straight K.  Good to see the fans OK with the bat flying in there with what happened last week.  Eaton fouls the first one off, change low, perfect change-up gets Eaton to swing over it 1-2, then a fastball on the outside edge is pounded into the gap for a single.  It wasn’t hit too hard, but made it through.  Fastball somehow misses the outside corner to Alexei as the strike zone seems to be off-center with a big outside edge to lefties, but tiny on righties.  Fastball just low, 2-0, curveball sweeps into the zone, fastball painting the outside edge is barely low again, 3-1.  Fastball again is roped the other way just foul by 5-6 feet down the right field line, then the payoff pitch is fouled off his foot, one more time is a fastball hit very hard to second, Eaton was running so he is safe easily to only get the one out at first.  Big at bat here with Abreu with a man in scoring position and a curve is high, curve sweeps outside, curve gets the zone 2-1, then another change-up I think – maybe a hanging curve – on the inside edge absolutely saws Abreu off for a flare caught at first to end the inning.

Sixth Inning: At 91 pitches, Karns is outside to LaRoche, curveball gets a big swing over the top it 1-1, then maybe his best change-up on the day gets LaRoche way in front, 1-2:

Karns-changeup

Then a fastball paints the low outside corner for a nasty K.  Awesome stuff there.  Then Garcia chops the first pitch curveball to third for a quick second out.  Whoa, a curveball hanging outside somehow gets strike one on Cabrera, seeing that big zone again, then a hanging curve staying in the zone is flared to left, Joey Butler lays out for it on the line but it gets past him for a bloop double.  A better outfielder makes that play though, and really should’ve been limited to a single either way.  So runner at second, two outs, and a heater is in there to Beckham, heater looked good again but is called low 1-1, interesting pitch dips low 2-1, that looked like a slider or cutter – different movement there – maybe just a curveball that was a little odd.  Hanging curve is high, fastball gets a very late swing and is tipped back, and the payoff pitch is a curveball on the inside edge that is dribbled to third, and Longo makes the play to get Karns out of the inning.  And Karns exits down 1-0 so he gets the no decision, but pitched a hell of a game.

Final Line:  ND  6.0 IP  104 Pitches (70 Strikes)  1 ER  7 Hits  1 Walk  8 K  Gamescore: 61  Gamescore+: 65.2

Final Analysis: Pretty surprising start when I broke it down, as I watched the first inning and Karns had a few loud outs to open it up, but he really looked sharp from there on out.  I’m a little surprised his Gamescore+ came out so much higher than his Gamescore with some “lucky” outs and mostly hard contact hits, but with the big Ks and the fact he only went 6 deep (Gamescore adds additional points for later innings pitched) makes the disparity explainable.

It was really annoying not having the radar gun this game, but Fangraphs has his fastball averaging 91.5 MPH on the season and that seemed about right.  Fastball command was on point in this start, with really none of them left in the heart of the zone.  The big off-speed offering is the kunckle-curve that Karns can both sweep laterally and drop vertically as seen in those first two GIFs.  But I was really surprised with the change-up, which Fangraphs lists as only used 8.4% of the time on the season.  It was keeping lefties off-balance all afternoon with a great off-speed action.  Easily the biggest positive I took out of this start.

While Karns’ line was solid, this was a dream matchup against a bumpy White Sox offense at home in the Trop.  And of the hits he allowed, five were to lefties with only two hits against from righties.  So far his splits aren’t too scary with some really low BAA (.234 v. L .210 v. R), but even with that solid change-up it seemed lefties could spot the ball better.  I should note though, that on the year lefties have a much higher BABIP (.337 before yesterday) then righties (.195), so maybe my concern is unwarranted (small sample still applies though).  It also helped the strike zone had a huge outside corner on lefties all afternoon.  It was consistent, but certainly to Karns’ advantage.

I think Karns is solid, but I’m not leaping him up into the upper edge of streamers/must-own in deepers.  Love the home park and will like him against righty-heavy line-ups, but I worry some clunkers could be ahead if that change-up isn’t working for him.  His next outing at Cleveland with their solid lefties is likely a start I’ll avoid.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings for ROS based on 12-team Roto, green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, Team
1 Clayton Kershaw, LAD
2 Max Scherzer, WAS
3 Chris Sale, CWS
4 Felix Hernandez, SEA
5 Corey Kluber, CLE
6 Madison Bumgarner, SF
7 David Price, DET
8 Johnny Cueto, CIN
9 Gerrit Cole, PIT
10 Zack Greinke, LAD
11 Cole Hamels, PHI
12 Matt Harvey, NYM
13 Chris Archer, TB
14 Jake Arrieta, CHC
15 Sonny Gray, OAK
16 Jacob deGrom, NYM
17 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
18 Jon Lester, CHC
19 James Shields, SD
20 Michael Pineda, NYY
21 Garrett Richards, LAA
22 Danny Salazar, CLE
23 Dallas Keuchel, HOU
24 Francisco Liriano, PIT
25 Michael Wacha, STL
26 Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
27 Jordan Zimmermann, WAS
28 Jeff Samardzija, CWS
29 Stephen Strasburg, WAS
30 Jose Fernandez, MIA
31 Jason Hammel, CHC
32 Carlos Martinez, STL
33 Tyson Ross, SD
34 Trevor Bauer, CLE
35 Andrew Cashner, SD
36 Alex Wood, ATL
37 Gio Gonzalez, WAS
38 A.J. Burnett, PIT
39 Scott Kazmir, OAK
40 Lance McCullers, HOU
41 Taijuan Walker, SEA
42 Clay Buchholz, BOS
43 Jose Quintana, CWS
44 Shelby Miller, ATL
45 Jesse Chavez, OAK
46 Noah Syndergaard, NYM
47 Vincent Velasquez, HOU
48 Mike Fiers, MIL
49 Collin McHugh, HOU
50 John Lackey, STL
51 Carlos Rodon, CWS
52 Julio Teheran, ATL
53 Yordano Ventura, KC
54 Kyle Hendricks, CHC
55 Jake Odorizzi, TB
56 Drew Hutchison, TOR
57 Chase Anderson, ARI
58 Jesse Hahn, OAK
59 Mat Latos, MIA
60 Trevor May, MIN
61 Justin Verlander, DET
62 Rubby De La Rosa, ARI
63 Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS
64 Patrick Corbin, ARI
65 Jimmy Nelson, MIL
66 Mike Foltynewicz, ATL
67 Aaron Harang, PHI
68 Jered Weaver, LAA
69 Rick Porcello, BOS
70 Edinson Volquez, KC
71 Phil Hughes, MIN
72 J.A. Happ, SEA
73 Kevin Gausman, BAL
74 Ian Kennedy, SD
75 Wei-Yin Chen, BAL
76 Alfredo Simon, DET
77 Ubaldo Jimenez, BAL
78 Chris Heston, SF
79 Lance Lynn, STL
80 Matt Shoemaker, LAA
81 Bartolo Colon, NYM
82 Nate Karns, TB
83 Anibal Sanchez, DET
84 Dan Haren, MIA
85 Jaime Garcia, STL
86 Jake Peavy, SF
87 Nathan Eovaldi, NYY
88 Tim Lincecum, SF
89 C.J. Wilson, LAA
90 Hector Santiago, LAA
91 Mike Leake, CIN
92 Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA
93 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
94 Matt Moore, TB
95 Danny Duffy, KC
96 Mike Bolsinger, LAD
97 Kyle Gibson, MIN
98 Chi Chi Gonzalez, TEX
99 Michael Montgomery, SEA
100 Charlie Morton, PIT

Dropped Out: James Paxton, SEA (making no progress with his finger injury), Miguel Gonzalez, BAL (DL – groin), Tim Hudson, SF (meh, hovered in the 90s all year; nothing inspiring), CC Sabathia, NYY (was #100 last week, had to move him out for new blood)

  • As we discussed on the Podcast, the move of Felix Hernandez from 2 to 4 isn’t any sort of panic, but man those top 3 have been so, so good the past month…
  • Big callup for Vincent Velasquez, who had a few too many walks in his debut, but might’ve been jitters which you’d expect.  I didn’t think I’d have him top 50 at first, but it gets scrubby pretty quick out of the 30s.
  • So to address Eduardo Rodriguez, I picture the scene from Spaceballs when Lone Star and crew are walking across the desert and he drops the mega-hairdryer: “WELCOME TO REAL LIFE!”  A rough one, but he will still have value – it certainly wasn’t all smoke and mirrors.
  • All I can say is, my bad on Mike Foltynewicz…  Everything looked like it was happening, and he F-bombed worse than his name.
  • Man, what a start from Mat Latos!  I was so mad I couldn’t stream him in any of my leagues where I was behind IP thinking he would be available, yet a lot of owners held on…  Oh well, I streamed Karns instead, it worked out.
  • I’m sure my continual low Chris Heston rank will get a little more flack this week – luckily he had yesterday’s clunker to keep me looking sane.  He didn’t even look that good against the Mets!  Did you see that strike zone?!  And they had two lefties – TWO!  He’s at .295 average against v. lefties, and .209 v. righties.  That kind of scary split is Shane Greene-esque.  No thank you (although he obviously had to go up some).
  • With Miguel Gonzalez getting hurt, I was pumped to move Kevin Gausman way up, but he’s struggled in rehab starts breeding some pessimism that he goes right into the rotation after recovering from shoulder issues.  I’m still cautiously optimistic.
  • I guess with how well he’s pitched, Jaime Garcia has to make the ranks if there’s some chance the planets have aligned and he stays healthy for 75% of the remaining season.

Thoughts on the ranks?  And what make you of The Wrath of Karns?  Shoot your thoughts below, and happy pitching Razzball Nation!

 
  1. Henry says:
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    Hey JB! thanks for the post.

    Would you start Syndergaard in a weekly H2H? Really want his start @ATL but idk about starting him vs TOR.

    My opponent is punting saves, so has 11 starts this week. I have 10 if i start Thor, so I’m thinking maybe I just need to try to win era/whip and give up on K’s (he has kershaw, felix, and price)

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Henry: Thanks for stopping by man! Ugh nah TOR is too hot right now. ERA WHIP almost scares me more than low K potential… Any time!

  2. TJ says:
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    Any thoughts if Ervin Santana might hold any value when he gets back from his suspension? Is he worth stashing in an NA slot until then as a potential gamble, or would I be better served trying to find a minor leaguer to stash, like Daniel Norris, Matt Wisler, Henry Owens, Andrew Heaney or Jon Gray?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @TJ: Whoa, it’s like you read my mind! I have him in my list of 3-4 guys just out, and was thinking he’d be in by next week. Of those guys, def taking Santana for the NA spot for ya

  3. Wjessereid says:
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    Never been balls deep in anything but females and warm apple pie.

    I’ll have to give craft beer a shot sometime.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Wjessereid: Hahahaha, can’t forget the hot dog with BBQ on it either :)

      • Wjessereid says:
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        That hotdog sounded delicious.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Wjessereid: Hah I have to get one every Bulls game!

  4. Bob michaels says:
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    12 team h2h have 2 open spots add any of these guys to your team McHugh, may, peavy, rubby de la Rosa, hutch, graveman, Joe ross, Morton or are these guys all streamers?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Bob michaels: McHugh is the closest to a hold due to upside, but fastball losing velo and hit rate is scary, I think all in the streaming class. I like McHugh/May though right now, especially if you can spot May a start tonight like I am in a few leagues

  5. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Great one!

    Would love to hear your thoughts on (1) J. Zimm, (2) Richards, and (3) Thor. Any concerns with these guys?

    Zimm, amazingly, hit waivers in my home league (impatient owner, presumably), so I grabbed him up without much thought, assuming that he would give a meh k/9 with very strong ratios ROS.

    Richards I just snagged as a “buy low” in a 2:2 trade in my other league (received Blackmon + Richards, gave Moss + Rodon).

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Thanks man! Least concern with Richards who had an unlucky inning and bounced back well. Thor I think it’s expected to see growing pains, so “concern” might not be the right word, kinda “expected” some issues. Zimmermann is throwing softer and getting fewer Ks, pretty concerned there, but def worth owning. Love those moves!

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Great to hear + thanks!

        Very pleased with that Blackmon/Richards trade…Rodon has been good but looks ready to implode when the BABIP takes hold.

        Unfortunately feel the same with Zimm but, as you said, I was more than happy to drop my streamer or speculative save RP for him!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Yeah that trade was a monster. And yeah, as long as you’re not dropping anyone too important, I’d feel good with it too, way too panicky for someone to drop him haha

          • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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            @JB Gilpin: same person dropped Vogt (for pierzinsky!!!!) same day! Not sure what that was all about, but was happy to take advantage.

  6. Dylan says:
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    Favorite streamer for tomorrow or stay away?
    Wada vs cinncy $7.9
    Tillman vs philly $5.1
    Charlie Morton vs white sucks $4.5
    Happ @sf $3.9
    Roark @tb

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Dylan: Give me Morton there – pitching better, getting some Ks, and White Sux is def applicable haha. I actually like him a good bit

  7. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:
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    I commend you for having dropped McHugh in the rankings that you did LAST WEEK. I totally agreed with it. At about the same time Fangraphs came out with ‘consensus rankings’ and they were all still pretty high on him. Myself, I chose to put a FAAB bid and ultimately claim McCullers (10 team league probably explains why he was still around a week ago) instead of McHugh, so here’s me patting myself on the back. Oh and count McCullers as another player you seemed to be ahead of the pack on, well done there too.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @RotoLance: Yeah man he’s falling way off for me. Nice work there! Thanks man! Yeah I think JFOH gave me some crap for having him in my ranks before his debut, but it’s looking nice now, just has to keep the control in check. Thanks again!

  8. Bb says:
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    Mcullers or Chavez?
    Ros

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Bb: Whew, I had a moment where I was like “McCullers!” and thought I may not have had it ranked that way, but alas my ranks agree with my gut :)

  9. Dave says:
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    Is McHugh droppable in 12 and 10 team if you want to stream his spot

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Dave: 10 definitely. 12er, maybe, but I likely wouldn’t quite yet

  10. Sherm says:
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    JB, mi amigo. Let’s hear it from you: ROS Iwakuma Cain Ventura Ross Bucholz. Rank them. Thanks mucho, sir.

    • Cheese says:
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      @Sherm: Or you could just use his rankings above???????

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Cheese: Hah yup that too!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Sherm: Yo! Gimme Ross, Buch, Ventura, Iwak, Cain without looking above. Buchholz vs. Ventura is the hardest one, I still think Ross bounces back

  11. Cheese says:
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    When does Jordan Zimmermann take a big fall in the rankings? Nothing in his numbers are that exciting this year.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Cheese: Soonish. Has had some runs of being good though, obviously we can’t expect last year’s Ks, but I think he could be close to 2013 Zim again

  12. Five-On-One says:
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    Hey JB – a couple of questions on pitchers not in your top 100.

    CC Sabathia – two starts next week, both at home, one vMIA, the other vPHI. With those matchups is he worth starting in a 12 teamer? Same question for RADickey. He is at home against the Mets and then at TB. I’ve already grabbed Hutchison (despite his last start) for his two starts (at home vMETS and @TB).

    I also have Fiers and McHugh making two starts. Fiers is @KC and at home vMETS. McHugh is @COL and @LAA. I think I have to sit McHugh. He has been brutal lately and @COL might be ugly. And I seem to sit Fiers for all his good starts. I am planning on starting him this week, so look out!

    Thanks for the help.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Five-On-One: Ohhhh yeah in a H2H or as a streamer, sure. He was #100 last week and just needed to make room, he’s still 100-110 for me. Ughhhh I just can’t ever trust Dickey, just no upside anymore.

      Yup, have to sit McHugh and I would likely sit Fiers too. Eesh, hope he can survive the Rockies!

      • Five-On-One says:
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        @JB Gilpin: So, for this week only given the matchups specified in my first question, Sabathia and Hutchison over McHugh and Fiers? And leave Dickey on the wire?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Five-On-One: Yup that’s how I’d go!

  13. Birdis says:
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    1. Overloaded on offense and will be even more overloaded once Soler and V-Mart come off the DL. Was thinking of offering up C. Davis for Wacha as a start. Good move or other thoughts to help with this dilemma?
    _________________
    Yahoo H2H 1yr League (10 teams)
    Batter Stats: R, H, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, SLG
    Pitcher Stats: W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP, K/9, QS, HLD
    Roster: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OF, OF, OF, OF, OF, Util, SP, SP, SP, SP, RP, RP, RP, RP, P, BN, BN, BN, DL, DL

    C: S. Perez
    1B: Goldschmidt
    2B: Kipnis
    3B: Donaldson
    SS: Bogaerts
    CI: Rizzo
    MI: Wong
    OF: Cespedes
    OF: Pederson
    OF: Gonzalez
    OF: Myers
    OF: Dickerson
    UT: Bryant
    BN: C. Davis (1B, 3B), L. Martin (OF)
    DL: Soler, V. Martinez

    SP: Kluber, Arrieta, Gray, Pineda, Fiers, Garcia
    RP: Perkins, Rondon, Ramos, Joe Smith

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Birdis: Yeah that seems like a solid move! I like Wacha a lot, and even though Davis can fill in middle for you, so can Bryant

  14. Five-On-One says:
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    One more question for you, sir. I rad that Strasberg is making a rehab start Wed. What does that mean for his estimated date to start for the Nats again. Zimm is the Nat’s starter Wed. Perhaps Zimm goes to the DL when Stras comes off? Your insight is welcome.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Five-On-One: Yup, means he could be back start after that I believe, which is right after 15 days up. Nah Zimmermann wouldn’t go to DL unless hurt, I think it’s Joe Ross shifts back out, even though he’s done well. Maybe Roark back to long relief

  15. Paul says:
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    no love for gallardo?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Paul: Hah, as a Brewers fan, there’s just no way I could buy him in Texas, but did consider him along with teammate Colby Lewis, but it can go so so bad

  16. PED Inc. says:
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    What do you think about Fister for the rest of season? When I look at last years stats he was a solid number 2 on a pitching staff but early this year he put up streamer numbers. With him coming of the DL this week and looking solid in his rehab starts what class would you put him in?
    As always thanks for all the hard work brother!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @PED Inc.: Wow, to be 100% honest I thought his flexor tendon would keep him out longer and didn’t see he was through rehab starts already. I’m leaning his peak is maybe 80ish on my list. Much, much, much better in pts since there’s just no Ks anymore, but roto with starts or innings limits he’s just unusable. Thanks man!

  17. Pouss-Pouss says:
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    Getting Lester for Kemp is a no-brainer in any format, right?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Pouss-Pouss: Ummm, yeah probably, maybe not “no-brainer” but would certainly do it

  18. Bryce Krispie Treats says:
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    Hey JB,

    Need a little advice here. Im definitely offense heavy here, but I try to beat my opponents by quantity in pitching… (5×5, 12 team). I lead the league in every offensive category, and I dont want to mess with that.

    Offense – Vogt, Goldy, Kendrick, Arenado, Correa, Harper, Marte, Polanco, Pujols, and Tomas

    Pitching – Cole, Price, Arrieta, Soria, AxMan, McCullers, Corrasco, Wood, Fiers, Hutchison, and a few streamers…

    I just traded Franco and Rodon for Arrieta (keeper league). Do you think I should wait it out with Wood, Fiers, and Hutchison? They are killing my ERA and WHIP. Also, any guys that I should pick up that you have your eye on?

    Thanks as always!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bryce Krispie Treats: Whoaaaaaa, big move! I like both sides, def helps you a ton now, I think I like it! Hutch is def closer to those streamers for me. Interested in May pitching tonight, maybe Corbin if avail, also Aaron Sanchez looked good before this minor DL trip and in a keeper could be solid down the road, so much pure ability. Any time!

  19. The old Professor says:
    (link)

    No Edinson Volquez in top. 100?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @The old Professor: Yeah he’s there, #70. Or was that like a “Nooooooooo!!!!! Edison Volquez is in your top 100!!!!!!!!” haha

  20. Jake Taylor says:
    (link)

    JB

    Whats your take on Corbin for this year?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jake Taylor: eesh, tough one. All I can go on is reports, but velo is there. Command, especially with the slider might be an issue. Right now he’s in the streamer class just due to risk, but I am holding him in all leagues I have a DL spot and crossing my fingers

  21. Scott says:
    (link)

    Karns delivery is pretty boring. Not buying it.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Yeah, I mean keeping him at 82 isn’t like a ringing endorsement – a good matchups play for sure though

  22. Gonzo_The_Great says:
    (link)

    JB the Wise,

    My pitching sucks this year. The absolute pits. I’ve got an injured Ivan Nova and an injured James Paxton sitting on my bench (with no spare DL spot to use to stash them). Either worth dropping to take a chance on Matz?

    • Bryce Krispie Treats says:
      (link)

      @Gonzo_The_Great: id drop nova for matz if you have the room… very intriguing to me, esp. if they are willing to push syndergaard to the pen for him.

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Gonzo_The_Great: Yes definitely! Nova is the drop for me too, but Paxton isn’t progressing quick at all.

        @Bryce Krispie Treats: Matz is interesting for sure, but I still don’t have him ranked for fear of the innings he gives ROS. It keeps sounding like it’ll be soon, but I don’t know if he sticks all year either to conserve innings

  23. Ante GALIC says:
    (link)

    JB!!!

    Great work, thanks so much as always!

    Have a good week, man!

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ante GALIC: Thanks so much man! Have a good week yourself!

  24. JT says:
    (link)

    JB

    Your analysis has made me a beast the past 2 seasons! You are the MAN! Who has the most upside and chance of productivity the rest of the season…. Taijuan Walker or Noah Synngaard? Thanks! Look forward to your posts and podcasts

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @JT: Thanks so much man, really appreciate that! Whewwwwww good one. Both with monster upside and big downside, I’m leaning Walker now, I think we were still seeing some bumps post shoulder issues last year and he’s finding his groove. Any time, thanks for reading/listening!

  25. Funketown says:
    (link)

    JB – 10 team keeper league. I was offered Felix Herandez (can’t keep) for my Joc Pederson (2oth round keeper spot) and Carson Smith (24th round) keeper. Is there anything wrong with Felix? should i stall for another start to make sure? Pederson will probably be the #1 keeper for next year considering his keeper/draft spot

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Funketown: Whoa, yeah 20th round is mad value. I think offense being tougher to get consistent than pitching (well, it’s almost evening out now) has me holding unless you’re in 1st or 2nd and going absolutely all-in for this year and are really struggling at pitcher

  26. roger roger says:
    (link)

    Would you give up Braun (his thumb being what it is: a ticking time bomb) for someone in the deGrom, Lester, Richards range? (Aiming for higher, but not sure I’ll get it.)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @roger roger: Hmmm, deGrom is looking mad beatsly, but I would certainly try for me as you mention. deGrom is close though

  27. Eric B says:
    (link)

    My man, just got back from the OBX (great trip with the Mrs. but it did cost me to miss out on Buxton; which I’m still crying about on the inside) logged on and saw the new rankings. I just saw your response on the May-B thread from last week, so that answers my question in regards to my addition of Lindor… appreciate it. Speaking of Lindor I added him instead of adding Gausman, wise choice based on my current roster and rumors that Gausman may go back to the pen afterall?

    Also what are your thoughts on my other two MI’s, Alexi and Semien. I’ve added Lindor to hopefully boost my OBP and R’s. Alexi has stole a few bases and Semien can play 2B/SS/3B so I’ve stuck with them both but each are struggling a bit. My question is do you think I should add Jace Peterson in one of their spots or hold tight? I’m worried he’s going to cool off and not offer much more than my current guys and I’m already going to face some tough decisions as is once Soler, Pax and Odorrizzi return from the DL. Hopefully I have enough pitching to stay competitive until I get them back.

    Here’s my roster:
    5×5 HTH OBP
    Bats
    C McCann
    1B Freeman
    2B Kipnis
    3B Santana
    SS A.Ramirez
    OF Stanton
    OF Calhoun
    OF Springer
    OF Betts
    Util Pollock
    Util Semien
    Util Avisail Garcia
    Bench P.Alvarez
    Bench Lindor
    DL Soler

    Staff
    P Kluber
    P Chavez
    P Cole
    P Salazar
    P T. Walker
    SP Ventura
    SP Bauer
    RP Chapman
    RP Britton
    Bench RP Perkins
    Bench RP Melancon
    Bench SP Velasquez
    DL Paxton
    DL Odorizzi

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Eric B: Hah well at least you didn’t miss his first hit! Awesome you got to go out there, I love Okracoke.

      Yeah I like the Lindor add, tougher potential to fill with a few less question marks hurting Gausman. I think I’d hold the MI you have, Alexei gets streaky on stretches and we’ve seen what Semien can do when hot.

      • Eric B says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Yeah we were at mile post 16.5, right on the beach, the weather was spot on! As for my roster, that’s kinda what I was thinking too, must be that Carolina state of mind we share lol. Thanks for the feedback, really appreciate you taking the time to do these and answer all our questions!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Eric B: Love doin em man, love talking baseball all day! Thanks for stoppin by!

          • Eric B says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin: Think there’s any upside with Robbie Ray or Erasmo? I know they arent ranked but theyve been pitching well.

            • Eric B says:
              (link)

              @Eric B: Also any concern with Vinny V, nice to see the K’s and less walks but he got roughed up a bit…

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
                (link)

                @Eric B: Yeah both are close, thing with Ray is how much staying power he has when/if Bradley comes back. Love the power lefty stuff though. Erasmo seems to be changing which is intriguing – throwing a lot less of his sinker. Both are def inching close.

                Nah, not too worried for Vinny, still young and will have some bumps but looking forward to a 2nd half run

                • Eric B says:
                  (link)

                  @JB Gilpin: Thanks man, just like to have some contingencies should Ventura not bouce back healthy or any other arms falter. As for Vinny, he’s definitely worth riding and seeing how he progresses, I like Vinny V, especially with Odorrizzi and Pax on the DL.

                  • Eric B says:
                    (link)

                    @Eric B: OMT(ha imagine that)I dropped Pedro Alvarez to add Schwarber before heading out to work yesterday. Then later in the day I found out he’s likely only up for a week. Now the guy has been outperforming Bryants #’s in double A so I thought he was a smart add but maybe not so much if he’s only up a week.Alvarez hasnt been very hot lately and is sitting against lefties quite often so I’m not sure he’s a huge loss. Which brings me to my actual question, would you hold Schwarber or should I add Gausman before Saturday(when he’s rumored to be in line to possibly start and throw 80-85 pitches).Just curious to see how you’d handle it with my roster(listed above). I could keep Schwarber, I could drop him for Gausman, or I could drop him for a stash of Olivera. The real problem is I’ll have to create 3 spots for Soler, Odorrizzi and K-Pax so I’m not sure that I wont have to drop one or more of my MI’s and get creative regardless of who I add.

                    • JB Gilpin

                      JB Gilpin says:
                      (link)

                      @Eric B: Yup me still like VV too.

                      Hah, well I hope you played Schwarbs today! I sure did in a league! haha.

                      Eesh issue with Gausman is they sent Wei-Yin down for a game just so TOR wouldn’t get a lefty, so Gausman could be short lived. I’m not sure if that’s how it all coincided, but seemed like it. I think Olivera is out for this year. Paxton sounds like he’ll be a while. I think I’d hold Schwarber for now, I don’t think I’d risk starting Gausman vs. TOR plus he might not stick

  28. Db says:
    (link)

    If may pitches a gem tonight is he a must add 12 team league

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Db: Oh for sure. I’m already scooping him up where I can for tonight, i think he does well

  29. Mike says:
    (link)

    Do you like hutch start against the mets $15.7

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Mike: Yeah I do, they can’t touch righties and I think hutch bounces back

  30. Jerry says:
    (link)

    Hey, JB………………..Buch, Chavez, Latos, or Santiago for ros? Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jerry: I’m glad you asked because I don’t have it ranked this way, in retrospect to doing the ranks yesterday I’m bigger than I thought on Latos. He’s my guy for ya. Any time!

  31. PED Inc. says:
    (link)

    Who do you like better this week better in a h2h points league…

    Quintana @ Pitt and vs. Texas
    Or
    Velasquez vs. Col and @ Sea
    Or
    Rodon @ Pitt and vs. Texas

    • PED Inc. says:
      (link)

      @PED Inc.: would you start any of these over a one start Girenke at home vs. Texas?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @PED Inc.: Ummmm I think I like Velasquez the most, and I think I probably would over Greinke, as weird as that sounds, but I always lean on 2 start guys in H2H Pts

  32. jay says:
    (link)

    Drop karns or happ to pick up j nelson, w chen or gausman? All are ranked in the same area so just curious since nelson is trending down and gausman got a huge bump.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @jay: I think I’d lose Karns to get Gausman for the upside. Just don’t trust Nelson, but he is still healthy and I think can be OK which is why he gets the decent rank

  33. longbeachyo says:
    (link)

    Yo! JB! Wow. What’s the deal with Velasquez? Is he really that good? He’s available in both my leagues. Obviously I’m more inclined to get him in my keeper league. Undrafted he would be a one dollar keeper! Would you drop anyone lower on your list for him? I have hutch, garcia, rubby and bettis… Hey, speaking of bettis. Why don’t you have him ranked? Usually I steer clear of rockies pitchers, but his above average peripherals have me thinking positive. Do hutch, bettis and Velasquez have innings limits I need to worry about?

    Also, who would you start instead of Syndergaard (vs tor & atl) this week? Hutch vs nym, rubby vs sd or lance vs sea?

    Thanks man! This really is the best stuff on Razzball. You should be writing for fangraphs! Grey needs to pay you more money. Or fire Tehol and give you his money! Or at least give you some of his mustache whiskers…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @longbeachyo: Yo dude! Yeah man, uber prospect, great stuff, def losing Bettis for him. Yeah it’s the at home thing for me, if you have the roster space to play him only on the road I think he’s fine. But I def like vinny V more.

      I think IP wise, Vinny V is the only worrisome one. I think the others go the full way if healthy.

      Nah Syndergaard is scaring me a little, of those options I like Lance the best.

      Hah thanks so much man! I love Fangraphs, but I like my home right here where I get creative freedom and a lot more feedback from you great readers :) All for firing Tehol though :)

      • longbeachyo says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: SYNDERGAARD! I benched him in one league but started him in another…

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @longbeachyo: Whoa, yeah anyone starting him vs. TOR has got to feel lucky after that one!

  34. Tom says:
    (link)

    Roster crunch. Pick 2 of the following 4 pitchers (2 of whom are on the DL) to keep on my redraft H2H roster. I have a huge lead so September playoff schedule becomes important and is one of the reasons why I don’t just go by your ranks:

    Lynn – you have him at 77 but maybe that was before today’s news that it sounds like he’ll stay on the DL for the minimum. But with this flair up there are still health questions. He also has by far best H2H playoff schedule.

    Iwakuma – back a little later than Lynn but wondering if the health risk is less since it’s a lat. Has the worst playoff schedule.

    T. Ross – is a very good pitcher with a HORRIBLE defense that might keep his numbers average all year. I really disagree with having him 32 on your ranks. You can’t just assume he’ll eventually correct to his FIP or Siera numbers because of that putrid defense. Second worst playoff schedule.

    Matz – The hype is crazy but Steamer projections seem to make him out as maybe a top 35 pitcher WHEN HE IS UP which now sounds like 7/1 according to New York Post. He will also be somewhat innings limited. He has a slightly below average playoff schedule.

    Thanks for your help all year!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Tom: Gotcha, makes perfect sense.

      I think my two are Lynn (perfect fit for hopeful upside in Sept.) and Ross. I don’t think Matz is pitching too much in Sept, and def don’t trust Iwak to make it there.

      The thing with Ross is, yes terrible defense, but his GB rate is elite in a Keuchel way (62.3%) No reason that should have his BABIP at .367. And his BABIP is almost always sub-.300. All he needs to do is cut down half a walk per 9 and get some of those lucky outs from squeaking through and he’s gonna be solid.

      Any time, thanks for stopping by!

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: I’m going with Ross/Lynn like you said but on Ross – I think you have to throw out his past BABIP don’t you? He has a whole new defense now. The infield MIGHT be average but the OF is really bad. I think they’s allow a lot of hits they would not have been allowed last year.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Tom: Well, tonight’s start certainly doesn’t help… That said, before tonight a BABIP that high is still fluky high, maybe .310-.320 I’d buy but not that high

          • Tom says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin: Yeah, that one hurt. I’m going back to wondering if I should drop him instead of Iwak or Matz. Why do you think Matz won’t be pitching much in September? Will the Mets be totally out of the wild card race or will they be trying to save him for the playoffs? I just need him for the 3rd last & second last weeks of the season.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
              (link)

              @Tom: Ugh yeah Ross not building any confidence with that one… Yikes. Yeah I think Matz gets skipped at least once or twice or goes to the pen, there’s just too many pitchers there and Colon and Gee aren’t gonna get much at the deadline. Mets have a history of treating pitchers with kid gloves

  35. Abe Froman says:
    (link)

    Pick 2 closers for the week:

    Carson Smith: 4 vs SF, 3 vs HOU
    Joakim Soria: 4 vs CIN, 3 vs NYY
    K-Rod: 4 vs KC, 3 vs COL

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Abe Froman: Hmmm, I’ll go Soria

  36. Surfer dude says:
    (link)

    Hi, 12 team H2H, please drop 2 in – Hahn, Young, Latos, Velasquez, McHugh, Morton- thanks.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Surfer dude: So dropping two, I think my drops are Young and Morton even though i know they’ve pitched pretty well

  37. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Meant to ask above, looks like I may be able to trade JoFern and Blackmon (around ferns return) for Kershaw. I’d be picking up a bat like Maybin / Fowler.

    I really love Blackmon, but I gotta take that, right? Ferns great, but will he be kershawesque?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Ummmmm YES! Gotta do it, I think Fernandez “could” be Kershaw next year, but no way I see that happening this year

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks, just making sure my ecstatic reaction was warranted when this was first floated to me!

  38. Dj says:
    (link)

    Start may with confidence?

    What about rubby this week vs SD $13.7

    What’s the lowest ranking pitcher you would stop at if offering a package like Buxton, soler, polanco

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Dj: Yup I am! Uggghhhh not with confidence on rubby, I’m likely sitting.

      Wait so you mean all 3 of those guys for 1 pitcher? Or each one of those guys, what kinda pitcher you would get back? I think the best option is selling Buxton while this hot a topic for like a 30ish ranked pitcher and hope it works

  39. Kiss a Bum says:
    (link)

    Do you factor in 2-starts to the rankings? Thx

    • scott steelers says:
      (link)

      @Kiss a Bum: these arent rankings for the week. Rest of season

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @Kiss a Bum: Yup, as @scott steelers: mentions, these are for the rest of the season this point forward. So throw out what’s happened so far, I think if we draft today this is how I’d rank starters

  40. scott steelers says:
    (link)

    Any Gallardo or graveman love? They’ve been solid for a little bit now… was looking to pick them up possibly. Got a few hitters to drop

    • scott steelers says:
      (link)

      @scott steelers: Gallardo pitching pretty well right now vs dodgers too

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
        (link)

        @scott steelers: Meh, I guess I like Yoga a tad more, but not big on either. Yoga is so annoying as a Brewers owned, and in TEX I just don’t see it. Same with Graveman with sinkerball stuff limiting K upside

  41. Dorian S. says:
    (link)

    Hey JB and Razzball! Both Corbin and Chase are available for pick up. Who should I drop to get them?

    Team Starting Roster is C/1B/2B/SS/3B/3OF/UT/3SP/2RP/2P/4BN/2NA, 28 IP Minimum, 8 Keepers.
    Scoring is: R/HR/RBI/SB/OBP/SLG/W/SV/K/HLD/ERA/WHIP

    C/1B – Yasmani Grandal
    C/OF – Kyle Schwarber (NA)
    1B/3B – Chris Davis
    2B – Joe Panik, Devon Travis (DL), Rougned Odor, Eddie Rosario (OF)
    SS – Addison Russell (2B)
    3B – Anthony Rendon (2B), Manny Machado
    OFs – Steven Souza, George Springer, Justin Upton, Gregory Polanco, Kevin Pillar
    SPs – Jacob deGrom, Jake Arrieta, Jesse Chavez (RP), Joe Ross, Alex Meyer (NA), Jake Odorizzi (DL)
    RPs – Brad Boxberger, A.J. Ramos, Brad Ziegler

    Didn’t even realize I had so many 2Bs until this very moment. No idea why that is. Maybe Rosario for Chase?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Dorian S.: Yo! Yeah Rosario for Chase seems good, I think I’d do Pillar for Corbin as well. Odor has some nice upside I wanna see – not enough to be a keeeper for you – but us interesting…

      • Dorian says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Thanks JB! Also thanks as always to the rest of the Razzball crew. I don’t always comment on everything I read, but thanks in general for all of it.

        And thanks on the Rosario for Chase. I like Rosario’s potential (I was sitting at 14th of 16th last week, 10th this week, woo), but I figured getting my pitching back in order after trading it away to acquire Justin Upton was probably better for me long term.

        As for Pillar for Corbin, I just picked up Pillar! lol

        As far as keepers, I think I’m set there. Odor was more of a “I don’t want anyone else getting him if he continues mashing”. I lost out on so many great rookies/potentials this season (except possibly Devon Travis).

        If I go by both of the lists you guys have, I’ve got for keepers: 1B Chris Davis, 2B Anthony Rendon, 2B Devon Travis, 3B Manny Machado, OF George Springer, OF Steven Souza, OF Gregory Polano, OF Justin Upton, SP Jake Arrieta, and SP Jacob deGrom.

        Which is pretty much where I was considering for keepers. Though Travis is on my possible keepers if he comes back and starts mashing off the DL.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Dorian: Thanks for reading man! Yeah love picking up a guy and flipping him! Agree on Odor too.

          Schwarber getting the call has got to be big for you though! Def would watch him close, might have a keeper there too with C pretty bad

          • Dorian says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin:
            Definitely heard that and hoping he plays his way onto the squad. Add him in and my hitting will just be nuts. If I can get my pitching back in order, I might have enough to rebound from my 10th to get into a playoffs spot for this year.

            And thanks as always to you JB and the other guys for your work. Give them a heads up for me.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
              (link)

              @Dorian: Thanks man, will do! What makes writing for Razz awesome – great feedback like that!

  42. Jim Wiser says:
    (link)

    You can drop Rodon down again.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jim Wiser: Hah, yeah he might have to depending on what happens by the end of the week…. Shockingly rough one

  43. larry says:
    (link)

    Not even a sniff of the top 100 for Descalfini?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @larry: I had him in the ranks about a month ago for a while, then he started walking everyone and not K-ing guys. A little bit of a hot week, but not enough to have him top 100 for me – but he’s been in before so I think he’s in “sniff” zone

  44. Nightpandas says:
    (link)

    Offered Bruce for Rodon. My current RF is Torii, not sure if it is much of an upgrade…Rodon would be a borderline keeper

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Nightpandas: Mehhhhh, seems even. If Rodon could be kept at all without a big keeper thrown back I think I like it

  45. PED Inc. says:
    (link)

    Wow, I got shit on by Folty all week long last week and now it’s started again with Rodon, streaming has not been my friend this year at all.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @PED Inc.: Eesh, well I was doing OK this past week until Jimmy Nelson Sunday, so there’s that haha

  46. chris says:
    (link)

    Hey JB thanks for the update! I hope you get this tonight or early tomorrow. Let me know what you think of this trade one team needs hitting another pitching 5×5 14 team h2h roto.

    Keuchel
    Arrieta
    Belt

    for

    Seager
    Panic
    wood

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @chris: Thanks for reading! Up watching Enemy of the State of all things haha,

      I like the Keuchel side of the 2. But the team needing Seager I don’t think it going too crazy with the trade if they are in desperate need of pitching

      • chris says:
        (link)

        Thanks!

        Enemy of the State nice! I’m the keuchel side so good. Thi sis my staff I;m just getting killed in pitching this yer and thought i wouldbe awesome. Would you hold out on that trade and hope for better luck??

        Stras
        A wood
        Ross
        Weaver
        Fister
        De la Rosa
        Phelps
        Krod
        Box Grilli

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @chris: Yeah man, that movie held up so well, haven’t seen it in a while. Very prophetic…

          Ugh yeah Stras has been rough and same with Ross. Getting Arrieta and Keuchel would help a ton, I def like it more seeing your staff

  47. Bammers says:
    (link)

    12 team redraft league.. 5×5 h2h standard scoring.

    Would you trade Byron Buxton for Carlos Martinez or Carlos Rodon?

    I am looking for pitching help. We start 3 OF and 2 UTIL. My current OFs are Marte/Adam Jones/Blackmon/Braun/Bautista/Buxton. My SP are DeGrom/Ross/Quintana/Shoemaker/Roark (with Odorizzi and Iwakuma on DL).

    Do you make this trade? If so, who do you want?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Bammers: Redraft – yeah I’m OK making a deal. I would do it for C-Mart, but not for Rodon

      • Bammers says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin:

        He actually said he would give me C-Mart plus any 1 of the following players: Lindor, Corey Dickerson, Rusney Castillo, Chi Chi Gonzalez, Vincent Velasquez, Carlos Rodon.

        Which one do you take? (Redraft)

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Bammers: Whoa awesome, def gimme Dickerson! Sure some risk, but as a throw in in that deal, $$$$$$$$$!

          • Bammers says:
            (link)

            @JB Gilpin:

            Appreciate your help

  48. Dusty Baker says:
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    Ok call me crazy if you like- BUt – is it out ofthe question to try and Trade Harvey for J Fernandez ? The owner of Fernandez is last in almost all pitching cats., and leads in almost all the Hitting cats. Where as I lead in most of the Pitch cats, and am in middle of all Hiting cats. I know he wont part with any hitters- its an NL Only 5×5, very competitive 10 Team League – The rest of my staff is Cole, Liriano, Desclafiani, Haren, and Morton, Melancon, Rondon, and Zeigler – We pay out to top 4 finishers and each cat winner, charing a modest fee per transaction. So, to chancey to try and offer the trade my Harvey for his J Fernandez ? ——–Thanks for the advice- DB

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Dusty Baker: Not crazy or out of the question, but I don’t think I’d do it. Man, nice staff for NL only! I think Fernandez is just too risky for the price of Harvey, plus JoFer might get shut down early and all the hooblah (Harvey likely will too, btu if Mets are still in it then, I bet he extends a tad). What about Liriano for JoFer?

  49. Vogt or Die says:
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    Hey should I veto this trade? Goldschmidt and richards for archer Soria and belt? And be honest how bad is it?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Vogt or Die: Ummm, nah I don’t think it’s a veto, but yeah it’s pretty bad. Goldschmidt side winning a nice one. I guess if Goldschmidt owner thinks Richards won’t go on a big run and Archer is an easy top 10 pitcher it is defensible in that regard

      • PapaJeanSegura says:
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        @JB Gilpin: I’m so mad this other kid would do this trade cause the owner getting Goldy already has Donaldson and Trout

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @PapaJeanSegura: Eesh. I mean it’s def an enraging deal, but more power to him for swindling like that, unless you guys suspect cheating of some kind, but doesn’t sound like it

  50. Tsizzle says:
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    Confidence in any of these guys??

    Bud Norris @ philly $8.3
    Joe ross vs TB $7.0
    Sabathia vs Miami $6
    Gravman vs SD – 1.8
    Hendricks @cleveland – 5.0
    Montgomery @sf – $10
    Tyler Lyons @philly 19.9
    DE la Rosa vs SD $12.9
    Elias vs Houston $10.5
    Folty vs mets $5
    Marcum vs TB $5.7
    Robbie ray Vs sd $4.7
    May vs cubs $. 5
    Happ vs Houston $15.0

    • Tsizzle says:
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      @Tsizzle: add hutch vs mets $15.7 give me your top 3!

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Tsizzle: Ugh, yeah not much confidence here, sorry i missed ya before some of these afternoon games! I know I’m picking on the Mets, but I like Hutch the best I think. I almost said Folty, but man I don’t trust him. Gimme Hutch, Ray and May. I like rhyming!

  51. Ryan741 says:
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    need a trade opinion in a H2H points league. I would be getting Hanley and Jordan Zimmerman, would be giving Cargo and Tanaka. Zim has been bad, but I hate constantly worrying about Tanakas elbow….

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Ryan741: Hah very concise analysis that I agree with. Hmmmm. Hanley SS eligible? I think he is in most leagues… If that’s that case, I like it with SS so barren

      • Ryan741 says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Hanley is SS eligible, but I also have Tulo right now. But I don’t have any problem moving either Tulo or Hanley to someone else for another SP (thinking someone like Wacha) and just pick up a half decent OF or stream them

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Ryan741: Oh damn! SS hoarder! Yeah if your league is active on the trading block, def like the move and you can make another flip

          • Ryan741 says:
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            @JB Gilpin I was offered Strasburg for my Tanaka or Liriano in my H2H points league. I had Stras earlier in the year, and he’s been moved a couple times since. He scares me, but he still has really good keeper value as he’s a 6th round pick next year. Tanaka’s elbow scares me, and I always worry about Liriano turning back into bad Liriano. But Stras also seems like he’s a mental pussy. I’m torn. Thoughts?

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Ryan741: Haha poor Strasburg… Yeah as a 6th round keeper, I still like the upside and think that’s a value for down the road. So I’m def doing it, I think I would give up Tanaka

  52. Bb says:
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    You starting Hammel @cle and Hendricks @cle
    What about Hahn vs angels?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Bb: Def starting Hammel. Hendricks… I probably would, but if I was over my IP or starts limits, maybe not.

      For Hahn, even though his line wasn’t great against the Angels, I think I remember watching some of that one and he looked good, and has been good minus one start for a while. I like him 2nd best behind Hammel of the 3

  53. Jeff327 says:
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    Hey how do you think that Iwakuma is going to do for the rest of the year? I have him rotting in my DL spot! Thank you.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jeff327: I’m not too big on Iwak. Def fine holding him in a DL spot as long as you aren’t burning a roster spot, but he was pretty bad most of last year and a little bit this year, and I don’t trust he stays healthy once back either. I think he’ll have some major ups and downs when back, might be tough to own in shallowers

  54. Cram It says:
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    Hey dude. I’m trying to flip Correa for an SP. Where’s the cutoff for you of your lowest ranked starter you’d reasonably accept? I need an everyday guy. Personally, I don’t think I’d take anyone below Hammel, but just need another perspective of what you’d be content with. Cheers!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Cram It: Yo! Yeah great time to shop Correa, especially with another homer tonight. I think Hammel is a great cutoff, but I might shoot for 25 or higher with Wacha. All the guys between Hammel and Wacha have risks, most with injuries. Liriano I am pretty much all in on, that might work. BABIP is low, but walks are so far down and everything else looks good. Any time!

      • Cram It says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Yeah, the start Correa is off too, I can probably shoot higher than that injury risk tier. Thanks man! Happy drinking!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Cram It: Any time, woooooo it’s beer o clock!

  55. Mikey says:
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    What do you think about samrdizja vs Pitt tomorrow? Son hates him

    If your rolling on pitching this week I’m trying to win the hits cat now. I have cole vs White sux and Salazar vs cubs. Sit samrdizja ?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mikey: Interesting SON hates him, I don’t love him, and it’s frustrating he couldn’t get a start in PIT for an NL game! Yeah, awful 2 games ina row then decent at Tampa in a good park and good matchup, I think I would indeed sit him

  56. Swfcdan says:
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    Friggin hate C-Mart and Anibal for what they did to me this year. Both pitched like shizz (well only 2 for C-Mart but they were abominations) and now they are on top form after I cut them. Damn pitching! Well at least I have Hammel, my ONE successful WW grab this year ha.

    Wacha is succeeding every week despite pedestrian K numbers. I was worried at first but he is looking so solid each week, it doesn’t seem to be affecting his numbers at all. Is there a bit of Keuchel in him, that he’s getting so many grounders it doesn’t matter if he doesn’t K all that many?

    Looking for some buy low pitchers in my deeper league, thinking Latos could be one if he is back (velo reportedly way up too). Any others you can think of worth targeting?

    • Swfcdan says:
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      @Swfcdan: And interesting to see that you really like Lance-a-lot ha. Pitch him most weeks even in shalllowers?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @Swfcdan: Hah well I still don’t have big faith in Anibal if you makes you feel better :)

        I think “old” Jordan Zimmermann ala 2013 is about right. Hard velo, good control, good numbers with not great Ks. If you have enough k guys, yeah he’s fine, but like a Keuchel Wacha JZim staff would be troublesome haha.

        Yup Latos is a great one. Chavez I feel like I keep having to fight for, even though he’s doing well he seems underrated.

        Yeah I like McCullers a ton! He’s a go almost every time for sure

  57. Blake says:
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    I picked up folty 2 weeks ago and he proceeded to implode. I only have 6 adds remaining all year. I have the following Pitchers ( I get 15 pts for win and 1 pt for K, 13 team pts league – I can start 7 pitchers)

    C Archer
    A wood
    C McHugh
    M Pineda
    C rodon
    Salazaar
    T ross

    I need to drop folty – for who? here are some on waiver wire.

    L McCullers
    Erasamo Ramirez
    W Miley
    C Morton
    Tanner roark
    J chavez

    • D says:
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      @Blake
      Mcullers or Chavez. Flip a coin

      • D says:
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        @D: or drop McHugh or rodon and add both

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @D: Ugh yeah, he looked sooooooo good just at the eye level for a few starts that I thought it was gonna happen.

        Agree with @D: , its McCullers or Chavez for me. Although with limited moves I wouldn’t drop anyone else. I think with only 6 moves left I’m going Chavez, McCullers has some youth risk

  58. D says:
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    How do you like morton vs Washington -10 on son.

    What about walker vs Houston?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @D: I streamed Morton a lot of places vs. bad White Sox and moved on right away. Not loving that one, although Harper got hurt today which makes it look better – we’ll have to see there. I like Walker one more, I would play him

  59. Eric B says:
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    Thanks again JB for the advice above…had to start a new chain(shocker!) I took another hit with Ventura going to the DL and all my spots are full with Pax, Soler and Odorizzi. Dont know that I can just drop him, but it stretches my roster thin, could drop a bat but I dont know who. No way I can just drop Schwarber right nowimo, even if he does get sent down next week the guy can hit. Maybe I’m wrong, what do you think? Do you see a drop for an arm like Gausman, Ervin Santana or Wisler?

    Here’s my roster:
    5×5 HTH OBP
    Bats
    C McCann
    1B Freeman
    2B Kipnis
    3B Santana
    SS A.Ramirez
    OF Stanton
    OF Calhoun
    OF Springer
    OF Betts
    Util Pollock
    Util Semien
    Util Avisail Garcia
    Bench Schwarber
    Bench Lindor
    DL Soler

    Staff
    P Kluber
    P Chavez
    P Cole
    P Salazar
    P T. Walker
    SP Ventura( DL no room)
    SP Bauer
    RP Chapman
    RP Britton
    Bench RP Perkins
    Bench RP Melancon
    Bench SP Velasquez
    DL Paxton
    DL Odorizzi

    I was offered Buxton and Tyson Ross for Pollock and Schwarber but I’m not sure I want to part with Pollock.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Eric B: Hah, wooo for a new chain!

      Starting at the bottom, nah I wouldn’t do that deal, pollock is too good. I think Pax is the cut. Still not resuming throwing, I love him still for dynasty, but I think it takes a while.

      Nah I don’t see any other moves, although cutting Pax opens up a roster spot now, so I think Gausman is probably the add, but not playing v TOR that’s for sure! Haha

  60. Eric B says:
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    Ha, well we know how to keep a conversation going, that’s for sure. So you like Ventura over Pax for that DL spot. I’m sorta surprised Pax had better numbers than Ventura on the season, I sincerely considered dropping Ventura and holding Pax because Ventura has been so up and down. Yeah Gausman vs Toronto aint exactly the match up you want but that’s what it is. I toyed with grabbing Sano for a stash but I felt like Id need to drop a MI to do it and still needed an arm to stay competitive. At onee point I had Corbin stashed but injuries to Pax, Odorizzi and Soler forced me to drop him and both he and Moore have been scooped up.

    Definitely agree on Pollock, and Buxton isnt exactly lighting it up anyway, Schwarber looks more ready with the bat to me. Now he’ll probably get sent down and I dont know if I can afford to still roster him if he does but I’ll cross that bridge on Sunday.

    • Eric B says:
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      @Eric B: And I just read the Cubs Jed Hoyer reiterated Schwarber is still going back down to Triple A on Monday regardless of his performance…sigh.

      • Eric B says:
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        @Eric B: Ok, last comment lol,looked over the wire and saw Hendricks, Rubby, hughes and Karns are available, I could steam the spot tomorrow and decide on Gausman or a stash of Sano later. What do you say Hendricks is the highest rated SP you have listed thats actually available.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Eric B: Haha, yeah Pax was on a monster run, he had a 20+ innings scoreless streak I think. I just think his time away is going to really burn up his value.

          Schwarber is so good he’s a must play until he’s sent down, and even then you might wanna hold him. What a start!

          I like Hendricks, but yeah he’s in a streamer class for 10 and 12ers. Hughes and Rubby in the right matchups aren’t much different. If you’re hurting for innings I would def try and stream a spot tomorrow.Oh dear lord I can’t believe I’m about to say this… My streamer choice tomorrow… Is… Colby Lewis. Not a great shot at a W v Chris Sale but the White Sox blow

          • Eric B says:
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            @JB Gilpin: Just now saw this lol, dropped Pax but Im gonna be watching him, maybe I can pick him back up when he’s healthy. Yeah I cant in good faith drop Schwarber, even if he does go back to triple A Monday. If only Montero’s back were just a little worse lol.

            Well I added Hendricks to stream tonight and then I’m gonna fill my open spot with eithr Gausman or Sano, like one more than the other?

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Eric B: Damn you missed Colby! Good stream for me in a few leagues.

              Nice yeah I like Hendricks for a stream, ummmm I think with all the power Stanton is giving you I’d rather go for Gausman

              • Eric B says:
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                @JB Gilpin: Should have went with Colby, Hendricks got blown up lol. Took your advice dropped Hendricks and added Gausman.

                • Eric B says:
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                  @Eric B: Ok we’ve seen Wisler and Gausman; who you got going forward?

                  • JB Gilpin

                    JB Gilpin says:
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                    @Eric B: Cool, I think I’d keep Gausman. Wisler was good too, but a dream matchup and only the 2 Ks, I know Gausman was sent back down but I doubt it’s too long before he recaptures a for sure spot

                    • Eric B says:
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                      @JB Gilpin: Thanks man, not sure I can afford to roster Schwarber(pretty sure he gets sent down tomorrow) and Gausman is the only thing though. Still a ways to go before Odorrizzi, Ventura or Soler return so I cant have to active spots being held by inactive players.

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