Brandon Belt ($3,000) has been unstoppable over the last two weeks, as he’s batting .529. He’s now got a 1.082 OPS against righties on the season, so it’s remarkable how cheap he is on FanDuel. Opposing starter Taylor Clark looks like a bad matchup on the surface, but his 4.70 FIP is more indicative of his performance. Clark has gotten ridiculously lucky with a 1.30 BABIP and an 86.2% LOB rate. Belt can be considered in any and all contests until he gets the shine he deserves.
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Carlos Carrasco, SP: $9,300 – Since Darvish and Flaherty will be the chalk plays at starting pitcher on the main slate, Carrasco could provide more value than both of them with a lower ownership rate. Carrasco has a dominant 29.4% K-rate and faces a Brewers lineup that has the second-highest K-rate against righties at 27.3%. This gives him enormous upside tonight.
Dustin May, SP: $7,000 – May is one of the safest starters on the slate with this matchup against the Rockies, who have been one of the weakest lineups in road games with a brutal .281 wOBA. May is basically unplayable in GPP tournaments because of his low strikeout rate, but he’s a great option in cash games at this low of a price, as you will be able to load up on more expensive hitters.
Ketel Marte, 2B: $2,800 – The Diamondbacks faced Tyler Anderson last week and hung seven runs on him, with Marte scoring two of those. Expect more of the same in this rematch. While Marte is struggling this season, he’s still hitting .390 against lefties and will bat second, so he’s a strong discount play.
Yoan Moncada, 3B: $3,200 – It’s tough to get a White Sox hitter for cheap these days, so this is a nice deal for their two-hole hitter. Moncada should see plenty of run and RBI opportunities against Brady Singer, owner of of a 5.19 ERA and a 2.08 HR/9.
Didi Gregorius, SS: $3,100 – Sir Didi has been tremendous against righties with a .313 batting average and more walks than strikeouts. Opposing starter Rick Porcello has a disastrous 6.00 ERA, so Gregorius works as a standalone play or as part of a Phillies stack.
Brandon Nimmo, OF: $2,900 – Nimmo is extremely undervalued as the Mets leadoff hitter, as he’s got an absurd 21.1% walk-rate and .463 OBP against righties, as well as a 1.025 OPS. He’ll face Jake Arrieta, who only went 1 1/3 innings last time out after giving up seven earned runs.
Kyle Schwarber, OF: $3,400 – The Cubs are an interesting contrarian stack option, as the wind is blowing out at Wrigley which can result in lots of offense. Flaherty is good but definitely outperforming his peripherals, with a 23.3% K-rate and 3.77 SIERA.
Joc Pederson, OF: $2,700 – Pederson is best used as a cheap GPP power flier in hopes that he homers. Any piece of the Dodgers lineup is usually a high upside option.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
It does not look like weather will be a factor for tonight’s slates.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Hitting the over on 8 runs for Cardinals-Cubs is never a bad idea with the wind blowing out.
