Sometimes things just make sense, even in 2020. Today Julio Urias ($7,400) pitches for the 32-13 Dodgers against the 22-23 Astros in Dodgers Stadium. The Astros have been struggling with injuries the whole season, and their best hitter this year Kyle Tucker only hits .231 against left handed pitching. Urias has settled into a pattern of 6 or more innings every other start. Last time he only went 4.1 against the Rockies, so the pendulum should swing back to 6+ today. He’s also averaging around a strikeout an inning. The reason to search for value in the starter of course is to pile into players playing in Coors field without restriction. When it’s the Angels and Mike Trout is hot there’s more than enough reason to go there. The other thing to keep in mind is the Twins are looking good against young Zach Plesac according to our calculations. This is definitely a place to mine for profit while others jump on the Plesac train. Now onto that and other picks for today’s Main Slate on FanDuel.
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Jared Walsh, 1B: $2,700 – The best value with a bullet today. Walshy has hit .345 with 4 home runs in his last 15. Kyle Freeland does hold the left on left platoon advantage against Walsh, but Freeland also carries a 1.577 WHIP at home.
Ryan McMahon, 2B: $3,300 – The guy just loves hitting at home: 6 homers and a .954 OPS including a home run last night.
Josh Donaldson, 3B: $3,000 – The former MVP is starting to pick it up. 4 for his last 10 with a double and a homer. His team is looking good against Cleveland and Zac Plesac today. Plesac’s been getting great numbers against Kansas City the last two starts. No doubt he owns the White Sox too. But the Twins are fighting for the AL Central and firing on all cylinders right now.
Trevor Story, SS: $4,500 – Of course in general we want to take Story at home. He’s only hitting .271 with 1 homer over the last 15, but he’s starting to run with 5 steals too. And if he’s going to breakout power wise it’s going to be at home.
Mike Trout, OF: $5,000 – Yup, the big $5K. But he’s as hot as a pistol: .422 with a 1.454 OPS including 6 homers in his last 15. Run that mixture in Coors and it’s irresistible. Sure, his team can’t pitch, but wins and losses don’t matter when it comes to Trout’s bat.
Raimel Tapia, OF $3,200 – Sure Blackmon hit a granny last night, but he’s been struggling overall lately. Tapia’s been holding his own (.309 with some power over the past 15) and should be starting today. Gotta love the .375 mark at home.
Matt Kemp, OF $3,300 – All his power comes against RHP, and today he gets righty Jaime Barria.
Nelson Cruz, UTIL: $3,900 – His big bat needs to be in the lineup. The ageless wonder is up to 15 home runs, including 2 in his last 3. He was cooling off for a bit but he’s back on the horse.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Clear as a bell, or Mission Impossible 1996 “loud and clear” if you like. It’s not weather related, but it’s a complete shame when the Padres are on the slate but they’re cancelled versus the Giants at Petco. No comment of it it’s right or wrong to cancel games because of one Covid test. Just a lament that we can’t see the funnest team in the league and the most surprising offense in the league go head to head tonight.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The best and the brightest: The biggest favorites today are the White Sox (-167) vs the Tigers, the Diamondbacks (-167) vs the Mariners and the Dodgers (-144) vs the Astros.
Stack ’em, pack ’em and rack ’em: The highest projected runs for today are the Rockies (7.61) vs the Angels, the Angels (7.42) at the Rockies and the Twins (6.07) vs the Indians.
