Blake Snell ($12,000) may look like a 16 year old on the verge of shaving, but he’s a bonafide skull crusher between the white lines. Not only that, but with the Red Sox and Yankees struggling, his Tampa Bay Rays are the toast of the AL East so far this year. Senior Zilla has upped his game to the alternative rock tune of a 2.84 ERA, .89 WHIP, and 12.79 K/9 this year. Cue Dave Grohl’s killer snares. Honestly, his numbers against the current Jays, whose only power comes from the left side (that Snell neutralizes), are downright brilliant. They hit .123 with a .364 OPS against him, and he has a 2.96 ERA in Rogers Center to boot. His man competition, Justin Verlander, is facing the red hot Mariners, which gives Snell the clear edge for best start of the day. Now let’s take a look at the rest of the slate today.
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Zach Eflin, SP: $9,600 – This guy brings a 2-0 record with a you can’t find it with a microscope .75 ERA into this matchup with the mighty Marlins. Throw in a .83 WHIP and this is a slightly less costly Ace today.
Rick Porcello, SP: $7,500 – The Red Sox finally got tired of losing and are rounding into form. Porcello is facing an Orioles team that has hit him to measly .211 batting average during the good times. But the one guy who’s roughed Porcello up is Chris Davis, who’s in a legendary slump. For the majority of his career he’s been a horse, look for him to get back in the saddle today. He’s my choice for the low priced starter, stacked lineup strategy.
Mitch Moreland, 1B/C: $4,500 – Mitchy two bags has been hitting a ton of homers lately, and looks to keep it going at home in Fenway. He’s facing the opposite of immortal Andrew Cashner of the Orioles, who happens to match his platoon split. Look for a lot of production here.
Paul Goldschmidt, 1B/C: $3,900 – Goldy’s playing possum, hitting only .180 this year. But that comes with 6 home runs, and the wind is blowing out in Cincinnati today, where he has a career .948 OPS.
Jose Altuve, 2B: $4,500 – Instead of expounding on Altuve’s .483 batting average against today’s starter Felix Hernandez of the Mariners, let’s marvel at someone so small having so much success. He’s an inspiration to the all the Jon Snow’s out there.
Rougned Odor, 2B: $2,600 – Another Ranger going against Marco Estrada, Odor has a .827 OPS at home. The wind will be whipping out in Arlington, raising the possibility of some serious fireworks.
Jose Ramirez, 3B: $3,400 – You won’t find this pre-season MVP candidate at this price for much longer. He’s facing the formally formidable Homer Bailey in Kansas City today. He’s got MVP level stats against Bailey: .333 average with a 1.167 OPS.
Rafael Devers, 3B: $3,500 – Babyface Devers is fresh off his recent inaugural walk-off hit, and has a .793 OPS against righthanders like Andrew Casher. He’s part of a lineup expected to score over 6 runs today, the highest projection today.
Fernando Tatis Jr, SS: $3,400 – This precocious 20 year old is starting to figure it out, with a 128 OPS+ over the last week or so. He’s facing fellow Rookie, 30 year old Merrill Kelly of the Diamondbacks. Tatis’s power is showing itself against righties like Kelly, with 2 of his 3 home runs coming against them.
Cody Bellinger, OF: $5,100 – It’s a high price, but worth it. Against righties, like today’s Zach Davies, he’s hitting .459 with 5 of his 7 home runs this year. Need we say more?
Joey Gallo, OF: $4,300 – This three true outcomes marvel is facing righty Marco Estrada, who’s been doing it with smoke and mirrors which are about to disappear today. Texas is projected to score over 5 runs today, one of the top three teams today. Gallo and his home run power will be a big part of it. This year he’s got a 1.160 OPS, including 4 home runs, against righties.
Joc Pederson, OF: $4,300 – Another left handed Dodger masher against right hander Zach Davies, he’s got a 1.120 OPS against righties, and is playing at home where he’s hitting to a 1.565 OPS. We can almost see another shot into the rightfield bleachers at beautiful Dodgers Stadium from here.
Aaron Judge, OF: $4,700 – Don’t look now, but he’s got 3 home runs in the last week. He’s got a .979 OPS against righties like Ivan Nova, his opponent today. He won’t be under $5,000 for long.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
The wind is really blowing out in Cincinnati for the Cardinals and Reds, and in Arlington for the A’s and Rangers. Otherwise it’s clear sailing.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Stack ’em, pack ’em and rack ’em: The highest projected runs scored today are the Red Sox (6.22) vs the Orioles, the Cubs (5.43) vs the Angels, and the Rangers (5.34) vs the A’s.
The best and the brightest: The biggest favorites today are the Rays (-242) at the Blue Jays, the Astros (-238) at the Mariners, and the Red Sox (-229) vs the Orioles.
