The Cincinnati Reds’ Sonny Gray ($11,300) is clearly the best starting pitcher on tonight’s FanDuel slate. And it’s not even close. He has a slate low 2.92 ERA, as well as the best strikeout rate (29.2%) of any scheduled starting pitchers for Monday. And now he draws a Miami offense that is putrid, particularly against right-handed pitching. The fish have a .125 ISO and a .285 wOBA against right-handers in 2019. The only knock against Gray may be the marked up price tag that FanDuel has applied.
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Dustin May, SP: $6,200 – If you don’t want to pay a premium for pitching, the Dodgers’ Dustin May may be your guy. While the Los Angeles’ starter is not projected to have the most raw FanDuel points among pitchers on Monday, the salary saving makes him awfully attractive. Plus his matchup is not too shabby. The Padres own a .241 batting average and a 26.5% K% against righties this season, and are still without Fernando Tatis.
Will Smith, C/1B: $3,600 – Smith owns a .222 ISO against left-handed pitching this season. While that alone is worth a start, there is more to like about Smith. The Padres’ Eric Lauer throws his fastball 51% of the time and is allowing a .401 wOBAc on the pitch. While Smith owns a .630 ISO on the four-seamers this season.
Gary Sanchez, C/1B: $4,000 – Seattle’s Tommy Milone should be no match for Sanchez. Milone is throwing a fastball 42% of the time while allowing a .517 wOBAc on the pitch. While Sanchez owns a .384 ISO against fastball this season.
Max Muncy, 2B: $4,000 – Muncy has crushed southpaws all season long and nothing should change in this one. He owns a .279 ISO and a .379 wOBA versus lefties this season. As well as a .353 ISO against fastballs.
Gleyber Torres, 2B: $4,200 – Torres has a .224 ISO and a .356 wOBA against lefties this season. With Tommy Milone allowing 1.92 HR/9 to righties this season, Torres has a great chance to leave the yard in this one.
Mike Moustakas, 3B: $3,700 – Moose owns a 1.200 OPS against Wainwright in his career.
Justin Turner, 3B: $3,400 – Just like all the other Dodgers, the third baseman crushes lefties. He has a .274 ISO and a .360 wOBA against left-handers in 2019. In his career, he also owns a .301 BAA the fastball, which we know Lauer throws a ton of.
Marcus Semien, SS: $3,800 – Semien has a .216 ISO and a .359 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.
Cody Bellinger, OF: $4,600 – You certainly are going to want to get some Dodgers in your lineup tonight. And that Los Angeles stack needs to start with Cody Bellinger. The outfielder has a .329 ISO and a .416 wOBA against lefties, and a .679 SLG against fastballs.
Christian Yelich, OF: $4,800 – Yelich has put up video game-like numbers all season long against right-handed pitching. He owns a .387 ISO and a .473 wOBA against righties. Look for more of the same in this one, as Yelich is 4-for-11 with three walks against the Cardinals’ Wainwright in his career.
Aaron Judge, OF: $4,100 – Judge has homered in three straight contests and there is no reason to walk away from a heater.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Rain looks like it will play a factor tonight. The Cardinals/Brewers game is likely to be played under the retractable roof. This is a plus for the batters. The ball flies more in Milwaukee when the roof is closed.
Also, keep an eye out for some precipitation in Miami that could affect the Reds/Marlins contest, as well as some rain in Kansas City for the Athletics/Royals ballgame. It looks like these games should get in, but there may be a delay making the pitchers there a bit more risky to play. As always be sure to check out the weather closer to lock.
Doing Lines In Vegas