Anthony Rizzo ($3,400) leads the Cubs tonight in a stack that could be overlooked against Dylan Cease. Cease has good numbers on the surface but has been getting extremely lucky, as he’s got a 5.92 FIP and just a 16.7% K-rate. Rizzo is batting .277 over the last two weeks and can easily be used as a standalone batting atop the Cubs order. Otherwise, pair him with affordable Cubs bats like Kyle Schwarber ($2,900) and Willson Contreras ($2,900). If the Cubs aren’t highly rostered, they could be the ticket to taking down a tournament on FanDuel tonight.
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Carlos Carrasco, SP: $10,800 – Carrasco has thrown five straight quality starts and he should easily get his sixth against the Pirates, who are the weakest lineup in the league against righties with a pathetic .261 wOBA. Carrasco has a strong 28.8% K-rate, so he’s got lots of strikeout upside to go along with his high floor. He’s viable in all contest formats as a high-end starter.
Jose Urquidy, SP: $6,800 – Urquidy is an absurd value at this price – he’s only made four starts this season but has a 2.78 ERA. While the strikeouts haven’t been there, Urquidy posted a 24.0% K-rate in 41 innings last season, so he shouldn’t be counted out. Urquidy will be in a pitcher-friendly park against the terrible Rangers lineup, who have just a .277 wOBA against right-handed pitching.
Jose Altuve, 2B: $3,100 – Altuve has struggled this year, but he’s still in a great spot for counting stats batting second for Houston. The Astros should score plenty against Kyle Cody, a 26-year-old rookie with just 17 2/3 innings in his big league career and a 5.06 SIERA. This screams smash spot for Altuve and the Astros.
Josh Donaldson, 3B: $3,000 – Donaldson is smashing righties to the tune of a .903 OPS and a 145 wRC+. He’s too cheap for a guy batting third in the Twins powerful lineup, where he will see plenty of RBI opportunities.
Adalberto Mondesi, SS: $2,900 – Is FanDuel’s staff asleep at the wheel with football season back in swing? Is Mondesi personally setting his own price by himself? These are the questions I have after another crazy performance from Mondesi last night where he went 4-for-4 with two steals. Mondesi’s speed and power upside make him an easy GPP tournament play at this price.
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo, OF: $2,800 – Tsutsugo had fallen off fantasy radars until he started batting leadoff for the Rays, which suddenly gives him a ton of value. He can score some runs against Vince Velasquez, who has a 5.46 ERA.
Randal Grichuk, OF: $2,900 – Grichuk could have a big night against Jorge Lopez, owner of a 5.11 ERA and a 1.46 HR/9. Grichuk has a career low 20.9% K-rate which is a great sign for his production going forward.
Franmil Reyes, OF: $2,900 – Reyes is an ideal cheap GPP power play with the potential to homer against Mitch Keller, who has a 2.16 HR/9.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Keep an eye on Mets-Nationals, which should see some rain.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The Rays feel like they should be bigger favorites than -150 with Charlie Morton pitching against a banged-up Phillies lineup: Rhys Hoskins is out, while Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto are playing hurt.
