On Sunday, Nolan Arenado broke out of a mini-slump and hit his first home run since August 8. He couldn’t have asked for a better matchup this week than the one that he gets on Tuesday night against Chase Anderson and the Brewers. This game is on the road, so it doesn’t have quite the positive effect on hitters, but Miller Park is one of the more hitter friendly parks in the league–it just isn’t Coors on a hot summer night. Arenado has owned Anderson throughout his career, hitting three home runs in 20 career at-bats against the righty. Priced at just $4,500, Arenado is actually reasonable. If he goes on an extended hot streak, his price will surely jump, so use him at a mild bargain. You’ll see below who I recommend building your lineup around. Arenado comes in right behind the burly right-hander from the North Side of Chicago.
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Jake Arrieta, SP: $12,500 – Arrieta is likely to be the top cash game pitcher on Tuesday night due to his stellar matchup on the road against San Diego. Unbelievably, Arrieta walked seven batters in his last start, but that won’t be the case tonight. Start with him as the anchor of your cash lineup and then fill in with a couple of recommended value plays.
Chris Archer, SP: $8,900 – I’m not afraid of the Red Sox, especially with this game being played at Tropicana Field. Archer has a 2.66 ERA at home and has pitched much better in the second half overall. I’d have no issue pairing him with Arrieta.
Yordano Ventura, SP: $8,100 – Ventura has had his issues this season, but has pitched well in August. He owns 2.52 ERA over four starts this month and gets a favorable matchup against Miami. There isn’t a crazy amount of upside with Ventura, but given the way he’s pitched lately, he should be able to go six innings and notch at least six strikeouts.
Anibal Sanchez, SP: $6,900 – I normally talk mad smack on Sanchez, but tonight he’s worth a flier in GPP contests against the Twins. Outside of one brutal start against the Rangers, Sanchez has pitched relatively well over the last month. Fair warning–Sanchez could get torched as he’s prone to being a total dumpster fire, especially if he gets hit early. Use caution and most certainly do not use him in cash games.
Mike Zunino, C: $2,900 – Everything points to using Zunino tonight. He’s facing a weak lefty who he owns three hits against in four career at-bats and he’s batting .400 over the last week with two home runs. Plus, salary relief!
Chris Davis, 1B: $5,100 – This should be less surprising than it sounds, but Davis has five hits over the last seven days, all of which were home runs. If I’m paying up at first base tonight, this is who I want.
Chris Carter, 1B: $3,800 – Carter seems be getting into one of those home run grooves he’s famous for and opposing starter, Jon Gray, is reeling as of late.
Trea Turner, 2B/OF: $4,700 – Until Turner cools off, he’s getting recommended. He’s on base at least twice a game and steals bases with regularity.
Devon Travis, 2B: $3,400 – I’m not a fan of Tyler Skaggs on the road against Toronto. Travis will likely lead off for the Blue Jays and at his price point he could be incredibly valuable on Tuesday night. Remember, value plays are a must to fit Arrieta into your lineup.
Alex Bregman, 2B: $3,900 – After starting his major league career 2-for-38, Bregman has broken out in a big way. He’s batting .393 with four home runs over the last seven days and faces a fly ball prone pitcher in Ivan Nova.
Francisco Lindor, SS: $3,700 – Lindor is a reasonable price at $3,700 and hits lefties well (.325 on the year), but there is a park downgrade playing in Oakland. He’s a good GPP option as he’s likely to be very low owned.
Troy Tulowitzki, SS: $3,600 – I’m not usually a fan of Tulowitzki, but that changes tonight. You must have exposure to the Blue Jays against Tyler Skaggs. Along with Travis, Tulowitzki makes the most financial sense.
Nelson Cruz, OF: $4,700 – Cruz against a weak lefty. These things write themselves. This will be a chalk play, but who cares?
Rajai Davis, OF: $4,600 – Davis is the kind of guy that can win you a GPP because he’s always low owned. With a blend of speed and power, a big game could happen at any time.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
The weather looks good from sea to shining sea with a slight chance of rain in Minnesota and St. Louis.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The Astros, Blue Jays, and Orioles are all very good stacking options. If you want something off the radar, give the Rays and Indians a long look. Jake Arrieta and the Cubs are -260 favorites on the road against San Diego.