It’s a mixed-up Monday, Razzball DFS’ers! The Bruins are going home and the Leafs are moving on to the second round. If that’s not enough to make your head spin, picking out your pitchers for tonight’s DFS slate surely will. Let’s take a look at tonight’s pitching considerations in light of the DraftKings slate, which locks at 7:05 p.m., from a tournament (GPP) perspective. It’s ugly but I’ll be leaning on MacKenzie Gore ($8,100) in a lot of lineups. He’s been really good this year, and last time out he dropped 31.9 DK points on the Mets. His high walk rate (14%) gives me some pause as does his opponent, the Cubs, who are the second-best offense against lefties (128 wRC+). It’s not the prettiest, but neither are the other options, which will get into below:
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Luis Garcia, P: $9,200 – Likely the highest-owned pitcher on the slate. Garcia started off the year poorly but has rebounded nicely with 36 and 28.5 DK points in his two most recent starts. The matchup is fairly tough, as the Giants are second among MLB teams with a 126 wRC+ against right-handers.
Blake Snell, P: $8,500 – I’m guessing a lot of people will go here because of the opposition, or lack thereof, as the Reds are near the bottom of MLB against lefties. Snell has shown signs of putting it together this year, but his best DK point score in five tries is 17.6.
Drew Smyly, P: $7,800 – In four starts, Smyly has given us two terrific and two usable starts. He’s been missing more bats this year, but he faces a team that doesn’t strike out much.
Tony Gonsolin, P: $6,800 – I’m mentioning him only because I think he’ll draw some ownership. The stuff hasn’t been there to this point, and while he may turn it around, I’m not taking the chance against the Phillies, even with the low salary.
I’m kind of okay with everyone but Gonsolin here, but I’m not thrilled about anyone. Today would be a good day to consume some DFS content later in the day to get a handle on what people are doing. Being a six-game slate, I’m going to look to be on the opposite side of ownership with at least one of my pitchers.
Matt Carpenter, 1B/3B: $2,600 – The Padres’ bats woke up in front of the whole world this weekend, if we assume the whole world is Mexico. They’ll be a popular stack, and if we hop on let’s mix this guy in with some of the bangers at the top of the lineup.
Bo Bichette, SS: $5,900 – Make sure you get a top shortstop tonight, because there are a number of them in great spots tonight. Razzball’s Hittertron likes Bo best. The Jays also come out as the top stack, and they too will be popular.
Yan Gomes, C: $3,400 – When picking out stacks, it’s important to consider bullpens. On a smaller slate, a good strategy is to pick a team against a decent starter with a poor bullpen behind him. Evaluating bullpens can be tricky, but this site gives us a quick snapshot.
We like MacKenzie Gore, but if the Cubs can chase him out they might score a pile of runs. Be sure to include Gomes, who is as hot as any catcher right now.
Masataka Yoshida, OF: $4,500 – Jose Berrios has been good lately, but he’s volatile and he continues to have issues against left-handed hitters. Yoshida has been giving everyone issues lately. He’s riding a 9-game hitting streak, with three homers over that span, yet he’s flying under the radar in DFS.
Rafael Devers, 3B: $6,200 and/or;
Alex Verdugo, OF: $4,500 – The Jays are coming off a tough series against the Mariners that involved heavy bullpen use. Let’s see if the Red Sox can catch the Jays in a letdown as they head into Fenway. A mini-stack or even a full stack is in play.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Keep an eye on Washington. The rain shouldn’t be too heavy but they have a very quick PPD finger. Some possibility of rain in New York as well.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Domingo German hasn’t had much success this season, except for that one time and the ump made him wash his hands. Cal Quantrill has also struggled, and I think even with a depleted lineup the Yankees can get to him for a few. I’ll take the over on the 8.5 total.
It’s looking like Charlie Morton and Tylor Megill will be the starters in the second game of the ATL/NYM double-header and if that’s the case, the 9.0 total is a bit high.
