Looks like we are back to the good baseballs as the offenses finally woke up again this last week. Couple things I noted over the weekend. Keep an eye on Kevin Gausman’s next start as it looked like he was tipping his pitches against the Twins. They were sitting dead red and not chasing the splitter. Speaking of the Twins, I thought they were mailing it in to start the year, but they look like a beast against weak pitchers. Good contact team to play DFS stacks with when it makes sense. Keep an eye on the Braves as their bats are getting hot (Coors Helps). I could see them going on a 2019 Nationals type of run if they stay healthy. With Acuna in the lineup the whole offense comes alive. Let’s get to my DFS picks.
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main evening slate on Tuesday, June 7th, 2022. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 13-game slate starting at 6:05 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you play on Fanduel I encourage you to sign up for the DFS tools to help you make the best decisions for your lineups on FanDuel, DraftKings, and Yahoo.
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Alek Manoah, SP: $10,000. Lots of expensive options for the second week in a row on Tuesday featuring 4 plays above $10,000. I landed on Manoah who is the cheapest of the four. His K rate hasn’t been what it was last year, but neither has the walk rate. He is initiating less hard contact which has dropped below 20% and his barrel rate against is a minuscule 2.8%. The Royals have a .668 OPS vs Righties so I like him to go deep and keep the Royals off the board. Keep an eye on the weather and be ready to pivot to another top arm if needed.
Keegan Thompson, SP: $6,700. This value play is brought to you by 6-0 and 1.99 ERA. That’s what Keegan Thompson is rocking for stats. The xFIP is up at 3.95 so it isn’t sustainable, but he gets the Orioles in Camden Yards Tuesday night. The O’s are the third worst team in MLB when it comes to striking out and Camden is the 25th in park metrics for Home runs allowed so I like taking a shot here as he could get 5 IP with little or no damage. The wind is blowing out in Baltimore Tuesday though so buyer beware.
Jorge Alfaro, C: $2,500. Remember in Spring Training when Alfaro was hitting like .500 and hit a home run every 6 at bats? Me either. I do remember he has been in the lineup lately and has hit safely in 4 of his last 5 and homered last week. I’ll try him at the bargain price.
Anthony Rizzo, 1B: $5,100. The Yankees will get Cole Sands and the Twins Tuesday night. Sands is just getting stretched out and will make his second start. His first effort was less than inspiring with 4 BBs, 5 hits and 4 ER allowed in 4 IP vs the powerhouse that is the Tigers. I think a Yankees stacks need to be in order on Tuesday night in Minneapolis. H to the Rizzo!
Christopher Morel, 2B: $4,300. The rookie continues to hit well and is getting on base at a .380 clip. He only has one game without a hit in his last 15 starts and gets Kyle Bradish who has gotten hit hard in his last 4 starts. Let’s hope for a multi-hit effort Tuesday night.
Nolan Arenado, 3B: $4,600. There are 8 higher priced 3B options than Arenado on the board on Tuesday night. Likely because of Jeffrey Springs success the last month. The Rays are at home so I know the game is gonna happen and Arenado has hit safely in 6 of the last 7 and has driven in 8 runs in that span. Maybe a Torenado will make an appearance inside the dome.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, SS: $3,500. Yankees look pretty as stated above and the Yanks SS has hit safely in 8 of 9. I’d like to see him hit the ball over the fence at some point, and maybe it happens against Sands. Hopefully, he can set the table at the bottom of the lineup for the top to drive him in.
Aaron Judge, OF: $6,200. I don’t know how you can leave him out of a lineup right now. Especially with a match-up like this. 6 Home Runs in last 15 games and he is punishing the ball in all zones and to all fields. I expect him in most lineups and I am not leaving him out of mine.
Kyle Schwarber, OF: $4,300. The Brewers will put Jason Alexander on the mound. It will be the 29 year olds second career start after impressing in his MLB debut vs the Cubs. Schwarber is pulling his best Joey Gallo impression so far this year, although much more successfully than Joey with 14 Home Runs and an average just short of the Mendoza line. Hopefully, he gets one out of Miller Park Tuesday.
Harrison Bader, OF: $2,700. Bader is a fairly solid option at this price. He has hit safely in his last 5 including 4 multi-hit efforts. He is also a threat to steal a base anytime he is on base and has enough pop to make me interested.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Lots of potential weather issues on Tuesday. Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Atlanta and Minnesota all have some chances of rain. Major storms are possible in Kansas City. It’s gonna be windy where the storms are, as well as in Baltimore where the wind will be blowing out.
Doing Lines In Vegas
I did mention I do a bit of Sports Handicapping. Follow me on Twitter @TheGreat Knoche for more info. I’ll give out a Free Play here every Tuesday, but you can find all my free and premium picks for MLB and a few other sports at The Odds Breakers
I’ll be on the Cubs in Baltimore. Right now they are -110, but I expect them to be more of a favorite by game time so try and get them early. I’ll also keep an eye on the Run Line for Toronto. They burned me Sunday, but I like the match-up against Brad Keller and the Royals.