Big changes since last week kibitzed away and lot’s of rankings went up and down.  The regions in the south seem to be upping the border patrol in regards to the save situation, as both Texas and Arizona are forming committees.  For this week, I would rather focus on the desert instead of the burbs of Arlington.  So with the demotion of Addison Reed and a full on committee type approach, I am throwing my sombrero on Enrique Burgos to stay, maintain, and hold the job.  I have touted him on two previous occasions as the “next gunslinger to be” down there, and well, guess what?  He’s here… sorta.  Until Chip Hale realizes that he has a 60’s sitcom name and gets his head out of the Archie comics, we may be stuck withe the veteran preference type thing.  We shouldn’t be, but most likely will be.  We have seen what Zig-Zag has done and Reed?  Well, he’s cooked in my eyes.  Enrique is the goods.  He is the typical high 90’s fastball having nonsense closer that you want.  His minor league numbers suggest a high K rate, an occasional propensity to give up a walk, but he is young and sealing his oats.  Be semi-patient, he has 18 total innings above A-ball.   So far in the majors, he has 20 k’s in 11 plus innings.  That is pretty nasty.

  • I mentioned the Texas sitch, and wanted to subtext it because I felt more compelled to do the Snakes.  The 3-headed closer-clops that will exist there is screaming for Keone Kela to take over.  Shawn Tolleson has the look to be a place holder closer until the time comes and Jeff Bannister goes all John Fogerty to Kela, just to the mound instead of center field.
  • This next week-to-ten day period is going to be a monitoring situation for the Rays closer.  Box has done absolutely nothing, but his job.  The return of Jake McGee either adds to him being more dominant, because Jake is a pretty nasty LH and can shorten the game adding to the running stat total of Brad.  Hold on to McGee for now because from my seat, which is really far from TB, he isn’t going to hurt you but help in rates, K’s, and some sneaky wins.
  • Kenley Jansen has come to bury any worry that Donnie Mismanage has with the end game for the Dodgers.  So far so good: two games, 2 innings, 5 K’s.  He is going to be in the edible category next time and deservedly so.
  • I am officially putting Kimbrel and Roldy on notice.  Rosenthal is doing it and doing it better, Miller… same thing.  Chapman and Miller are both LH, but compare the numbers… it’s close, but Miller is better.

$12 Salads

You know that restaurant your girlfriend/wife/what-have-you likes to go to that charges, like, $12 for a salad? Every time you go there, you have a thoroughly solid meal. No complaints, except you just paid $12 for a salad when you could’ve went to McDonald’s and stuffed you and your woman for ten schmools and had $2 in quarters left over to make the hotel bed vibrate. These closers are $12 salads.

1. Trevor Rosenthal – (Kevin SiegristSeth Maness)

2. Craig Kimbrel – (Joaquin Benoit, Kevin Quackenbush)

3. Andrew Miller – (Dellin Betances, David Carpenter)

4. Aroldis Chapman – (Tony Cingrani, Jumbo Diaz)

5. David Robertson – (Zach Duke, Dan Jennings)

6. Huston Street – (Joe Smith, Mike Morin)

 

Donkeycorns

Imagine you’re following a donkey, who’s wearing a wool cap, through a desert for 1700 miles. Why are you following a donkey? Because he promises you something wonderful and you just need to trust him. Does the donkey talk? Yes. Yes, he does talk. So when you and the donkey in the wool cap arrive at his destination, he removes the wool cap to reveal a horn. The donkey is a unicorn and his gift to you for your trust is saves. These closers are Donkeycorns.

7. Greg Holland– (Wade Davis, Kelvin Herrera)

8. Glen Perkins – (Aaron Thompson, Blaine Boyer)

9  Kenley Jansen — (Chris HatcherYimi Garcia)

10. Jonathan Papelbon – (Ken Giles, Jake Diekman)

11. Drew Storen – (Aaron Barrett, Tanner Roark)

12. Jeurys Familia – (Carlos Torres, Alex Torres, Bobby Parnell -DL)

13. Fernando Rodney – (Carson SmithDanny Farquhar)

14. Zach Britton – (Darren O’Day, Tommy Hunter)

15. Francisco Rodriguez, (Jonathan Broxton, Will Smith)

16. Koji Uehara – (Junichi Tazawa, Alexei Ogando)

17. Hector Rondon – (Pedro Strop, Jason Motte)

18. Mark Melancon — (Tony Watson, Jared Hughes, Arquimedes Caminero)

19. Joakim Soria –  (Joba Chamberlain, Tom Gorzellany)

20. Santiago Casilla – (Sergio Romo, Jean Machi)

21. Cody Allen – (Bryan Shaw, Zach McAllister)

22. Jason Grilli – (Jim Johnson, Luis Avilan)

 

Employed

These guys are the men that make the save market go round. They punch in, punch out. Have the job, no real threat to speak of, and are basically just there to collect great benny’s so they can take care of their crippled brother. Who is only really crippled because he is scared of the sun.

23. Luke Gregerson – (Chad Qualls, Pat Neshek)

24. Brad Boxberger – (Jake McGee, Kevin Jepsen)

25. John Axford – (Boone Logan, Rafael Betancourt)

26. Brett Cecil — (Roberto Osuna, Aaron Loup )

27. Tyler Clippard – (Sean Doolittle -DL, Dan Otero, Evan Scribner)

 

Brain Freezes

I’m going on a picnic and I’m bringing apples, bananas and Carlos Marmol– Wait, he just gave up 12 earned runs and hit Castro in the head with a pick-off throw. Brain freeze! Make it stop! Use the following closers at your own risk.

28. A.J. Ramos – (Mike Dunn. Steve Cishek)

29. Enrique Burgos – (Brad Ziegler, Addison Reed)

30. (Shawn Tolleson/Neftali FelizKeone Kela)

 

 

 
  1. Chris says:
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    What about the situation in Houston?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Chris: I know Gregerson has struggled twice in a row, and was even removed but until Hinch makes a change we are waiting. I would hold or grab Qualls and or Neshek on preparation just in case.

  2. TheTinDoor

    TheTinDoor says:
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    not that it matters within tiers, but Kimbrel above Chapman seems weird…. Chapman was better last year, and so far this year. K%, ERA, FIP, everything. if it was just two months, sure, but last year was the same thing…
    Meanwhile, Rosenthal has worse component stats than either, and last year was up and down, but is 1st? If you’re going based on this season only, Andrew Miller is below several of these guys?

    Again, not that it matters, I just don’t get the rankings much at all.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @TheTinDoor: the Rosey ranking is based on him basically getting the job done for the best team record wise. His rates pale in comparison when you factor in league averages and homer factors. I gave Kimbrel the benefit of the doubt for at least another 2 weeks, but Miller is arguably the best reliever in baseball right now.

  3. Scott says:
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    Still hold on to Ziegler until more clarity emerges?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Scott: Yea totally. Vet preference is in full play in the desert.

  4. I saw Brad Ziegler worked the 9th last night and claimed him on waivers this morning as he was dropped for Burgos (claim processed at 4:30 AM EDT).

    Later this morning on MLB Central, Ziegler basically said he’s not the closer and he’s more valuable to the club as a 7th or 8th inning guy but will do what he’s asked to help them win.

    I thought the Ziegler owner was too quick on the draw but it looks like he beat everyone to the punch in that league.

    Great work as always Smokey.!

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @WNWDOTCOM: Ziegler about to notch a save. Could be because Burgos pitched in consecutive days but hilarious either way.

      • claw dog says:
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        @RotoLance: Ziegler is the closer. Burgos only got the save in extras on monday after Ziegler pitched 2 scoreless in a tied game. then Ziegler didn’t go tuesday because he pitched 2 innings the day before.

        • @claw dog: Yep, I was about to say… AND Ziegler gets the save. Well, glad I own him.

        • RotoLance

          RotoLance says:
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          @claw dog: Thanks for those valuable details. You just saved us (or me at the very least) all the time of having to look that up ourselves, which is something I often have to do before writing my post. I’m not yet convinced it’s Ziegler’s job all to himself though.

      • @RotoLance: “I am not the closer” — hours later he records the save. Perfect example to illustrate bullpen volatility and the fact that everything managers and players say should be taken with a grain of salt.

  5. The Scrant Dog

    Potent SKittles says:
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    I have a possible trade I might be able to Initiate.
    Should I trade Daniel Murphy for Zach Birrton?
    I have Zobrist coming off the DL next week to take Murphy’s place.

    16 team points league

  6. Ed Ruane says:
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    To pick up Wada, would you rather drop Locke or DeScalfani?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Ed Ruane: Descalfani, though Locke is a streamer based on match-up depending on league size

  7. slimbo says:
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    In a sv+h league Would you drop Zeigler or yimi garcia for siegrest burgos or mccallister?

    Thanks for your report! Your the man!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @slimbo: thanks, I am a Siegrist guy. But all three adds are very ownable right now

  8. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:
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    On your May 7th post you correctly tabbed Tolleson as the next in line. Now that he’s become the (at least temporary) closer what makes you think he’s not long for his job? I don’t see anything in Kela and in fact I checked and Tolleson has him beat in FIP, xFIP and SIERA so far this year. What do you see in Kela? Thanks.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @RotoLance: Kela long term is a closer, has been in the minors. His stuff that we are seeing isn’t playing well and once he figures out his “out” pitches like in the minors he will be full sail. I like Tolleson, he is just better suited for a set-up role

  9. ashtray says:
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    As a Rosenthal owner I’m thrilled to see him skyrocket to the top of the list but I’m curious as to what led you to make that move.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @ashtray: Nice rates, team record played a big factor. I have watched a ton of Cards games this year and I am not a Cards fan or in the tv market there. He looks more confident on the mound then I previously remembered

  10. Great White North says:
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    Ziegs > Booger

      • Great White North says:
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        @RotoLance: I’d only go as far as today-wise.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Great White North: for today sure, but goods wise it’s not close.

  11. claw dog says:
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    Well I’m glad I kept Ziegler

  12. nightpandas says:
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    who is the best pickup for potential saves?

    Kela
    Qualls

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @nightpandas: Qualls for the short term, Kela over the month haul.

  13. GhostTownSteve says:
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    Ziegler got the save. He’s pretty good.

  14. Tom says:
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    I have been very lucky in my OBP H2H league and find myself with a HUGE lead. I know its extremely early but I’m looking ahead at the playoffs. Washington has a very easy schedule in September. SF has a tougher one. I was thinking about proposing my Bumgarner, Cecil, Calhoun for his Strasberg, Jansen & Betts. Is this a good idea?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Tom: I like it.

  15. Sam says:
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    Josh Harrison for T. Ross, which side do you favor?

  16. SF says:
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    O’Day is listed as next in line to Britton, but he never really seems to get HLDs?

    I own him in a HLDs league and aside from good ratios, don’t really get much else for him.

    Should I get Carson Smith over him?

    • Crapshoot Kershaw says:
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      @SF: that’s really more a function of sample size noise, as he does lead BAL with 5 holds, next closest is 2. that being said c.smith has real chance to be closing at some point, and could get more holds as well.

  17. Fred Garvin MP says:
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    Nice write up, as per usual, Smoke. I’m in a holds league and need to drop a MR so I can stream pitchers/hitters. Who gets the axe: Carson, McAllister, or Yimi?

    I’m leaning Yimi, as McAllister seems to have grabbed the position of main leverage guy for the Tribe, and Carson is the truth. What are you’re thoughts?

  18. Swfcdan says:
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    Ziegler got the SV yesterday so it looks like a commitee shituation. Or was it just because Burgos had worked 2 nights prior? Own either in both my leagues, you still betting on Burgos more going forward?

    • Swfcdan says:
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      @Swfcdan: Oh and I picked up Harris (HOU) in a holds league, wondering why he would only has 1 hold so far this year? Not sure his usage but his numbers are absurd, could he even be a very dark horse save candidate down the line?

  19. Double H says:
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    Smoke, I just acquired Brett Cecil in a deal – I already have Aaron Sanchez but need to decide between him and Osuna as the handcuff. Do you think Sanchez gets shifted back to the pen at any point or is Osuna the guy?

    Thanks

    • apoxonbothyourhouses says:
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      @Double H: I wouldn’t be surprised if Osuna gets the job some time during the Summer and keeps it for, oh, 5 years.

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