Ugh, the smell of my onsies de Mayo is so much worse than a normal day.  I reek of sizzlin’ fajitas and am all cotton-mouthed from… well let’s just say alcohol.  So attacking the usual Saturday bullpen rundown is a dizzying affair to say the least.  Speaking of a dizzying places, let’s look at the Rockies bullpen situation; it’s definitely not all kush, but it’s not charcoal brick pack.  The trust in Jake McGee is still there, because to be honest, the talent level behind him isn’t really there, is not ready, or has no experience in the end-of-game thing.  Behind Jake are Chad Qualls, who has pitched the majority of the right-handed match-ups in the 8th inning with a smattering of Boone Logan mixed in.  Now, I was nervous about McGee’s K-rate until I saw what Qualls’ was.  The stout bunch of McGee and Qualls have a combined K/9 over the last 14 games of 5.16.  That is combined!  I can’t make up this stuff.  The role of closer is most likely safe because the next guy up is Qualls, and well, if that last stat statement wasn’t enough to make you bored, I don’t know what else to say.  The look of the rest of the pen is very unproven with Scott Oberg, Justin Miller, and Gonzalez Germen.  What this bullpen needs is a youth movement to come front and center.  They have the guys there, but aren’t utilizing them in a role that is conducive for anything outside of dynasty leagues that count holds.  Eddie Butler and Carlos Estevez (no not that one) are a good start to what could be a decent mix.  And yes, I see Butler as a bullpen arm.  Getting chances are sparser than other teams for the Rockies, but with time, and once they start invigorating the youth into the chain of holds and saves command, progress will be made even above sea level.  Let’s see what other gobs of knowledge we have for the closers over the last few weeks…

  • The Yankees preseason had the bullpen of dreams.  So far, it has been the “bullpen not getting a lead”.  They have six save opportunities all year.  Add in that they have only five Holds as a team and only have 19 appearances by relievers combined with a lead…  Yes the K’s and all that jazz are spooktacular, but the underlying other stats that we hope to compile are blanking.
  • The Marlins have gone from a lot of questionable parts to a nice source of bullpen help.  David Phelps was basically a throw-in with the trade that brought Prado to the Yanks.  He is has four holds and a save in his last six appearances and clearly looks to be the guy behind Ramos and in front of Kyle Barraclough (who is the gas of the Marlins pen with his ever elevating K-rate of 14.9).  I mentioned in preseason he was a guy to watch as a keen K/9 horse.  Nice to be right sometimes.
  • Confidence in Cishek is climbing as he looks to have cured the yips from last year that sank his closer ship.  Six saves in the last 14 games and K’ing well over a guy an inning.  No Benoit and no Zych make him comfy there for the time being.
  • The Reds bullpen options now stand at 53 different guys with Ross Ohlendorf now in the mix.  I think they are cheating because the roster is only allowed 25 players.  No sign of Norm Charlton yet.
  • Remember in Kindergarten when we all learned to tell time?  Someone grab Tolleson and tell him it’s about up.  The way that Dyson and Diekman have been pitching they have to be in the discussion for top-5 Lh/RH setup duo this year. Welcome back.  You will soon be rostered everywhere that people pay attention.  Congrats.

 

Closer d’Etat  (Top set-up guys next up for saves)

A new feature that I have been looking to add is the top set-up guys who are either pitching well or are right behind the closer.  Getting the off day save for a shaky closer or someone who can jump in for a downed king of saves.  Never hurts to bag an extra reliever for your bench at best they either don’t play, you bench them or the do well.  No one ever does bad for someone we all roster…

$12 Salads

You know that restaurant your girlfriend/wife/what-have-you likes to go to that charges, like, $12 for a salad? Every time you go there, you have a thoroughly solid meal. No complaints, except you just paid $12 for a salad when you could’ve went to McDonald’s and stuffed you and your woman for ten schmools and had $2 in quarters left over to make the hotel bed vibrate. These closers are $12 salads.

1. Kenley Jansen – (Pedro Baez, Chris Hatcher)

2. Wade Davis – (Kelvin Herrera, Joakim Soria)

3. Trevor Rosenthal – (Kevin Siegrist, Seung-hwan Oh)

4. Jeurys Familia – (Addison Reed, Jim Henderson)

5. Craig Kimbrel – (Koji Uehara, Junichi Tazawa, Carson Smith)

6. David Robertson – (Nate JonesMatt Albers)

7. Andrew Miller – (Dellin Betances, Jonny Barbato, Aroldis Chapman– Susp)

 

Donkeycorns

Imagine you’re following a donkey, who’s wearing a wool cap, through a desert for 1700 miles. Why are you following a donkey? Because he promises you something wonderful and you just need to trust him. Does the donkey talk? Yes. Yes, he does talk. So when you and the donkey in the wool cap arrive at his destination, he removes the wool cap to reveal a horn. The donkey is a unicorn and his gift to you for your trust is saves. These closers are Donkeycorns.

8. Zach Britton – (Darren O’Day, Mychal Givens)

9. Hector Rondon – (Pedro Strop, Justin Grimm)

10. Jonathan Papelbon – (Shawn Kelley, Blake Treinen, Felipe Riviero)

11.  Mark Melancon – (Tony Watson, Neftali Feliz)

12. Francisco Rodriguez – (Mark Lowe, Justin Wilson)

13  Cody Allen – (Bryan Shaw, Zach McAllister)

14. A.J. Ramos – (David Phelps, Kyle Barraclough)

15. Roberto Osuna – (Drew Storen, Brett Cecil)

16. Luke Gregerson – (Ken GilesPat Neshek)

17. Ryan Madson – (Sean Doolittle,  John Axford)

18. Santiago Casilla – (Josh OsichHunter Strickland,)

Employed

These guys are the men that make the save market go round. They punch in, punch out. Have the job, no real threat to speak of, and are basically just there to collect great benny’s so they can take care of their crippled brother. Who is only really crippled because he is scared of the sun.

19. Steve Cishek – (Joel Peralta, Nick Vincent)

20. Jeremy Jeffress –  (Tyler Thornburg, Mike Blazek)

21. Shawn Tolleson – (Sam Dyson, Jake Diekman)

22. Brad Ziegler – (Daniel HudsonTyler Clippard)

23. Jeanmar Gomez – (Hector Neris, Andrew Bailey, David Hernandez)

24. Fernando Rodney – (Kevin Quackenbush, Brandon Maurer, Ryan Buchter)

25. Alex Colome – (Danny FarquharXavier Cedeno)

26. Jake McGee – (Chad Qualls, Boone Logan)

 

Brain Freezes

I’m going on a picnic and I’m bringing apples, bananas and Carlos Marmol– Wait, he just gave up 12 earned runs and hit Castro in the head with a pick-off throw. Brain freeze! Make it stop! Use the following closers at your own risk.

27. Joe Smith – (Fernando Salas, Greg Mahle)

28. Arodys Vizcaino / Jason Grilli –  (Jim Johnson)

29. Kevin Jepsen – (Trevor May, Ryan Pressley)

30. Ross OlhendorfCaleb Cotham / Jumbo Diaz / Tony Cingrani

 
  1. Baseball Fan 2000 says:
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    who do you think will close when boxberger returns: brad or colome? also, would you rather add boxberger or neris?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Baseball Fan 2000: I think Colome keeps it until Boxberger shows he is ready. So not right when he comes back

  2. Petey says:
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    Morning Smokey,
    Great closer report…helps ALot! I’ve got too many RPs and was thinking to drop Jeffress to boost my OF production. It’s a 10 team H2H points league. I’ve already got Davis, Familia and ARamos. Thoughts on Jeffress rest of the season? Thanks much.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Petey: Never drop a closer, consolidate via trade sure. Your OF can’t be that rough for a 10 teamer? or is it?

  3. Ante GALIC says:
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    Smokey!

    Love the report as always! Have been loving Barraclough (I pronounce it Bear Claw to make it easier). Also rocking Maurer and newly-added Phelps to the helm of my team that has only Miller for saves and soon he’ll be back in the 8th INN!

    In a 12-team, RCL 5X5 would you add Diekman over Brach?

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Brach, his whip is a useful thing. K’s are on par with Diekman

      • Odor's Odorizzi Spray says:
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        @Smokey: Best to think about him as the Berra Claw. RIP.

  4. zaphrodesiac says:
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    How much better does Arodys have to be? I’m prettaay sure Grilli is in the rear view.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @zaphrodesiac: oh totally is and he has the job, just based on quanity he is low ranked, and I should have closed the parenthesis on Grilli

  5. Sam says:
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    Smokey, a guy in my league (std roto 5×5 – 14 team, 27 man rosters — auction style with price escalation) was selling off his assets for keepers, and the guy who is currently at the top got Stanton. So I made this deal: my Franco (keep at $12.. then 18.. 25) and Salazar (15.. 22.. 29) for McCutchen (unkeepable imo) and K.Bryant (44). Did I do the right thing trading off such a good asset in Franco to try and stay alive this season (my team is stacked either way and I still have good keepers)?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Sam: well winning now is better than havoing good keepers for next year and maybe winning next year. Always play to win!!!

      • Sam says:
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        @Smokey: So you think it was a good move?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Sam: yea

  6. Chucky says:
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    12 team 6×6 with Holds as an additional category, as well as saves. Picked up J Smith but with the injury to Richards, it just seems that the Save opportunities will be far and few between. Considering adding another setup- Holds guy. With the exception of Neris listed above, all of the aforementioned setup guys are available. Currently am using Jones as my setup with Rosie as my closer, so I can go either closer or setup as my 3rd in a weekly pen. Of course the other counting stats are important as well. Would you drop Smith for anyone of your aforementioned, Oh and Oday are also available.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Chucky: Don’t drop the closer there, wait til Street comes back at least, then make the re-assessment to your roster.

  7. Oranje says:
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    Ramos or Cishek this week? I start D-Rob as my other RP. Thanks

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Oranje: Ramos and yes on D-rob

  8. Martin Harris says:
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    Cingrani with the save. Thoughts. Ohlendorf is availablein my nl only league. Should I grab?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Martin Harris: in Nl sure its ok to chase all save opps. Even the hole that is the Reds pen.

  9. Scott says:
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    Hi Smokey! Would you take Osich and/or Diekman over Nate Jones and/or Addison Reed?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Scott: Osich and Reed very close. I prefer Osich because I think he is closer to an emergency save blanket then Reed

  10. PancakeMaker says:
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    Was offered Familia in a league but I turned down the trade. I can’t shake the feeling that he’s pitching hurt or with the dreaded “tired arm.” Should I go back to the table? Or stay away?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @PancakeMaker: ehh if it would leave you short a closer I wouldn’t, unless a deal is too good to be true

      • PancakeMaker says:
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        @Smokey: he’s eyeing my younger SPs (it’s a dynasty, he’s rebuilding) and draft picks. That combination for a guy I’m not fully confident in this season just seems too high

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @PancakeMaker: wel depends on the pitching being asked. Familia is still going to get ya saves for days and is young in his own mind at 26

  11. Jon says:
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    So you’d want to own Osich over May?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Jon: no, did I miss that he was available?

  12. Scott says:
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    Happy stream vs San Diego day!

    Todays guest star, Bartolo Colon.

    Keep your fingers crossed.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Scott: can Bartolo even cross his fingers

      • Scott says:
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        @Smokey: he can’t cross his arms for sure!

  13. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Smokey

    I am very concerned about Matt Harvey. I think it might be time to trade him. What pitcher can I get in fair trade value for him?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Scott Kimmel: As you should be try anx still get name value offer about equal and hope for Salazar, Lester group maybe

  14. Eric B says:
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    I’m chock full of “employed” and “brain freeze” closers in a league that hordes closers, with the exception being Kimbrel. With that info I’m curious how much I should be worried about Tolleson? Dyson is on the wire but I’d likely have to drop Berrios to add him, is that handcuff worth it? Or should I look to trade Tolleson now for bat or an SP and (in doing so) likely give up my current advantage in saves? My roster is below:
    ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS and 4 keepers per season

    C Molina
    1B Cabrera
    2B Daniel Murphy
    3B Seager
    SS Castro
    OF Stanton
    OF Springer
    OF Polanco
    UTIL OF Burns
    UTIL OF/DH Sano
    Bench 2B/SS A. Russell
    DL Pollock

    SP Salazar
    SP Corbin
    RP Kimbrel
    RP McGee
    P T. Walker
    P Odorizzi
    P C.Rodon
    P Gausman
    Bench SP Berrios
    Bench SP Kennedy
    Bench RP Vizcaino
    Bench RP Tolleson
    DL SP E-Rod

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Eric B: if not a dynasty or keeper, does Berrios really offer more then a streamer, he is at best ur 5th best starter as is so cuffing yourself and streaming about it later may be the better idea

      • Eric B says:
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        @Smokey: Thanks Smokey, trying to be proactive, I had hoped to flip Berrios, but his 1st 2 starts didnt really help me in that department.Its a keeper league but we can only keep 4 players per year for a max of 3 seasons, so doubtful Berrios would be one unless he really took off and looked like an Ace.

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Eric B: with so few keepers kept his trade value isn’t ther yet this year that I see

  15. jal179 says:
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    Rondon for Liriano fair? I’m getting killed in Ws and QS.

    His only closer is Tolleson.

    It’s a weekly H2h 10 team redraft 7 x 6 (Hits, OPS, QS). Wire has NOTHING for starters other than garbage streamers.

    Thoughts? Think I could punt saves altogether in that format?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @jal179: as long as you have the hitters to capitalize on the extra hitting cat, but it’s a fair deal

  16. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    what up Smoke.

    who’s the better stash for saves – May, Ohlendorf, Jumbo Diaz or Storen (with Osuna’s groin thing now)?

    Thanks mang

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @SheriffMcRawDawg: May, I still think we get a good dose of him later on in the season

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @Smokey: sweet. who’s the drop – schoop, deshields, ketel or danny santana? can play segura at 2b and slide either of the latter two to MI. more in need of steals than power…

        thanks again

  17. Chisoxx_22 says:
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    I’m leading in saves and losing badly in era whip and ks. I have kimbrel side in this trade, what are your thoughts? Kimbrel/grey for casilla/bumgarner

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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      @Chisoxx_22: bum side.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Chisoxx_22: agree Bum side

  18. Shogun says:
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    Who would you rather have in a Saves+Holds league with K/9, H2H. Sam Dyson or Addison Reed?

    Thanks! Loved your columns for years now.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Shogun: Dyson

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Shogun: and thanks for the years of love

  19. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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    hatcher’s finally lost his job. 20 team dynasty with 7 RP slots per team, holds, relief wins, relief appearances, OBPA, saves (and i’m down to one closer), K/9.
    i have giles/tolleson/diekman/hatcher/j.peralta/cedeno/salas\

    drop hatcher for which of j.chavez (moving up in TOR), ollie perez (somewhat down the pecking order at WAS but good stats), barnette, or one of possible saves darkhorses of delabar, j.miller, estevez. butler of course could be grabbed down the line, but definitely NOT till he’s being used as RP.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Aubrey Plaza’s Pillow: yuck…Delabar I guess until he shows us that he is the old, old Delabar and not the really awful version

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @Smokey: Delabar or Ohlendorf? Any of them over may or Dyson for potential saves (got them already)?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @SheriffMcRawDawg: yuck rates are going to be awful, your league probably isn’t as deep Dawg

          • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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            @Smokey: it’s true I did just puke in my mouth a little, but most prospective saves guys are held, it’s a 12 teamed w/ deep rosters, weekly lock, so it’s more about grabbing one and seeing how it plays out. Kind of leery with familia, Andrew Miller, Jeanmar, and then Dyson and may as it stands…

            • Smokey

              Smokey says:
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              @SheriffMcRawDawg: Ohlendorff it is then and hope he goes all Mr. Perfect

        • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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          @SheriffMcRawDawg: ohlendork, he’s at least head of committee now if saves only.

  20. Branta says:
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    Should I pick up Barraclough or Rodney or hold Hector Neris?

    12 team keeper league h2h with K/HR/ERA/WHIP/QS/NSVH pitching categories

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Branta: Hold Neris.

  21. Dave says:
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    Drop Neris and pickup May?
    Gomez keeps piling up saves. Jepsen is nearly toast.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Dave: If no Hoklds league sure

  22. Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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    lowe fairly shit lately, drop him in dynasty 16 teamer with 6 RP slots for which of: salas/maurer (finally calmed down, good lately)/osich/kelley/bedrosian/jepsen? net saves and holds is why jepsen is out there.

    • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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      @Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey: FIP says kelley, but a LOT (.7 FIP on SEASON!). this is esp funny as dusty had no reason to demote kelley for treinen in the first place. treinen’s performance finally forced his hand.

        • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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          @Smokey: of course if “performance” actually led dusty to anything t.turner would’ve started year in MLB then. my guess is treinen tied his shoes in a “rugged” manner in the preseason and dusty took to him.

  23. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    Smokey would you trade Rusney for Trevor May? 15 team AL dynasty league with 5 RP positions, saves+holds?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @SheriffMcRawDawg: Well considering I think his future may not be with the red sox absolutely, unless you have weird retention rights in your AL league. Rusney has a 2nd of salary with 4-5th of skill

  24. jon says:
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    Hey Smokey,

    Does this worry you at all about Neris? “Hector Neris threw a scoreless eighth for his eighth hold of the year. Neris has a fantastic strikeout rate and a shiny 1.70 ERA but he’s also benefiting from an unsustainable .171 BABIP and a 100% Left on Base Percentage. Neris is undoubtedly the sexier reliever but he has some possible regression coming which could keep Gomez’ job fairly secure.”

    I’m trying to shuffle my RPs and am loathe to drop Neris. Is it getting too cute to trademy McGee for upgrade somewhere and then slot in Neris to my 3rd of 3 RP slots? Would give me Chapman, Davis, Neris as my 3 RPs.

    Thanks!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @jon: I mean if your league doesn’t count hold then well color me confused. Neris has everything you want regardless of format. I like the idea of trading McGee why his save total is climbing and his peripheral numbers, K’s and a bad environment for era and whip.

      • jon says:
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        @Smokey: Here’s the follow-up.

        Got offered T. May and $3 FAAB (we started with $100) for my McGee. Could put May in SP slot and keep Neris. Would give me 2 elite SVs (Davis, Chapman) and 2 great RPs with a shot (May, Neris). Getting too cute?

        12-team 5×5 h2h with 4 SP slots, 3 RP slots and deep benches.

        • jon says:
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          @jon: We don’t count holds so I’d be trading a guy with a job basically for 2 guys with great numbers and proximity (May and Neris). May’s SP eligibility would allow me to keep him there and goose extra Ks and ratios – and hopefully saves eventually – with Davis, Chapman and Neris in my RP slots.

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @jon: seems like a win win, potential for the best RP with SP eligibility down the road is a good thing to take the chance on

  25. JoeG414 says:
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    I’m looking for a RP to help with K’s/9….. O’Day or Floyd ?
    6×6 mixed roto ,Non Holds league .
    I would have to trade for O’Day. Floyd is a fa.
    Thoughts on both ?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @JoeG414: Take and ride the Floyd while he is pitching with a hot hand. Streaming relievers is fun, and with Cecil out for a spell he could get some significant leverage positions

Comments are closed.