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The royal we already went over all the hitters for 2026 fantasy baseball rankings. That’s not the “royal we” as that term usually implies. It was me writing it alone while wearing a Burger King crown. I refuse to draft a top starter where they are usually drafted. Unlike hitters, you need six starters, depending on your league depth. In most leagues, there’s a ton of pitchers on waivers that can help you — all year. Not just in April. With the help of the Stream-o-Nator, you can get by with, say, three starters while streaming the rest. (By the by, Razzball Subscriptions are now open. Early subscribers get Rudy’s War Room, which I haven’t drafted without in about seven years, and it’s worth the price of a subscription alone.) There’s also the fact that three stats by starters are difficult to predict due to luck. Wins, ERA and WHIP are prone to change, depending on which way the ball bounces and whether or not the guys behind the pitchers can score runs or play defense. Finally, the best starters only give you four categories. The best hitters can give you five categories. Here’s Steamer’s 2026 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Hitters and 2026 Fantasy Baseball Projections for Pitchers. Anyway, here’s the top 20 starters for 2026 fantasy baseball:

NOTE I: All my rankings are currently available on Patreon for the price of a Starbucks coffee, if you get one of those extra grande frappuccino jobbers. Don’t wait for the rankings to come out over the next month, and get them all now.

NOTE II: Free agents are listed as just that and not yet projected. Once a guy signs, I will write out their blurb and add in projections, or remove them, if they sign in an unfavorable place. They are ranked currently where I think they might be if they sign on for a full-time job.

1. Tarik Skubal –  Went over him in the top 20 for 2026 fantasy baseball.

2. Paul Skenes – Went over him in the top 20 for 2026 fantasy baseball.

3. Garrett Crochet – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Yamamoto. I call this tier, “Hanging out with Neil, Patrick, Harris.” I do the rankings and write-ups in the order you see them: top 10, top 20, then catchers and around the horn. I tell you this to try to properly express how excited I am to finally get to talk about pitchers. Imagine you’re 75 words into a blurb about Jake Meyers and you’re like, “Can I please just write about velocity for, like, ten minutes?” I know I have the best pitcher rankings — ACKSUALLY Fantasy Pros said I had the best Fantasy Baseball rankings in 2024 and 2nd best last year, which I tell ya because my arms are too short to reach my back — and I wonder if it’s not slightly because I’m so eager to dig into pitching after a month of my time writing about hitting. Yes, what you read over the course of two weeks takes me twice as long. Any hoo! Pitching! *breathes in* Smell it up, baby! Smell it up! It smells great, right? It sure does! Okay, now don’t draft any of the guys in this tier. Allow me to explain.

Your buddy tells you to meet him at this place, because Neil Patrick Harris is gonna be there, and you’re like, “Holy crap, Doogie Howser, that’s amazing!” You rush over there with some memorabilia for him to sign that you plan on keeping and not immediately putting on eBay because you are a stan, as the kids say, though the kids would know him from How I Met Your Mother and not Doogie Howser, but alas! So, you get there, and it’s three guys named Neil, Patrick and Harris. That disappointment is what you will have when you draft one of the guys in this tier. (I keep my pitching tier names the same year after year, so I can transfer my pitchers’ pairing tool easily. You’ll get over your outrage.)

So, to continue the diatribe I give every year, if these starters were to fall in drafts to where I’m willing to draft a starter, I will draft any and/or all of them. It’s not about them as much as it’s about their draft slot. Sure, I have actual problems with some starters, which I’ll get to, but if any of the guy in this tier (or Skubal or Skenes) fell to around 50th overall in a draft? Sure, at that point, you have to draft one, because I would be drafting a starter by then. (Thank you for not laughing too loud when I said Skenes or Skubal (or any of these guys) would fall to pick 50.) For unstints, I always draft a starter around 50th overall (give or take ten picks, depending on size of league and rules), so if I’m in a draft with eleven other Greys and we’re sitting there discussing boba and how we’re totally Swifties and just general BS’ing, and all of us forget to draft a starter, I’d draft Skubal at 50th overall, then Skenes, then Crochet, then Yamamoto. So, this is a ranking of my starters, it’s just unrealistic for me to say I’m actually drafting these guys. They’ll be gone before I’m willing to draft a starter. Yes, I love the pitchers in this tier. They are great. There, I said it. But I will never roster them. You’ve read some form of this before from me. The names change, but it’s same general gist. By the way, my high school band, General Gist, was so rocking in the general vicinity of a crowd!

Last year, this tier I told you to avoid was: Skenes, Skubal and Wheeler. Skubal and Skenes were great, Wheeler injured. The year before this tier was Strider and Cole, who were travesties that year. Pitchers are just too fickle.

Last year if you rostered Cristopher Sanchez, Carlos Rodon, Freddy Peralta, Ranger Suarez and Nathan Eovaldi, you would’ve walked away with your league’s pitching categories and not drafted any top starters. Am I cherrypicking? Yes, just like you could’ve cherrypicked last year’s pitchers based on my suggestions!

You could’ve had Cristopher Sanchez, Carlos Rodon, Freddy Peralta, Ranger Suarez and Nathan Eovaldi and not drafted one starter before 50th overall.

Yes, I brought out the repeat in bold to emphasize.

In some leagues, you could do fine NOT drafting ANY starters. Yes, I brought out the caps.

I’m not only talking about H2H leagues where you can carry only relievers. I’m talking 10 or 12-team roto leagues, where you can stream starters. Maybe you roster one starter and stream five spots. Maybe you roster two guys and stream four spots. Maybe you drink seven cups of coffee and stream all day. Even if you want to draft an entire rotation and hold them (or try to), you don’t need a guy from this tier. There’s plenty of options later to fill out your rotation so you’re competitive in leagues where you can’t stream. I’m not suggesting you Reggie Roby starters. I’m telling you to Reggie Roby top starters. Concentrate on your hitting while these guys are being drafted.

It’s like this every year. Without fail. In the preseason, everyone will be telling you that you need a top starter, some people might even tell you that you need two top starters. What they never say, or purposely fail to mention is how every year there’s starters in the “top starters” who weren’t there a year ago, so you could’ve had a top starter without paying for one. I told you to draft Hunter Brown in every league last year; draft Freddy Peralta, I said; Cristopher Sanchez, I drafted, and told you to; I loved Carlos Rodon and Eovaldi, two guys who finished in the top 20 starters last year who you could’ve grabbed everywhere. You could’ve had Matthew Boyd in every single league, if you wanted him. Every year I tell you which starters to draft later, then the following year all of those starters are in the top 20. You think this is an accident? Just luck? Look at my rankings from previous years. You didn’t need Skubal or Skenes or others last year, and you don’t need the guys I tell you to avoid this year.

There’s dozens of starters to roster, and you need at most six. For whatever reason, everyone forgets how many starters are available later. Nathan Eovaldi was barely drafted and he was the 14th best starter last year! 14th best starter overall! (I included him in my starters sleepers last year to grab late, by the way, and natch.) People always tell you that you need a starter in the 1st couple of rounds. You do not.

I’m being 100% serious when I tell you that if someone tells you that you need a top starter, you should question everything they tell you. If they tell you to draft two aces, then you should make an anonymous call for help. They need it.

As for Crochet, I nearly ranked him in the top 20 overall. He’s as good as Skenes and Skubal. Also, I told you to draft Crochet last year, if he fell. Though, I’m not victory lapping that one, because drafting Crochet as late as 45 overall was likely a pipe dream. I ain’t doing pipe dreams, my main homeys. I’m doing realistic triangles. On the top peak of the realistic triangle, it says, “Me.” On the bottom left of the realistic triangle, it says, “Sorry.” On the bottom right of the realistic triangle, it says, “Sucker.” As in, Me on top and Sorry, Sucker. I know what you’re thinking, “Ooh, I can turn the realistic triangle and it will have Me on bottom and “Sorry” on the top and “Sucker” on the other side, and read, “Sorry, Sucker Me.” No, you can’t turn the triangle. These are realistic triangle and are permanently nailed to the ground. They don’t turn! Wait, what the hell was I talking about? Oh, yeah, Crochet, he had a 11.2 K/9, 2 BB/9, and it was in 205 1/3 IP. Yeah, he’s basically Skubal and Skenes. Might even be better than Skenes, but Fenway deducts some points, due to the park, BABIP and what it means for WHIP, and, well, there’s nothing wrong with him, but I’m not drafting him, so let’s move on. 2026 Projections: 15-4/2.49/1.01/264 in 208 IP

4. Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Remember where I wrote:

You could’ve had Cristopher Sanchez, Carlos Rodon, Freddy Peralta, Ranger Suarez and Nathan Eovaldi and not drafted one starter before 50th overall?

I hope so, I just freakin’ wrote it. Anyway, where I wrote:

You could’ve had Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Carlos Rodon, Freddy Peralta, Ranger Suarez and Nathan Eovaldi and not drafted one starter before 50th overall.

I removed Yamamoto because I’m being generous and trying to be as accurate as possible. I don’t remember Yamamoto’s ADP, so maybe he wasn’t available after 50. I drafted him in multiple leagues last year, so it was likely that he was draftable. Remember, he was coming off a kinda meh 2024. That’s the whole point of these early starter rankings. The only thing to take away here in these first four starters is how fickle these guys are. They’re like Derek Turnbow. Not Derek Turnbow, the former Brewers’ closer, but Derek Turnbow on the new season of Stranger Things. He hated them, then he was brought in on the kids’ plan and guess what, he liked them. Fickle, man! ACKSUALLY, the ex-Brewers’ closer, Derek Turnbow, was fickle too. They’re all fickle! Every Derek Turnbow! Just like these starters! Yamamoto could be the 4th best starter or the 40th. Same with all of these guys. That’s not to say my rankings suck; starters are just unpredictable. It’s like this every year.

As for Yamamoto, he might be even more fickle than the first three because I’m giving him a bunch of wins — perhaps the ficklest of categories — and Yamamoto’s peripherals are by far the worst of the top four starters (still good, but not the first three guys). 2026 Projections: 17-5/2.56/0.98/211 in 177 IP

5. Hunter Brown – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Sanchez. I call this tier, “Fill my holes with dry rice to reduce moistness.” I imagine by now you are moist for starters. Well, before you fill your holes with dry rice to reduce moistness, I have a special treat for you:  You can begin to draft starters. See, that wasn’t too long, was it? Great, I didn’t think so either, and I could tell you were overflowing with moistness, so I’m happy to tell you starters are now available. But you might want to chew on a sanitary napkin or rub deodorant on your forehead, because it might actually be longer before you can draft a starter. Here’s the thing, and, yes, there’s always a thing. I will absolutely draft someone in this tier, but I won’t reach for them. If they make it to around 50 overall, or under $30 in auctions, then I’d happily draft one to reduce my moistness, and remove the dry rice from my holes. See, I don’t punt all starters, just the very top ones. Just don’t reach for one of these guys.

As for Brown, it’s worth saying that if he’s drafted at, like, 35 overall, then you will not draft him. You should wait until around pick 45 or so. Do dot dot. So, if you’re in a snake draft and you have pick, say, 43 and don’t draft again until pick 54, it’s fine to wait if very few starters have been drafted, but if a few starters are off the board and you need to draft a starter at pick 43, then by all means. Will Brown be there? I see his max pick is after pick 50, so maybe. It’s impossible to say. I doubt he’s available, but, with caveats, you can draft him if he is.

As for Brown (really this time), his perfs might even be better than Yamamoto. Nearly pushed him up a slot, but Yamamoto’s O-Contact was nearly 10% better and, while a lower Z-Contact% does more for my nethers, their Z-Contact’s were close to a push. Brown threw less pitches in the zone; almost the least amount of pitches in the zone behind FreddyKBB, Cease and Rodon, and had a higher Contact% than Yoshi. It’s splitting hairs. 2026 Projections: 14-7/2.58/1.01/212 in 186 IP

6. Bryan Woo – I love Woo. I am a fan of excitement, and I have excitement for Woo. I am woo for Woo. With this ranking, you Woo’d think it. ERA is goofy, but the top 12 for ERA over the last two years wasn’t goofy:

It’s almost like if a guy has great stuff, that it doesn’t matter how goofy ERA is as a stat. If you’re good, you’ll pitch to a good ERA. (Skenes’s is so hilarious.) I cut it off at two years for two good reasons. One, we’d lose Woo if I pushed it to three years, and more importantly is if you push this list to three years you lose all kinds of guys and gain pitchers like Michael King, Gerrit Cole and Blake Snell. That tells me once again how fickle pitching is. I hope all these guys are healthy and great in 2026, but there’s gonna be at least ten guys from this top 20 that are either not good or hurt. As for Woo, he excels in one of my favorite categories to look at for pitching, the category that I say, if you lose your pitching ranks right before the draft, you can look at this stat and just draft based on it: K-BB%. 2026 Projections: 13-9/2.86/0.96/204 in 194 IP

7. Cristopher Sanchez – Ya know what’s interesting about the graphic above, and how I said a three years sample size starts to get goofy? Sanchez would be 9th best for ERA if you moved it to three years. Sanchez became better last year, thanks to velocity increase, but he wasn’t bad the previous years thanks to elite K-BB, and mostly elite BB/9. As I said back when the pitch clock was first instituted, we’re gonna find that elite walk rates are more important than strikeouts, and, now with hindsight, I think I was right on. When you have The Naylor 27, the pitch clock turned every walk into a double, so keeping guys off base became even more important. Kinda wonder what some elite guys of the past would look like with the pitch clock. You think young Cy Young Scherzer would be a Cy guy every year with the pitch clock? Randy Johnson? I don’t know, maybe. Any hoo! I’d happily draft Sanchez in every league. 2026 Projections: 12-6/2.84/1.04/196 in 192 IP

8. Hunter Greene – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until Fried. I call this tier, “Eat your ideal lover’s weight in cookie dough.” The tier name is a self-help tip. Much like any pizza can be a personal pan pizza with some dedication. Or wait until midnight on Valentine’s Day, go to Wal-Mart and buy 50% off candy so you can gorge yourself. Another self-help tip for a person is drafting a starting pitcher. So, stop reading, Who Moved My String Cheese, get off your butt and draft a starter! Now!

Quick check-in on where we are with starters, there’s not a ton of starters to reduce moistness in the previous tier, but there are a lot of cookie doughs. I think that’s because pitchers are so damn fluky right now, that I just can’t get behind pushing them to reduce moistness, but I can see going with one in the cookies, because this tier is more, “Well, ya gotta draft one at some point, so why not now?” The tier of “Sure, what the heck” vs. the tier of “Sure as heck.”

As for Greene, I want to draft him everywhere. I’m about to get stupid and draft him in an AL-Only in case the Reds trade him. Greene has Skenes or Skubal peripherals; he just needs to stay on the field and healthy. Now, you might think, there’s no chance of that happening with Greene. I don’t know. Maybe. That feels like a misnomer. If a guy throws 200 innings last year or throws 107 2/3 IP like Greene, the guy who threw less is more of a risk? I don’t think it works like that. This is anecdotal, but I look at drafting starters like musical chairs. You grab a starter that you like and ride them out, and hope you get out on them before the music stops or you’re stuck with an injured pitcher. Skenes, Skubal, etc. seem indestructible and healthy, until they’re not. See Zack Wheeler, Spencer Strider, Gerrit Cole, as a few examples from the last few years. Or look at the graphic in the top 20 for Skenes. It should send a chill up your spine. 2026 Projections: 10-9/2.81/0.98/203 in 167 IP

9. Logan Gilbert – So, debated where to rank Gilbert for about forty-five minutes. Looked at everything, but it kept coming back to ‘elbow issue in April’ vs. what he did when he came back. Had him as high as 4th starter overall to here. This is as low as I went with him, and decided to stop here. He returned in June, and, while he wasn’t touching 96+ MPH on average like he was the previous year, he was hitting 95.5 MPH and it’s his splitter that puts fear into hitters and that was fine after his return. Think I might actually be the low man on Logan, but I just couldn’t get past the elbow thing to move him up. He is still firmly in a tier where I would draft him. Just has more of the caveat “depends on the price” than some of the guys above him. Everything is gorge, besides the elbow issue. The perfs are some of the best you’re gonna find. 2026 Projections: 12-8/3.19/1.02/197 in 183 IP

10. Logan Webb – This guy is a great example of what I was saying with Greene. Does Webb really have better chance of staying healthy because he has been? I don’t know. We’ll see, I guess. Webb’s also a great example of my Lifetime ADP. Was Webb barely a top 25 starter last year? Is he really a top 10 starter this year? Or is he just always the 20th best starter and our perceptions alter slightly every year? Or am I smoking too much weed? No, if the latter was true, I would’ve said Logan Webb sounds like Wolverine and Spiderman’s adoptive son. In fairness to our constantly changing perceptions on Webb, one year he’s a 8+ K/9, then 7.6 then 9.7. What’s your truth?! Prolly somewhere in the middle. The positive and why he never falls dramatically in value is he has great command. Once again: BB/9. 2026 Projections: 13-9/3.18/1.22/197 in 201 IP

11. Kyle Bradish – I’ll talk a lot about which pitchers I can trust to stay healthy and which I can’t, and how there’s no real rhyme or reason. I’ll say things about how this guy returned from injury, so I trust him a bit more than this guy who didn’t return, but then you won’t see Cole Ragans for a few, who did return from injury before the end of the season. Well, whether this is an accurate reason or not, I trust guys who returned from Tommy John surgery more than anyone else. Tommy John surgery by this point is like grandma getting a hip replacement. She’s back on the links hitting balls into the water trap within six weeks. I don’t know if this makes 100% sense, but it does in my mind: If a guy misses time last year because of a sore shoulder or a sore elbow, then returns, I am cautiously optimistic. If a guy comes back from Tommy John, I’m just optimistic. No caution. I am a lot more worried about guys who have an injury and get no surgery than a guy who goes and gets his injury fixed (in theory, it’s fixed, nothing is 100%). I spent so much time on Bradish’s return from Tommy John, because that’s the only reason I can imagine tapping the brakes. Everything else is gorgeous. He was an ace the year before the surgery (2.83 ERA, 9 K/9, 2.4 BB/9 in 168 2/3 IP) and he returned looking like exactly that again (13.2 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 2.53 ERA in 32 IP). As I keep saying, a guy who pitched less innings last year isn’t a cause for concern, it means he’s gonna be fresher. Give me all the Bradish shares. 2026 Projections: 12-5/3.12/1.05/170 in 158 IP

12. Shohei Ohtani – This is for Shohei Ohtani, the pitcher. The hitter/pitcher Ohtani is in the top 10 overall. His pitching stats are insane. He’s thrown 528 2/3 IP in his MLB career and has a 3.00 ERA and 11.41 K/9 with a 3.1 BB/9. If I thought I was getting 175+IP, I would’ve ranked him in the top three for starters. And he’s a top two bat! I think some of you just like the idea of Babe Ruth being the greatest. It’s cute — “Yay, a guy I never saw play is the best ever!” — but you’re missing out on enjoying the guy you think Babe Ruth was. Ohtani is the greatest GOAT of all-time. He’s better than every other GGOATOAT I’ve ever called a GGOATOAT. He’s the GGOATOATiest. 2026 Projections: 8-4/2.76/1.05/156 in 122 IP

13. George Kirby – His ERAs: 3.39, 3.35, 3.53 then 4.21 last year. Any number stick out to you as weird? The number seven? What are you talking about? Kirby started the year late, due to his shoulder, but don’t let that Kirby your enthusiasm. (See what I did there? How did you miss it?) He showed no lack of velocity after his return; Kirby’s SwStr% and Called Strike% went up, and the command remained elite (2.1 BB/9). He only had 126 IP last year, but if he threw 191, like he did in 2024, I wouldn’t be surprised if his batted ball luck (.315) corrected itself and he ended up around a 3.50 ERA guy as he was in 2024. 2026 Projections: 13-9/3.40/1.08/172 in 177 IP

14. Joe Ryan – It’s silly to think a guy with a 3.42 ERA last year could just become the best pitcher in baseball this year? Ya know, like how Skubal went from a 3.52 ERA pitcher to the best pitcher in baseball. 3.42 ERA? Ryan about to have three straight seasons of a 1.50 ERA. I’m being a little bit facetious, but Ryan could easily be the best pitcher in baseball this year. He needs some help in wins (out of his control), the ability to go from a 171 IP to a 200 IP guy, and a correction to his homers allowed. Those aren’t big asks. Asking someone to drive you to the airport? That’s a big ask. Everything else looks perfect for Ryan. 2026 Projections: 13-7/3.34/1.02/191 in 176 IP

15. Jacob deGrom – Him being a HOFer with roughly 100 wins in his career is going to be so funny. I mean, who the hell knows who is a Hall of Famer anymore now that the whole process has become a joke, but deGrom has a strong case and 96 career wins. El oh el. If this latest arm surgery holds, he could be good for another four to five years. Just because he couldn’t stay healthy from 2020 to 2024 doesn’t mean anything. He did average 183 IP/year for the first six years of his career. By the way, Wilpons and previous Mets’ FO kept deGrom in the minors until age 26, and he didn’t have his first full season until 27. Just egregious shizz. Any hoo! I’m willing to draft deGrom this year for the first time, maybe ever. (It was always about cost, not ability.) 2026 Projections: 10-6/2.84/0.96/186 in 164 IP

16. Chris Sale – To really throw people off their game, I want deGrom and Sale. I’ve lessened on “Guy with insane peripherals who can’t stay healthy.” My thought is simple, we must adapt to the new environs of so many pitchers who throw barely 125 IP. By the way, don’t say “environs” out loud or the person who hears you has the right to punch you in the mouth. Give me Sale’s 125 IP of 2.50 ERA and Daddy can dance. This also is coupled with my new feeling that just because a pitcher is old doesn’t make him bad. Would I prefer a 2.50 ERA pitcher in 180 IP? Yeah, homey, that’s why those guys are above Sale. At the end of the day, Sale has some of the best peripherals of anyone every year. Did I just write “end of the day Sale” to try to subconsciously get you to buy a subscription? No, c’mon. I’m no hypnotist. But you are getting sleepy, very sleepy… 2026 Projections: 8-6/2.61/1.04/187 in 154 IP

17. Max Fried – I’m about to draft deGrom, Sale and Fried and have people stop drafts to be like, “Grey hit his head yesterday and thought he was fine to participate in this draft, but unfortunately is he not fine. He’s severely concussed. We’re going to check him for brain leakage and once we can rule out his brain hasn’t dripped into his ass, we will resume the draft. Sorry to everyone out there who made arrangements to be here for the draft. We will not be reimbursing you for your time.” I hear ya. The thing is we have to continue the draft! I meant to draft deGrom, Sale or Fried! I know, it’s goofy, but what do you want? I’m a goofy-ass guy! Fried’s career ERA is 3.03 in 1079 2/3 IP and, like, five hundred of those innings came while his elbow was dangling by a thread. I don’t know how, but I’m sick of shaking my fists at him, screaming, “He can’t keep getting away with this!” There’s as much a chance as Fried gets through this year healthy yet again as someone like, say, Joe Ryan. Arm injuries are not as predictable as we think. Cole Ragans seemed safer than Fried going into last year, how’d that go? The only guy who predictably won’t stay healthy is Glasnow. 2026 Projections: 14-6/2.92/1.09/172 in 178 IP

18. Freddy Peralta – This is a new tier. This tier goes from here until the top 40 starters. I call this tier, “Wearing flip-flops with socks.”  There’s just no excuse for wearing socks with flip-flops unless you are a Polish immigrant or you just took off your shoes and were asked to take out the garbage. Anywhere else with socks and flips-flops is strictly prohibited. That’s this tier, strictly prohibited. To give you some context, last year this tier of guys to avoid was deGrom (34), Sale (104), Burnes (399), Gerrit Cole (DNP, injury), George Kirby (185) and Pablo Lopez (288). The number in parenthesis is their end-of-the-year rank on the Player Rater. DeGrom was a bust for being a bust and Sale was basically a push. Was deGrom’s success worth the risk of drafting Burnes, Cole, Kirby and Pab-Lo? I don’t think so. That’s a situation where I’ll take the whiff on deGrom for the “Whew, thankfully I avoided those other guys.”

As for FreddyKBB, he was traded to the Mets because the Mets have to acquire the player who will most disappoint them. It’s the first credo in the Mets’ Charter of Excellence. Number Two Credo of Mets Excellence: Start off incredibly hot and jump out to a huge early lead in the division, then collapse after June or start awful with no chance for the playoffs by the end of May, then get incredibly hot and still come up short in September. Number Three Credo of Mets Excellence: There’s no Number Three Credo of Excellence. These are the Mets’ credos for excellence. If there was one starter who over-performed last year beyond what anyone thought possible and should crash back to earth it was FreddyKBB, and would you look at that! The Mets got him! Been a fan of FreddyKBB for a long time, but all good things must come to an end, like eating a weiner. The love of FreddyKBB–[taps on shoulder] “Excuse me, sir, did you say all good things must come to an end ‘like eating a weiner?'” Yes [reveals t-shirt that says, “All good things must come to an end, like eating a weiner.”] Any hoo! Putting aside my famous weiner-eating quote, FreddyKBB is okay as a 2nd starter, but this is more about the price than anything. He’s being drafted as a number one. Bless your heart, but he’s not a number one. He’s a 10+ K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 3.80 xFIP pitcher. “Okay, but I’m still trying to understand the weiner-eating quote.” 2026 Projections: 13-9/3.43/1.18/202 in 174 IP

19. Blake Snell – Last year I broke my embargo on Blake for the last few years. Emblakego? Hmm, yeah, that. So, how did it work, me drafting Snell? Meh, fine, I guess. He would’ve made the top ten in that ERA image up above for best ERAs of the last two years. Only thing is, I put the cutoff at 200 IP to avoid relievers! Oops, my bad, Snell, who is Cade Smith but from the 1st inning until the 4th. Snell had five wins in both 2024 and last year? Snell, the King of the No Decision. He’s on one of the best teams for wins of all-time and he wins five games. Hilarious. I know, I’m trying to let 125-inning starters with great peripherals have a pass, but Snell doesn’t even have that great of peripherals and can’t stay on the field. Watch, this will be his once-every-four-year-Cy-Young year. 2026 Projections: 7-6/3.29/1.24/157 in 133 IP

20. Spencer Schwellenbach – You’re right, it’s slightly arbitrary to be fine with a starter, who was injured last year but returned by the end of the year, but not be willing to overlook a starter who was injured, didn’t return, but has been throwing in the offseason with no restrictions. Ya gotta draw the line somewhere, and my line is A) Did the guy return before the end of the season? B) Can you pronounce the guy’s name without a Sean Connery accent? C) There’s no C. There wasn’t really a B, to be fair. I will say this tier of guys always elicit this in the preseason, “Hey, Grey, handsome face, my man! I’d like to commend you on looking like you smell great. Anyway, Spencer is throwing Schwell, er, enbach in the spring. Will you be drafting him?” No. The season is not a random five games in March when a guy is pitching to five not-ready-for-the-majors hitters, then being pulled to rest. Actually, guys aren’t even pitching in March. Most of March they’re just throwing to get loose. UPDATED: Removed from the rankings with news that he would start the year on the 60-day IL with elbow inflammation. 2026 Projections: 8-8/3.16/1.05/121 in 117 IP

CONTINUE ONTO THE TOP 40 STARTERS FOR 2026 FANTASY BASEBALL

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Harry Beanebag
Harry Beanebag
11 days ago

Thoughts on this trade: I get Machado and a 6th round pick. I give Suarez and an 8th round pick. For context, last year in our league (H2H points) Suarez had 562 total fantasy points, and Machado had 533.

I’m hedging a bit as I think Suarez could have a big year in that bandbox in Cincy.

frankgrimes
11 days ago

Don’t forget the soy sauce, mate.

IMG_1268
Keith
Keith
11 days ago

Would you give Duran, Strider and Caminero for Skenes and Rooker in a keeper league that uses wins?

AntiScioscia
11 days ago

Case in point, I waited until the 5th round to draft my first pitcher last year (Hunter Greene) and ended up drafting a rotation of Greene, Woo, Pivetta, Gore+Gavin Williams (Gore was great first half and Williams 2nd half – traded Gore right before he fell off thankfully), Merrill Kelly and Taillon. Was top 3 in every pitching category

Aardvark
Aardvark
11 days ago

Would you trade Zach Neto for Wyatt Langford in a dynasty points league?

martinrostoker@aol.com
11 days ago

Our league has 10 managers. Our league has varied from 10 to 13 over the last five years. I have a bias that the more managers then the league is fairer. I did however do an analysis of the last five years and found no clear thread with the number of managers and the respective scores. Do you have any thoughts on the ideal number of managers?

Thank you

martinrostoker@aol.com
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

Thank you!!

Troy
Troy
11 days ago

Starting the season (14 team 260 budge off with up to 6 keepers) with Bradish ($3) and Woo ($14) to anchor my rotation. I also have Mason Miller at ($15). Woo’s limitation seem to be in k% so who should I be looking at as my SP3? Someone with some high K upside that might be not as great at ratios?

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
11 days ago

So no bites on those other offers for Carroll or Elly, but he came back with:

1. My $35 ohtani for his $12 Corbin.

2. $9 Skenes + $23 Tucker for $10 Elly.

3. $35 ohtani + $23 Tucker for elly + nonkeeper

Which dudes sides do you like?

In keeper leagues with lockout coming up in 2027, very slightly mindful of what a $38 ohtani at age 33/34 in 2028 looks like.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

thanks!

florida jack
florida jack
11 days ago

20 team roto, dynasty no contracts, which side do you want?

is it close? i have not played in a league this big in a long time.
thanks for the help

roman anthony, cease, bubba chandler

or

yelich, kirby, trea turner

IntendedSteb
IntendedSteb
11 days ago

Hi Grey. Jumping a bit ahead, who would you pair with SP1 Yamamoto?

Kneel Before Zod
11 days ago

Grey,

Great read as always. NL-only, 5×5, 12-team, 2 Catcher, keeper/auction league…

A) Would you keep a $29 Yamamoto, given the likely 6-man rotation and your overall thoughts on overreaching/overpaying for SPs?
-or-
B) Keep A. Ramirez as a second C for $25 (I have Goodman at $9 as 1st). Love the steals, possible power production and that would give me 2 top Cs)…but $25…mee-ouch. He was picked up via FAAB mid-year, hence the price tag.

Both have merits (and warts) – but the budget allows for either/or – who goes? Many thanks!
-Zod

Kneel Before Zod
Reply to  Kneel Before Zod
11 days ago

…sorry, budget is the standard $260 for context.

Kneel Before Zod
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

You’re the best…

Licketty Splits
Licketty Splits
11 days ago

Thanks for yesterday ….note to self do not do early draft till Grey’s SP ranks come out; since you are the master of SP rankings.

My draft & hold is in round 10 & I have 2 of the next 6 picks. My team so far is Soto, Rooker, Abrams, Naylor, Soderstrom & Westburg for bats & Ragans & Luzardo for SP (sadly neither in your top 20) & Hoffman for my lone closer.

I need 2B & Albies is there. I wanted Sheehan but he just got picked. Best SP (not knowing your next 20 guys) are Mis, Woodruff, Yesavage, Alcantra, Ray. Gore, Chandler, Baz, Schlittler, G. Williams, Horton, Sasaki, Bibee, or R Suaraz. If I grab another Closer (in a non sexual way) best would be Uribe, Santana, or R Suarez.
Happ, Pages (just read your blurb) Adell, or Stowers are there if I went OF.

Actually now on the clock so if I could get your take since I messed up the SP as is so far…

Licketty Splits
Licketty Splits
Reply to  Licketty Splits
11 days ago

I really wanted to go SP but Sheehan, Pepiot, Lodolo, McLean, Castillo, Burns, Ras, Gray & P Lopez in the past 15 picks …

Licketty Splits
Licketty Splits
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

Thanks!! I am definitely going to need SBs & Cruz went 3 picks ago but Albies should help a wee bit …if I take Uribe then I guess I hammer SPs as much as possible in the next several rounds

Will (the other one)
11 days ago

Article out today talking about Snell potentially missing opening day. And so it begins. I have Snell, Glasgow and Sasaki as potential keepers. Also have Cease, Gausman, Joe Ryan, and Pablo Lopez. Which three would you keep from that list?

Will (the other one)
Reply to  Will (the other one)
11 days ago

*Glasnow

Will (the other one)
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

Thanks

Rangerfan10
Rangerfan10
11 days ago

Grey!

Who would you rather have this year and does your answer still stay the same long term as well?

Vlad or Tatis jr?

maliciousphenoms
maliciousphenoms
11 days ago

Trade offer to me
I trade
Jack lieter
Heliot Ramos

I get kyle Bradshaw

Thoughts

maliciousphenoms
maliciousphenoms
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

Must be that popular bradish fellow. Jeepers

Ben
Ben
11 days ago

Keeper league (12 teams, keep 10), would you take Yesavage or Snell? I’m not likely to be competitive this year, so it’s for the future, and Snell scares me. Looks like you’re out on Snell above.

Is it close?

Thanks!

Ben
Ben
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

Thanks!

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
11 days ago

It’s…glorious!

Love the bradish aggressive ranking.

Trying to 2:1 to upgrade my current keeper crop and not have to drop a guy like $10 Ragans.

Would you send $7 Wood and any one of $10 Ragans $19 woo or $18 PCA to get $9 elly or Carroll?

civilsavage247
11 days ago

I always get pulled into the Mix to early, but I totally agree with what you said. I actually have keepers of Skubal and Ohtani in a 12 team H2H Categories daily lineups, so the rest of my staff will probably be dollar guys and streaming. Actually found myself wishing I had room for pitchers on the waiver wire on my teams. I learned my lesson (hopefully) last year.

leon
11 days ago

dynasty 15 man question. Do i need 2 closers? fairbanks $31 and chapman $13. its a holds and saves league 6×6. reason i ask is because for $31 it very expensive and he basically takes up the salary of a teoscar or a happp. or a reynolds. Do i keep 2 closers?

dechristo29
dechristo29
11 days ago

Surprised at no Ragans here.

Dom Cobb
Reply to  dechristo29
11 days ago

He’s got the stuff and was super unlucky last year but…3 months missed with a rotator cuff is not good

dechristo29
dechristo29
Reply to  Dom Cobb
11 days ago

I get the injury concerns. Just personally would take him over a few of these guys. He came back at the end of the season and was fine (albeit for only a few innings).

Last edited 11 days ago by dechristo29
Dom Cobb
Reply to  dechristo29
11 days ago

Definitely can be worth the risk, but at what price?

Luigi
Luigi
11 days ago

12 Team H2H league with 6 keepers (no time limit)

Keepers locked in (1-4)
Judge
Lindor
Matt Olson
Jarren Duran

Most likely keeping (5)
Hunter Brown

Choose the 6th
Shohei the Pitcher
Kirby
Soderstrom

Luigi
Luigi
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

Thank you. I’m soft on Kirby because I kept him last year but I know the year I let him back in the pool he wins a Cy Young.

I love the upside of Shohei the P but tough to roster him in H2H with structure of Dodgers (6 man rotation and manipulation of IL)

SpecialFNK
SpecialFNK
11 days ago

16 team keeper league, keep 5.
I need to come up with 5 from these players.

Juan Soto, Zach Neto, Jazz Chisholm, Jordan Westbrook, Michael Busch, Marcus Semien, Jacob Misiorowski, Try Yesavage

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
11 days ago

while i always agree with the wait on pitching, i wonder if it might not apply in nfbc. the guy who won the nfbc auction overall 2 years running is a double ace guy.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  OaktownSteve
11 days ago

this guy vexes me. on the one hand, you win back to back over all in the nfbc, you know what you’re doing. on the other hand, he had Raleigh, Springer and Perdomo on last year’s team. i mean that strikes me as just blind luck. that’s some time travel drafting right there.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  OaktownSteve
11 days ago

There’s a fine line between “luck” and an “educated guess”. I’d say with him it’s the latter since he seems to do that repeatedly. As for the rest of us, maybe time will tell. Last year in NFBC I had a couple league winners where I drafted Raleigh, Kurtz, Woo, Brown. I’m not sure I can repeat that. I had a couple crappy leagues too. I guess we all have to have a few players who have to end up far higher on the player rater than their ADP to win any format NFBC league. That and not having too many injuries to top round pics. I think its always a mix of “educated guesses” and “luck”.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

I hear that donning a wizard hat during the draft helps too..

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  OaktownSteve
11 days ago

Likewise, the overall Gladiator winner, Waxman, came from the Razzball league several of us here were in. He drafted a few big hits on bats: Caminero, Crow, Adell, Story but also had misses: Goldy, Royce, T. O’neill. He nailed the pitching pretty well with Tarik, Sale, deGrom, Muñoz, but had one miss with Kumar.

I think the hits matter more the misses. With 14 bats and 9 arms, you can afford two or three misses with bats, but probably only one on arms in the 15 team format. In the FAAB leagues there is recovery potential but pretty tough either way.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

I wonder how many FAAB leagues he manages and how he pulls it off. I can only handle about four. Five is pushing it.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

yeah there is a thing in nfbc thats like dfs where if you’re well capitalized you just have more chances. diversify your portfolio.

Tom
Tom
Reply to  OaktownSteve
11 days ago

I don’t think that’s true.
He was recently on a pod with the CBS guys and I didn’t hear him claim he was a pocket aces guy.

Tom
Tom
Reply to  Tom
11 days ago

Contrast that with the team that won the Online Auction Championship Overall (much harder to do,hundreds more teams in that overall.) if he spent over $60 on his pitching I’d be surprised. He nailed it with Eovaldi, Pivetta and Chapman.

Bob Burda
11 days ago

Because (as you correctly pointed out) so many SPs can barely go 125 innings your suggestion that teams only need six starters is a bit light in leagues with an innings cap of 1400. Six starters will leave you in the middle of the pack or lower in Ks, requiring you to ace the ratios and luck out on wins and saves to win your league.

Joed1414
11 days ago

Thanks for reminding me that pitchers should be waited on. Every podcast by the industry these guys are saying you need a top starter. I have had to stop myself from saying something to them. That they are misleading everyone. Seems like the spikes at the top end for pitchers and catchers last year have been pushing them both up in drafts.

Last edited 11 days ago by Joed1414
micahel
micahel
11 days ago

curious on your thoughts on this:

10 teamer, 5 keepers, $280 budget, normal categories with OPS, QS, SV+HLD instead of the usual

Witt – 28
PCA – 11
Crochet – 11
Wood – 11
Anthony – 6

I’m wondering about how I should allocate my money on SP. Should I be taking all that savings and putting it into hitting or should I be grabbing a guy like Greene or Gilbert and then just spending pennies on the rest of the rotation?

I’m leaning towards the later, but wanted your input. The idea of having Crochet AND Greene for like $30 or so is very enticing

thanks

micahel
micahel
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

ya my intention is to target a guy like Greene or Gilbert and then basically spend very little on the rest of pitching and put most of the money into bats

thanks

Sean
Sean
11 days ago

Grey, got some keeper decisions to make and curious on your thoughts.

locked in:
Tatis
Carroll
Lindor
K Marte
Olson
Skubal

Fringe:
Story
Kirby
Agustin Ramirez
Aidan Miller
Luke Keaschall
Jesus Made
Nolan McLean

Which 2 would you keep from the fringe list? We keep 8 players. Thanks for your opinion!

Sean
Sean
Reply to  Sean
11 days ago

For reference, I’m leaning Aidan Miller and Ramirez. A lot of risk there, however.

packers2018
Reply to  Sean
11 days ago

My 2 cents worth. Story is the first to go because you have Lindor.
I have Made over Miller so Miller is gone.
Have Skubal so Kirby is gone.
With 2nd base so shallow and Marte is 32 I’d keep Keaschall and maybe trade Marte after this year if Keaschall pans out.
Then McLean over Ramirez simply because Agustin is a catcher. Maybe can redraft him.

So Keaschall and McLean for me because they are up and playing. I would try to redraft Ramirez and Made.

Sean
Sean
Reply to  packers2018
11 days ago

Miller most likely getting moved to 3rd or 2nd however.

IntendedSteb
IntendedSteb
Reply to  packers2018
11 days ago

Out of two available pitchers you would keep McLean over Kirby?

Sean
Sean
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

14 team 8 keepers head to head categories. No time limit on keepers, one catcher. Pitchers are generally found in the draft

Ghost of Grady Little
Ghost of Grady Little
11 days ago

Grey is great at a lot of things, but what he’s best at is ranking pitchers. I re-read the top 100 pitcher posts more than any other articles during draft season. The results ($$$) in my leagues speak for themselves!

Razfan
Razfan
11 days ago

Hey Grey, I’m coming off my first championship in 15 years in my keeper league, so thanks for all of the great analysis. For 12-team, H2H with QS, 7 keepers, would you be willing to take on more risk with SP if you have a solid base of hitters?

Definitely keep: JRod, Jazz, Tatis, Kurtz, Skenes

Choose 2: F. Peralta, Kirby, J. Merrill, M Busch, Schwellenbach

Any thoughts would be appreciated, thanks!

MarmosDad
11 days ago

WOOOOOOOOO!!!

Yes! This is the moment we’ve (I’ll’ve) all been waiting for!

Kyle Bradish SZN.

Thanks for this!

Jake Koepp
Jake Koepp
11 days ago

If Ryan, Kirby, Webb, Sanchez, and Brown were being kept in your league, would that push you to draft a top starter more? Thats the case in my league and it leaves Woo, Greene, Gilbert, fried, defrom, sale, and Bradish as options in that 40-50 range. Are you still taking one of those guys over skenes, skubal, or crochet?

Should add that my draft slots are 11, 14, 35, 38, 59, 62. Players are keeper eligible at pick 61 and i was hoping to draft bradish at 62

Last edited 11 days ago by Jake Koepp
Jake Koepp
Jake Koepp
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

12 team league, 2 keepers per team.

Jake Koepp
Jake Koepp
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

Neto and rice. Could keep yelich or pivetta. Yelich is getting old and looked awful when i watched him most of the time last year. Pivetta overperformed around a full run on SIERA, xFIP, FIP, and xERA

Jake Koepp
Jake Koepp
Reply to  Grey
11 days ago

Yea just got a bad feeling about him. Age, his back, took a few steps back on a lot of statcast metrics, the team overperformed as a whole, hes losing OF eligibility.

Snacks
12 days ago

The musical chairs analogy was brilliantly accurate, lol, Bravo!

VinWins
12 days ago

In RCLs, Yamamoto was available after pick 50 in all but 2 drafts.

1st SPs Drafted ADP (Early/Late)
Paul Skenes 17.8 (7 /37)
Tarik Skubal 18.5 (7 /35)
Zack Wheeler 26.4 (16 /41)
Logan Gilbert 35.8 (20 /49)
Garrett Crochet 39 (23 /60)

Cole Ragans 44.5 (28 /64)
Corbin Burnes 45.8 (25 /94)
Dylan Cease 46.9 (27 /66)
Chris Sale 52.8 (29 /102)
Blake Snell 57.2 (42 /87)

Framber Valdez 58.4 (40 /78)
Michael King 62.9 (48 /86)
Yoshi Yamamoto 65.6 (38 /104)
Shota Imanaga 68.8 (52 /92)
Jacob deGrom 73.4 (45 /113)

Pablo Lopez 74 (57 /126)
Bryce Miller 80.7 (57 /115)
S. Schwellenbach 82.9 (53 /114)
Logan Webb 90.2 (55 /132)
Roki Sasaki 90.4 (65 /130)

Aaron Nola 92.8 (61 /160)
Bailey Ober 93.2 (65 /134)
Tyler Glasnow 95 (50 /145)
Hunter Greene 96.2 (62 /140)
Tanner Bibee 100.6 (70 /131)

Will (the other one)
Reply to  VinWins
11 days ago

Zach Wheeler going third after thoracic outlet surgery?

RoarOf84
RoarOf84
Reply to  Will (the other one)
11 days ago

Clearly last years data, not this year

Bleacher Bard
Bleacher Bard
Reply to  VinWins
11 days ago

A lot of gag inducing names in that list.

Different topic — what percent of RCL winners rostered Skubal, Skenes, or Crochet?

VinWins
Reply to  Bleacher Bard
11 days ago

I have just compiled the first 3 rounds, and Crochet sometimes lasted to the 4th or 5th round, so may be missing a champion or 2.

7 of 45 (15.6%) champions drafted 1 of them in the first 3 rounds.

3 Skenes
2 Skubal
2 Crochet

Bleacher Bard
Bleacher Bard
Reply to  VinWins
11 days ago

Awesome. Thanks for doing that.

Crazy J
Crazy J
12 days ago

*snacks on peanuts and Cracker Jacks*

… it’s here!

Crazy J
Crazy J
Reply to  Crazy J
12 days ago

700+ HRs is a HOFer, or 500+ steals… can you imagine both? Maybe 2,500 walks too… its not to much to ask to be a HOFer!

Now… lets talk Noble Peace Prize!!!