All the final 2021 fantasy baseball rankings for hitters are done. For those that skipped today’s title, this starts the top 20 starters for 2021 fantasy baseball. This is NOT for next year (caps for those who can’t read titles; supposedly it’s easier to read caps, I have my doubts). This is a recap. Will these affect next year’s rankings? Sure. Maybe. Maybe not. I don’t know. Not entirely. Entirely. Like when you had a knee replacement, this is a recap! To recapitulate the recap, these rankings are from our Fantasy Baseball Player Rater. We’re (me’re) using it to fairly gauge our (my) preseason rankings. Anyway, here’s the top 20 starters for 2021 fantasy baseball and how they compared to where I originally ranked them:

1. Max Scherzer – You know these first two guys, so I’m gonna run roughshod over some of these starters talking about fantasy pitchers in general, then will come back to the same points another 15+ times in this post. Are. Dot dot dot. You. Dot dot dot. READY!? There are 15 of the top 20 starters that went after the top 15 starters were off the board. 15 of 20! Starters are about as reliable as a 1979 Betamax. Why am I pointing out after the top 15? Because I tell all youse to draft a starter after about 15 are off the board or the top 45 overall. The top ten starters by ADP this year were deGrom, Cole, Bieber, Bauer, Yu, Giolito, Buehler, Nola, Max and Castillo. Three were in the top 10 at the end of the year. Even outfielders, which were pretty horrific this year, had five of ten. In the overall top 20, starters were easily the worst position to return investment with four of six being bad, and the two that “returned” investment were Cole and deGrom, one of which didn’t pitch after the All-Star break, and missed starts before it. To put Gerrit Cole’s season into context. He was ranked around the same place in my rankings as Machado, and returned slightly less value. Think about what a disappointment Machado felt like. Cole was a much bigger disappointment because he was actually drafted before I ranked him, and he was one of the good starters! Continued in next blurb. Preseason Rank #10, 2021 Projections: 12-6/3.47/1.12/237 in 174 IP, Final Numbers: 15-4/2.46/0.86/236 in 179 1/3 IP

2. Walker Buehler – Did starters we liked end up in the top 20 starters? Yes, clearly, which makes what I say even more important: you can draft five starters from after the top 40 starters are off the board and do fine. Incredibly, it’s like this every single year and no one tells you this. I’m not exaggerating. The names are right in front of your eyes. You wanted Gausman, Peralta, Lynn, Musgrove, and Bassitt? Funny, so did I and I wrote sleeper posts for Bassitt, and Gausman, and explicitly said draft Lynn, Musgrove and Peralta. Did I miss on Wainwright, Fried, Rodon, Robbie Ray and Wheeler? 100%. It didn’t matter because you could’ve easily drafted plenty of these other guys; pitchers I told you to draft. Preseason Rank #7, 2021 Projections: 14-5/3.07/1.00/188, Final Numbers: 16-4/2.47/0.97/212 in 207 2/3 IP

3. Julio Urias – Irrelevant for fantasy, but can we talk about how the 1st three starters this year were from the Dodgers? No wonder they won 105 games and had two of the most disappointing hitter seasons in Cody Belanger and Mookie Betts. Okay, back to talking about pitchers in the abstract, looking at me ranking Urias 27th overall is neither here nor there. It means nothing. What means something is when I told you to draft Urias in every league. In most of my leagues, I did fine with my pitching, even though I didn’t draft pitching high, but you can’t tell me I did any worse at pitching than guys who drafted starters early. I liked Jesus Luzardo, who sucked, but that’s much better than the people who drafted Bieber? At least I didn’t need a top 12 overall pick to get Luzardo. Preseason Rank #27, 2021 Projections: 11-5/3.41/1.10/131 in 139 IP, Final Numbers: 20-3/2.96/1.02/195 in 185 2/3 IP

4. Zack Wheeler – Was way off on Wheeler. Again, his ranking means nothing, what means something is when I told people to avoid him. So, what went wrong in my process? His 2020 wasn’t indicative of anything. His K/9 from 2019 to this year: 9, 6.7, 10.4. Props to you if you saw that coming. I didn’t. Think if anyone’s being honest, they’d say they didn’t see it coming either. Preseason Rank #35, 2021 Projections: 13-8/3.87/1.12/161 in 182 IP, Final Numbers:  14-10/2.78/1.01/247 in 213 1/3 IP

5. Corbin Burnes – I put Burnes in a tier to draft, but as I said back in the preseason, it was all lip service. I loved Burnes, but I didn’t rank him high enough to actually draft him. My big problem with him was his innings from 2020 to 2021, and how many he could throw this year. It clearly wasn’t a huge issue. What I didn’t factor in enough in general was something that’s obvious in retrospect. I knew pitchers would be throttled, they couldn’t throw 200+ IP, and hardly any did. What I didn’t factor in is if you have everyone throw 170 IP, then a guy like Burnes throwing 167 IP is very valuable. Burnes throwing 167 IP isn’t as valuable only if there were a ton of guys throwing 200 IP, and that wasn’t the case. Preseason Rank #28, 2021 Projections: 8-8/3.06/1.19/167 in 124 IP, Final Numbers: 11-5/2.43/0.94/234 in 167 IP

6. Gerrit Cole – Wrote a Gerrit Cole schmohawk post in the preseason, saying, “(Sticky stuff) isn’t a non-issue for Gerrit Cole. Suppose he can’t get his Bubba-patented sticky substance, does that affect him? What if it already has started affecting him?” And that’s me predicting May through September’s storyline for Cole! So, was he overrated? He’s not as flashy as my schmohawk pick, Dom Smith, who clearly was a bust. But Cole was going in the top 5 picks overall, and drafted 1st overall in a ton of leagues, and my projections for him were actually better than he did, so, yeah, he was a schmohawk. Finally, Gerrit Cole was the top AL starter, and he was the 36th best overall player. Um, gross. Preseason Rank #2, 2021 Projections: 16-6/2.77/0.94/266 in 205 IP, Final Numbers: 16-8/3.23/1.06/243 in 181 1/3 IP

7. Robbie Ray – My preseason rankings are as easy as clicking the link at the top of the page that says rankings so there’s no use in lying. You couldn’t have given Robbie Ray to me. If you would’ve told me I’d be wearing skinny jeans by July walking around my house, screaming, “I’m my Blue Jay of happiness!” I wouldn’t have believe you. If you would’ve told me Ray was going to be a top 10 starter in March, I would’ve asked for your address, and sent some white-jacketed healthcare workers to your house. Incredibly, the only thing he needed for any of this to happen was increased command. But going from a 7.8 BB/9 to 2.5 BB/9 seemed like a mighty tall ask. Preseason Rank #115, 2021 Projections: 8-10/4.58/1.43/203 in 164 IP, Final Numbers: 13-7/2.84/1.05/248 in 193 1/3 IP

8. Kevin Gausman – He was basically my number one starter to make sure you get on every team, and I wrote a sleeper, and he was in my “starters to target” and I drafted him everywhere I could, so, yeah, I liked Gausman. Only thing I truly missed on with him was how many IP he could throw, but that was especially hard across the league. Preseason Rank #29, 2021 Projections: 10-9/3.49/1.09/188 in 154 IP, Final Numbers: 14-6/2.81/1.04/227 in 192 IP

9. Adam Wainwright – Okay, his year was ridiculous, and that’s coming from someone who thinks he’s a Hall of Famer — not 1st ballot, but he should be in. I say all this so when I undercut his 2021, you know it’s not from a place of hate. He is being so propped up in the Player Rater by his wins that if you give him Burnes’s wins, he becomes about as valuable as Bassit, which makes sense with his K/9. Oh, still great, but this top 10 ranking is a little goofy. Preseason Rank #117, 2021 Projections: 9-10/4.31/1.40/132 in 159 IP, Final Numbers: 17-7/3.05/1.06/174 in 206 1/3 IP

10. Carlos Rodon – Haha:

Just absolutely killing it. Killing it as in “smarts.” Not a great look there from the Fantasy Master Lothario (don’t abbreviate it!). Okay, now’s when I defend myself. Rodon’s ADP was 450th overall. I rank up to 500-ish, so I missed on him, but everyone missed on him. Except Dave S. apparently. Did I correct the mistake? On April 15th, I said, “The stuff, as they say, is there, so, yes, I’d pick him up in all leagues just to see if this isn’t a complete fluke.” And that’s me quoting me! I don’t tell you to pick up everyone in all leagues. I corrected course two weeks in when he was still available in 85% of leagues. He’s definitely not “very terrible.” Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers: 13-5/2.37/0.96/185 in 132 2/3 IP

11. Charlie Morton – I told you to draft Morton, and liked him a lot, but, whoa, was I off on his projected IP. I way overestimated the affect of 2020 on him. Preseason Rank #52, 2021 Projections: 9-6/3.84/1.16/128 in 118 IP, Final Numbers: 14-6/3.34/1.04/216 in 185 2/3 IP

12. Brandon Woodruff – Nailed his preseason ranking and it is merely luck if a guy ends up ranked 12th overall here and was 12th in the preseason. I’m not being modest. Trust me, I’m not modest. As I keep saying, my starter rankings are more like “Draft a guy from these five starters” and “Not from these five.” I did want to draft Woodruff, but was I higher than his ADP? Close, but nah. Preseason Rank #12, 2021 Projections: 11-5/3.12/1.01/189 in 154 IP, Final Numbers: 9-10/2.56/0.96/211 in 179 1/3 IP

13. Jacob deGrom – He only had 92 IP. I will now cackle for four hours. Look at his stats. He had a double nickel WHIP. What, and I will finish this thought after proper emphasis, the eff? Is that real? His ERA was 1.08. His numbers look like a reliever that is in the running for the Cy. Give him the saves’ fantasy value ($14.5) that Liam Hendriks got, and deGrom is the best pitcher in baseball by $4 over Scherzer. That is insane. Oh, I wasn’t drafting him, but still, I can appreciate it. Also, that reminds me of something, last year Fantasy Pros ranked my starter rankings the best, and that’s s wildly ridiculous because I don’t even rank how I’d draft, which everyone knows who’s read my starter rankings. For unstints, I ranked deGrom after Cole this preseason, which was nuts, but it would seem smart now out of context, except I didn’t do it for “drafting” I did it to tell you who “not” to draft. Preseason Rank #3, 2021 Projections: 16-4/2.51/0.95/244 in 193 IP, Final Numbers: 7-2/1.08/0.55/146 in 92 IP

14. Freddy Peralta – I said early in the season, “Freddy Peralta is an ace, aside from his walks. If he can lower his walk rate, he’s a top five starter. Right now, he’s roughly a top 15 starter.” And that’s me quoting me! In March, I said, “(FreddyKBB) will start the year in the rotation. It had been so long since we heard any good news, I had forgot what it sounds like. This right here is what it sounds like.” And that’s me pointing out once again I loved FreddyKBB! I drafted him in Tout, in my RCL and in my NFBC leagues. I loved him so much, and he did as expected. Muah! Preseason Rank #69, 2021 Projections: 8-4/3.77/1.21/151 in 107 IP, Final Numbers: 10-5/2.81/0.97/195 in 144 1/3 IP

15. Jose Berrios – At one point this year, I said something after a particularly rough outing about Berrios, you just have to leave him in your lineup and he’ll be worth it at the end of the season. And that’s me paraphrasing me! Starters weren’t good this year, but if you had 190+ IP, it would be hard to not be at least somewhat valuable. The crazy thing is Berrios’s year-end stats were much better than “somewhat.” Well, not crazy crazy, like Robert Durst admitting to murder on an HBO documentary, then getting life sentence, then it seems like almost immediately he’s about to die. Preseason Rank #25, 2021 Projections: 13-7/3.76/1.19/196 in 191 IP, Final Numbers: 12-9/3.52/1.06/204 in 192 IP

16. Joe Musgrove – If someone’s momma is named Musgrove, and you want to insult them, you say, “Joe Musgrove?” “Joe Mama Joe Musgrove?” Hmm, how’s that work? I need to do yoga with Donkey Teeth to find the answer. The biggest surprise for me with Musgrove is his age. He’s 28?! He’s about to rattle off five consecutive productive seasons, huh? Preseason Rank #44, 2021 Projections: 11-9/3.81/1.23/161 in 152 IP, Final Numbers: 11-9/3.18/1.08/203 in 181 1/3 IP

17. Lance Lynn – Speaking of Donkey Teeth, that clown called me out for not drafting enough pitching in a league, when I took Lance Lynn in the 5th round of the draft and he took Blake Snell in the 2nd round. I’m gonna be on my deathbed still talking about that. If Eternal Sunshine of a Spotless Mind was real, I’d tell them to take everything out but that! Preseason Rank #16, 2021 Projections: 15-8/3.61/1.11/212 in 204 IP, Final Numbers: 11-6/2.69/1.07/176 in 157 IP

18. Max Fried – As I mentioned in the Buehler blurb, I might be close on Fried’s projections and ranking, but I was avoiding him in the preseason, so it’s irrelevant. Do other people tell you stuff like this? I haven’t ready any other fantasy content in like 10 years, so I don’t copy anyone, but it feels like it’s pointless if someone says, “I’d draft all 120 of these starters.” Because, no, they wouldn’t. Every person I know is “out” or “in” on a guy. Maybe I’ll do an addendum to my rankings next year where I give you 50 guys I would draft. Not 50 starters, but 50 guys across all positions. Preseason Rank #20, 2021 Projections: 14-7/3.64/1.22/164 in 171 IP, Final Numbers: 14-7/3.04/1.09/158 in 165 2/3 IP

19. Frankie Montas – All the starters in this top 20 have more in common than past top 20 rankings. Any ideas? Think about it. Okay, I’ll just tell you! All these starters were on winning teams. deGrom, I guess you can exclude, but when he was pitching for the Mets, they were still good. So, chicken or the egg with a good team? Gonna say chicken, because if the team isn’t good, then no wins and it’s hard to be a top 20 starter without wins. Think about that. Wins, something almost totally out of a pitcher’s hands, is propelling a lot of value. Remind me again how pitchers should be drafted high. It’s so dumb when you really stop to think about it. The top 20 3rd basemen had nothing to do with team wins. Hitters who can actively change their value vs. pitchers who need others to give them value, and people are saying draft starters first. That makes no common sense, and no starters give you saves, so there’s no five category starters, except the 9-category Ohtani, who will be along in the top 40 starters. Preseason Rank #48, 2021 Projections: 9-11/3.91/1.21/148 in 142 IP, Final Numbers: 13-9/3.37/1.18/207 in 187 IP

20. Chris Bassitt – Clearly, I can talk about starters and starters’ strategy all day, so this post is running long. Chris Bassitt’s blurb will amount to: He was a top 20 starter season, even after missing six weeks, and I gave you a preseason sleeper post on him. You’re welcome. Preseason Rank #40, 2021 Projections: 12-8/3.49/1.18/156 in 162 IP, Final Numbers: 12-4/3.15/1.06/159 in 157 1/3 IP

91 Comments
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Blundertron3000
Blundertron3000
9 months ago

If you sold Gausman when they banned the sticky, then he was a great value. I acquired him in early May, and he cost me a title this year with his second half. It was particularly challenging to figure out how or whether to bench him since he was garbage against teams like Pittsburgh, and that made me sit him for two September starts in Coors that ended up being among his best starts of the month. 13 starts from the AS break to his second to last start in Coors he had a 5.00+ ERA and 1.49 WHIP. I don’t know if he hit a wall innings-wise or if the spin rate drop post-goop hurt his splitter’s effectiveness, but that’s over 1/3 of his season starts. Tack on 4 ER in 5.1 IP in his postseason start, and I’m not looking to take that ride again, especially if he leaves the cozy confines of SF. Problem is that everyone else in my league saw it, too, and his trade value is nil.

Chris
Chris
9 months ago

Got a good laugh out of that backstory about Lynn vs Snell. Really love that aspect about fantasy sports, so much opportunity to needle your friends about their bad takes for years to come!

Gator
Gator
9 months ago

I need to purge last night’s Bellinger HR from my memory so I don’t repeat a stupid decision. Who you keeping Bellinger or Mullins, and is it close?

Gator
Gator
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

Thanks

Mitch
Mitch
9 months ago

12 team keeper, 5×5 with OPS and QS replacing the obvious.

5 keeper limit, wondering if I could get your thoughts:

$30 Vlad, $8 Ohtani, $8 Ray seem obvious.

I need to fill out 2 more spots with $21 Jimenez, $15 Gallen, $15 Musgrove, $14 Berrios, $13 K. Marte, $8 Rogers, $6 Witt, $6 Sale, $6 Kopech

My initial thoughts were Jimenez and Rogers, but then another manager just offered me a $10 Wheeler for the two.

1. Is that a good deal?
2. If so, who becomes the new 5th keeper? I’m leaning Witt even though I know he won’t be up right away but he will 100% get drafted and more than likely for more than $6, as Franco was drafted last year for $18. The league is a bit prospect happy sometimes.

Thanks so much, as always

Mitch
Mitch
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

ya trevor rogers

and thanks :)

Smitty
9 months ago

What a ballgame! Ironic how Belly got on top of a high heater, the same pitch he struggled with most of the season to tie it up! Then when Mookie clutched up to drive in Taylor pandemonium!
Anticipating whats coming is a great approach and as a Dodger fan, that bomb was epic!

Smitty
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

Haha that’s for sure! A good friend turned me on to tix for Game 5 Thurs! Stoked for another W

Chingon568
Chingon568
9 months ago

Grey,

in a keeper league -would you trade Walker Buehler (and a few picks ) for G. Cole and Bieber?
are you (or should i) be worried about the sticky substance behind Cole’s 2nd half struggles?

bigbear
bigbear
9 months ago

O’s fan with Gausman baggage. aka I completely blew off your Gausman forecast… Mea culpa!

My earliest drafted SP was Ryu in the 6th (right before Lynn)… Not great or even good. Only had shares of Ray, Morton, and Peralta… yet finished 1st in 2 out of 3 leagues. I missed on quite a few of the ‘sleepers’. But I also missed drafting SP busts waiting!

Stroman feels like he’ll be a good one next year too. Had him everywhere.

I wanted to echo what Sport, Coolwhip, and NJW. Best in the business! And the daily write-ups are awesome! Such good info in the comments too. What makes you the best is some wacky combination of sticking to your guns and being willing to admit where you’re wrong (or when the stats support a changed opinion).

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
9 months ago

Sooooo….Is there a fantasy Bachlorette league running at Razzball yet. My wife is in one. Seems like this would be the year to get it started.

DonnieB
DonnieB
9 months ago

Cody Bellinger is BACK!! No more Belanger.

VinWins
VinWins
9 months ago

Wow, some tough breaks for Buehler there.

VinWins
VinWins
9 months ago

I think this would be the Top 20 with QS instead of wins. No more Rodon (early in the next group, though).

Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
Robbie Ray
Zack Wheeler
Corbin Burnes
Brandon Woodruff
Kevin Gausman
Sandy Alcantara
Gerrit Cole
Adam Wainwright
Charlie Morton
Jacob deGrom
Freddy Peralta
Frankie Montas
Jose Berrios
Max Fried
Julio Urias
Joe Musgrove
Chris Bassitt
Lance Lynn

Smitty
Reply to  VinWins
9 months ago

This is a mighty fine list Vin! Gonna be interesting to see where studs like deGrom and Bieber end up in ’22. Like some arms that didn’t make the list Snell, Nola, L.Castillo and Flaherty. Lots of good young arms too! Thanks Grey! I’m fired up!

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

To clarify, I used the 6X6 Player Rater and subtracted $W to create this list.

VinWins
VinWins
9 months ago

I like wins because you can get some unexpected added value from your RPs. But, I don’t avoid QS leagues. They are as ridiculous as wins, though. 5 2/3 shutout innings is not a QS, but if you give up 3 runs before you get that final out of the 6th you’ve earned one. So, giving up 1 run every 2 innings is a QS…if you go 6. But, if you last 8 and give up 1 run every 2 innings, that’s not a QS.

Maybe these things don’t happen enough to worry about, but it’s still a weird stat.

Coolwhip
Reply to  VinWins
9 months ago

agree, QS aren’t perfect but feel less ridiculous and less random, the pitcher is in more control of the stat unless you pitch for Kevin Cash. In that same regard a guy can pitch 4.2 shutout innings and not get a W despite leaving with lead, but the RP that comes in and gets 1 ground out in 2 pitches finishes inning and gets the W.

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Coolwhip
9 months ago

Oh, for sure, wins are not a good representation of anything. If Official Scorers could be trusted, I’d be for them selecting the winner. But, they’ve proven they will make decisions based on who is involved in the play.

Coolwhip
9 months ago

Also, I’m proud of team razzball with this top 20 list, collectively we told people to draft or pick up in a timely manner at least 12 of the top 20. Good year of pitching advice with more wins coming in the top 40. Makes up for Pat Corbin sucking balls! sheesh

Will
Will
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

I dropped Wheeler right before the draft thinking I might be able to snag him back. Someone else got him and i ended up drafting Sonny Gray as his replacement. That didn’t quite work out.

Coolwhip
9 months ago

The other reason why pitchers are so hard to predict end of season value/ROI is that damn win column! You pointed it out some but I want to spotlight it again.

The difference is wins:
Urias – 2.96/1.02/195 in 185 2/3 IP – finishing 3rd
Woodruff – 2.56/0.96/211 in 179 1/3 IP – finishing 12th (despite .40 less ERA and +16 Ks)
Musgrove – 3.18/1.08/203 in 181 1/3 IP – finishing 16th (basically same as Urias)

The Win column in all its random glory… you couldn’t predict that Urias would get 10 more wins than both Woodruff and Musgrove, it’s insane.

Now we look at QS:
Urias – 13
Woodruff – 20
Musgrove – 15

Not perfect, but gives a bit better approximation of a “winning performance” and why the W stat for pitchers is dumb… hmmm I may have talked myself into writing an article lol

Will
Will
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

Woodruff ending up with a losing record and only 9 wins despite being on a division winning team and posting 2.56/0.96 with 211 Ks and 20 quality starts is difficult to imagine. Although since I had him I do remember lots of starts where he’d go 6 and 2/3rds then the bullpen would let inherited runners score.

hot corner
hot corner
Reply to  Coolwhip
9 months ago

Hey Whip. One of the things that I love about the Player Rater is the fact that you get the values for each category and can download them into a spreadsheet. For SPs, I literally add up the K, ERA and WHIP columns only and then re-rank them. In standard 5×5, I don’t factor Wins into analysis. Just too random for me.

Coolwhip
Reply to  hot corner
9 months ago

Good stuff, yeah i sorta do the same thing. Its got me thinking of about how to come up with a way to to project “win opportunity” and then give a risk score to it like likelihood of pitching with lead… Dodgers for example in NL and loaded lineup have a high chance of playing with lead and it played out that way above. Teams with more innept offense then have less chance despite the pitcher, but I want to try to quantify it.

Danny
Danny
9 months ago

Would you rather keep Urias in rd 8 or Freddy P in round 14?

Danny
Danny
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

12 teams, keep 7. Since we keep players based on their round values the draft is all F’ed up anyway.

Will
Will
9 months ago

Who would you keep out of this list of starters: Gausman, Urias, Woodruff, Bassitt, Webb, Cease, Darvish. I’m leaning toward keeping the first three. We keep 8 overall in a standard 5×5 league.

Sport
Sport
9 months ago

One factor I always liked to use was siding with NL pitchers, possibly picking up another 20 to 30 K’s over an AL pitcher always going against a DH. Twelve of these twenty were NL. Increased use of pinch hitters in 2021 maybe didn’t give these guys a huge advantage, but do you see the use of a DH in 2022 factoring in any decision making on your draft? Maybe with the K rates higher now it’s not a factor any more?

Fred Garvin MP
Fred Garvin MP
9 months ago

If the Astros insist on wearing postseason sweatshirts emblazoned with “H-Town” on them, can’t those sweatshirts at least have “Knockin the Boots” written on them somewhere?

scoboticus
scoboticus
9 months ago

Drafted Gausman and picked up Rodon off waivers. That’s it for me out of the top 20.

NJW
NJW
9 months ago

Grey,

You’re the best in the business when it comes to starters. Everyone has their hits and misses, but if everyone just listened to the philosophy you put forth they’d be much better off for it (and listening to your sleeper posts on starters doesn’t hurt).

Just wanted to say, I LOVE the idea of an addendum to your rankings where you list 50 players you would draft. Think that is a wonderful idea.

Sport
Sport
Reply to  NJW
9 months ago

I second this! Last year I made spread sheet that highlighted players green whom I thought Grey liked based on his positional ranking tier names and blurbs. I ended up drafting Keston Hiura 68th in one league because his preseason ranking had him 57. I apparently forgot about his concerns when he dropped to me in the draft.

But I think a list of 50 would be another tool I would absolutely reread before drafts.

Sport
Sport
9 months ago

I think there’s an interesting point in the Rodon blurb that makes following this site on a daily basis so critical. Even though the recaps are about your preseason projections and reminiscing about your schmowhawks and sleepers sometimes, it’s the guys like Rodon I picked up that are the difference makers. Those BUY columns and daily blurbs can get some of these top 20 guys!

In Yahoo leagues, I can get 8 of my hitting spots filled in 10 rounds. Draft a SP in round 5 and another in 8 or 9. Where I messed up this year was waiting until round 12 or 13 for my first closer, and thinking SAGNOFing for saves in rounds 20-23 and in season would be easy. It’s worked every year until 21 but I missed first by 1 point in both those leagues and finished 6th in saves in both. I got cocky. It was usually so easy to pick up a closer later, but those ‘committees’ just killed me!

I can’t wait to see who next year’s Gausman/Lynn are going to be! I always feel like it’s my secret weapon going into drafts.

Thanks for the recaps!

Coolwhip
Reply to  Sport
9 months ago

Lynn feels like he’s going to get disrespected again, from early drafts I’ve seen, he’s one I think will be at about the same discount but this time indirectly cus consensus will be moving others ahead of him instead of directly sleeping on him.

Can’t wait for more info on 2022 trends too! I think Stroman will be slept on again too

David
David
9 months ago

Gausman worked out well. Also, Fried was a winner for me since I looked at your projections and he was cheap. The next column will be interesting. I imagine most of my team is there.

Chicitysox23
Chicitysox23
9 months ago

I got Urias at a great price in my auction and will still be cheap for 2022.

But does it feel like Dave Roberts still doesn’t trust him? Im in a QS league, so the wins don’t do anything for me, and Urias went under 6 ip on 17 of his 32 starts this year. And it felt like pitch count was low in a lot of the games when Roberts pulled him.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Chicitysox23
9 months ago

Are you a damn idiot?

Urias had NEVER pitched more than 79 innings during a regular season before this year. He also had shoulder surgery three years ago. This year he’s thrown OVER 200 innings total, including 185 regular season and 15 in the postseason.

They are protecting their investment and protecting his arm and shoulder. He’s 25 years old and could have 10-12 more years of pitching if he’s not abused by some idiot manager. Roberts is doing exactly what he should be and I’m 100 percent positive he’s following the instructions of the Dodgers upper level management and ownership.

Use your damn brain.

Cram It
Cram It
9 months ago

F the Dodgers. I want nothing out of this postseason other than the Dodgers not winning the World Series.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

I don’t WANT either, but I’ll take them over the Dodgers. Being a Mets fan, it’s hard to root for the Braves. Really, it’s a no-win situation for me, and I won’t be happy whoever wins, but I’ll be the least sad if it’s not the Dodgers.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

Because they’re the Yankees of the National League. Hey, look at all these all-stars we can get to buy ourselves a championship. Not today, Satan!

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
9 months ago

I’m gonna end up likely rooting for the AL team regardless. A lesser of two evils situation.

American Troutfisher
American Troutfisher
Reply to  Cram It
9 months ago

I’m totally with you there, Crammy. Fuck the Dodgers. I’m surprised to find myself rooting for Houston. Sometimes you just got to indulge your inner bad guy and cheer for the black hats.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  American Troutfisher
9 months ago

Yes! That’s all it is….F the Dodgers.

DonnieB
DonnieB
Reply to  Cram It
9 months ago

Let’s Go Brandon kind of like F the Dodgers? Asking for a friend.

Schmohawks Bob
Schmohawks Bob
Reply to  Cram It
9 months ago

The Braves feature a racist name and tomahawk chop. Not my cup of tea either. I’d probably rank the Doyers the least hateable among the four but not by that much.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Schmohawks Bob
9 months ago

Welcome to the board Snowflake! Hope that wasn’t offensive too!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
9 months ago

No Logan Webb? I know his innings were light but man, that guy was top 20 overall and top 5 in the second half. Surprising to see him get ignored. :o(

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Harley Earl
9 months ago

The end of season rankings are based on the Player Rater (their actual statistics), not Grey’s opinion. Like if you look at Yahoo’s current ranks on the Players page, he’s the 26th best player statistically. Happy to help!

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Cram It
9 months ago

26th pitcher, not player.

Shawnuel
Shawnuel
Reply to  Harley Earl
9 months ago

Agreed! I picked he, Rodon and Luis Garcia up as FA’s and added that to Burnes, Alcantara, P. Lopez and Luzardo for a nice staff!

Shawnuel
Shawnuel
Reply to  Shawnuel
9 months ago

Oh, and Morton.

packers2018
packers2018
9 months ago

Great post with strategy information which I love to read about.

I would like to see your top 50, and a top 10 or so hard pass which would be easy if it was all pitchers and catchers.