The most popular song in the universe right now is Running Up That Hill by art-pop super queen Kate Bush. The most common comment about that song I see on the ‘net is “Hey, have you heard the Placebo cover?” Yeah, I own that on CD. The second most common question: “Would Max from Stranger Things actually be listening to Kate Bush?” See, I thought the big “plan falls apart for the gang” moment would be when Max’s Walkman — truly, the uncredited hero of the series — ran out of batteries for the 98th time, or the cassette unraveled or warped or got put too close to a refrigerator magnet. I didn’t think the final boss interloper would be Alex from Stardew Valley doing Varsity Captain America and, you know, physically stepping on the Walkman.

To be honest, all the Kate Bush-listeners I knew of growing up were “on the internet.” Like, you knew these Kate Bush fans existed — much like Area 51 and the shadow people existed. Apparently, Big Boi was one of those fans. Like, really that fan. How must it feel to know something great exists, and you’re a fan for like, thirty years, but it’s mostly just you? It takes some sort of shared community moment for everybody else to understand, Yeah, I guess what you’re into is kind of great.

For me, the question isn’t really whether Max would listen to Kate Bush — I mean, Running Up That Hill has charted in the Top 10 in three separate decades. It’s not that obscure of a song. But more it’s the story of Max — the story of probably 90% of the readers here — that you’re the outcast and you’ve got one thing you like but nobody else likes it. Nobody else understands it. At least, nobody understands it, until they see the context. Then everybody sees that you were right all along. And I think that’s a takeaway of the R.U.T.H. phenomenon. You’re wondering if there’s a song that will save you.

Or maybe not a song. Maybe it’s baseball statistics. How many guys recite baseball stats and trends to distract themselves? Sorry 3 gals and 1 enby reader, I’m talking to the stereotypical boys here for a moment. You had a crap day at work, you turn on the game, you drink a beer so cold that you can make it through tomorrow’s meeting about re-ordering the widgets from a third-party vendor to save 0.5% on overhead. Or you’re feeling nostalgic, and you think back to sitting in center field with dad with a scorecard that only got filled out through the 4th inning before you got distracted by an ice cream sundae in an upturned miniature batter’s helmet. Or you’re in the process of being, as the kids say, frisky, and you start thinking about the difference between Tony Gonsolin’s ERA and FIP as a way to, you know, stay frisky.

When that moment that supernatural evil comes to claim you, will it be a song or stats or something else that saves you? I mean, you do you at that time — I don’t have the answer there. And I’m not saying what goes on in fantasy sports is artful by any means. But it’s a distraction, and it’s a focus, just like Running Up That Hill. And much like Kate Bush fans, you might need to wait a long-ass time before people really understand you. In the meantime, the best you can do is keep your batteries charged and the headphones on your ears. If I only could, I’d make a deal with god, and get him to swap our places…

News and Notes

Tony Gonsolin16 games started, 11 Wins, and the guy just survived 7IP while striking out only 3. There’s a whole bunch of “weak contact” aficionados out there who are dancing in the streets right now, celebrating hot takes on Gonso. But we always gotta go back to the coin toss metaphor. Gonsolin faced 24 batters in those 7 IP. He took care of 3 batters by himself. The remaining 21 batters put a bat on the ball and the ball went somewhere. In baseball, you’re either safe or out. Those are the only two outcomes. And 21 times in that game, a batter made contact with the ball. Like, Mookie Betts is a good fielder but he can’t be all over the ballpark picking up Gonsolin’s leftovers. The takeaway: Gonsolin has the biggest discrepancy between ERA and xERA among the top pitcher cohort (followed closely by Shane McClanahan, Sandy Alcantara and Justin Verlander…hmmm). Gonsolin is getting 2021 Julio Urias-levels of win luck right now and would finish the year 20-0 if the current streak continues. Even Rudy Razzball (I assume that’s his legal last name) is stunned at what Gonsolin’s doing this year (see below). Sure, Gonso is pitching well and got that dawg in him or whatever. But, soft contact is still contact. On the soft contact leaderboard next to Gonso are pitchers like Aaron Nola and Tyler Anderson (ERA=3.15) and Chris Bassitt (ERA=3.94). Outliers are great for fantasy sports — managers riding the Gonso wave right now are winning but they’re also getting Daft Punk-levels of lucky. Imagine you’re at the blackjack table and you’ve had a run of 11 hands of 19, 20, or 21 in a row. What a day! You’re absolutely cleaning up at the table and finally won enough chips to take your significant other to Morton’s Steakhouse and stay for dessert. You’ve won so much already — do you stay at the table? When all of your friends are saying, “Bruce (I assume your name is Bruce) — this isn’t sustainable, come back to the buffet and smash some crab legs while you’re ahead,” you should go crush those crabs. Nothing on Gonsolin’s radar says “Bruce, this is sustainable.” You’ve had your fun and now it’s done — soon enough Gonsolin’s balloon is going to deflate, and it will deflate quickly. Take your profits and move on, unless you’re the kind of Bruce that rides or dies. In which case, get your will ready.

Chris SaleMaybe you saw the video, or maybe you confused the video with whatever public freakout du jour video is out there. Sale, who definitely got that dawg in him, tore up the locker room after getting pulled from a rehab start with 5BB. Last week I speculated if Sale was really welcomed back in Boston this year. Sale can walk from his contract if he doesn’t like the hallowed patriot trail in Boston. Do the Red Sox like Sale? Because the Sox can just…not play him. That would be some kind of eff you, wouldn’t it? The odds are in favor that Sale plays this year and is fantasy relevant, but dynasty managers probably need to consider that Sale could find himself on a different team next year if this kind of behavior persists.

Andrew HeaneyGuy was supposed to miss a week or two and now we’re halfway through the season and he’s like Varsity Captain America in Stranger Things — skipping the entire second act to show up for his moment in the third act. Heaney is throwing in the outfield and still needs to do some rehab starts. If he is actually healthy, he’d be a great pickup for a fantasy playoff run. Just not a real-life MLB playoff run — like former Angels pitchers know anything of the playoffs, amirite?

Sandy AlcantaraSpeaking of the variance monster, he came back to K-form this week with a 10K outing against the [checks notes] Angels. As I’ve noted all year, Alcantara is riding the variance wave and he’s been on the “fantasy useful” side for most of the year. I mean, if you thought the Gonsolin 7IP and 3K metaphor above was fun, try Alcantara’s 9IP, 7H, 3K outing from last week. Yeesh. Alcantara’s 10 punchout game was spurred by a return to his fastball — nearly 60% usage! When Alcantara had dropped his fastball usage to nearly 40% earlier this year, I wondered if he was trying to transition as a pitcher. Nobody wants to be known as “The guy who throws more fastballs than Lance Lynn.” That’s also when Alcantara entered a period of 40IP and 5.75 K/9. Yuck. ENYWHEY. I’m a broken record on Alcantara — his numbers don’t make sense for fantasy success. He’s drastically changing his pitch mix. He’s allowing a ton of contact, but it’s all going into the ground. His swinging-strike rate has been as low a 5% in games, and as high as…12%. 12% swinging-strike rate is like 1% skim milk. You drink that stuff but you question your quality of life. Best of luck to you fantasy managers riding the Alcantara train the rest of the year — I’ll be at the buffet smashing crab legs.

Carlos RodonSpeaking of complete games, Rodon just threw a full 9 frames of 12K, 2BB, 3H. Rodon has allowed 1 HR over the last month while maintaining a near 11 K/9 and a sub-2.00 ERA to go with an even lower FIP. Rodon’s fastball is remaining fast, and fingers crossed that he won’t tire out over the fantasy baseball playoff run.

Spencer StriderRecord-breaking guy keeps breaking records.

BRB, printing this article out, attaching adhesive to the front, googling “Spencer Strider Sell High,” and smashing my article into my computer screen to show those people. Wait, that’s not how we send articles?

Aaron AshbyLet’s check out the biggest outlier on the confidence ranker and see what we can make of him. First, the bad: 2-6 record, 4.52 ERA. And the good? 3.22 xERA, 3.09 xFIP, 3.35 SIERA, and 11.2 K/9 to 2.73 BB/9 over his last 6 starts. Those last six starts — 6.37 ERA and 2.62 xFIP with a BABIP of .372. So, whatever Gonsolin is, Ashby is the opposite. 7 dingers allowed in 6 starts ain’t great, but many top pitchers have allowed that kind of batted ball profile over periods and you didn’t care. Ashby is 24, and has dealt with some forearm inflammation that landed him on the DL for a bit — but rather than the TJ kind of inflammation, this seemed more the “rookie” pitcher just getting a bit too much work kinda inflammation. The biggest threat to Ashby’s fantasy survival is the return of Freddy Peralta…might be worth chatting about that next?

Freddy PeraltaPeralta had been your fantasy stud for a year and a half and then he got injured and was supposed to miss the remainder of 2022. Yet, it’s July 10 and Peralta is pitching off a mound with a supposed return date of August/September. I mean, it’s really cute that the Brewers think they can compete with the Dodgers and Braves in the post-season, but at what cost? The Brewers core pitching rotation is locked in until like 2025 or something — there’s not a strict need to rush Peralta back to the field. ENYWHEY. If Peralta was dropped in your league, grab him now and cross fingers for a fantasy playoff run. If the Brewers fall out of the MLB playoff race at any time, we likely will see only a few stretch-out appearances from Peralta at the end of 2022, but Peralta could be making meaningful appearances for your fantasy team in September if the right circumstances unfold.

Hunter GreeneSince his 7 no-hit innings, Greene has a 6.23 ERA over 6 games started. But much like the story of every other underdog, Greene’s true skill stats say something else — his xFIP is 4.19 over that period, and his swinging strike rate averages 13% while touching 18%. He’s been playing with his pitch mix a ton (ranging from 40-60% fastballs) but his recent outings have seen his fastball average 100MPH. Whoa! Greene is 22 years old and has barely tested out his free Gillette razors and he’s got every chance to finish out the year strong — he’s already started 17 games and surpassed 85 IP, so there’s basically no reason to send him to the minors. Greene’s available in 50% of leagues and could be one of those “think ahead” type of players for your team — if your stud gets tired or injured or tears apart the clubhouse because he walked 5 batters, Greene’s 10+ K/9 could save your fantasy playoffs.

The Rankings

Tier Name Team Confidence Own% L30$/G
1 Spencer Strider ATL 5.111 100 32.5
1 Carlos Rodon SF 4.916 100 46.2
1 Shane McClanahan TB 4.898 100 49.3
1 Shohei Ohtani LAA 4.856 100 73.1
1 Corbin Burnes MIL 4.716 100 42.2
1 Cristian Javier HOU 4.701 100 37.5
1 Brandon Woodruff MIL 4.648 100 38.4
1 Max Scherzer NYM 4.646 100 54.5
1 Dylan Cease CHW 4.490 100 31.1
1 Gerrit Cole NYY 4.395 100 4.2
1 Aaron Nola PHI 3.884 100 11
1 Kevin Gausman TOR 3.875 100 -19.3
1 Zack Wheeler PHI 3.792 100 36.3
1 Max Fried ATL 3.677 100 25.2
1 Aaron Ashby MIL 3.662 86 -52.1
1 Shane Bieber CLE 3.660 100 -28.9
1 Tarik Skubal DET 3.602 100 -54.6
2 Lucas Giolito CHW 3.567 100 -43.2
2 Hunter Greene CIN 3.502 50 -36.1
2 Frankie Montas OAK 3.490 100 -18.2
2 Clayton Kershaw LAD 3.460 100 -16.9
2 Luis Castillo CIN 3.458 100 4.1
2 Tanner Houck BOS 3.448 100 1.5
2 Tyler Mahle CIN 3.441 100 5.2
2 Yu Darvish SD 3.430 100 17
2 Joe Musgrove SD 3.424 100 14.5
2 Sandy Alcantara MIA 3.418 100 32
2 Alex Cobb SF 3.404 75 -25.9
2 Jon Gray TEX 3.387 100 24.4
2 Luis Severino NYY 3.386 100 -1.5
2 Kyle Wright ATL 3.350 100 -6.5
2 Logan Webb SF 3.347 100 15.5
2 Justin Verlander HOU 3.335 100 33.4
2 Charlie Morton ATL 3.330 100 23.5
2 Carlos Carrasco NYM 3.303 100 -40.1
2 Chris Bassitt NYM 3.303 100 24.3
2 Patrick Sandoval LAA 3.296 100 -21.2
2 Robbie Ray SEA 3.295 100 44.2
2 Nestor Cortes NYY 3.258 100 -15.3
2 Alex Wood SF 3.247 50 -23.6
2 Nick Pivetta BOS 3.244 100 -1.8
2 Martin Perez TEX 3.236 100 -23.1
2 Alek Manoah TOR 3.235 100 4.4
2 Ross Stripling TOR 3.234 39 -5.8
2 Pablo Lopez MIA 3.228 100 -13.7
2 Corey Kluber TB 3.215 82 -5.7
2 Tyler Anderson LAD 3.214 100 -9.9
2 Framber Valdez HOU 3.200 100 9.8
2 Jameson Taillon NYY 3.197 100 -16.6
2 Sonny Gray MIN 3.155 100 -17.3
2 Sean Manaea SD 3.144 100 -52.6
2 Merrill Kelly ARI 3.144 75 0.1
2 Tony Gonsolin LAD 3.130 100 43.8
2 Justin Steele CHC 3.126 2 -0.7
2 Taijuan Walker NYM 3.118 100 34.8
2 Logan Gilbert SEA 3.103 100 8.3
2 Jeffrey Springs TB 3.088 91 -14
2 Jose Quintana PIT 3.075 16 -11.2
2 Zac Gallen ARI 3.073 100 -38.4
2 Keegan Thompson CHC 3.036 34 -8.3
2 Luis Garcia HOU 3.033 100 8.2
2 Luis Garcia HOU 3.033 100 8.2
2 MacKenzie Gore SD 3.020 100 -73.9
2 Miles Mikolas STL 3.014 100 14.5
3 Zach Eflin PHI 2.980 20 -30.7
3 JT Brubaker PIT 2.962 9 -18
3 Jordan Montgomery NYY 2.960 100 -2.5
3 Paul Blackburn OAK 2.936 70 -27.9
3 Brady Singer KC 2.933 16 -24.3
3 Julio Urias LAD 2.907 100 39.2
3 Adam Wainwright STL 2.900 100 -12.2
3 Kenley Jansen ATL 2.894 100 5.9
3 Walker Buehler LAD 2.892 89 -24.1
3 David Peterson NYM 2.876 30 -1.6
3 Joe Ryan MIN 2.862 100 -19.5
3 Dane Dunning TEX 2.839 18 -30.3
3 Noah Syndergaard LAA 2.837 100 -7.6
3 Drew Rasmussen TB 2.823 98 -39.7
3 Aaron Civale CLE 2.818 27 -27.5
3 A.J. Minter ATL 2.814 93 1
3 Freddy Peralta MIL 2.812 84
3 Edwin Diaz NYM 2.788 100 5.4
3 Kyle Gibson PHI 2.787 43 -22.5
3 Jordan Lyles BAL 2.783 5 -16.9
3 George Kirby SEA 2.778 84 -23.3
3 Michael King NYY 2.770 2.6
3 Taylor Rogers SD 2.764 100 -1
3 Brooks Raley TB 2.764 30 -1.2
3 Joe Jimenez DET 2.754 0.1
3 Rich Hill BOS 2.753 2 -17.9
3 Scott Effross CHC 2.749 -4.6
3 Eric Lauer MIL 2.736 98 -36.9
3 Raisel Iglesias LAA 2.733 100 2.2
3 Triston McKenzie CLE 2.725 100 -4
3 Justin Wilson CIN 2.721
3 Devin Williams MIL 2.721 93 -0.1
3 Ryan Helsley STL 2.713 100 10.3
3 David Bednar PIT 2.694 100 0.3
3 Mitch Keller PIT 2.691 2 -46.8
3 Nathan Eovaldi BOS 2.691 100
3 Keegan Akin BAL 2.683 -0.8
3 Josiah Gray WSH 2.682 93 2.8
3 Reynaldo Lopez CHW 2.665 5 0.3
3 Michael Kopech CHW 2.655 100 -48.1
3 Josh Hader MIL 2.648 100 2.9
3 Collin McHugh ATL 2.636 2 -0.8
3 Zach Davies ARI 2.632 9 -15
3 Daniel Lynch KC 2.632 -9.9
3 Andres Munoz SEA 2.624 18 0.8
3 Hector Neris HOU 2.619 2 -6.7
3 Patrick Corbin WSH 2.617 16 -21.3
3 Dylan Bundy MIN 2.613 23 -4.1
3 Trevor Williams NYM 2.607 -15.4
3 Jhoan Duran MIN 2.590 100 -4.4
3 Liam Hendriks CHW 2.588 100 3.7
3 Eli Morgan CLE 2.582 18 -1.8
3 Kyle Freeland COL 2.562 -16.2
3 Penn Murfee SEA 2.556 -2.6
3 Ian Anderson ATL 2.550 66 -42.3
3 Seranthony Dominguez PHI 2.550 100 5.1
3 Tyler Wells BAL 2.549 59 21.3
3 Trevor Rogers MIA 2.540 55 -26.5
3 Adrian Houser MIL 2.539 5 -51.8
3 Andrew Chafin DET 2.534 -1.7
3 Michael Wacha BOS 2.534 57 -19.2
3 Michael Lorenzen LAA 2.524 25 -63.5
3 Johnny Cueto CHW 2.523 57 6.8
3 Ranger Suarez PHI 2.515 32 -15.1
3 Giovanny Gallegos STL 2.513 100 -0.9
3 Cole Irvin OAK 2.512 7 -9.4
3 Tylor Megill NYM 2.508 32 -43.1
3 Emmanuel Clase CLE 2.492 100 7.2
3 Jason Adam TB 2.481 41 -0.7
3 Craig Kimbrel LAD 2.477 100 -2.6
3 Rafael Montero HOU 2.474 55 0.2
3 Zach Plesac CLE 2.473 70 -11.2
3 Tanner Scott MIA 2.460 100 4.3
3 Chad Kuhl COL 2.458 9 -33.5
3 Matt Strahm BOS 2.458 5 -3.6
3 Zach Jackson OAK 2.454 -2.4
3 Austin Gomber COL 2.451 7 -29.6
3 Kyle Hendricks CHC 2.440 48 -1.3
3 Evan Phillips LAD 2.440 36 3.1
3 Joe Mantiply ARI 2.438 9 -3.9
3 Jose Berrios TOR 2.438 100 -27.8
3 Blake Snell SD 2.433 89 -12.9
3 Daniel Mengden KC 2.432 -21.7
3 Brad Keller KC 2.429 16 -15.5
3 Caleb Thielbar MIN 2.426 -3.7
3 German Marquez COL 2.424 55 -20
3 Victor Arano WSH 2.409
3 Antonio Senzatela COL 2.407 -37.5
3 Griffin Jax MIN 2.405 2 -0.4
3 Chris Flexen SEA 2.399 7 -3.2
3 Alex Lange DET 2.388 -2.5
3 Reid Detmers LAA 2.384 27 -23
3 Jimmy Herget LAA 2.383 -2.7
3 John Schreiber BOS 2.381 32 0.7
3 Taylor Hearn TEX 2.379 -59.6
3 Clay Holmes NYY 2.375 100 3.5
3 JT Chargois TB 2.367
3 John Brebbia SF 2.365 -1.6
3 Alex Faedo DET 2.353 -78.4
3 Cody Stashak MIN 2.350
3 Erik Swanson SEA 2.350 -1.2
3 Anthony Bass MIA 2.348 -2
3 Duane Underwood Jr. PIT 2.347 -8.6
3 Jorge Lopez BAL 2.346 100 2
3 Enyel De Los Santos CLE 2.341 -25.6
3 Joely Rodriguez NYM 2.338 -3.3
3 Will Vest DET 2.334 -12.5
3 Brock Burke TEX 2.331 2 0.5
3 Erick Fedde WSH 2.324 -24.8
3 Jose Urquidy HOU 2.323 27.3
3 Joan Adon WSH 2.319 -60.2
3 Sam Hentges CLE 2.318 -6
3 Bryan Abreu HOU 2.317 1.5
3 Garrett Whitlock BOS 2.314 75
3 Wil Crowe PIT 2.314 7 -6.7
3 Diego Castillo SEA 2.314 34 3.7
3 Peter Strzelecki MIL 2.302 -4.1
3 Chris Martin CHC 2.296 -2.8
3 Dakota Hudson STL 2.296 16 -46.9
3 Trevor Stephan CLE 2.284 -2
3 Felix Bautista BAL 2.279 16 -0.8
3 David Robertson CHC 2.268 100 1.6
3 Cal Quantrill CLE 2.268 48 -32
3 Andrew Heaney LAD 2.261 86 -2.4
3 Jalen Beeks TB 2.258 2 -6.3
3 Steven Matz STL 2.254 14
3 Nick Martinez SD 2.250 5 -17.5
3 Trevor Gott MIL 2.250 -3.8
3 Zack Greinke KC 2.248 18 -3.8
3 Nabil Crismatt SD 2.242 -9.7
3 Roansy Contreras PIT 2.241 39 -31.5
3 Lou Trivino OAK 2.240 84 -7.3
3 Ron Marinaccio NYY 2.240 2.5
3 Nick Nelson PHI 2.237 -17
3 Brusdar Graterol LAD 2.237 25 1.2
3 Madison Bumgarner ARI 2.234 25 -13.5
3 Darren O’Day ATL 2.233 -21.8
3 Tayler Scott SD 2.232 -10.2
3 Paul Sewald SEA 2.224 100 4.9
3 Bryan Baker BAL 2.220 -18.1
3 A.J. Puk OAK 2.220 7 -5.1
3 Adam Ottavino NYM 2.216 -1.8
3 David Phelps TOR 2.214 -7.3
3 Jesus Tinoco TEX 2.213 -3.9
3 Yusei Kikuchi TOR 2.213 11 -41.4
3 Trevor Megill MIN 2.211 2.8
3 Jose Alvarado PHI 2.209 1.8
3 Pierce Johnson SD 2.209
3 Sam Selman OAK 2.200 -6.8
3 Ryan Brasier BOS 2.198 -4.2
3 Camilo Doval SF 2.195 100 -0.7
3 Marcus Stroman CHC 2.192 43
3 Daniel Hudson LAD 2.192 2 -5.9
3 Shane Baz TB 2.185 100 -2.7
3 Alex Vesia LAD 2.182 -4.3
3 Matt Moore TEX 2.182 2 5.5
3 Andrew Bellatti PHI 2.180 5 -2.8
3 Bailey Ober MIN 2.177 32
3 J.P. Feyereisen TB 2.165 7
3 Sean Doolittle WSH 2.161
3 Sean Hjelle SF 2.160 -97.8
3 Taylor Clarke KC 2.156 -1.7
3 Ryan Pressly HOU 2.152 100 4.7
3 Cole Sulser MIA 2.151 2 10.6
3 Jovani Moran MIN 2.146 -4.1
3 Tyler Kinley COL 2.138
3 Matt Foster CHW 2.136 -11.7
3 Tommy Nance MIA 2.135 -13
3 Yimi Garcia TOR 2.131 -0.4
3 Mike Clevinger SD 2.129 100 -10.2
3 Alexis Diaz CIN 2.128 7 -1.6
3 Rony Garcia DET 2.127 4.7
3 Kyle Crick CHW 2.124 -8.2
3 Josh Staumont KC 2.120 7 -9.6
3 Hoby Milner MIL 2.119 -0.2
3 Adam Cimber TOR 2.111 11 -0.9
3 Dennis Santana TEX 2.108 23 -4.7
3 Jordan Romano TOR 2.107 100 0.5
3 Jesse Chavez ATL 2.106 -2
3 Joel Kuhnel CIN 2.105 -9.2
3 Colin Holderman NYM 2.098 4.4
3 Dillon Tate BAL 2.093 -4.3
3 Phillips Valdez BOS 2.091 -7.9
3 Mitch White LAD 2.088 20 -20.5
3 David Price LAD 2.086 -16.2
3 Kyle Finnegan WSH 2.085 2 -5.3
3 Wyatt Mills KC 2.082 -28.5
3 Beau Brieske DET 2.082 -6
3 Chad Green NYY 2.079 2
3 Aaron Loup LAA 2.074 -7.1
3 Jake Walsh STL 2.070
3 Dany Jimenez OAK 2.063 73 -9.5
3 Anderson Severino CHW 2.063
3 Amir Garrett KC 2.058 -10.9
3 Lucas Luetge NYY 2.057 -0.5
3 Jeremy Beasley TOR 2.054 -5.7
3 Andre Pallante STL 2.053 -29.8
3 Kervin Castro SF 2.046
3 Daniel Norris CHC 2.045 -16.5
3 Chris Archer MIN 2.044 7 0.5
3 Michael Fulmer DET 2.044 18 -2
3 Jeff Hoffman CIN 2.042 -1.5
3 Brandon Hughes CHC 2.042 -4.1
3 Glenn Otto TEX 2.039 -68.8
3 Packy Naughton STL 2.038 -0.8
3 Austin Davis BOS 2.038 -5.4
3 Matthew Festa SEA 2.036 -1.2
3 Mark Leiter Jr. CHC 2.034 -12
3 James Norwood BOS 2.030 -20.3
3 Daniel Bard COL 2.026 100 -0.8
3 Ryan Feltner COL 2.026 -41.4
3 Adrian Sampson CHC 2.023 -8
3 Connor Brogdon PHI 2.012 2
3 Seth Lugo NYM 2.011 -4
3 Kyle Barraclough LAA 2.010
3 Jesus Luzardo MIA 2.007 55
3 Kutter Crawford BOS 2.004 5.4
4 Reiss Knehr SD 1.997 14.9
4 Ryne Stanek HOU 1.996 -0.6
4 Steve Cishek WSH 1.995 -6.1
4 Eric Stout PIT 1.994 -1.8
4 James Karinchak CLE 1.992 -13.6
4 Parker Mushinski HOU 1.991
4 Mauricio Llovera SF 1.990 -4.6
4 Michael Rucker CHC 1.986 -33.9
4 Carl Edwards Jr. WSH 1.986 -22.3
4 Jonathan Heasley KC 1.985 -32.8
4 Wandy Peralta NYY 1.976 -2.4
4 Corbin Martin ARI 1.975
4 Jakob Junis SF 1.967 16 18.9

 

 

18 Comments
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B-Real
B-Real
4 months ago

Hey Blair, I haven’t commented since you’ve been back but you were definitely missed (even tho Hoove did a terrific job, there can only be one EWB). I try not to bother you unless I have a big decision to make. I’ve been bickering back and forth with this other manager over a star studded trade haha. He wants Ohtani (pitcher) from me and I wanted Bieber involved in his package as well but he’s been fighting me on that. Long story short I’m thinking of letting him keep Beiber and go after Castillo before he gets traded so it looks like this:
I give Ohtani, Wright, and Gilbert
I get Framber V., Fried, and Castillo
What are your thoughts? Should I send that or go after Bieber or more likely Darvish instead of Castillo?
The best offer he gave me so far was Lopez, Fried and Darvish for Ohtani, Wright and Gallen but I declined. I’m making my selections between your rankings, statcast, and fantasy stats to this point. (I’m in a points league)
I appreciate your help as always. And appreciate your time you put into this and give us. Hope your break went well.
Thank you

B-Real
B-Real
Reply to  everywhereblair
4 months ago

As always, thank you for clearing it up for me. Honestly, I wasn’t aware I was giving up more value so I appreciate you showing it to me. I was honestly going after the idea of getting Fried and Beiber and the possibility of what Castillo could do on the dodgers or other big teams. But I obviously really didn’t want to give up ohtani. And Gilbert and Wright are high in points right now but fried and Castillo are higher rated on yours and statcast rankings so that’s why I was seriously considering it. Anyway I’m glad I didn’t do anything before hearing back from you. Thank you for showing me the light! As always I appreciate you and all that you do. Thank you for taking the time to reply.

Longbeachyo
Longbeachyo
4 months ago

Hey Blair. Couple things. Strider is performing this well with basically only two pitches. FB = 64.7% SL = 30.4% CH = 5.0% Has there ever been a pitcher to perform this well with such a limited repertoire? I know Lamet was killer for a short time, but he got hurt and fizzled. How long before hitters adjust to Strider?

Secondly, and I’m kind of surprised you didn’t mention this, but Heaney started throwing a slider this year. Which he has never thrown, correct? In his first two starts his slider was great. In his only start back after being on the shelf for 2 months his slider was terrible. What are the possibilities that Heaney’s shoulder does not like throwing a slider? I’ll bet he doesn’t throw it anymore this year. And that would also explain a shorter stint on the IL, right? I just saw an update that Dave Roberts said that Heaney is already going for a rehab assignment…
Let me know what you think. Thanks!

Longbeachyo
Longbeachyo
Reply to  everywhereblair
4 months ago

Interesting stuff. Thanks man. Appreciate the reply.

Norman Ginsberg
Norman Ginsberg
4 months ago

Always tough translating author descriptions to my unique situation. wrt Freddy Peralta (who I dropped in May), I interpret you to say “If you have an IL slot and you can afford a limited inning start or two in August, then you might get a few 5 good 5-inning starts in September.” If so, I’ll grab him in a day or two.

Obviously, your data rating (Tier 1) is irrelevant for someone like him.

Of course, any available IL slot is short-term.

Last edited 4 months ago by Norman Ginsberg
Jolt In Flow
Jolt In Flow
4 months ago

Never been a big fan of the Kate Bush version. Was ok. Nothing spectacular. A bit too melancholic for me.

My preferred version is the Elastic Bamd house version. I take you as an all around music fan, so I think you’ll appreciate this house version as well/ or already appreciate it if you’ve heard it.

Thanks for that excellent right up! And I’m talking about the non-sports portion. I think a ton of people have run into a situation where they find a hidden gem of a song, a friend who doesn’t have many other friends, or a significant other they start dating, only for others to see the beauty in those same things only after a significant event happens, or, those songs, objects, people bloom at a later time for everyone else to see. Just the way things go sometimes.

Thanks EWB!

Jolt

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
4 months ago

Hi Blair,

life is good. i can now ask my question. you and Grey are the best

1. i picked up Dean Kremer of Baltimore His start is at TB. would you start him?

2. i have a chance to pick up Alex Wood of SF. His next start at home against the Brewers. Would you pick him up off waivers? if yes, then i would have to waive one of the following: Kramer, Mitch White, Mike Clevinger, Eric Lauer or Aaron Ashby? What would you recommend?

3. Would you start Ashby at Minn?

4. Would you start the Dodgers White at St. louis?

5. Would you start Eric Lauer at SF?

6. Since i have to watching innings, of these three above starts, who are your two best to start or you would start all three?

i so appreciate all your help!!

martin

martinrostoker
martinrostoker
Reply to  everywhereblair
4 months ago

Thanks Blair for your detailed responses!

What are your thoughts on Seranthony Dominguez. Should i activate him every day? Would you waive him to get Wood or waive Dean Kramer!

i so appreciate all your help and insight!

martin

Bo9anderson
Bo9anderson
4 months ago

Thanks for your weekly Top 100’s! Looking forward to reading your comments. Could you please explain your continued confidence in Tarik Skubal? Joe Musgrove’s numbers look really good – are you not convinced?

Don't be a Hader
Don't be a Hader
4 months ago

I’m confused…am I being told to sell high on Strider or not?