Day 17,881 of Quarantine and I ran into an old friend of mine at the supermarket. We wrestled over a roll of toilet paper and he tried to pull my mask off my face, but I’ve glued it on. A muffled laugh as I kicked him in the groin and walked off with the toilet paper. Cougs and I will be crapping tonight! So, the top 100 starters for 2020 fantasy baseball were updated with new projections for a 100-game season. With this series, I took a look around the 2020 fantasy baseball rankings to see if there’s any differences now that we might only play a 100-game season. Projections have been updated on all my positional rankings. Tomorrow, I’m unveiling a new series, it’s gonna pack a punch. Too bad it’s not packing a lunch. I don’t have a Whole Foods delivery window until the end of May. Anyway, here’s thoughts on the top 100 starters for 2020 fantasy baseball with the new Corona timeline:

83. A.J. Puk – With the season on hold, which feels like getting put on hold with the cable company for eight weeks and, at any point, you could die if you touch your face, Puk was added into the rankings, because now his shoulder should, er, (stutterer!) be healed by the time the season starts. Risky bet, but one I’m willing to take if drafting now. As said in the top 80 starters on the Corona, I don’t fully trust Puk, Bassitt or Jesus Luzardo (P, B & J) to be cemented into the A’s rotation, but, with so much unknown, it’s a gamble worth taking. In reality, you’re gonna be dropping starters at the backend of your fantasy staff even more so this year because of small sample sizes. For those who found us by googling, “Your fantasy staff of small sample sizes,” I have no idea what you’re looking for, but welcome.

86. Masahiro Tanaka – Did we ever land on what we think of starters who get off to fast starts? Do they get off to a fast start usually because they like pitching in April or is it because they like pitching in the beginning of the season? If it’s the latter, then Tanaka, of a career 3.42 ERA in April, could start off great in July, and, in a 100-game season, that’s one-third the battle and it makes Tanaka a top 40 starter this year. If it’s because of April, then Tanaka, a career 4.18 ERA in July, is as useless as we thought. I still honestly haven’t landed on which of these is more likely, and not sure I trust anyone that has a definitive answer.

91. Alex Wood – Was moved up in the rankings, because there’s less time for him to lose his rotation spot to Dustin May. I think. This is where things get legitimately confusing. If I were the Dodgers in a 100-game season, where every win is going to be magnified, I’d give Wood about three chances to pitch in the rotation, then would go to Dustin May, who will likely be without a minor league team to go to, because a minor league season seems rather remote. So, if Wood is not good (I’m a poet!), he could be in the bullpen within two weeks of the season’s commencement.

109. Cole Hamels – He was due to miss Opening Day because of a shoulder issue. Well, because Hamels can’t miss bats, he caused Covid-19 to happen and now there’s no Opening Day. Thanks a lot, Cole Hamels! Don’t care that Hamels might be healthy by the time the rest of the country is and baseball returns. Don’t like pitchers with arm issues, and am not suddenly excited for Hamels. (It’s another reason why I’m pretty lukewarm on Puk. Pukwarm?)

110. Griffin Canning – Same as Hamels and Mikolas (who’s next) and kinda Puk. Pukinda? Hmm, these need work. It’s super cool that Canning says his elbow will be fine by the time the season is ready to vroom vroom, but you should not trust pitchers with any elbow issues ever and you will be better off. Sorry, had to shit-Canning.

117. Miles Mikolas – He had a forearm issue and doesn’t anymore. Yeah, right. Read the other guys in this post for more thoughts on pitchers with arm injuries.

133. Matt Manning – This goes for just about the whole tier of rookie pitchers in the top 100 starters (Mize, Gore, etc.). It’s going to be interesting to see how clubs handle their minor leaguers. Do they give them a year off from development if there’s no minor league season or do they bring up the guys who are ready? Like a teamster on a cigarette break, I’m leaning on the latter, but it’s too soon to say for sure.

Michael Pineda & Domingo German – Were removed from the top 500 for 2020 fantasy baseball. German’s about to also get removed from the 2021 rankings with the way we’re going. Watch Domingo German return in 2022 as everyone’s favorite sleeper. “Hello, welcome to Fantasy Baseball Expert Smarties dot com, and thank you for reading my Domingo German sleeper post, please subscribe to my Soundcloud.” For what it’s Werth, Steamer pitcher projections has Pineda still down for 35 2/3 IP, but he’ll need to get up to speed and have room in the rotation. My guess is he’s a middle reliever, at best. Maybe a start or two.

 
  1. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!

    Very nice top100 for SP report!

    a. Wow, you should’ve entitled this report ‘Be careful, this report has some really bad SP that I would mostly avoid!’ Damn, how about at least one or two goodies, Debbie Downer? I kid, it further confirms my hypothesis that good tier 1 pitching will be really useful in 2020. Can’t wait for 2021!

    b. MLB quote of the day for August 1, 1974

    ‘Enjoying success requires the ability to adapt. Only by being open to change will you have a true opportunity to get the most from your talent.’

    Lynn Nolan Ryan Jr., aka The Ryan Express. The career K leader at 5714 Ks, he’s also first in walks allowed at 2795 BBs but he is also first in career batting average against at 0.204.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • packers2018 says:
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      Love the quotes Ante.

      Another example of cherry picking stats/numbers to make a point. I only say this as I feel that is happening with the world right now with the virus which is changing our norm.

      Ryan was one of the best but if someone only pointed out he was wild, had the most walks given up in MLB history, they would be right. He was the only one to give up over 2000.

      Reggie Jackson was a terrible hitter, led MLB in total strike outs 2597, basically 5 full seasons worth of at bats! Just another example of cheery picking numbers.

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        at first i thought wtf? ……I had to read that twice to pick up what you were laying down. lol

      • Ryan also holds the record for the most no-hitters. Koufax is second with 4. He threw 7 of them in his 27 year career. 27 year career? Very special. A tribute to his workout regimen, fundamentals and mechanics. Not only was he the greatest punchout artist in history, but seldom got hurt. Never saw a ball explode with such late movement as “The Express” who never stopped bringin the heat. What a horse. Paddock kinda looks like his son – ha
        Thanks Ante!

    • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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      Nolan Ryan was fun to watch…….if it was not for him curt shilling would have probably never made it to elite status.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Ante!

      A. Yeah, lots of pitfalls

      B. Wow, that’s his career BAA, I didn’t know that… That’s pretty good

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      HAHAHA, What, and I mean this fully, in the, and get this right here, actual…eff

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Yo, sea otters are a bunch of Duke LaCrosse players, true or nah?

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        I find the end “and they will continue mating for sometimes a week after death”….

        Remind me of my favorite Walt Whitman Poem.

        I fucked her standing
        I fucked her lying
        If i Had Wings
        I’d fuck her flying
        now she’s gone but not fogotten
        I dug her up and fucked her rotten.

        Walt Whiteman….1891

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HAHA, I mean, whoa

          • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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            True story I went in the crapper in the dorm at college and somebody wrote that on the the toilet paper role……..i did’nt hang around to long

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha

        • 183414 says:
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          Awesome !!!

    • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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      Oh Lord……….watch your six Baby Seal

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Oh my God, does Baby Seal have sea otter tendencies?

        • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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          LOL……….lets not judge

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            But now we know so much more about the sea otter world it’s hard not to

            • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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              Yeah don’t go in the pool with Baby Seal

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Wonder if Baby Seal ever rushed a frat with a bunch of sea otters

                • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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                  Probably not on porpoise!

                  Comedy Gold in this thread!

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Haha, shame Baby Seal is out sexually attacking a sea otter to appreciate it

                    • baby seal says:
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                      Hey, hey, hey!! WTF was this all about??? lol

        • baby seal says:
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          baby seals were the victims here

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I believe you, Baby Seal

            • baby seal says:
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              lol, what a weird freakin’ story

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Haha

  2. Grey, you are absolutely hilarious. Thanks for cheering us all up during these dangerous times.
    I actually think Wood is interesting. Totally dismissing 2019 when he was injured, and accepting that 2017 was a career year, his 2018 stats and for that matter career stats are very reasonable.
    Adding that old adage of horses for courses, maybe he’s more comfortable in the Dodger organisation. As for Pineda, the problem is that he only has 2 decent pitches which results in him getting hammered when he’s in the game for too many innings. Now I freely admit my knowledge of Baseball is limited, but surely any value that he has is as an opener or better still following an opener.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      No problem!

      Yeah, could be on Wood, he could be added in shallower leagues if he starts well

      re:M Pineda — right, but he also won’t do much this year

  3. krazyivan says:
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    Hey Grey,

    Watching that 92 game between the Tigers and Rangers did not disappoint, 12-8.
    Travis Fryman 4-5 (2B, HR). I didn’t recall him at first but remembered the year with the Indians later in his career.
    Solo jacks by Tettleton, Deer and Fielder.
    Texas got a grand slam from Palmeiro. Mark Leiter came out of the bullpen and pitched really well.
    Thank goodness for these YouTube reruns-my wife was watching an interview with the Major of Las Vegas in the other room-talk about your “what is (said) in Vegas should stay in Vegas” moment.

    Would do you think of Jordan Montgomery reportedly sitting at 92-93? I agree with you that 100 innings probably won’t happen.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Travis Fryman! There’s a blast from the past… re: Jo-Mo, 92 is pretty whatever, but 93 MPH makes a difference, at that velocity, it’s been shown that hitters’ OPS goes down, so if he’s there, and gets some IP, he could be something

  4. William Hung says:
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    The consensus I am getting with pitchers whenever baseball starts is this: throw a dart cause who knows? YOLOOOOOOOOOOO!

    Also, anyone road tripping to Georgia and then Vegas cause “F science”! Also… YOLOOOOOOOOOO

    Besides the Vegas Mayor, the best video I saw yesterday was the protestor constantly yelling “You had 6 weeks!” – like really? I didn’t know the virus spreading around was scheduled on your time…

    • Dave D says:
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      Rather than take a smug attitude perhaps you could find some empathy for the 26 million newly unemployed. These leaders might seem irrational to you, but did you consider that Las Vegas economy is 90% service economy jobs that rely on hotels, restaurants and casinos? How many peoples life’s are falling apart or will be soon when they cannot make their mortgage payment or pay their child’s college tuition, medical bills?

      Whatever side of the opening/closing you are, keep in mind that some of these leaders may be responding to the desperation they see in constituents, and Las Vegas is suffering tremendously. That’s probably what that mayor is responding to but not articulating as well as she could.

      • William Hung says:
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        I get it man – in 2008 i was severely impacted from the last recession and took me over 2 years to personally recover. It’s a bit of frustration when the risk of reopening too soon is to prolong our current situation even longer.

        • 183414 says:
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          If you’re afraid of the risk, then just stay locked down. Simple. Called freedom. Check out the Bill of Rights. Would like to have an AG enforce it, though.

          • Cram It says:
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            Why can’t I drive drunk? Damn these state laws infringing on my rights!

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        Yeah my wife contract ended during 3/31 good luck finding work during a lock down, we are fortunate that i am “essential” but what about families with both out of work? There are many things to consider.

        And no leader has been through this they are all doing the best they can. The cherry picked facts and superficial analysis being hyped by the media make it worse.

        there is some equilibrium point that will be reached

      • Cram It says:
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        When the POSPOTUS changes his tune everyday about reopening, how could anyone possibly know what the state of the union is? This is a historical time with no right answer.

        • Dave D says:
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          All I can say its a lot easier for leaders of whatever political party when they’re still drawing a paycheck or have money in the bank. I really feel badly for all the people who are suffering in all this mess, whether its the 26 million newly unemployed, families of the deceased, or others that are suffering greatly somehow in all this.

          It’s easier for those who currently “have” to be critical of those who might be feeling desperate and wanting to “open it all up” but I think it’s important to keep in mind that many of those people pushing for the end of the shutdown might be losing everything they have right now, so what might seem irrational to some could very well fueled by intense personal suffering. I think people on both sides of the argument need to consider that. This is a crappy thing for most of us that are not billionaires invested in vaccine technologies or who short sold on airline stocks in February.

          • 183414 says:
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            Spot on !!!

          • Agree Double-D!!!

          • Cram It says:
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            I’m not a billionaire. Most Americans are not billionaires. We missed the boat on how to quarantine safely at the onset. Instead of shutting it down properly at the beginning and let this thing pass, we had state leaders and the POTUS flouting the recommended guidelines. If we all adhered to quarantine for a few weeks, we would be back to normal by now. Instead we get a Covid outbreak in a South Dakota pork plant, Covid outbreak in a Green Bay meatpacking plant, Covid outbreak in two Tyson plants in Tennessee. I don’t know the answers, but we should have sucked it up at the onset, or just let everyone get Covid and sacrifice those who won’t make it out alive.

            • William Hung says:
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              “let everyone get Covid and sacrifice those who won’t make it out alive.” – isn’t that the plan now in some places?

            • Dave D says:
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              It’s fine that you dislike Trump, but blaming him is kind of ridiculous. No president could stop a virus as this has been. Superman could not have stopped it. Obama or Hilary would not have stopped it. If you just say you hate Trump, fine, I cannot argue with that. Blaming him makes you seem ridiculous and spiteful.

              Any real blame should be cast on the origins of this virus and whatever happened initially for it to spread in Wuhan. Almost everyone not on the payroll of the WHO, the CCP or the Gates Foundation wants more investigation into what actually happened to cause this global catastrophe. Blaming Trump just seems petty and juvenile.

              • Cram It says:
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                Jesus christ, I’m not blaming Trump for the virus. I’m pointing to his failed leadership when one day he says he has the ultimate say when the country opens, the next he says it’s up to the governors, the next he supports protesters “liberating” their state, and the next he doesn’t support Georgia opening, when they thought he would have his support. What kind of leadership is that?

                • Dave D says:
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                  Ok, fair enough. I agree on that part.

                • Saint says:
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                  Agree with Cram

        • 183414 says:
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          Nasty, angry hater !!!

          • Cram It says:
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            Yes, that was just so nasty! Keep pushing those Conservative tropes. Say anything negative about Trump, no matter how accurate it is, must be TDS!

            • Snacks Zillion says:
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              This all disgusts me to no end. We are all baseball fans here to “discuss baseball.” I am done. Razzball has been the best fantasy web sight ever but you guys just have it all jacked up. Piss on all of it. Its baseball here. BASEBALL. If I wanted some BS political crap would go to the sell outs at CNN etc. I am done here. Snacks Out-

              • Cram It says:
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                I agree, but David D started it. And 18314RJD2 has been bringing his political references in almost everyday and I’m tired of listening to it too. They’re upset, they can’t get hair cuts.

                • Dave D says:
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                  Incorrect, Cram. Follow the thread and you’ll find Hung started the banter about it. I only responded. His post seemed insensitive to people suffering. That was my message not a political one. No one forces a comment. If a thread has no interest to someone just don’t comment. I don’t like wrap music or watching modern TV or movies, but when others discuss I just ignore. I don’t need to tell them that it’s a “baseball site”. I realize it is mostly a baseball site but this shutdown has stopped baseball and unfortunately politics and baseball are intersecting right now. If baseball were being played then you’d be right, no reason for politics to come up in normal circumstances. I would prefer it that way if we had baseball bit we don’t.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yolo is exactly right when it comes to pitching this year, I think there is going to be some extreme, WTF cases

  5. krazyivan says:
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    Pitchers are what they are. Like last year, if you have Verlander and/or Cole, and they repeat their performance then you may be dusting your league.

    But the drawback that is more severe is the injury potential. He should already undervalue SP some due to injury risk. Now you have to contend with the minor aches and pains injuries with pitchers that can regularly have them miss 2-3 starts. 3 starts is a quarter of the season!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, exactly, huge point…If a guy misses 4 starts, it’s two 1/2 weeks and his value falls from top 20 to top 60

      • That’s right! Leaning toward the grinders when this season fires up. Give me the ball, taking their turn type dudes with grit. Injuries will be especially devastating this year

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, it’s not gonna be pretty if a guy misses a few weeks to a month

  6. 32 team slow draft 6×6. OPS+Holds. I hate Holds and getting historical data for an SGP formula never mind trying to figure out said formula is way beyond me. I’m therefore depending on Uncle Grey and the Razzball team for this one. Rosters are similar to standard Yahoo leagues, 9 Hitters (only 1 U spot) and 3 SP 3RP 1 P 4 Bench with 4 MILB which don’t count against one’s Roster.
    Will therefore use RB 6X6 Yahoo numbers as opposed to ESPN.
    All advice and tips from the writers gratefully accepted.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sorry, what are you asking?

      • Sorry Grey. Just asking if using your Yahoo $ numbers is the best way to go here.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah…Gotcha…Yeah, I would

        • baby seal says:
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          They don’t have anything for 32 teams…

          Recommend you use the Fangraphs auction calculator: https://www.fangraphs.com/auctiontool.aspx

          Not sure if you’ll see this comment, so maybe we can chat on it tomorrow. Was busy today so couldn’t really troll the comment section until now…

          Happy to help walk you through if you haven’t used it before — can hit me up on Twitter too @Rinaldi224

          But if you just punch in your league settings, you’ll get pretty damn close. I know a few trick to manipulate the calculator to match how your league will likely draft. Just need a little more info from you.

          Cheers

  7. Dan says:
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    Yordan alverez for jose abreau and eddie rosario ???

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      I’d want Abreu side.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with Knoche

      • baby seal says:
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        Really? Feel like getting those 2 players is a slam dunk!

  8. Troy says:
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    Thoughts on Tiajuan Walker? Back in seattle, probably good to go on the delayed start.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I drafted him in one very deep league just in case there’s anything there there, but I don’t have a ton of faith in him — as a last round flyer, for sure

  9. The Great Knoche says:
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    Well…Today would have officially been a full 4 weeks into the season.

    Should be fielding questions at this point about whether I should be dropping Gary Sanchez cause he hitting .220 with 2 HRs for Buster Posey who is at .280 with 4 HRs.

    Or if I should trade Soto who is off to a slow start for David Dahl who is hitting .322 with 7HRs and 5 SBs.

    I miss baseball.

    • William Hung says:
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      and us Mets fans wondering why we even care about baseball

      • Cram It says:
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        Truth. I’m sliding more and more down the hole of not caring about a 2020 season, fantasy or reality.

        • 183414 says:
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          Let’s alert the media.

          • Cram It says:
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            Ok, but just FOX news, because they’re the only ones who tell the unbiased truth.

            • DonnieB says:
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              It’s true. And Rush Limbaugh even more. And Mark Levin. Then some at Fox but not all. Maybe 50% at Fox know the truth.

            • Saint says:
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              LOL

          • baby seal says:
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            lolol

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        Mets and phillies fans are kindred spirits….when things are going well we always have the “disaster is around the corner ” feeling.

        been to many phillies mets games always good banter with them………yankees and red sox fans tend to be obnoxious………one time after the Linc just opened we were sitting next to some mets fans were talking football/baseball the guy gave us 4 eagles/jets preseason tickets for the next game when he found out my kids never had been to the new stadium…..the tix were 50 yard line eagles side.

        • baby seal says:
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          I find Phillies fans are the worst, actually. Mostly just Philly fans in general are known to be about as bad as it gets. Fans from any team can be be pretty bad–with the exception of a few teams.

          But more than anything, there seems to be an inverse correlation w/ how good the team is and how nice the fans are….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You’re as big a tease as David Dahl! Kidding, I know…This all sucks…Hopefully we get some good news in May, but even if we don’t, June is another full month we don’t need for a 100-game season

      • baby seal says:
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        I still think over on 100 games

  10. Coolwhip

    Coolwhip says:
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    HAHA I think you wrote that Tanaka blurb specifically for me… we’ll go with that! I was planning to dive into pitchers after exploring the hitters series.

    I think there could be more involved with pitchers based on the results. My hypothesis is that some pitchers will be better in April because of less quality contact / hardhit% / hr/fb% i.e. not summer yet when balls fly out more. And some might be better in April because they are missing bats more and getting weaker contact (more groundouts, less barrel%) and maybe more called strikes as some hitters take longer to find their timing and get into midseason from.

    There’s a lot to look into. I’m going to be busy!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, maybe a little *emoji with sunglasses who lifts sunglasses to show he’s winking*

    • baby seal says:
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      Was definitely thinking of you too! haha, that was rude!

  11. NUX says:
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    Eagerly awaiting the post about how sexy your NFBC $25 x2 squad is

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You’re gonna have to get lambasted on the Patreon pod this week, man…Then next week, you might have to come on to fess up to roping me in

      • NUX says:
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        Hah!! Deal

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        Does that mean you’re gonna fess up to Gary Sanchez?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, talk about the worst possible autodrafting I could’ve done ever

          • The Great Knoche says:
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            It’s easy to forget about a $25 draft with 11 roster spots. Watch this be your #1 team!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I hope not since I have none of these guys anywhere else

            • NUX says:
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              There are 12 Roster slots!!!

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                I’m sure that will change too

  12. Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
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    NL only slow draft, 20th round, nearly done. OBP over AVG, net steals over steals, total bases added, QS over wins, holds added h2h 10 teamer. keep 3 at previous season’s ADP’s.

    C suzuki (missed mejia by 1 pick after figuring i could wait that long, guy who grabbed him already had a catcher, only 2 guys left with playing time assurances are stallings/wolters, suzuki bashes in their faces by the rater even with his less at bats (depth charts now he’s behind gomes, 19th)
    1B freeman (K, 2)
    2B lux (K, 25)
    SS a.rosario (7)
    3B mcneil (2B/OF 5)
    MI wong (12)
    CI votto (raters still like him a good deal more than anybody else, esp in OBP/OPS 11)
    OF (4): harper (1), pham (3), mcclutchin’ (9), grisham (13)
    util (1) brocktune (man everybody is off this guy by now, figured i’d get at MOST one of grisham/brocktune/hilliard 14)
    BN
    NA (1) (bohm, s.howard went right before him, figured he’s the highest upside NL hitter that might be up this year that won’t start the year up, could’ve gone harrison here too, but having a backup 3B to move mcneil around seemed smart, plus m.harrison’s floor is garbage, and i’m already steals ok, 18)
    SP (want 8 in season, 1 of them a streamer, i’ll exit draft with either 7 SP/4 RP or 8 SP/3 RP): strasburg (K 4), urias (6), musgrove (10), gausman (16), cueto (17, the end pick of 3 str SF pitchers), pab lop (20)
    RP (4): iglesias (8), watson (15)

    so 4 picks left, 1 BN hitter, and either 2 SP/1 RP or 1 SP/2 RP, then post draft slot bohm and get the last pitcher. budget says i’m already over at SP, under on RP. war room says i’m good and balanced, and not steals weak. would appear be best off making sure the bench hitter has some mix of 2B/SS/3B and maybe 1B (wong, while not platooning out vs lefties, could do that again, lux as a rookie might lose some time (c.taylor/kike and assorted others will play some of the time etc), mcneil could move to 2B to cover these). best options appear to be:
    – profar (2B/SS)
    – kendrick (1-3B but not a real life starter, but also has the best per game rater numbers, esp in OPS rater vs NL only rater when compared to these guys. did seem to get a decent amount of at bats last year though, even while then being a technically bench guy, could steal from kieboom if he goes through rough patch or castro)
    – galvis (2B/SS, has the worst rater numbers, but has pretty much blown those away for 2 years or so now, but if CIN was smart would lose at bats to some mix of vanmeter or senzel)
    – cano (technically has the best rater numbers, likely to most certain at bats, but only 2B)
    – a.frazier (there is no way he’s the answer, plus only 2B)
    – camargo (3B/SS/OF, pretty ugly rater numbers, could be bypassed by riley)
    – moran (2B/3B, probably not him)
    – longo (has the 3rd best NL numbers, from at bats, plus hits in best lineup slot of any of these, albeit on a horrible team in horrible park (likely), and is only 3B).
    – i.diaz (2nd worst rater numbers)

    i don’t pick for a bit, so very likely not all of these will remain at my next pick. your ratings say profar easily here. but who’d be 2nd/3rd in case. those others are much closer in some spots.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      100% Profar

      • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
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        yeah but who’d you go 2nd/3rd. i’m 7 picks off of mine, decent chance he ain’t around by then.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hmm…Cano, Isan, Camargo

      • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
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        i’m actually surprised cano is still around here. he was horrible last year but name value and playing time are solid entities. his ADP for NL only at FP is 147, far earlier than most of these names and where we are in the draft.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He’s only interesting due to PT

          • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
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            right but that’s a real thing for somebody that might not have a MI or 2B or util who’s a starter. and i draft SP often far less draft capital than most, so there are owners right now in that exact situation. longo just went.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Not like the other names are jumping off the page

  13. Stat Man says:
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    Hi Grey.

    I’ve been reading a lot of hype on Marcel Ozuna for the 2020 season based on his xStats and being in a better lineup will produce a big year for him.

    I don’t put a lot of credence in numbers put up in spring training, but it does get my attention when no numbers are being put up and someone can’t even hit the ball. In 9 spring games and 24 at-bats, Ozuna struck out 12 times while hitting .083. Looking at his career stats, he’s only eclipsed the 30 HR threshold once (would have last year too if he played more games) and hit better than .269 only twice. There a many players who’s xStats look great, but production doesn’t end up matching.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Meh, spring training was so long ago now…If (and I think when) they have a 2nd spring training, what if he hits .500 over that?

      • Stat Man says:
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        It does seem so long ago…doesn’t it. :(

        If he hit .500 in spring training part duex I would still look at his body of work over his career. I think a great year for him at this point in his career is a 30/ 90/.265-.270. Not bad, but I believe his career year in Miami was an outlier and he hasn’t been close to that since as he’s matured and gotten more experience in the league.

        I hope I’m wrong, because I ended up with him on my team this year. I wish Eloy dropped to me instead. :)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I think he was playing through injury in 2018, then was unlucky last year for AVG while rebounding on power

        • baby seal says:
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          Spring stats are literally useless.

          Most of the time, xStats don’t line up due to shifts. You can see he’s getting shifted on more and more each year. Hence, the lowering BABIP. Harper and Gallo have the same issue.

  14. LOLmets says:
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    I’m starting to look like Robin Williams in Jumanji

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      HAHA, nice chest hair, LOLmets!

  15. Well done Grey! Some guys to ponder late and happy to see you’re somewhat flexible on AJ. Needed that semi-endorsement to be in on targeting Puk as my SP6. Tanaka could be tolerable, but much higher on AJ and will monitor closely when the ramp up begins.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

  16. baby seal says:
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    Grey!

    What up?!

    Puk – agree on the gamble at the cost. Love that small sample size joke, lol!

    Tanaka – pass. He’s clearly on the decline in his career.

    Wood – yummy. I’ll take the flier at the cost. The shortened season def makes me like him a little less though, unfortunately.

    Hamels – nah, not going back to that tainted well. In theory, without the injury, he could’ve been interesting in that context and with that still nasty change. Just not too interested now. Will put on the ol’ waiver watch.

    Canning – ever harder pass.

    Mikolas – you know I’ve ended up w/ him a few times. Really just about the cost, he’s already throwing, and seems like he’ll be more than ready to start the year. He’s like my last pitcher on a couple teams, so wtv.

    Manning – yep.

    Pineda & German – yep.

    Not a lot of exciting stuff today! Oh well, can’t win em all.

    Set your damn queue in the baseball league and check it once every 3-4 hours… it’s not that hard!!! Stop letting me down!

    Later bro

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Not a lot of exciting stuff? You obviously missed the comments above about you

      I will talk about this league on this week’s Patreon pod, I’m dying to

      • baby seal says:
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        I did miss them until now haha

        Wasn’t able to read the comments until later in the day — was a busy one today

        CAN’T WAIT!

  17. Harley Earl says:
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    Grey,

    I fully agree with your 100 game assessment in general when you mentioned Alex Wood. In a 100 game season, every game carries about 40% weight toward winning a division, the playoffs, seeding, etc. So teams are not going to waste time with struggling players, struggling pitchers, etc. If you hitting or your pitching well, you’re playing. This is where I think May and Urias both have an advantage.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, agreed!

  18. With the year of April slugging towards the finish line, I’ll spray it again…thank you.

    Thank you for building this community that attracted the smart and the funny…the geeks and the freaks…Lisa’s and the Bart’s…Theo’s and the Rudy’s…but not the Bill’s…of course all grounded in the love of the game…the greatest sport ever invented…there is no clock for a reason, because none of us know when this all ends…and of course time doesn’t even really exist…it’s just an imaginary ruler that we invented to measure the other three dimensions and to pretend that they make sense…but much like Matthew McConaughey’s career, we all know that nothing does.

    Again, thanks…this place is cool to have.

    PS Also feeling grapeful for bourbon

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Appreciate it, Wake! Nice of you to say!

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      Good stuff, Wake!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      Speaking of grapeful, I picked up a couple of bottles of shiraz/syrah to try this weekend. I like it better when it’s shiraz though. The syrah truthers get under my skin.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Que syrah, syrah

  19. Mike

    MIke says:
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    Hope you’re well friends. Itching for ball to come back.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oh em gee, it’s Pee Em! Prospect Mike, how ya doing, man? Well, I hope!

    • Harley Earl says:
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      Mike!!!

      It’s good to see you!! Dare to grace us with a prospect report???? Come on, Just one for old time’s sake!!!

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      Good to see you Mike. Good here, hope all is good with you and yours!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      Ditto Mike. Good to see you around these parts.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
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        Thanks all! Yup, doing well. Same to you!

  20. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    I’ll be touching on a few of these guys if I ever get to the pitching part of my post. Why did I cast such a wide net? Why?

    Anything new with you? Any wild, new tp substitutes that you’ve discovered?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I discovered toilet paper a few hundred years ago, so I’m taking it back to the old school!

      • William Hung says:
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        I think we need to all hop on the bidet bandwagon

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Little spray up the wazoo never hurt anyone (until we hear we can get The Rona from bidets)

        • LOLmets says:
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          2 things that changed my life.

          1) the bidet

          2) the water pic

          One shoots water up your ass, the other shoots water in between your teeth. If I go for a few days without either I start to fall apart.