When does a fad become a trend, and a trend the new standard? Whether it’s fashion, politics, music, movies, language or style, the shift from perception to reality advances faster and faster. In baseball, how fast does that timeline shift for a player? How long do we need to realize that a player’s stats are the new norm and not a flash in the pan? 50 at bats? 100 at bats? 2 months? Of course, there’s always the risk of regression, like the 80’s being totally back in style, but there are other things from the past that just won’t come back. Or at least we all better hope they don’t. Like Jnco. Haha, that used to be cool?
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Sorry I missed you guys… and girls last week. I was having computer issues, and when you couple that with all my other issues, well then, you got a lot of issues. This week I’m going to keep focusing on steals after last week’s… I mean two weeks ago post where I went over the top pitchers and teams to steal against. You can read that here. It’s really exciting stuff. Speaking of exciting stuff, did any of you get a chance to stream Blake Snell? I didn’t see him getting called up this early, but as always, we get crushed when he gets sent down and now we have to wait for his next arrival. Stupid friggin’ Rays. I’m just glad he wasn’t Ian Snell out there.
Please, blog, may I have some more?Holy Shizz!!! Game of Thrones is back Snitches! The lead has nothing to do with DK today, but how could I pass up on celebrating the return of Jon Snow and Brienne of Tarth? Not a GOT fan? That’s cool, I won’t judge you, but you’re missing out. Either way, you’re not here for a GOT review, you’re here for some DK advice, so let’s talk about the match-ups for today. My original lead was going to be; “SSS’s Are The New $$$’s” at least for today, as Salazar, Sale and Snydergaard are on the bump. Noah Syndergaard was my guy last week and he put up a respectable 29.6 points. At $11,400 vs Cincinnati he’s a solid anchor again today and I like him over the higher priced Madison Bumgarner, $12,100, vs San Diego. I know it’s SD, but Mad-Bum just hasn’t looked right over his first four starts and Grey has been preaching about his over usage. Maybe he torches SD tonight, but I’m going to roll with my boy Thor again tonight and hopefully he can put a charge into the rest of my picks that we’re anything but electric last week!
New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well try out this 10 teamer of Razzball writers and friends to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.
Please, blog, may I have some more?People standing to the side, huddled together. Faces ashen. All they could talk about was the moment the Carlos Carrascident happened. There was nothing anyone could do. It was as if time slowed down like Keanu was diving away from a Matrixy bullet. A split second and a heap on the ground, silence. Terry Francona dressed as a law enforcement officer putting up yellow tape, people wondering if Francona was working a bachelorette party after the game. Carlos Carrasco is headed to the disabled list with a hamstring strain but needs to have an MRI, which is never what you want to hear about your ace. Filling in for him will be Trevor Bauer. Not farfetched to think Bauer could have value in matchups. Farfetch is also what they call warming up Bauer. “Why is our bullpen catcher driving to Akron?” “Friggin’ Bauer.” As for Carlos Carrasco, that’s the way the Cookie crumbles. Anyway, here’s what else I saw this weekend in fantasy baseball:
Please, blog, may I have some more?We’re now about three weeks into the season, obviously still a very small sample to work with but it’s worth taking a look at current trends around the league. Some young guys around the league are having a great start helping their long term value while others are on the opposite side of the spectrum. On the other side of things, there are some older players who are showing signs of decline that you’ll need to make a decision on. In this article, I’m going to look at these players and talk about their current stock and what I’d do from here. Let’s get right to it:
Please, blog, may I have some more?Hello everyone, and welcome to Sunday! I am happy to be back after a weekend off, and for this week and next, I will be writing on Sunday, instead of the usual Saturday slot, until the week after next, when everything will be back to normal. Hopefully you guys had a great two weeks, as we saw some great pitching from Jake Arrieta, Vincent Velasquez, and Tanner Roark on Saturday.
I don’t have that much of a funky intro for today (my apologies, but the rest of my family are good people!), but I’m still keeping the same theme from “last” week, which was to scout and analyze all Starting Pitchers, finding the ones we like, and the one’s we like to pick on, or target batters against.
Some of these plays will be no-brainers, such as this week, when a lot of the field was on Jake Arrieta, and for good reason, as he pitched a No-Hitter. However, as we saw on Saturday, not much of the field was on Tanner Roark, and he managed to have 10 K’s through 4 innings against the weak Minnesota Twins.
Again, the hindsight is 20/20, however through enough research on my part, I can try to find the diamond in the rough for you Razzball readers.
Let’s get to Sunday!
New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well try out this 10 teamer of Razzball writers and friends to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.
Please, blog, may I have some more?So far this season we’ve focused our prospect content on dynasty specific purposes with the intent of getting you prepped up to master your leaguemates and colleagues for years to come. We’ve looked at incoming players for 2017, re-ranked the top 25, profiled numerous players, while also updating you on Razzball’s in house dynasty the Razznasty. Today we’re going to take a bit of a different approach, today we look at the more immediate impact of up and coming prospects. The players we’ll review have short ETA’s, and could be up within the next two-three months. I’ll add in a guesstimate ETA on my behalf. I mean I’ve had a sterling record with such prognostications so far, and by sterling I mean awful. I am the man that told you Turner would up by today, which now looks like June, as well as the man in the preseason predicting Nomar Mazara wouldn’t be up until August. So yeah, I’m great!
Please, blog, may I have some more?We (the royal “we”) had a week off from this series, mostly because of the content overload last weekend. What a time to be alive! It’s no secret that we’ve had a great influx of content this season, some have been welcomed with open arms, and some haven’t. The circle of writing, if you will. But because there’s so much content, our goal with this series is to highlight, in an almost zen-like TL;DR summary, what exactly happened this past week in Razzball. You may ask yourself why it’s “in Razzball” and not “on Razzball” and the answer to that question is, would you rather want to be on something or in something? Don’t answer that actually, pretty sure that’s how we lost Tehol…
Follow me after the jump to take a look back at what was week one AND a look forward on all things Razzball, including some player suggestions for next week, straight from Razzball’s Streamonator, Hitter-Tron, and DFSBot!
Please, blog, may I have some more?I want to start talking about a little piece of OPS strategy that has worked for me over the years. This works for AVG and OBP Leagues but I think works especially well for OPS leagues. I call it: “Pair two players (PTP).” Sexy, I know. Usually it’s the combination of a power guy (say Giancarlo Stanton) with a speed guy (say Billy Hamilton). Simple, yet efficient. Giancarlo Hamilton, as it were. Other examples: Edwin Pillar, Ender Rizzo, Lorenzo Abreu, make up your own! It’s fun.
Please, blog, may I have some more?Josh Tomlin continued his early season success pitching 6.2 innings of four hit beisbol, allowing just one run and striking out four for his second win of the year. Josh is now 2-0 through his first two starts with a 1.54 ERA, 0.77 WHIP and 10 strikeouts. He’s available in over 90% of ESPN leagues. Am I missing something? Tomlin was part of my championship pitching staff last year. No. I didn’t win, but I still made the finals, so that counts as a championship team, right? Tomlin finished 2015 especially strong giving up just 14 runs in 49.3 IP with a 44/3 K/BB rate, and two complete games. Can he keep it up? Let’s look at the stats. First, Josh’s ESPN player page photo looks a whole lot like Bradley Cooper. Second, Tomlin’s .219 BABIP for 2015 was laughably low, and he’s not exactly a strikeout machine. That said, he doesn’t walk anyone either. Doode throws strikes, and his 3.2 BB% from 2015 is no fluke. If we look further into the advanced stats (NERD!), we see Josh doesn’t induce a lot of ground ball outs either, and his fly ball percentage was 46.2 last year. Basically, he could give up a lot of long balls. Or not, what do these numbers know anyway. I’ll tell you what I know. Josh Tomlin has been pitching very well dating back to last September and he has a juicy match up with the Twins next week. He’s certainly a worthy streaming option in the right match up and I’d give him a chance next week in Minnesota.
Here’s what else I saw Friday night in fantasy baseball:
Please, blog, may I have some more?I’m fascinated by things that are outside of the box and things that challenge what is considered the “norm”. A good knuckleballer is a joy to watch. Trevor Bauer and his pregame routine and training regime is so intriguing. I wish he’d have some success so people might take it a little more seriously. Basically, it’s no fun doing things the exact same way every, single time and there’s no way to evolve and learn if we don’t try something new. In this same vein, we have Hector Santiago, the only pitcher in the major leagues to throw a screwball last year. He will also probably be the only pitcher to throw one in the majors this season. This pitch was very popular back in the early days of baseball but has since become almost entirely extinct due to the threat of injury it possess. I get it, but you’d think if you’re the only pitcher throwing a pitch that funky in MLB, you’d have an advantage. Well, Mr. Santiago is having himself a year so far in the early going, but I’m not so sure it’s screwball related. Santiago has raised his K/9 from 8.07 last year to 8.71 so far this year and he’s lowered his BB/9 from 3.54 to 2.61. Also of note is the 2 MPH he’s added to his fastball. Early jumps in fastball velocity are typically a great sign that a pitcher’s early season success might be more than just a fluke. Another sign that something has changed for Santiago is the change in GB/FB ratio. Santiago has typically been an extreme flyball pitcher, which wasn’t always wonderful in US Cellular field. His flyball percentage is still high-ish, but it’s dropped from an average of 48% for his career to 44% this year. The big change though is in his ground ball percentage which has jumped from his career average of 33% up to 47% so far this year. That has lead his GB/FB to jump from a career norm of 0.7 to over 1.0. So, we’ve got a pitcher with increased fastball velocity, with better control and who’s inducing more grounders. Did I mention he’ll be facing the Mariners where he’ll have the platoon advantage against just about everyone outside of Nelson Cruz? At $8,400 he’s the perfect compliment to Jose Fernandez for the night slate.
New to DraftKings? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well try out this 10 teamer of Razzball writers and friends to wet your DK whistle. Just remember to sign up through us before you do. It’s how we know you care! If you still feel helpless and lonely, be sure to subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays.
Please, blog, may I have some more?I mean, were you expecting a different answer? Why in the balls would that question even be posed? It’s DFP (figure it out). However, in case he’s not on one of your teams, Price carries a 7.06 ERA into next week, which could sound the alarms of some novice fantasy owners. And just in case that’s you, woo-sah kemosabe. Let’s look at why David Price is quite alright…
This will be the first Two-Start Pitcher post to utilize 2016 stats in determining the rank of these double dragons. Almost one month in, and at least three starts down for most starters, there’s enough evidence to gather a solid idea of how pitchers are performing. So, like we talked about in the Two-Start Pitcher Primer, we’re going to look at opponents, ERA, FIP, K/9 and BB/9. And each of them will show the evidence of why certain starters are better than others, in particular, a SP with a 7.00+ ERA.
You want to find SP with high K/9 and low BB/9. That goes without saying. So why did I say it? I don’t know. Moving on. ERA is the standard stat the world uses to determine a pitcher’s value. It’s simple. It’s easy to understand. How to actually calculate it? Not so easy, but not tricky. I’m just an English major that hasn’t taken a math class in 13 years. (Suck it, Georgia Tech nerds!) While ERA matters immensely, especially in fantasy formats, it’s not necessarily the greatest indicator of true performance or future trajectory. Enter Fielding Independent Pitching. Or, FIP. From the Fangraphs vault, here’s the math for FIP:
Please, blog, may I have some more?