What’s up DFSers. It’s Friday and I’m on vacation. You know what that means? I’ve been day drinking and you get to deal with my silly ramblings about baseball. We have a 14-game slate on FanDuel and this slate is chock full of pitching. We get Justin Verlander, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Jacob deGrom all in the same price range, along with my personal favorite Shane Bieber ($10,800). Bieber has been phenomenal this year. He’s kept his walk rate down at 5.1%, while increasing his strikeout rate seven ticks to 31.6%. For the season, he has the fourth best SIERA among qualified starting pitchers, behind Gerrit Cole, Max Scherzer, and Chris Sale. Shane Bieber faces the Royals, who have the 26th best wOBA against right-handed pitchers over the last two months. Great matchup and a great pitcher? Count me in. For the record, if you’re paying up and want to go to one of the other aces, by all means. Let’s take a look at the rest of FanDuel’s slate.
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Marcus Stroman, SP: $6,800 – Stroman dominates righties, allowing just a .084 ISO and .270 wOBA. Detroit has a 25.7% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers and rank 27th in wOBA. If you’re looking to pay down at pitcher, this is definitely a spot to look at.
Tyler Mahle, SP: $6,200 – Mahle’s struggled against lefties, but luckily for us the Cardinals’ scary righties include Dexter Fowler, Matt Wieters, Kolten Wong, and Tommy Edman. The Cardinals have been terrible of late. Over the last two months, the Cardinals rank dead last in wOBA against right-handed pitching.
Joc Pederson, C/1B: $3,000 – Joc leads off against righties and this is too cheap for his home run upside.
Christian Vasquez, C/1B: $2,800 – This is just a way to get a cheap bat in the middle of the Red Sox lineup and Vasquez has a .206 ISO against lefties.
Roberto Perez, C/1B: $2,800 – Never have I ever suggested this many catchers, but Perez against lefties has a .296 ISO and .418 wOBA.
Cesar Hernandez, 2B: $2,600 – Second-base is not my favorite position today, so if you’re looking for a pay-down option, here’s your boy.
D.J. LeMahieu, 3B: $3,800 – I love the Yankees today, but they’re really priced up. Fit them in where you can.
Xander Bogaerts, SS: $4,500 – Xander’s the no-doubt top play at shortstop today. He’s destroyed lefties this year, turning in a .414 wOBA.
J.D. Martinez, OF: $4,000 – If I’m paying up for a bat today, it’s either JD, Aaron Judge, Christian Yelich, or Josh Bell. I didn’t want to list all those guys out with a write-up of “uhhhhh, top player in the league hits the ball hard”.
Bryan Reynolds, OF: $3,100 – Reynolds bats out of the two-hole and this is just too cheap for a guy with a good matchup who has a .409 wOBA against righties.
Alex Verdugo, OF: $2,900 – Verdugo is perpetually cheap and has recently been batting out of the two-hole against righties.
Corey Dickerson, OF: $2,600 – C-Dick just makes me giggle. Yes, I’m immature. Arrieta also struggles against lefties.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Other than in California, pretty much every game will play in hot, humid conditions. Those are the perfect conditions for pop-up thunderstorms, but no games look at risk at the moment.
Doing Lines In Vegas
With so many aces on today’s slate, comes some massive favorites. Indians (-300) is the biggest favorite followed by the Dodgers (-290), Yankees (-235), Astros (-230), and Red Sox (-215). On the total front, we currently have five double-digit totals in Athletics/Twins (11), Yankees/Rockies (11), Diamondbacks/Brewers (10), Reds/Cardinals (10), and Phillies/Pirates (10). I’m still waiting on team totals to come out on FanDuel, but I’m hoping the Indians team total comes out at 5 runs and I’ll probably play the Pirates over 4.5 runs against the Phillies. Good luck today!