It feels like the Yasiel Puig hype has already died down, as his price is falling on FanDuel. After an offseason that saw his NFBC ADP rise to 57 by mid-March, Puig’s price is down to just $3,000 on FanDuel. But does his price deserve to be so low after only three games? Puig is coming off of a season with an elite 150 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, and is batting third in a strong Reds lineup. He’s in a fantastic hitter’s park in Cincinnati and gets a great matchup against Jhoulys Chacin, who posted a poor 4.51 Deserved Run Average in 2018. If Puig was coming off of a random 1-for-11 streak in the middle of June nobody would bat an eye, so why do we care now? The Wild Horse is one of the best bets you can make on Tuesday.
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Blake Snell, SP: $10,000 – If you prefer to build your lineup around an expensive starting pitcher, there’s plenty of options for you tonight. Snell is my favorite of the bunch – he comes in at $1,700 cheaper than Max Scherzer yet can provide similar, if not better production. The Rockies look like the same cupcake lineup that posted a .289 wOBA away from Coors last year, with only one run over their last two games, and Snell gets to face them in his spacious home ballpark.
Marcus Stroman, SP: $7,400 – Stroman is facing what has to be the weakest lineup in all of baseball in the Orioles. He cleaned up in his first easy matchup of the year against the Tigers, going seven scoreless with seven strikeouts. Stro should be able to do just about the same against Baltimore, as they just don’t really have any guys who should hurt him. Stroman is probably the best pitcher on the slate based on pure value at this low price.
Jason Vargas, SP: $6,500 – It’s gross, I know. But Vargas is actually projected as a top nine starter on Tuesday according to the Stream-o-nator (yes, that means he’s ninth). Vargas is strictly a GPP play – you don’t wan’t him anywhere near your cash lineups – as there’s a lot of profit to be made at this price. Plus, I’m sure he will come at a very low ownership, giving him value as a contrarian pick. It’s far from a sure thing, but Vargas may be able to fall into a good outing against an awful Marlins lineup in a pitcher-friendly park.
Gary Sanchez, C: $3,300 – Catchers are hardly ever worth playing on FanDuel, but Sanchez in Yankee Stadium is an exception. Gary and the Yankees lineup should feast on Jordan Zimmermann, who had an abysmal 1.98 HR/9 last year.
Ryan Zimmerman, 1B: $2,600 – Zimmerman (no relation to Jordan) is in a nice position to pick up some RBI batting fifth in the Nationals order against Phils starter Zach Eflin. He’s an inexpensive play at first base if you find yourself needing one. Now we just need Kyle Zimmer in this writeup – too many Zimmers, man!
Eduardo Nunez, 2B: $2,300 – It’s tough to find the payroll to pull off a Red Sox stack, but Nunez can easily be paired with some of his teammates, as he’s coming in at a punt-level price at $2,300. Boston should put up a crooked number against Mike Fiers, who skated by on a 4.75 FIP last year.
Travis Shaw, 3B: $3,700 – Shaw is in line for a big day in Cincinnati against Anthony DeSclafani, owner of a 4.93 ERA with a 1.88 HR/9 last year. The Mayor and his teammate Mike Moustakas ($3,900) are both standout GPP plays for their power upside in an extreme offensive environment.
Carlos Correa, SS: $3,000 – This play is a bit chalky, as lots of other people have also caught on to Correa’s oddly low price. But I’m fine going with chalk here, as the matchup is just too good against Shelby Miller. Dude is going to get obliterated by the Astros.
Mallex Smith, OF: $3,400 – Speed seems to be the most commonly overlooked skill in DFS, so don’t sleep on Smith’s ability to score you points on the basepaths. Most importantly, though, is that he’s leading off for the Mariners. Smith will be able to maximize his opportunities at hits, runs, and steals atop the order.
Randal Grichuk, OF: $2,700 – Grichuk has low-key 30 homer potential in his hitter-friendly home venue, and he’s been in batting high in the Blue Jays order. It’s tough to find a better matchup than Andrew Cashner, so I like Grichuk and Billy McKinney ($2,500) as outfield options if they’re both in the lineup.
Eddie Rosario, OF: $2,700 – Rosario is randomly a dirt cheap play for some reason, despite batting cleanup in an easy matchup against Brad Keller. I mean, just look at Keller’s K-rate and try not to fall asleep.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Phillies-Nationals is the only game to keep an eye on, as they’ve got a 53% chance of light rain. Nothing I would worry too much about, though. It’s good to see such clear skies this early in the year.
Doing Lines In Vegas