Welcome to the Friday FanDuel writeup! We’re starting the weekend off with a full 15-game slate and there’s one pitcher that stands about the rest for me – Charlie Morton ($11,300). Somewhere out there Kate Upton’s reading this calling Morton a fake-stud – ala when she called Rick Porcello a fake-Cy Young – but hear me out, Kate. It really seems unfair (especially to a Phillies fan who only got four starts of studly Morton in 2016) that Charlie’s having a career-best season in terms of strikeout rate (30.5%) and walk rate (7.1%). The icing on the cake for Morton is the matchup against the Tigers. For the year, the Tigers have the second-worst wOBA against right-handed pitchers and the third-highest strikeout rate at 26.1%. Let’s take a look at the rest of today’s slate.
New to FanDuel? Scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond? Well, be sure to read our content and subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays. Just remember to sign up through us before jumping into the fray. It’s how we know you care!
Daniel Murphy, C/1B: $3,000 – The value on this Coors bat is just too much, making Murphy a must-play.
Isan Diaz, 2B: $2,900 – I’m treating second base as a punt play today, so feel free to choose your level of punting. Here we have the “Coors Premium Punt”.
Luis Urias, 2B: $2,400 – Next we have the “Okay matchup, decent park” punt.
Marco Hernandez, 2B: $2,100 – Finally, you’re classic “In a really good lineup” punt.
Manny Machado, 3B: $3,700 – The Padres face Vince Velasquez today, who has struggled against both sides of the plate this year. In fact, his splits have him being a little worse against right-handed batters. Do you know what the Padres have? Good right-handed batters.
Jose Ramirez, 3B: $3,600 – Ramirez has been scorching hot since the All-Star Break, putting up a 166 wRC+.
Todd Frazier, 3B: $2,800 – If I’m looking to save some money at third-base, Frazier’s my guy. He has a .397 wOBA against lefties this year with a .270 ISO.
Andrew Benintendi, OF: $3,800 – If we lock-in Morton with Bogaerts, Betts, and Benintendi, we’re only left with $2,350 per position to spend, so the “how many” answer may only be two.
Anthony Santander, OF: $3,100 – The Orioles face Rick Porcello today, who’s ERA is north of 5.50, so I wanted to find a way to pick on him. Unfortunately, the Orioles lineup is super-meh. Santander is one of the lone bright spots, putting up a .227 ISO and .372 wOBA against right-handed pitching.
Ian Happ, OF: $3,100 – Happ looks like a decent major leaguer after a stint in the minors. He’s walking 15.4% against righties, with a .303 ISO.
Hunter Renfroe, OF: $3,000 – Too much power in this bat to ignore him against Velasquez who has a tendency to give up bombs.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
There’s a chance of precipitation in Kansas City for the Royals/Mets game, but it doesn’t seem very threatening. Other than that, the only weather effect looks to be the hot, hot heat of Texas, where it’s forecasted to be in the upper 90s, so give a bump up to bats there.
Doing Lines In Vegas
My boy, Charlie Morton and the Rays lead the way as a -310 favorite, followed by the Red Sox (-250), the Rockies (-210), and the Astros (-200), so give bumps up to the pitchers in those games for the potential win. The highest total of the day is in Coors (12) for the Rockies/Marlins, followed by Red Sox/Orioles (11.5) and Yankees/Indians (10.5).