Hello, I hope everyone is enjoying their work day. I welcome you all to another wonderful DFS slate on FanDuel. I know all the way back in week 1 I said I’d try to never recommend a game in Coors Field…well that ends today. Sorry, but you can’t ignore the game in Coors Field. There’s plenty of ways to make sure your lineup isn’t all chalk. Making multiple lineups and stacking each team or stack a whole team 1-8 across a few lineups and I’m talking right down to the catchers. Tony Wolters? Sure, if he’s playing and not Tom Murphy. What about Chris Herrmann? Yeah, him too. The usual suspects are in play as well including Mark Reynolds, Nolan Arenado, Jake Lamb, Charlie Blackmon, and Paul Goldschmidt. Those OF bats ain’t too shabby either, so check and see if Gregor Blanco, Carlos Gonzalez, and/or David Peralta are playing. Just remember: don’t use either of these pitchers, though…DUH. Colorado is playing too well for Walker to make a difference and Hoffman is really really bad.
Now on to the picks…
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James Paxton, SP: $8,700 – Not sure what to really say about Paxton, I adore his pitching, he has great stuff and can really pin point every pitch in his arsenal. Tonight he gets to face off against Detroit who isn’t the team they once were. I still like Miggy and JD Martinez can be scary as well but other than that, who else do they have? Victor is a shell of his former self and Kinsler is a joke at this point.
Jose Berrios, SP: $9,700 – I’ve said it before and I’ll continue to say it all season long: if a decent pitcher is facing off against the White Sox, I’ll probably consider them. Today Berrios gets to face off against them. He’s been awesome this year with a 2.74 ERA and almost 9 K/9 on the year. If I didn’t like Paxton so much, I’d probably go all in on Berrios.
Eric Thames, 1B: $3,500 – Thames heated back up again with 4 straight games with a home run. I expect him to hit another one tonight as Trevor Williams is a brutal SP and I think some of the Milwaukee bats light him up.
Rougned Odor, 2B: $3,600 – He seems to finally be coming out of his season long slump. He has 3 home runs in his last 6 games and he’s hitting .300+ during that time as well. I think he’s a little over priced but still think he’s useable today at home against a sub par pitcher.
Brian Dozier, 2B: $3,500 – Dozier gets to face off with a guy I honestly know nothing about in Holmberg. I do know he’s been in and out of the league since 2013 and he’s been pretty bad every time but this season. He also isn’t particularly good against RHB; Dozier can take the best pitchers deep so I’m not afraid of Holmberg.
Miguel Sano, 3B: $4,100 – He’s having a fine season with an impressive average of .280+ and 16 home runs. I do think he can be even better, though, as I expect a home run binge to begin soon. I wouldn’t be surprised if he went double dong against Holmberg today.
Travis Shaw, 3B: $3,500 – Here’s the guy I’ll probably be on most today. He’s quite a bit cheaper than the rest of the guys I mentioned. He also gets a juicy match up against Trevor Williams. Like I mentioned earlier, Williams is really bad. I think Thames and Shaw really beat him up today and at a lower ownership.
Elvis Andrus, SS: $3,100 – I’ve started counting on Andrus almost on a nightly basis. He’s always $3,200 or less and it really helps me get more expensive guys in. He’s also hitting for a good average still with decent power/RBI numbers. I wish he was running a bit more lately but if hes driving the ball, you can’t really complain.
Gregory Polanco, OF:$2,900 – I tried to pick two more cheap guys so you could pay up for the Coors game if you’d like. He isn’t super cheap but $2,900 isn’t a bad price for the match up and the talent. Guerra isnt a good pitcher and Polanco is starting to heat up a bit over his last two games. I think this is the perfect time to use him anticipating a string of good games to start.
Adam Engel, OF:$2,300 – He only works as a play if you intend to use Paxton instead of Berrios. If that’s the case, I think its a very good salary relief play. He hit lead off Tuesday night and I expect he should stay in that spot again. Isn’t much else to like in the stats but If you can get a lead off hitter at $2,300, you got to go with it.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Weather shouldn’t be too big of a issue today besides in one to two spot maybe. First, let me start with the game I think has no real issue today. Atlanta is showing some showers roll in during most of the game. It doesn’t seem like it’ll be particularly strong, though, and I don’t think it’ll be much concern. The other game could be a little dicier; right now its saying there’s a chance thunderstorms roll into Minnesota. Right now its still just a chance…if it does, though, they will last for a multiple hours. Berrios has the most to lose here so make sure you’re checking the weather up until game time.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Well this is a interestling slate…every game is at 9 or higher game total. The only game that’s under is in Seattle. I like Paxton even more and may go all in after the weather issues in Minnesota. The game in Coors is at a 12 game total and I wouldn’t be surprised if it went another half point higher or so. In a slate like this, you just need to use the plays from the games you like the best. I can’t cover every game and I don’t expect you to play guys from every game.