On this FanDuel Friday, Walker Buehler ($8,500) is the fourth highest priced pitcher on the slate. FOURTH! Last season we would have dreamed of the days Walker wasn’t the highest priced pitcher on the board. Yes, he has been awful through his first four starts, but with his track record it’s hard to believe that this is anything but early season small sample weirdness. A home start against the Rockies is just what the doctor ordered, as Colorado ranks dead last in wOBA on the road at .270. This is likely the lowest price Buehler will reach all year, so buy low on him.
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Andrew Heaney, SP: $7,500 – Heaney’s biggest issue last year was giving up homers, so it’s an enormous improvement that he’s only allowed one dinger in 24 2/3 innings. His 2.76 FIP suggests that he should be seeing much better results than his ERA has shown. Heaney has a ton of strikeout upside against the A’s, who have a 29.1% K-rate against left-handed pitching, which is the highest mark in baseball.
Jose Abreu, 1B: $3,100 – White Sox hitters make for a strong stack against Jon Lester, who is striking out just 15.2% of batters and has a 5.02 SIERA. Abreu is batting third and has shredded lefties in his career, batting .311 with a 149 wRC+. He is a terrific choice as standalone play or paired with his teammates.
Jonathan Schoop, 2B: $2,800– Second base is looking as abysmal as ever these days, so Schoop is a nice option to save some payroll. He’s batting cleanup and is a power upside flier to consider in GPP contests.
Todd Frazier, 3B: $2,600– Frazier is another lefty-masher we can take advantage of, as he’s batting .417 with a 1.167 OPS against southpaws this year. He will likely bat third against Nick Margevicius, who has a 6.06 ERA for his career in the bigs.
Francisco Lindor, SS: $3,500 – Lindor gets another crack at Michael Fulmer, who he homered and doubled against on Sunday. Cleveland has the second-highest implied run total according to Vegas, so consider getting some exposure to their hitters.
J.D. Martinez, OF: $3,600– Martinez has a .990 career OPS against lefties and faces John Means, who has a 10.57 in three outings this year. He’ll be in an extreme hitter’s park in Baltimore.
Shohei Ohtani, OF: $3,000 – Ohtani and the Angels should crush Mike Fiers, who has been one of the league’s worst starters with a 5.96 ERA and 6.56 FIP. While Ohtani has yet to get things going at the plate, he’s actually rocking a career low K-rate and is in a strong spot batting behind Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon.
Jesse Winker, OF: $3,000 – If you haven’t heard by now, Winker is probably the hottest hitter in the league, batting .531 with six home runs in the last two weeks. He’s a no-brainer at this price.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Watch out for Rangers-Mariners and Phillies-Braves. Neither looks like a threat to be postponed but check for an update before slates lock to be safe.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The under at 8.5 should hit for Brewers-Pirates, who are 29th and 30th in wOBA against righties, respectively.
