It’s a hot, sunny Tuesday and thanks to a double header we have day baseball as well as a 15 game DFS slate. It doesn’t really get much better than this. For pitching today I’ll be looking mostly at two plays, one of which is much, much safer in Shane Bieber ($11,000). Beebs has been outstanding this year, rocking an 11 K/9 a sub-2 BB/9 and a FIP that matches his ERA almost perfectly. The Mets haven’t really been awful, but they haven’t been anything special either, posting a team OPS right about middle of the pack and striking out right around average as well. I’m betting on Bieber making them look silly today though and you get a nice discount from Kershaw. I don’t love my cash game pitcher on the road but despite this, Vegas stills pegs the Tribe as a decent sized favorite today. Take heed!
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Jalen Beeks, SP: $5,700 – If you want to get frisky with your lineup, I suggest Mr. Beeks. This is a move I love since a lot of these “bulkers” get overlooked when people are building their lineups since they don’t show up as the starter. Beeks should be good for 4-5 innings and be in line for the win bonus. If that hits, he’s easily paying off this price tag while your lineup is filled with power-hitting studs.
Aaron Sanchez, SP: $8,500 – What a roller-coaster this guy has been in Houston so far. He’s fixed! He’s broken! Which is it!? Well, for $8,500 and a match-up with the terrible Tigers (owners of the second worst team OPS and third most team Ks) I’m willing to roll the dice that they make him look fixed again.
Ryan O’Hearn, C/1B: $2,200 – In case you need a cheap play here or in your UTIL spot, O’Hearn has the platoon advantage on Dylan Bundy and Camden Yards has been very friendly to opposing hitters this year. Actually, maybe it’s just the O’s pitching staff.
Addison Russell, 2B: $2,000 – Russell has started three straight for the Cubbies and I guess he’s back to his old gig. For the bare minimum, you could do worse.
Whit Merrifield, 2B: $3,200 – I hate second base, have I mentioned that ever? Whit gets the Coors Lite effect in Baltimore tonight, which we always like.
Evan Longoria, 3B: $3,300 – Hitting .349 over the past 14 days, Longo is about as hot as he gets. With a breeze out to center and a platoon advantage on Hamels, I like this spot for him.
Jonathan Villar, SS: $3,700 – Javier Baez would be my top choice, but I don’t want to just highlight the entire Cubs roster. Villar is a close second against Brad Keller. Grey just mentioned today that Villar is just outside the top 20 overall on the player rater…don’t hate.
Andrelton Simmons, SS: $2,900 – Need a punt at SS? Simmons is cheap and should be facing a lefty tonight.
Nelson Cruz, OF: $4,000 – He’s back, rested and ready to drop bombs.
Kyle Schwarber, OF: $3,300 – One more Cub and I’m done, I promise.
Bryce Harper, OF: $4,300 – It’d be a real Bryce move to get hot the final month of the season when it barely matters. He’s in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight against…it looks like the Red Sox are going with…”Undecided” tonight. Not sure who that guy is, but he sounds bad.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Could get a little wet in Baltimore, but nothing to worry about. Otherwise, all looks clear.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Kershaw and the Dodgers are the big favorites tonight at -320 but Keuchel (ATL) and Sanchez (HOU) are right there at -300. Our biggest over/under is in Texas for game 2 (11.5) but Boston/Philly is giving them a run for their money at 11. I love the over there. We have a slew of rare 8.5 run over/unders tonight led by Kershaw and the Dodgers vs. Toronto. Also at 8.5 runs is CLE@NYM, SEA@TB, SD@CIN and WSH@PIT.