Happy Saturday everyone. The Ultimate Tag Team here @TheGreatKnoche and @MarmosDad. We are filling in today with DFS predictions for Mitch Staniger, who is off Slamming Hams or Flogging Dolphins or something this weekend. (If you’re ever in Wisconsin you should really check out Pat McCurdy) We took Saturday’s slate of DFS action and did a little mini draft with MarmosDad making the first pick and The Great Knoche making the second pick and so on. Kinda Like 5 on 5 basketball at the park. Jurickson Profar was the slow fat kid picked last so we decided to make one change at the end and switch our original catcher, Jonah Heim and Profar out. It was a fun little exercise, and we’re gonna throw it in some Double-Ups and see what happens.
We’ll be bringing you our DFS picks for the main evening slate on Saturday, July 30th, 2022. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 9-game slate starting at 6:05 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you play on Fanduel we encourage you to sign up for the DFS tools to help you make the best decisions for your lineups on FanDuel, DraftKings, and Yahoo.
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Ranger Suarez, SP: $7,600. Suarez was the fourth pick in the draft and will face off against a Pirates lineup that is mostly suited to Triple-A or bagging groceries. Suarez has been much better over his last seven starts boasting a 2.85 ERA since June 1st. The key for him versus earlier in the year is has been simple. Get guys to hit the ball on the ground. We expect the Bucs to do just that as they are currently sitting at only a .651 OPS vs lefties.
Johnny Cueto, SP: $8,900 – Our seventh pick, Cueto at home against Oakland should be enough to sell itself but if you need any more convincing, the 36 year old is holding his own with 10 quality starts in 12 games. The good news? In four July starts, Cueto has gone 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA and only one HR allowed in 27.1 IP. The bad news? He’s thrown a 4.33 K/9 with a handful of walks (8) over that span too. But again, this isn’t the 1988-1992 Oakland A’s. When your biggest power threat is Seth Brown (11 HR), We think you’re in tough against any experienced pitcher. Johnny Cueto is definitely one of those, and is a decent bet for a handful of strikeouts and a W tonight.
Max Stassi, C: $3,400 – The original #9 pick here was going to be Jonah Heim ($4,100) the pivot to Stassi is here instead. Stassi sat last night in favor of Kurt Suzuki but was batting 5th in Thursday’s matchup. He has 3 XBH in his last 4 GP, but double check to make sure he’s in the lineup before locking him in.
Nathaniel Lowe, 1B: $3,200 – Lowe was the 1st pick in our draft, and some of the guys from the MarmosDad home leagues won’t be surprised that we somehow worked him in here twice in one week. We missed with him on Wednesday (5.0 FPTS) but Thursday night he faced the Best in the West (Ohtani) and went off for a homer, a triple, and 22.0 FPTS. Throw in that he would have been one of Grey’s Buys yesterday (he is too highly rostered in RCLs to make the cut) and we’re betting on more of the latter against rookie Chase Silseth today.
Wilmer Flores, 2B: $4,000. Wilmer was the 8th pick in our draft. The Giants will face a second lefty in their series with the Cubs in Drew Smyly. Flores has 5 Home Runs in 99 At Bats this season against lefties, and should be featured in the middle of the San Fran lineup. Did we mention the wind should be blowing out at 10-15?
Alec Bohm, 3B: $4,000 – Pick #3 is the one that we couldn’t figure out. We looked through the DK salaries for third basemen and scrolled through 12 names until we got to Bohm. A guy riding a 14 game hitting streak, batting over .400 with a .613 SLG% through July isn’t one of the top three options at the hot corner tonight? Not even top 10? We’d pencil Alec in for a bomb or two against Mitch Keller at PNC in this one.
Dansby Swanson, SS: $5,300. Swanson was the second pick, and has cooled off a bit since his torrid June streak. Although he only has 2 home runs he is hitting .305 in July with 9 multi-hit efforts. He will face Corbin Martin who will make his second start since rejoining the majors. Martin was solid against the Nats earlier this week, but this Braves Lineup is a little bit better. We would look at a Braves stack for some tournament plays.
Trayce Thompson, OF: $2,800. Thompson was the sixth pick in our exercise and provides a budget OF option on Saturday. He homered at Coors on Friday night, and has made it very hard for Dave Roberts to keep him out of the lineup even against right handed pitching. He will face Kyle Freeland in Coors and should be in the 9 spot ready to turn the lineup over to the big boys.
Adolis Garcia, OF: $5,100. Garcia was our final player who replaced Profar in the lineup. He is currently up to 17th on the Razzball Player Rater and will face Chase Silseth of the Angels and his 5.84 ERA on Saturday night. Silseth has allowed over 50% hard contact in 4 of his 6 starts, and we don’t think that trend gets any better against Garcia and the Rangers.
Shohei Ohtani, OF/1B: $5,600 – This is the biggest ticket on the bats side tonight, and for good reason. You can slot Ohtani in here at OF or if you’re one of those Nate Lowe haters he can go to 1B instead. You know what you’re getting here, so I’ll keep it brief. 21 homers on the season so far for Shohei and 17 have been against RHP. Glenn Otto is the one that gets to face off against Shotime here and we know who we’re putting our money on in this match-up. Look for Otto to get Blotto’ed by Shohei and his teammates tonight.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Chance for pop up storms in Denver and Atlanta, but nothing that should cancel any games.
Doing Lines In Vegas
I did mention I do a bit of Sports Handicapping. Follow me on Twitter @TheGreatKnoche for more info. I’ll give out a Free Play here every Tuesday, but you can find all my free and premium picks for MLB and a few other sports at The Odds Breakers