Ahhhhhh…Watch Out! You might get what you’re after (hot DFS takes). Happy Wednesday, Razzball friends! MarmosDad is back again with some news and notes to help you fill out those DFS lineups today. Wednesdays are usually for the aces, but there is a pretty good cross-section of talent at the top. There’s also a few other SP that will … have some lower ownership today based on their potential for success. (That’s the nice way to say they’re terrible). So don’t worry about sifting through all of those other Talking Heads because MarmosDad is here to help you burn down the house on your way to some DFS wins!

Speaking of aces, one top player on Streamonator (and probably in your DFS lineups) is Corbin Burnes (DK: $10,100). Burnes (43.1) comes in behind only Max Scherzer (49.4) on the golden arm rater, so I wouldn’t fault you for going with the top dog here. The difference for me was the opponent. Burnes has been exactly what you expected to get this year with a 149:31 K:BB ratio in 118.2 IP. Over the summer months Burnes has gone 4-1 with a K% of 11.62 and 1.79 ERA (2.83 FIP). The Twins aren’t exactly a pushover when it comes to offense, but Burnes should be able to handle them today. If Miguel Sano is in tonight’s lineup, Burnes could give him a welcome back present of a golden sombrero on the way to double digit strikeouts.

For the rest of this Wednesday, we’re looking at a 14 game schedule that starts early. If you’re looking to load up on Braves or Phillies, get the DraftKings or FanDuel apps open before lunch as that game starts at 12:35 PM ET. There are 8 other afternoon games for you to slap together an early lineup. Then there’s another 5 evening clashes to play a later game.

But as always, last and never least, just a reminder that a lot of the notes that I take and share here are influenced by Rudy’s Streamonator and Hittertron, as well as the DFS tools available right here on Razzball. The DraftKings/FanDuel lineup optimizer is a great way to build multiple lineups with these picks to see how to best enhance your selections and get more bang for your DFS buck! You can access all of this information by signing up for Rudy’s tools using the DFSBot link below.  

 New to DFS?  You can start playing right now on FanDuel and put our picks to the test.  If you’re scared of feeling like a small fish in a big pond, be sure to read our content and subscribe to the DFSBot for your daily baseball plays. Just remember to sign up through us before jumping into the fray, it helps support your Razzball team!

 

Kevin Gausman, SP: (DK) $9,300 – There were a couple of other tempting names to punch up here. I’m avoiding Lucas Giolito ($7,500) again because he’s headed to Coors Field. An easy play would be our old buddy Cristian Javier ($8,700) at Oakland, but no. Today is all about the Canada Goose…er…Gaus-man. Gausman is fresh off of a relaxing all star break (which is a nice way to point out the snub) and ready to get back to work. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in the last month and struck out 10 Red Sox at Fenway in that 28-5 debacle last Friday. More importantly, he’s facing a St. Louis club without two of their top hitters as Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado are staying back in Missouri with their freedoms. That seems like a good enough of an advantage to recommend Gausman and his 0.45 HR/9 today.

Danny Jansen, C: (DK) $4,100 – The temptation to run with Alejandro Kirk and MJ Melendez each week here is real. But today we’ll go with Kirk’s behemoth with a big bat buddy Danny Jansen. All systems point to Kirk getting DH at bats the rest of the way with the Blue Jays and the finally healthy Jansen securing more of the catcher playing time. Where Kirk excels in contact numbers (.302 XBA, 9.1% K rate) Jansen excels in the power department. Thanks to those aforementioned injuries, Jansen only has 78 AB but in that small sample he’s hit 9 homers (including two in that Boston massacre) and sports a .603 SLG and .913 OPS. He sat last night which means he should be back in today and could lean into a couple of 88 MPH fastballs from Grandpa Wainwright at the venue formerly known as Skydome.

Nathaniel Lowe, 1B: (DK) $3,400 – If I wasn’t driving the “Free Nate Lowe” bus a couple of years back I was certainly in one of the front seats. I don’t think I could count how many times I quietly cursed Ji-Man Choi for blocking him in Tampa. Fast forward to today and Nate Lowe has a firm grasp on the 1B job in Texas. In some fantasy baseball circles, Nate Lowe is like pineapple on pizza. Some people love him and some would rather not have him spoil a good thing. In April, I argued a bit that Nate Lowe would be a good late 1B pick over a Brandon Belt or Joey Votto and got some push back saying that he didn’t have the power potential of those two. Well, I think it’s time for that victory lap. Lowe has 4 XBH in his last 4 games (not including last night) and clubbed a 382 foot pitching wedge off a Diego Castillo curveball Monday night. Lock him in against LHP Marco Gonzales today.

Brandon Lowe, 2B: (DK) $5,000 – I spoke to Brandon Lowe’s potential for a big second half in my Second Half Trade Targets article last week. For what it’s worth, I can officially say that I am not the most aggressive Brandon Lowe backer (based on the comments in Grey’s Top 100 for the second half). Can Brandon Lowe put up a huge game with difference-making DFS numbers? You bet! Can Brandon Lowe get through the rest of the year without tweaking a back injury that already cost him two months of the season? That’s a tougher bet to make. Regardless, Lowe has been pretty productive since his return with 3 XBH and a .435 AVG. Small sample size for sure, but I’d roll him out against Tyler Wells today and hope for more of the same.

Tim Anderson, SS: (DK) $5,200 – This was the guy at SS in my last DFS article and the only thing that’s changed since then is the park. He went from facing Aaron Civale in Cleveland to Antonio Senzatela (that took me far too many times to spell correctly) at Coors Field. As much of a top-tier talent as Tim Anderson is at home, he’s hitting 50 points higher on the road. Sprinkle in the horrorshow that is Senzatela’s Statcast page, and it looks like TA is more than OK at SS today. 

Matt Chapman, 3B: (DK) $4,000 – To be honest, I kind of wanted to stack some Blue Jays against Adam Wainwright. They’ve been firing on all cylinders and have won 7 in a row. Chapman has been a big part of that surge with 6 XBH in his last 8 games (including 3 homers). Batting 7th in any lineup isn’t ideal if you’re looking for counting stats, but the way this lineup has been swinging it’s not hard to conjure up thoughts of those ‘92 and ‘93 loaded Jays lineups. In those days it didn’t matter where you hit, it only mattered that you were in the lineup. Chapman is almost certain to be at the hot corner at home today.

Adolis Garcia, OF: (DK) $5,000 – Another one of my second half targets in that article from last week, Adolis seems like he could be on track to finish with one of the quietest 30/30 seasons that anyone has seen in a long time. As the 36th Hittertron OF today (just above Julio Rodriguez), Adolis doesn’t leap off the page but with two homers in his last three games and an opponent that gave up 3 HR in his last start, Adolis could fill up that DFS sheet with power and speed today.

Franmil Reyes, OF: (DK) $3,300 – I was all set to go with Steven Kwan here but checked the DK pricing and realized that Franmil is about $400 cheaper, so here we are. Kwan has a 9 game hitting streak, so I wouldn’t fault you for riding that in the OF. But the return of the $54 vending machine steak at Fenway is too tantalizing to pass up. Like Jansen earlier, Franmil sat last night but should be back in the lineup today. He’s facing Nathan Eovaldi, who has more HR vs RHH at Home in his splits. At $3,300, it’s worth a value play with the Franimal today.

Eloy Jimenez or Andrew Vaughn OF: (DK) $4,300 / $4,600 – A couple of bonus OF for you to peek in on today in case you have some extra cash left over from the earlier slots. Hittertron fully believes in the South Side Sluggers today at Colorado as they’re the 2nd and 3rd ranked OF respectively. You can’t go wrong with either of these guys here (providing LaRussa actually pencils both into the lineup). Eloy has two homers in his last three games and Vaughn had a 7 game hitting streak snapped last night against German Marquez. Pick your favorite OF here and hope that the White Sox take out the Colorado pitching faster than I take out the letter ‘U’ on an edit after I write the word “favourite”.

I’m Only Happy When It Rains…

Not that Cincy fans need any more dark clouds, but there’s an 11% chance of rain in the Marlins/Reds game. All other percentages are less than 10 so just have a look at the radar this morning to be sure. Other than that it looks like smooth sailing aboard the S.S. MLB today.

Doing Lines In Vegas…

Although they’re favored by a lot, I’m in on the Gausman play at (-175) over an Arenado/Goldschmidt-less St. Louis squad at Rogers Centre.

I’d also look at the over (9) in Washington at LA Dodgers and (8.5) with the LA Angels at KC.

Best of luck in the DFS plays today! If you have any questions, shoot me a note on Twitter @MarmosDad!

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