I think we need to sit down and have a talk about Cody Allen.  He does his chores by striking people out on the regular, but other than that, what exactly is he doing to make us feel all cuddly as a RP-2?  I will tell you, because that’s sorta my job here at Le Razzball.  That, and I think I am the designated golf cart driver at the bi-millennial golf outing.  So I have basically looked at every facet of Allen’s year to date and even compared them to last year’s goodness that he dropped on us.  The velocity is still there, and has risen slightly over the last week, but has just one counting stat in the last 18 days.  That, my friends, is not very good at all for someone you drafted expecting a good 30 plus saves from.

So getting back to the whole speed thing, his fastball and his curve are right where you want them to be, a nice cool 10 MPH apart.  The one factoid that is sticking out to me is the BAA when he throws his curve.  Teams are batting a robust .314 on the year on that one particular pitch, and he’s currently getting prison-style manhandled by RH batters to the tune of .423.   That is not an error, that is four hundred twenty-three, for those just learning long-hand number spelling.  I mean, I am no genius of mathematics or anything, but 42% of anything sounds like a good deal.  The number of opposite field hits he has given up is not a fluke either. That percentage counts for 54% of his hits given up, and it is not helping his decreasing ground ball rate, which if you are counting at home, is down 31% from last year.

Listen, I know one thing, and Cody Allen is a darn good pitcher, but his location is off and teams are figuring him out on a repeat basis.  The only problem with that is it isually leads to a melt down and a job demotion.  Best advice is to wear two seat belts… for now.  He will/should turn it around, the only question is: does it come before his demotion?   Stick around for some more bullpen chotchkies.

  • A hot team breeds a distinctively hot closer.  The two go together like peanut butter and banana.  So the Twins bullpen was previously lambasted by me for being a pile of meh. Since then, Glen Perkins has 7 saves in 15 days time and only surrendering one earned run.
  • Greg Holland returns from the DL this week and I am confident that he will jump back in the fray and regain his closer role.  Though Wade Davis has done nothing wrong (5 saves since Holland DL) and is a better closer than 24 other teams in the league currently employ. You should own Davis, still and if you don’t go get him on the cheap after he gets demoted.
  • The Jordan Walden injury in the ‘Lou has shoved everyone up the set-up ladder and it seems to be lead by Seth Maness for now.  Maness doesn’t offer the K potential that I would want to roster and I am throwing my hat on Kevin Siegrist to be the droid that you are looking for as the cuff for the Cards.

 

$12 Salads

You know that restaurant your girlfriend/wife/what-have-you likes to go to that charges, like, $12 for a salad? Every time you go there, you have a thoroughly solid meal. No complaints, except you just paid $12 for a salad when you could’ve went to McDonald’s and stuffed you and your woman for ten schmools and had $2 in quarters left over to make the hotel bed vibrate. These closers are $12 salads.

1. Craig Kimbrel – (Joaquin Benoit, Dale Thayer)

2. Aroldis Chapman – (Tony Cingrani, Jumbo Diaz)

 

Donkeycorns

Imagine you’re following a donkey, who’s wearing a wool cap, through a desert for 1700 miles. Why are you following a donkey? Because he promises you something wonderful and you just need to trust him. Does the donkey talk? Yes. Yes, he does talk. So when you and the donkey in the wool cap arrive at his destination, he removes the wool cap to reveal a horn. The donkey is a unicorn and his gift to you for your trust is saves. These closers are Donkeycorns.

16. Greg Holland– (Wade Davis, Kelvin Herrera, Ryan Madson)

3. David Robertson – (Zach Duke, Dan Jennings)

4. Andrew Miller – (Dellin Betances, Chris Martin)

5. Trevor Rosenthal -(Seth Maness, Kevin Siegrist)

6. Huston Street – (Joe Smith, Mike Morin)

7. Jonathan Papelbon – (Ken Giles, Jake Diekman)

8. Fernando Rodney – (Danny Farquhar, Carson Smith)

11. Glen Perkins – (Aaron Thompson, Tim Stauffer)

9. Drew Storen – (Aaron Barrett, Blake Treinen)

17. Jeurys Familia – (Carlos Torres, Alex Torres, Bobby Parnell -DL)

10. Zach Britton – (Darren O’Day, Tommy Hunter)

12. Francisco Rodriguez, (Jonathan Broxton, Will Smith)

13. Koji Uehara – (Junichi Tazawa, Alexei Ogando)

14. Hector Rondon – (Pedro Strop, Jason Motte)

18. Mark Melancon — (Tony Watson, Jared Hughes, Arquimedes Caminero)

19. Joakim Soria –  (Joba Chamberlain, Tom Gorzellany)

20. Santiago Casilla – (Sergio Romo, Jean Machi)

15. Cody Allen — (Bryan Shaw, Scott Atchison)

 

Employed

These guys are the men that make the save market go round. They punch in, punch out. Have the job, no real threat to speak of, and are basically just there to collect great benny’s so they can take care of their crippled brother. Who is only really crippled because he is scared of the sun.

22. Luke Gregerson – (Chad Qualls, Pat Neshek)

24. Jason Grilli – (Jim Johnson, Luis Avilan)

21. Steve Cishek – (Mike Dunn. A.J. Ramos)

26. Neftali Feliz – (Shawn Tolleson, Keone Kela)

27. Addison Reed – (Evan Marshall, Brad Ziegler)

 

Brain Freezes

I’m going on a picnic and I’m bringing apples, bananas and Carlos Marmol– Wait, he just gave up 12 earned runs and hit Castro in the head with a pick-off throw. Brain freeze! Make it stop! Use the following closers at your own risk.

28. Brad Boxberger – (Jake McGee -DL, Kevin Jepsen, Ernesto Frieri)

29. Tyler Clippard – (Sean Doolittle -DL, Dan Otero, Evan Scribner)

25. John Axford – (Boone Logan, Brooks Brown, Rafael Betancourt)

23. Brett Cecil — (Miguel Castro, Roberto Osuna, Aaron Loup )

30. Chris Hatcher — (Yimi Garcia, Pedro Baez)

 
  1. Grey

    Grey says:
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    Nice title, Smokes!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Grey: That’s what my fortune cookie said, so I went with it

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        You gotta stop eating at the Chinese buffets in the Indian casinos

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Grey: I truly like to gamble…come on pepto I mean snake eyes

  2. Mark says:
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    So Zach McAllister has looked like wade davis light since moving into the pen, you see him getting any chance if this S continues with Allen?

    • burningbridges247 says:
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      @Mark: Agree with that statement. Zach McAllister looks like a BEAST in that pen right now.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Mark: I ownhim in a couple places where I own chisek. Last year ghost town and I talked up our love of former hard throwing starters who cant go thru a lineup twice that make great bullpen arms. Hochevar, Hunter, Matusz, Davis to name a few. I agree with you two. McCalli has the potential to make us McHappy

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Mark: His usage is wonky right now, but he is K’ing people at a nice rate especially for a guy you can hide in the SP slot. The indians bullpen is very blah so I think he can carve out a nice niche role there.

  3. Ante GALIC says:
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    Smokey!!

    Great write-up. In a standard H2H points league (QS, W, L, S, K, BB, IP), whom do you prefer? It’d be only temporary until I get Jansen back, hopefully some time next week.

    a. Betances
    b. Gregerson
    c. Boxberger

    Cheers,
    Ante

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        @J-FOH: Ty, Jack! Hope Jansen comes back next week. Any news?

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Ante GALIC: I wouldn’t count on seeing him before next weekend. This weekend he gets the back to back days test which will be huge if all goes well.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Smokey: you’re such a Yankee fan. In the short term wouldn’t Box have more value?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @J-FOH: Betances is a better pitcher. Innings is a category for him as is K’s, which he trumps Box in. Besides possible saves what is Box better than Betances in out of the categories he listed.

  4. Swfcdan says:
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    I own Ottavino thinking ive got myself a new good closer and get just 3 saves otta him! They were a great 3 saves I guess….fml closers.

    So you think Melancon is fixed? Im not sure, same with Cishek. Neither are pitching fast.

    Best save chasing chances, rank please:

    B Morris (Ramos already owned), T Watson, R Osuna (has to be next in line now right?), Evan Marshall/Ziegler (not sure who they turn to here, but Reed is garbage).

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Swfcdan: I’m curious to see Smokeys take on this one.

      I like Zeigler better than marshall in AZ, I know Gibson trusted him, not sure about Hale, but Marshall has been hot garbage. he has the stuff but hasn’t been executing. Delgado is a dark horse in the deep leagues.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @J-FOH: @Swfcdan: Watson, Marshall, Osuna, Morris.

      I look at the AZ pen like this one guy is going to get traded, then veteran prefernence is going to kick in. Then the kids will be up and you won’t have to worry about Marshall or Ziegler or whatever veteran is still there. Marshall needs to stop throwing gopher balls that nuke his stats. Ziegler to me has more appeal as a trade first candidate, he’s a FA at years end, yea he makes 5 mil but in a month that is only 3. Reed is first year arb elig this offseason and is looking easily at a 7-8 mil payday. So both have their plusses and minuses for appeal, but I think inevitably both are not with team come july-ish

      • Swfcdan says:
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        @Smokey: T-Wats (Greys nickname for him) is on waivers. Is he worth using the 6th claim on if you really need saves?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Swfcdan: it would be elementary to say no do not

          • Swfcdan says:
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            @Smokey: Elementary my dear watson? Whats up with Melancon and Cishek in your opinion, and will their teams make changes anytime soon?

  5. J-FOH says:
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    I noticed mr 95mph fastball Hochey is back, I assume he replaces Madsen inyour top three handcuffs? And if any does that affect Davis and Herrera? I assume they pitch a little less.

    Dark horse prediction for Cleveland, Okay, not really a dark horse because no one looks good there, but McCallister is my guy there if/ when Cody “gets a break”

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @J-FOH: That KC bullpen is so freaking deep and good. Madson has looked rejuventaed when put in key spots. The time to pay attention to Hoe-shaver’s usage will be when Herrera serves his suspension.

      I like Zak Mac, I am just puzzled by his usage, and if injury hits will he go back to starting? I think the best case is if Allen fails as closer the Indians are in real trouble. Hagadone has pitched well and is very sneaky play there, but I still think id Allen fell on his face it would be Shaw with first dibs followed by a cavalcade of others with Allen most likely getting a shot to re-claim

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Smokey: how did the indians come into the year with no real 8th inning guy/ closer back up. So frustrating. I hope they give McCallister some high leverage opps to see if he can handle it.

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @J-FOH: no clue so much hope for them, still way early. They will be buyers if need be I think

  6. Filet O'Fish says:
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    @Smokey et. al,

    Thanks for this. Always appreciate the closer report.

    If you could own three of these, which three would you choose?

    Farquhar, Osuna, Ramos, McAllister

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Filet O’Fish: Osuna and McAllister. Farq is just about stepped out of the set=-up role in Sea and Ramos is so unpredictale. Give me the yute andteh SP elig guy

  7. BitchesBeShoppach says:
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    Drop Allen for soria or familia or hold?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @BitchesBeShoppach: Is this a 6 team league that counts nose hair instead of saves? I kid….All three guys should be owned even in 10 team leagues. But I would want Familia (really close though) over Soria. But ALL should be owned

      • BitchesBeShoppach says:
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        Sorry, should have been more detailed. 12 team league and saves is a category. So you like both of those guys over Allen?

  8. Save-y McSaverson says:
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    I’m in a H2H points league with a 10 start limit each week. Given that ESPN rosters include 9 pitcher spots and 3 bench spots, having 10 worthwhile starts a week isn’t a hard bar to meet. With that said, I’m trying to roll with 4-5 closers.

    Thoughts on dealing one of my excess starters, Casilla, & Familia for Robertson & Holland?

    Here’s my pitching now:
    SP: Greinke, Salazar, A. Wood, Kennedy, Miller, Shoemaker, Hughes, Syndergaard, Streamer
    RP: Kimbrel, Casilla, Familia
    DL: Jansen

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Save-y McSaverson: Hughes or Shoe make sense they’re replaceable

  9. M says:
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    Which ones your favorite for holds
    Tazawa, Jim Johnson, siegrist,shaw,Barrett

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @M: All legit first hold guys for their respective teams, Johnson, Siegrist,Barrettt, Shaw

  10. Tom says:
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    Is Smyly t0o much to give up for Robertson if I have to replace him with Hughes, Shoemaker or Paxton?

    • pbmax says:
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      @Tom: no, hughes is no good but the other two play

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Tom: If you need saves and you have 2-3 sp’s that are better than Smyly then yea that’s a fair price

  11. Threnton says:
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    Watson, Giles, Farquhar, Osuna, McAllister, Betancourt, which one of these guys do you think grabs a closer role?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Threnton: Giles but not til later, Osuna is my guess but no way he succeeds in it

  12. Bammers says:
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    Quick question for you.. trade offer in a 12 team 5×5 h2h dynasty league. He offered Pujols and Ortiz for Rosenthal. I have Miggy at 1st now, so they would probably start in the util spots. Do you accept?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Bammers: seems like he’s desperate for saves or the league is weighted towards saves or super deep or you have 5 closers. I like it if you have at least 2 other closers

      • Bammers says:
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        @Smokey:

        He ended up trading me Kole Calhoun for Papelbon. My other closers are Rosental/Jansen/Grilli/Axford (also have Giles). Do you like this deal?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Bammers: Yea u have the depth. Calhoun isn’t great but by end of year he will be

  13. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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    madsen just used instead of kelvin. worrying me a bit. some assorted bullpen questions
    1. 20 team H2H dynasty with holds/relief appearances/relief wins/K per 9 and double plays induced. Due to many many DL’d people Fien is in active slot (good news apparently on him). If he’s not back soon though, go with which of these: boyer/hagadone/chafin/morin/tonkin/hendricks/jeffress/j.alvarez/salas/delgado/sokolovich or harris at STL/fields/putnam or petricka at WSOX? WSOX guy have been awful and lost jobs to duke/jennings, fields has looked great but has no leverage innings and about 5 guys ahead of him.

    2. 12 team h2h with RW/RL/net saves and holds and BB’s. keep Farq over any of tazawa/scribner/duke/caminero/dunn/thornton/ziegler/tolleson/w.smith. with all of these guys around i’m guessing tazawa?

    3. 14 team roto with BB’s and holds no ERA in this one. keep kelvin over these: barrett/scribner/c.smith/duke/caminero/martin (ATL)/martin (NYY)

    4. 30 man dynasty, drop al al (on a 2 year contract) to grab delabar or hold? delabar would be league min, al al is on nearly twice the min and 2 year deal. I would not have to eat any of the money if i cut Al Al, but of course if he got his shit together he’d probably be worth more.

    5. holds, K/BB and K per 9. stick with baez/farq or go with any of these over 1 or both? tolleson/caminero/shaw/jennings/martin(s)?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Aubrey Plaza’s Pillow:
      1. Hagadone no sox guys bad news
      2.Tazawa or Tolleson
      3. I have been loading up on Carson Smith, Farq is not long for a prominent role
      4.hold
      5. Tolleson over Farq. I have set sail on him in numerous leagues

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        @Smokey: WSOX, except for Duke, but of course Duke is only available in aboves where better guys are like in #2 or #3.

  14. Josh says:
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    11-team league and my current pitching roster looks like this (start 9; W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP):

    SP – Arrieta, Samardzija, Keuchel, Cashner, Anibal Sanchez, Paxton, Shoemaker, Ryu (DL)
    RP – Street, Rodney, Familia

    A. Would you trade Keuchel and a closer for Kluber and Smyly?
    B. If so, which closer?

    My initial thought is yes and Familia, but he seems to be a quickly rising donkeycorn.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Josh: Kuechel is easily ur best pitcher as of right now, I am not for that trade, Maybe Cashner and a closer

  15. Whodat says:
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    Not a closer Q but would anyone drop Molina for Montero??

    • chucky says:
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      Health notwithstanding, Yadier plays everyday. That’s really all you can ask for in a C. However when he does play, Montero hits in the middle of a very formidable Cubs order.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Whodat: no you want Molina

  16. chucky says:
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    Holds in a H2H separate cat. Giles, Romo, Clippard. Need to let two fly because of roster space, Need to factor in best Holds production, as well as looking for future closer material. Not sure Doolittle is going to step right back like he thinks or hopes. Giles who knows about Pap. Romo closes ONLY if Casillia gets hurt.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @chucky: those are 3 really good options for holds either now or in the future. Tough decision. If holds is a category and these are your three options why worry about saves since I am assuming you have 2-3 closers.

  17. slimbo says:
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    For holds is carson smith droppable?

    Could grab thornton,brown,maness,hatcher or caminero?

    Also could go for a dark horse like Scribner?

    Thx boss

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @slimbo: i’d hold for now, just monitor his usage in games with lead in next 5-6 games

  18. Todd says:
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    Hey, so I’ve got Miller, Soria, and Koji in my 12-team points league. I probably don’t need three closers, right? Which one do I try to trade?

    Thanks! All you Razz guys are rock stars.
    Todd.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Todd: Three is never bad

  19. Great White North says:
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    I’m drafting closers next year. SAGNOF is hard.

      • Greg says:
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        – @Smokey:

        I drafted only one closer (Jake McGee, late) and then was lucky enough to add Boxberger, Familia, and Grilli off waivers….leading the league in saves by far. So far…that is. LOL

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Greg: well it breaks right for some, but I drafted Miller and Rosenthal almost everywheres and I’m doing pretty good

  20. Greg says:
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    McGee has been dealing in rehab appearances and looks good. Any reason to think he won’t regain closer job on return? And, if so, how soon? Don’t want to carry both on my roster….but may have to I realize….

    G

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Greg: He won’t right away from what I am hearing and reading from Tampa beat writers and the Manager. Box’s stats if not in a closer role are good enough to carry

      • Greg says:
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        @Smokey: Ah, but not a holds league….and I hate burning up two spots on co-closers. But that may be the case for a bit, I guess…..Thanks!

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Greg: he helps in rates and K’s

          • Greg says:
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            @Smokey:

            Thanks. Hopefully he will help prevent my regression fires (CMart, Archer, Nelson), Smokey….

  21. I am Stanton says:
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    Any update on Rafael Soriano? I really need help for Saves. should i keep stashing this guy?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @I am Stanton: I think it’s safe to move on, find a usable pieces in RP corp. No news is bad news

  22. NJ All Day says:
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    Boxberger I am praying gets to keep his job. I am closer deep, but he also has got a couple w’s as well. If aint broke dont fix it Kevin cash.

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