How many people have driven halfway to the hospital thinking they’re dying only to realize if they go to the hospital they really will die, then pulled over into the shoulder and wept? No one? Wow, brave souls. Listen, if it’s not meant for sobbing into it, it shouldn’t be called a shoulder. That’s all I have to say on that. So, I’ve already given you updated 100-games-played projections in my 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, but this, here, this thing you’re reading here, this is some thoughts on specific shortstops whose value could change based on a shortened season — shortenstopped season? Hmm, needs work. I’ve already done Corona timeline updates for the 1st basemen, 2nd basemen and catchers. The top 20 shortstops for 2020 fantasy baseball were updated with new projections for a 100-game season. Anyway, here’s thoughts on the top 20 shortstops for 2020 fantasy baseball with the new Corona timeline:

7. Javier Baez – Before everyone falls out of their seat screaming, “But I drafted him already! Don’t you dare change his ranking now!” There’s no change for Baez. Just wanted to briefly discuss his new projections: 64/19/67/.286/4 in 366 ABs or, if you prefer our Steamer hitter projections: 58/21/62/.273/9 in 374 ABs. Actually, I prefer Steamer’s projections too. That would be sweet for my team where I drafted Baez. Either way, his steals are what I wanted to talk about. five steals difference between those two projections seem like no big deal, but imagine there’s about 1,000 guys who are 5-foot, six and three-quarters inches like yours truly. We’re told to line up by height (this is not a recurring nightmare from my elementary school days or anything). With all the extremely average height men and not-at-all-short sexpots standing there, it’s hard to tell who is taller. So, we start judging on hair, and my hair is glorious and pompadour’d up nice and high so I’m at the front of the line. That’s what this season could be like with steals. Aside from some pituitary gland cases like Mondesi or Treat Urner, everyone is going to be 5-foot, six and three-quarters inches tall with speed. So, Baez’s five steals difference could be huge. Therefore, ergo, vis-a-vie, is Baez more of a 4-steal guy or 9-steal guy? Well, that’s the thing, I’m not sure we know. In a short number of games, a guy like Baez could steal, say, six bags in one series (and not just if all teams just play split-squad games and he gets to face Jon Lester). Steals rack up fast. Baez could steal three bags in one game and blow away preseason projections in one good month. Or with more games in a shortened period of time, players will run less, saving their legs. Yes, this was 400 words to say “I don’t know,” but it needed to be said.

14. Tim Anderson – Okay, last point made again to beat a dead horse — sorry, PETA! — Anderson is projected for 13 steals in my top 20 shortstops and, yes, if he gets, say one steal a week, which is his usual average, then 13 steals sounds about right, but he’s the type who could steal 10 bags in one month and put up a 20-steal season in only 100 games. No one, not even me, is saying he will, but that’s the thing about steals. Usually over the course of a 162-game season steals even out. A guy steals 10 bags one month, then takes a month off, then gets hurt, then returns with three-steal months for three months (this hypothetical sounds oddly specific), but in a short season, there’s less time for regression — or flattening of the curve, did I just invent that saying?

18. Carlos Correa – I moved Correa up in my rankings! For the first time ever, I could see drafting him! We’ve turned a corner, y’all! What has been Correa’s problem for his entire career? Playing 162 games. Guess what won’t be a problem this year. It’s a brand new day! You, “Whoa, so much enthusiasm, so where did you move him?” He went from 143rd to 133rd overall in my top 500! Exciting, right? Hello? You still there? I hear heavy breathing, but not sure if you threw your phone against the wall, and your St. Bernard is licking the phone. Okay, so not a huge difference, and, in all likelihood, Correa is still off the board by the time I’m drafting him, but I moved him above Didi and Dannys Antana, because I would draft Correa over them, and I wouldn’t have before the shortened season.

25. Jorge Polanco – In the 1st half last year, which is about the same number of games we’re looking at this year (said me confidently without any confidence), Polanco’s stats were 57/13/42/.312/4 in 356 ABs. I’m not saying he will do that, but if he does, he will be a top 12 shortstop. Starting fast is going to make all the difference this year. So, is Polanco regularly a fast-starter? Or as Prodigy would scream, “FAST-STARTER!” No, Polanco isn’t, which is why I didn’t move him up. Historically, he’s been a slow starter, if you put aside last year, but last year might’ve been a corner turning. He’s turnt? Maybe, but impossible to say. Just thought on Jo-Po, besides my usual thought on Jo-Po which is, “Is Jo-Po the prison in Massachusetts or a nickname for Jo Polniaczek ?”

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Trader
Trader
2 years ago

12 teamer, h2h. 19 cats.
Hitting: Runs, RBI, SB, Ave., Ks, BBs, 1B, 2B3B, HRs
Pitch: HRs, Ks, W, L, Saves, Holds, ERA, WHIP, HRs

I am punting saves for now while focusing on holds. Later in the year I will look for SAGNOF as we enter the playoffs.

S Perez
Y Gurriel, Ramirez, Donaldson
Ketel, Rosario, Wong
Trout, S Marte, Laureano, Eaton, Choo
Util/Bench: Canha, Voit, Madrigal
SP: Castillo, Glasnow, Giolito, S Gray, CMart, Houser
RP: Pressley, Britton, Betances, D Castillo

1. Please rank team 1-12 with 12 being the best.
2. Biggest area of consent?
3. Best area of strength?

Thanks!

Trader
Trader
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thanks! Felt like I have too much speed vs power. Speed and SPs I can trade. Definitely my worst team of my three drafted so far. Gonna be fun fixing this one.

Have a good one.

Park Barkley
Park Barkley
2 years ago

Draft at 5 PSt tonight needs 1 – $10
https://www.fantrax.com/newui/fantasy/joinLeague.go?leagueId=9jw0wz58k630ir2j&isSubmit=y
It would make us all happy to lose to Grey.

Park Barkley
Park Barkley
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

It needs 2. I thought it jumped to 11, but I was wrong or it dropped back to 10.

Park Barkley
Park Barkley
Reply to  Park Barkley
2 years ago

We’re back to 11, need 1. I think the 10 is worth it just to get a more competitive league.

Cole
Cole
2 years ago

Drafted this 12 teamer 5×5 ops a few weeks ago. It rated G for sure but wondered what you thought of the balance.
C: one of the Murphys
1b: Olson
2b: albies
3b: devers
Ss: Rosario
Of: Trout
Of: harper
Of: McCutchen
Ci: hoskins
MI: Biggio
Ut: mallex
Ut: Hosmer

Sp: giolito
Sp: berrios
Rp: osuna
Rp: iglesias
P: e rod
P: gallen
P: luzardo
P: Kenta (twerking)
P: archie bradley

Didnt really want mallex, but his price was so low in this draft, maybe he steals 12 bags the first 2 weeks and I trade him. Also the maeda twerking is the funniest image you’ve painted this preseason. Dont know why it stuck with me this long haha. Thanks for any input and stay safe man!

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Cole
2 years ago

Pretty good squad for OBP (even if wasn’t OBP)!!

Are there any bench spots? I’d try to keep Mallex on the bench if you really want to roster him, and figure out a good backup (starting) UT plan.

Speed seems like your biggest issue (and not a *huge* problem–to be clear), especially when Mallex inevitably loses his job… see if u can trade for like a Reynolds or Edman — relatively cheaper speed guys who are still good in OBP.

Reynolds isn’t projected for a lot of SB, so you may be able to pull a fast one there. He’s super fast himself (pun intended), should bat lead off, and the Pirates said they wanna RUN!

And some food for thought — Hosmer is alright in OBP — but he’s more of an accumulator now. May be hard to accumulate in a shortened season. Not sure how your league views him, but I would consider moving him, too.

Cole
Cole
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

Thanks for the input! Yeah hosmer did knock in 99 rbi last year and I dont see them paying him what they are without batting him 4th or 5th. You can see below some of the waiver choices I have.
I have no bench bats right now but could add 1 for Chirinos

Cole
Cole
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

It’s an ops instead of average league so I’ll defend hoskins, and McCutchen to a lesser extent, but I know the others are garbage. Looking at Mazara, domingo, profar, tsutsogo, akiyama…on the wire

Crazy J
Crazy J
2 years ago

Poor Dodgers hosting the 2020 All-Star game… what a mess. I like the Anderson pick, he has been a worthy pick the last two years.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
2 years ago

Hey Grey,

In one of my leagues (CBS), there’s a bit of a roster cap loophole for the time being until there are actually games (our rosters only need to be within the cap when lineups lock, which isn’t happening for a while). So, teams are placing FAAB bets on TBD opening day roles etc.

I currently have Chavis as my 2B and Mateo as a lottery ticket on the bench. Weekly rosters, so need a guy who will play ~everyday.

With the “news” that a Boston Globe writer thinks Peraza and not Chavis will be starting 2B, would you spend $1 of your $100 faab on any of the below 2B in case Chavis is a utility guy?

Schoop
Cesar Hernandez
Shed Long / Dee
Barretto
Galvis
Profar

Thanks!!

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thanks! 2 other guys I forgot to mention – Luis Urias and Dubon… like either over Schoop/Prof?

KrazyIvan
KrazyIvan
2 years ago

With Adell going back to AAA for seasoning and the shortened season are you stashing him on the bench in 12 teamer 5×5? I have a similar dilemma with Hilliard in Colorado even though we are a David Dahl pulled toenail from that shining Hill(iard) top in Denver.

KrazyIvan
KrazyIvan
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I saw where they wanted to start him in the minors. It seems crazy with Goodwin being the option in RF but Fletcher could play a bunch in the OF.

baby seal
baby seal
2 years ago

Finally have some time this weekend to read some posts I’ve missed.

You know I give it to you straight. Your Yahoo F&F team is *insane* for a 16-team league, dude.

Maybe speed, like an Edman (obviously don’t know where he went…) when you took Giancarlo, would’ve been the right call… otherwise, looks great!

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I hope he does!! Yanks could use some injury luck for a change…

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
2 years ago

C Smith
1B Freeman
2B Hiura
3B Bryant
SS Trea
CI Joc
MI Alberto
OF S.Marte
OF Robert
OF Conforto
OF Calhoun
OF Smith
UT Verdugo/Solak
P Lamet Luzardo Fried Boyd CMart Chapman Ozuna Jansen Barnes Barlow Davis

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  FrankGrimes
2 years ago

12 team 5×5 Roto? Thinking this might be more like 14 or 15 teams…

He doesn’t love Bryant, as you probably know (and neither do I… so depends where u got him). Joc as your starting CI doesn’t seem great (sort of depends on league size, though).

Definitely want to focus on improving OF first, though. Your AVG, in general, looks like it’s going to be an issue. You need a high upside OF bench, IMO.

Calhoun won’t play every day and has a shit AVG, Smith can easily lose his job, Verdugo is a walking injury…

Solak is good–I like that upside play. Love the IF.

Pitching: like this staff for the most part. Think you went a lot heavier than you needed on RP, and that really hurt your OF… (assuming that is *Osuna*)

Do you really need Barlow? I’d drop him for the high upside OF guy. I’d also consider dropping Davis for high upside SP — or trade one of your closers (if it’s a trading league) — to improve your OF.

Hope this helps!!

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

Thanks.
I think Willies avg can improve. I went heavy on speed and rp on purpose.
I’m a Bryant truther haha

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

It’s Hanser not berto ha tried be different from all the others in the FCL

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Nah I be streamin’ MI

Have you listened to Dating Game Killer?

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Netflix everything!
Btw it’s only six episodes haha

LOLmets
LOLmets
2 years ago

John Mulaney isn’t funny.

183414
183414
2 years ago

Heaney, Folty, Manaea, Tanaka, Keller available, but wouldn’t mind B.Anderson, unless you think Buxton has slid far enough .

183414
183414
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

Buxton might be worth a gamble in best ball especially in a shortened season.

183414
183414
2 years ago

Buxton or B.Anderson ? For my 5th o.f. Anderson has o.f./3b eligibility. Buxton has upside. Or my 1st catcher…tom and Sean Murphy available. Or another s.p. I have 6 already.
Darvish/Luzardo/Wheeler/Urias/Paxton/Stroman. Drafted Workman @189, my 2nd closer.

Licketty Splits
Licketty Splits
2 years ago

The RCL draft happened last night …thanks for helping get the word out as well as the 2 teams who joined.
I tried a bit of a different strategy & took 3 very solid MRs for high K upside with good ratios & some young dynamic arms who should mostly go the full shortened season. They just happened to be on the A’s (not by design). One accident when I froze up & got auto-picked. 1B is my weakness as well as possibly the SP being to upsidey …we shall see.
Here’s the team I came away with:
C Carson Kelly – ARI 292
1B Christian Walker – ARI 124
2B Ozzie Albies – ATL 28
SS Fernando Tatis Jr. – SD 21
3B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – TOR 45
CI Matt Chapman – OAK 76
MI Jorge Polanco – MIN 165
OF Christian Yelich – MIL 4
OF Ramon Laureano – OAK 69
OF Oscar Mercado – CLE 117
OF Scott Kingery – PHI 141
OF Andrew McCutchen – PHI 213
UT Austin Hays (R) – BAL 261
P Yu Darvish – CHC 52
P Brandon Woodruff – MIL 93
P Jesus Luzardo (R) – OAK 100
P Hector Neris – PHI 148
P Giovanny Gallegos – STL 172
P Keone Kela – PIT 189
P Sean Manaea – OAK 196
P A.J. Puk (R) – OAK 220
P Ryan Pressly – HOU 237
Bench: P Emilio Pagan – SD 244, P Freddy Peralta – MIL 268, P Chad Green – NYY 285
Thoughts??

Licketty Splits
Licketty Splits
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thanks …now we need baseball to start for the real test

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Licketty Splits
2 years ago

Yeah, very good!

I’d drop at least one of those middle relievers (Green) to take a flier on a SP… your biggest issue is going to be IP / Ks / Ws. Woodruff and Lizard King can and should be great, but they have each yet to prove they can consistently go deep into games for a full season. I bet no one picks up Green if u drop him — not sure what he’s *really* offering you anyways.

You can hope Puk gets another shot at SP this year — but to be conservative — I’d expect him to be a RP for now.

YOU LOVE OAK!

Licketty Splits
Licketty Splits
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

Actually in Milwaukee & a Brewer fan but what’s not to like with Oakland??
Puk & Peralta are dart throws but in this format there is always SPs on the wire …huge upside for free to see what we got. Green added a new curve & projected for 100+ Ks…you can always use that …add in a few W’s & he is golden at that point in the draft
Thanks for taking a look …anxious to see how it plays out.

183414
183414
2 years ago

Wimbleton cancelled. Globalists pushing hard for complete shutdown. Talk of 200,000 people dying in the United States is beyond asinine. So many hoping to destroy our economy while they live high on the hog. Over 1 million abortions already this year, but not a peep from those that shutdown California. An additional 3 more people a day have died in California since Newscum became dictator. Something like 250 deaths in California for over 20 million people. Guaranteed some of those deaths were to already very unhealthy or already dying people. Just heard that a 92 yr. old died of the “corona” virus. What about the tens of thousands who die from the flu.
Suppression by the media of the enormous success rate of hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin. Wonder why ?
And now Pelosi is starting another investigative committee to see how corrupt the $2 trillion was, despite the fact that she wanted so much more of her pork included.
Pure and clean insanity. CDC follows the lead of the communist W.H.O., that’s works for the ChiComs.
Sorry guys and gals, I had to vent.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

WOW, what a post!

I’m w/ you on the idea that the cure cannot be worse than the disease … but you are completely ignoring the fact that this disease overwhelms hospitals and the healthcare sector.

The idea of “stomping the curve” is not just some cool-sounding thing to say. THAT IS THE POINT OF ALL THIS — NOT THE NUMBER OF DEATHS. Which will be unnecessarily high if we *do not* stomp the curve.

It’s really that simple. This disease is extraordinarily contagious.

It *is* killing younger people, not just the old and weak. Of course it does disproportionately harm the latter.

We currently have ~25% of the wold’s Corona cases at about 225K. ~7k deaths, and our outbreak was much later than some of our European “friends.”

Who knows or cares if the death toll will be 200K. That’s not the point. It’s about reducing the velocity of cases so that we can handle each with the proper care it deserves.

Got it?

183414
183414
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

I refuse to be anyone’s sheep. Not a word was mentioned during the H1NI, which hospitalized many more people and killed many more people. Not telling anyone not be proactive, but millions of americans have died this year from a lot more than the Corona virus. False models have been intentionally used. Hospitals are receiving the help as quickly as it can be provided. Companies have chosen to send masks and other medical supplies to foreign countries before e to those in the United States.Tens of thousands of sick people can’t receive the treatment that they need. People with cancer, respiratory diseases , and other illnesses. Viruses have been the cause of deaths for centuries.
There are many hospitals that are not being overwhelmed. UCLA Santa Monica for instance. Scripps, for instance. The ship that docked in nyc to house 10,000 beds, has only 50 at the present time being used. Don’t believe everything you hear from the media. That’s all I’m telling you. I don’t trust the CDC. I wouldn’t give W.H.O. a dime.
Love to have a longer discussion about this, but this is not the venue, and I shouldn’t have vented here.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

“Not a word was mentioned during H1N1” — in what world is this true (assuming I can even decipher what this means) — a word of what??

H1N1 infected 22mm Americans and killed 4K. Corona — so far — has infected 250K and killed 7K.

OK, so math is clearly your first issue with understanding the situation properly. Hopefully this clears it up a bit, but I have my doubts.

Second, because of the contagious nature of the disease, it is a hyper-local issue for cities and states. The proper way to think and model this is at the city level. We can clearly see this when diving into, e.g. the data from Italy.

Certain provinces in Italy have been and were OK. Other areas were completely overwhelmed, and literally could not handle the throughput. THAT IS WHAT WE ARE TRYING TO AVOID.

No one is asking you to be a sheep. I certainly don’t believe everything I read.

Try to understand the situation better. You come off entirely ignorant.

You blame people/media for sensationalizing the issue, or being a sheep, which is true to *some degree.* But then we also have people like you, who ignore indisputable facts — continue to move the goal posts in their arguments because they were SO WRONG at first — and still can’t seem to grip the basic reality of the situation.

So I guess it all evens out, right?

183414
183414
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

Ignorant , haha. Yeah show me all of the negative media when Obama dragged his feet and let thousands die before even doing 2 thing. I’ll let you go on calling others ignorant and probably a whole lot worse b/c you don’t know a thing about me and what I’ve done in my life. But like so many others, name calling is your “go to position”.

Who was wrong ? Trump but not the media ? Who established a travel ban ? Who called him racist for doing so ? Read what your media said after the President instituted the travel ban. Naaagh, you don’t have to. You’re the smartest person in your room. You calling me ignorant.
“Indisputable facts”, from what sources ? CDC ? W.H.O. ? Communist China ? Ny Times ? Would love to know where you were educated and what you’ve done with your life. Have no idea how old you are or what you do, but somehow I don’t think I’d walk away impressed.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

Is this really the best you can do? Pretty pathetic.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

Well, I think you both make good points. Its pretty clear that this is engineered to be highly contagious, much more than an organic virus. I have my concerns about giving up too many civil liberties, however, many of which were ensured by the blood and ultimate sacrifice by many a fine young man. Just how much we’re being asked to give up to defeat the virus is setting a troubling precedent. If I had my choice of being sick a week or two or losing my civil liberties I’d take the former. I m concerened going along with this lockdown without questioning its long term impact is a terrible message to send to some of the despots in waiting.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Dave D
2 years ago

AFAIK, there has *not* been a national, federal order _requiring_ US citizens to stay inside.

You may be familiar w/ the concept of Federalism? What NYC decides to do doesn’t impact those in Maine (on a literal gov level–am not implying anything else).

Again, AFAIK, the orders being used, such as “shelter in place,” are not new and were not recently signed into law in order to fight this virus.

I get where you are coming from, and I agree w/ you more than not. But we are FAR from the world you describe. Further, those staying inside are mostly doing so on their own accord (at least not resisting)–because they agree w/ the orders being put in place–because they want to protect their own lives, and the lives of their loved ones. They want to help those in hospitals, who are working tirelessly to help us.

And further, I DO live in NYC. The epicenter of this fked up situation. We ARE allowed to go outside. There are not gunmen preventing us from doing so, and many here try to get outside once-a-day, or every-other-day to keep from going stir crazy. We are NOT being barricaded in our apt buildings, like what was being done in China. I too do not want to live in such a situation –fighting the disease would not be worth THOSE types of measures.

Let’s first try to fight this disease before we fight strawmen?

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

Well, I surf and cannot cross from CT where I live to RI to go surf lest I enter quarantine for 14 days. In my hometown in CA, a resident was cited with $1000 fine attached for surfing alone in the open air at the beach. That is a huge overreach and infringes on a basic right. Sure local governments are vested with the power to protect public health, but exercising in solitude should never be punished. You make some ok arguments but would seem more effective without disparaging the other guy.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Dave D
2 years ago

He deserved it — and look at his response — extremely weak.

At least you seem like a reasonable person who can hold a conversation without absurd conjecture. I’m done w/ that moron.

Interesting on the fine. I get where you’re coming from. Although, not too surprising that would happen in CA… Hopefully this is a temporary situation and we can get back to normal sooner rather than later.

It’s good to have people around who are thinking first about our civil liberties — I respect that immensely.

Despite what 183414 thinks, I am more Libertarian than Left or Right (and have only voted Republican, when I have voted, but why let facts get in the way of a good bias?)…

So I really do appreciate your concern. I hold a fair amount of Bitcoin for the exact reason that I want unconfiscatable money with a low (and soon approaching ~0%) inflation rate.

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
2 years ago

Why didn’t they vote Tyson off? Dopes.

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I hate tony and Adam most. I’m liking this season less and less ha.

baby seal
baby seal
2 years ago

Yo!

I’m not big on Altuve by any means, but I think you may have been a bit harsh on him yesterday! As we chatted about before, though, AVG is going to be finicky… but as much as I hate the guy, I do believe in the player, unfortunately. I got him in an auction recently. But in a draft — no chance — will always get one of the other guys first.

It’s crazy how much Albies goes for in auctions, but his draft price is still relatively the same? IDK, weird, but fine w/ me! Is that normal? I’ve only recently tried auctions, so I admittedly have *very* limited experience here. Need help from the FML!

Lux, meh, still haven’t had the cajones to pull the trigger on him… Wong and Newman… YUCK! The “I can get steals late” crowd can have at em.

Good shit on Baez! Kind of what I was attempting to articulate last week! Nicely said, even though you honestly didn’t say much. :-)

I’m still saying no to Correa… but know who I am saying YES to now instead… my new boy COREY SEAGER! No mention?!? *cries*

Last thing, guy in my RCL has a *ton* of pitching and put them on the block for his completely invisible OF. He’s got my boy Montas.

I offered a trade as a starter, and who knows, he may just bite… Upton and Yarbro for Montas. You think that gets it done? Mentioned that he could swap for another pitcher if he prefers.

Thanks man!!

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Maybe I’m over-indexing on a small sample size. But he went for $32 in a 15-team 40 player Best Ball *points* (FT rules) slow auction I’m doing w/ DT and B_Don.

For reference, Tatis was $34, JRAM $36, Rendon $32, Alonso $31, Devers $36.

My auction values were within $1-2 of nearly all the first ~50 players taken (yes, I am quite proud of that), and continued to perform very well throughout. Like scary good.

I had him as a $26 player. Now, one mistake I *did* have was zero positional adjustment for 2B. So all these top guys went a few dollars higher than what I had them marked down for. I guess all it takes for someone to go that much higher is to have a couple guys get into a bidding war? Duh.

I had Altuve as a $23 guy and got him for $26. He had the least “inflation” in the room among the top 2B, according to my sheet, so I went for him. And getting a good 2B is one of my core strategies this year. So no regrets! Muncy was actually the same — $23 and went for $26 — but someone beat me to the $26, so would’ve had to be more if I wanted him.

Another example, DJLM was a $15 guy who went for $21; Hiura — $19 for $28; Merrifield — $15 for $25.

Maybe the right call would’ve been Biggio? (Walks count, in case that wasn’t clear before.) $16 for $15. But I don’t love him.

Everyone else was sub $10 on the sheet. Recall FT only has 1 (primary) position eligibility for their Best Ball rules — not like the RazzSlam where the computer will auto-juggle them into the best eligibility each week. Further reducing DJLM’s value…

Note that Torres is a SS and Ketel is OF. Once I realized that, I was like FK, need one of these other top dudes… is it gonna be Altuve? No. C’mon. Please, no. Ugh, I guess it’s gonna be Altuve…

Was the Seager comment sarcastic, or did you actually mean that was contrarian? lol

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

ROFL! thanks braaaaaaaaa

Funny enough, there was pretty minimal inflation early on. Hence why my values were so remarkably accurate…

Think I played it right, since these sub $10 guys are now all going for $1-3 *above* where I have them.

Really like my squad, maybe one thing I’d do different is not have 2 guys at $37 — makes it difficult to cash on those $10-15 values….

Squad so far… ($price paid / $value on sheet)

(Heavy on the Astros! Only team I own ANY of these guys!)

C: Kelly, $5/$5
1B: Freeman, $37/$37
1B: Bell, $20/$24
1B: Walker, $9/$11
2B: Altuve, $26/$23
SS: Semien, $21/$24 — more below
3B: Bregman, $37/$41
OF: Springer, $30/$30
OF: Gallo, $20/$28 — more below
OF: Domingo Santana, $4/$10

SP: Castillo, $30/$30
SP: Lamet, $17/ $23 — really had him at like $20, since $23 is a bit rich
SP: Price, $20/$20
SP: Montas, $16/$14 — really had at like $19; proj. way too low for my lover
SP: Urquidy, $9/$14 — marked for $12 internally
SP: Bassitt, $3/$6 — marked for $4 internally

Semien — thought you may ding him lower — since he’s a bit of an accumulator, but don’t recall exactly where u have him. This was maybe my 2nd regret. Panicked a bit here — should’ve went for a $10-15 guy.

Gallo — did not have *any* intention of grabbing him, because of where my $ was at the time he went… but couldn’t pass that price up. Figured, he can be kind of guy to win it or me, and YOLO! Just figure out the rest of the budget later… future me sort of problem, ya know?

Last thang — in order to make up for my inability to keep it in my pants on the hitting side — I moved some of those SP “profits” over to my bats in order to get e.g. Walker, and let’s see who else…

Wanted a 60/40 split for this format. Also helped that I eschewed RP (IP gets points), to help make sure I got my SP targets. :-)

Imagine multiple leagues w/ DT, B_Don, baby seal, and other random Razzball commenters… what a shiz show! Look at what Corona has done to us! We clearly are all sick and have the disease!

lol, later

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

This is just Best Ball points — you don’t *need* saves

Intentionally did not want any RPs due to points for IPs — my intuition is that ROI is not worth it — just a strategy thing, at least for this time around

Gallo — totally get it on the wrist, but he was hacking in ST, and has been taking BP in his apt… have you seen the video on Twitter? Pretty funny, lol — dining room table was mistakenly playing him straight up!

Again, you get 1 point for walks and 1 point for hits — so Gallo is worth a lot more in this format than in Roto
[HR and SB are 3, R and RBI are 1 each]

Pitching: IP +1.5, W +3, QS +3, ER -1.5, K +1.5, BB -0.5, H -0.5, SV +6

You have to get a “top closer” I think for them to be worth it. And if a guy loses the job, then he completely loses all value instantly. RPs are already volatile enough as it is…

Even a guy like Reynaldo can suck and give you some decent value. Any sort of spec closer pick is a hugely negative ROI bet, IMO.

For example, Chris Sale finished above Liam Hendricks last year, who was the third best closer in this format… Jansen finished 190th overall… trust me.

https://bit.ly/3c46S8S

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

HAHAHAHA, I would be SO DOWN for that!

Yes, on the margin. Hitting is still the better ROI bet for the most part, but the floor and ceiling on SP is much higher here

HERNAN
HERNAN
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

LOL, I’m in that draft too, the fact that there’s 45 players being bid on at the same time , it creates all that overpaying…, specially, like Grey says, “‘high prices guys go for a lot”, when people have all their money and everyone counts on their ability to find bargains later, the “primary position” factor is big too, easier when you can slot guys in different places, like NFBC Cutline…, 3 Utility spots , NO ( MI) or (CI) makes one wonder if it’s better to load on Outfielders first…., like I did.., Yelich($50), Meadows($23), Eloy ($21), Laureano($20)…, don’t ask about 1B/2B/3B…., lol

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

You can nominate 3 players at a time, 15 teams, 15 * 3 = 45, QUICK MATHS

When you nom someone, they go on the clock for 12 hours (slow auction)

It’s eBay auction bid style. So let’s say I wanted Springer at $30. I can bid $30, if the next highest bid was $20, then I own him at $21. If someone bids $24, then I still own him at $24, until someone bids $31. Then the player “flips” and that guy now “owns” him at $31. The clock will then reset to 10 hours on that player.

Makes sense? JOIN US FOR THE NEXT ONE!!

It’s a pure adrenaline rush that first 48 hours…. great way to pass the time nowadays

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

What else would you expect from a bunch of gambling addicts?

HERNAN
HERNAN
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

lol, i have $53 left, need 22 more players…, stimulus check can’t get here soon enough…..

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

Oh, last thing, McMahon was $9 on my sheet and went for $8. He was a target, but by the time he came around, I was already scratching for nickles…

On a redo, think he *may* be my guy. Again, don’t *love* him, but that Colorado home factor is pretty money in a BB like this… then maybe pair him with the $10 Lowe, who went for $7?

Thanks!

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

*MIND BLOWN*

JC
JC
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

12 teamer….I draft 1, 24,25,48,49 etc. With scarcity at 2B I have been taking Altuve at 25 in mocks. Top 4 2B are always gone by 48.
Sounds like I am making a mistake here. I could pass on Altuve at 25 and grab a guy like Blackmon. Who do you then like at 2B later in the draft?

toolshed
toolshed
2 years ago

Kind of sad, I would usually be checking to see if your first installment of your weekly Buy column was posted yet.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I WAS THINKING THE SAME THING — WHY YOU GUYS GOTTA MAKE ME SO SAD ON THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON?!?

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  baby seal
2 years ago

Honestly, I came here on the off chance he had something like it, and was an instant classic funny Grey post to lift my spirits… nope. Got this instead.

Thanks, Toolshed.

toolshed
toolshed
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Baby seal, I am one of those glass half empty guys. I come here for therapy. Grey’s writing always seem to do the trick.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

TOOLSHED! I like my glasses full, to the brim, I tell ya!

183414
183414
2 years ago

Thanks Grey !! Love guys that are shorter than me. Well maybe he’s not anymore. I used to be 5’9 1/4″. Probably closer to 5’8 1/2 these days. I think Stroman is 5’9″. Nope says 5’8″. Good to go. haha

183414
183414
2 years ago

Unfortunately the dude jumped on Odorizzi for his 6th s.p.
I have 5 s.p.’s/1 r.p./0 catchers/4 o.f.’s.

Available players in order are:
r.p.’s- Anderson/Workman
s.p.’s- Marquez- Heaney-Weaver-Folty-Stroman
c- Kelly-Narvaez-Alfaro
o.f. – Buxton-Upton-Cain

Yeah, I screwed up by not grabbing Odorizzi, but there appears to be plenty of s.p.’s to take in the next 2-3 rounds.

Honestly w/ no catchers and 1 r.p., I’m interested in Alfaro or Anderson.

Help.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Heaney out for year with strained something.

Coolwhip
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

don’t forget to keep an eye out for CMart at picks 170+

183414
183414
Reply to  Coolwhip
2 years ago

Thanks , I will.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

Honestly, Andrew, you’d have to be nuts to pass on Nick Andy there IMO.

183414
183414
2 years ago

I know I just reached (for the 3d straight time), but Walker @ 169, before my 172 turn, is what I did. Not dying for a catcher, and I can pick up a 5th o.f. (and a 6th/7th/8th…) later, as well as a 6th/7th/8th/9th s.p., or 2nd & 3d r.p. Even if your projections may be a tad high, he serves well as a 2nd 1st baseman, and a solid util. bat. Plus, the guy after me had back to back picks, and has no 1b or util., and his other choices were Voit and then Cron.

KrazyIvan
KrazyIvan
2 years ago

I’ve been watching more reruns of 1980’s games and one thing stood out about the SS position. It was way, way worse back then then people even realize. Trammel and Yount would have filled in today’s game well, and of course the Wizard of Oz could play in any generation, but most of the rest would have a hard time reaching AAA in today’s game. They had no power, not much speed and were great defensively at balls hit to them but lacked the amazing coverage today’s SS have. This position more then any other makes me grateful for the time period of baseball we are in.

KrazyIvan
KrazyIvan
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

True. Tell me what you think of my team I drafted last night. I like the versatility that my position eligibility give me and the pitching has a better floor then the other three 12 team 5x5s
C: Garver
CI:Bellinger,Bregmen,Antana, Diaz, Nunez
MI: Biggio, Segura, Newman, Castro (Bregmen too)
OF: Just Dongs, Robles, Guirrel Jr, Seoul Train, Teoscar H., Adell (Bellie, Antana, and Biggio too)
UT: Alvarez

SP: Morton, Greinke, Wheeler, Odorizzi, Weaver, Archer
RP: Chapman, Kimbrel

KrazyIvan
KrazyIvan
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

This was my fist share of Bregmen but I wouldn’t be surprised if I pick up more for a slight discount. His road splits have been impressive. For instance, it is a super small sample, but last year in the 2nd half of the season on the road he hit .397 with a 1.333 ops and a .528 wOBA. He is a guy that I’m predicting will be fine without the distraction of listening for trash cans clanging 400 feet away.

During the draft it didn’t fall my way early on in pitching so I just went solid solid over upside. Archer was a late round dart throw. I’m hoping that now that Searage is gone that he will be deployed better.
Have a great weekend!

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
2 years ago

The Scheme was great…
Got to see this Mafia movie starring Marsellus Wallace next.

Troy
Troy
2 years ago

This is probably obvious, but in a short season (could be very short) injuries and consistency matter more than in the past. Even small 14-30 day DL trips will make a HUGE difference in a payers value. This is also true of slumps.

I’m sure there are math geniuses out there much smarter than me, but it sees that some analysis in to the likelihood of injury and consistency would be a good idea.

I assume older players are more likely to get hurt, 10 day DL trips for minor injuries that it takes longer to recover from and probably certain positions are also more likely to get hurt. That should shift values.

Also players that have wild swings in performance should also be thought of as more risk. Think R. Odor…that guy could win you the league this year if you have him and he’s hot, but could also lose you the league if you have him when cold. There must be some statistical measure that tells us who are the steady eddies vs the wild cards in such a shortened season.

The Harrow
The Harrow
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

consistency needs go up though in:
1. deep leagues
2. h2h in general

obv you are speaking about 12 team roto in general, so neither of those. consistency would actually go DOWN in a shorter season (need for it), you’d rather have risky picks who might win you leagues likely, and in 12’ers it’s FAR easier to drop some super cold guy than deep spots. and ALL the stats count the same in roto so somebody who’s upside hits helps a TON. some dude that has 3 great weeks in h2h but the other 10 or so bad is death in h2h’s and deep leagues.

The Harrow
The Harrow
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

right, so upside but low or no consistency guys you could replace anyway for 12’ers.

Play Ball
Play Ball
2 years ago

In a S+H league. I have Rogers, Neris, N. Anderson and the Astros Ryan Pressly.

Last year Pressly was a dominant setup man and had 31 Holds and 3 Saves. Year before that he had 14 Holds.

My league is very shallow in number of teams and roster spots. Trying to balance S+H counting stats with good ratios and if I should drop Pressly for a closer to keep pace with another team that carries Yates, Chapman, Ottavino and Lugo.

The best remaining closers are Raisel, Colome, Workman, LeClerc and Kimbrel (who had a miserable outing in spring training to follow up his miserable 2019). None of them have great peripherals.

It’s my first time playing in a S+H league and not sure if I’ll get more out of a set-up guy to bank on Holds or a closer for counting stats. Would you keep Pressly for Holds or drop him for one of the closers for Save counts?

Donkey Teeth
Admin
Reply to  Play Ball
2 years ago

I’d grab Kimbrel there

Play Ball
Play Ball
Reply to  Donkey Teeth
2 years ago

Who would you drop for him?

You’re not concerned about Kimbrel? Where would you rank him overall for closers?

I could probably convince a team owner to trade E. Diaz for one of my RP. He’s not a fan of Diaz.

Play Ball
Play Ball
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Saves and holds are combined.

Keep Pressly – and N. Anderson instead of picking from those available closers?

Thanks for your help.

Play Ball
Play Ball
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thx Grey.

Would you attempt to trade either of my RP (Pressly, Anderson, Nerris) for E. Diaz instead or hold?

Bamabterry
Bamabterry
2 years ago

How does the shortened season effect Mondesi value? 25 steals instead of 15 seems easier to ivercome than 30 instead of 50.

Donkey Teeth
Admin
Reply to  Bamabterry
2 years ago

I bumped him up a little…more time for the shoulder to get to 100%

Coolwhip
2 years ago

Since he broke out in the 2nd half of 2017, Baez has been a fast-starter the last 2 years. more to like!

183414
183414
Reply to  Coolwhip
2 years ago

I took a chance on Paxton last night, passing on Hand @152. Reports from the Yankees are promising in that he’s throwing regularly w/out any pain. Assuming the season doesn’t start much before June 1, and that there was no structural damage, in that they removed a cyst by a microscopic diskectomy, I don’t think the risk was greater than the reward he could bring, if he’s ready or close to ready when the season opens. I don’t think safe will win you much at Best Ball points
I like Hand, but don’t see too many quality starters down the road, and I only had 4 at that point.
Also went with Kingery @149 over JD as my 4th o.f. ( with multi position).

Coolwhip
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

works for me. I’m not super high on Paxton, but I can see that working out good

183414
183414
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I guess by that response you didn’t like my independent picks. :(

183414
183414
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thanks Grey. Feel a lot better about my own judgement.
Regarding Kingery, he’s still only 25 and finally has a mgr. in Girardi who I would expect to play him regularly and not jerk him around. I like Davis as well, but the Mets, you know, and just what if Cespedes does play.
Paxton or Hand was my choice, as Ryu was taken and I wasn’t ready to jump up to draft Odorizzi.

Coolwhip
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

IMO, fast-starter hitters are those that are able to capatilize on pitchers as they find their footing at the start of a season (regardless of when the season begins). I think in Baez’s case its due in part to his swing-happy style. He has sub-par plate discipline but has elite hand-eye coordination and bat-to-ball ability… this i think plays into fast-starting for him, as pitchers may not be as crisp with their command and break and the scouting reports aren’t as fresh. So as a season begins, odds are in his favor. If this is true, then the season beginning in the heat summer would help him even more, lol.

Coolwhip
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

hmmmm… something to think about. Might take it another level, not necessarily low OBP but those with high Con% and Sw%. If only I had the time to dig into such numbers… LOL

Coolwhip
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

hmmmm… so after some initial digging i found some interesting information. This deserves its own post! now i need to go a little deeper for some why/how…. to the batcave!

sidenote: Baez is shocking not the highest swing% in the last 3 years. LOL. CDick is.

Wake Up
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I was thinking the same thing. Cool may be on to something if it’s a matter of end of season burn out. It may have more to do with OBP issues causing higher variance…

Was also thinking how easy it would be for Mondesi to hit .220 now.

Wake Up
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Arraez?

If he’s leading off…I’m all over him

Wake Up
Reply to  Wake Up
2 years ago

Just realized I don’t know what variance means but it just sounds mean…

Coolwhip
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

john means?

Smitty
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thinkin the delay favors the hitters. Many bats warm up with the weather, and after the 4 week ramp up I think they will be super ready to go.
Baez plate discipline is reckless, but it’s his plus-plus bat speed (and Whip mentioned hand-eye coordination) that makes him special. Dude takes a hack!

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I was kind of wondering the same the same thing regarding top prospects who are young and kind of on the cusp. You could argue that this hurts guys like Wander Franco and IanAnderson, they lose development time. However if they do get called up and teams are more inclined to go with best roster over service time they could get quite a bump in value. There are probably greater risks and rewards possible in a 100 game format. I think I’m more likely to draft Wander or Daulton Varsho, though I already have a few shares of both in deeper formats.

183414
183414
2 years ago

What time do you get up to write this ? Or should I say go to sleep ? Best read of the day.

Mex
Mex
2 years ago

That’s nothing, you should try my Mulligatawny.

Wake Up
Reply to  Mex
2 years ago

Anything coconut milk…I’m in!

You should try my vindaloo…it burns all the way through…you’ll still be thinking of me tomorrow when you poo poo…

Well worth the line…even comes with an armoire for your time…

Wake Up
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Agreed. It’s insame. Makes you earn it.

She says it’s getting the poison out…

Also liked mex’s Spike reference.

lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood
lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

You guys need to stop talking shit…………….

lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood
lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

LOL yes that Indiian food and it fine after affects

Mex
Mex
Reply to  Wake Up
2 years ago

I made a Spike reference? I didn’t know that. What was it?

galica
galica
2 years ago

Grey!!!

Awesome SS report!

a. So, yeah I didn’t sign up any of these guys. Bummer!

b. MLB quote of the day for May 12, 1975

‘You must try to generate happiness within yourself. If you aren’t happy in one place, chances are you won’t be happy in any place.’

Ernest ‘Ernie’ Banks, aka Mr Cub, aka Mr Sunshine. The pride and joy of his alma mater (The Booker T. Washington High School), the first NL player to win back-to-back MVP awards (1958 and 1959). Banks holds the MLB record for most games played without a postseason appearance (2528). He was also famous for saying ‘It’s a beautiful day for a ballgame….Let’s play two!’ off of his love for baseball.

Cheers,
Ante

mex
mex
Reply to  galica
2 years ago

For the past 5 years, I have been a regular (everyday) reader and a sporadic (at best) poster on the best fantasy baseball site in the business….Other reading Grey’s post, the thing I look forward to every day is the MLB quote of the day….Thank you Ante!!….If I had more than two thumbs, they would all be up!

mex
mex
Reply to  mex
2 years ago

*Other “than”, that is

lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood
lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood
Reply to  mex
2 years ago

You are your own grammar Nazi Mex

galica
galica
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Grey!

a. Thanks, man. The relevance was by chance though I did see he started out his career at SS so that’s not bad. A Cubs’ legend for sure.

b. All good this side. Hopefully the season can start July 1 that would be really great.

Cheers,
Ante

BBHHI
BBHHI
2 years ago

Grey;

Which side of this trade do You like:

Canha $10 + Luzardo $10 versus
Olson $20 + Mercado $10

Al only league

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  BBHHI
2 years ago

Olson side

BBHHI
BBHHI
Reply to  BBHHI
2 years ago

Ps:
I think there’s a decent likelihood 2020 is cancelled, each value will be bumped by $5 for 2021. So the exercise is really 50/50 assessment on 20/21.

As of 21, Olson will likely be at value if roughly $25-30. Mercado harder to project. Luzardo hardest to project, but huge potential to shoot up to $20+ value.

hot corner
hot corner
Reply to  BBHHI
2 years ago

Olson side for me and it is not really close.

At the same price, Mercado > Canha. Canha’s profile is a dime-a-dozen these days, but Mercado’s potential 20/20 is hard to find.

Olson vs. Luzardo is apple-to-orange, but I would take Olson over the uncertainty of a young pitcher like Luzardo every time, even at a higher price tag.

hot corner
hot corner
Reply to  hot corner
2 years ago

Plus, in Al-only, 1B is very thin.

BBHHI
BBHHI
Reply to  hot corner
2 years ago

Thanks!

Donkey Teeth
Admin
Reply to  BBHHI
2 years ago

Olson

Snacks Zillion
Snacks Zillion
2 years ago

Thanks for the heads up on Baez, passed him up early in both RCL leagues! Stay safe out there. One thing about social fisting, err…..I mean social distancing….the dog loves me being home more!! And no you sick Razzballers, I don’t fist the hound just an ill fated early morning attempt at some humor!!