…and the Teoscar goes to…La La Land! Wait, that’s wrong. Damn it, Faye Dunaway, give me that envelope! …and the Teoscar Hernandez goes to Seattle for Erik Swanson and minor-league LHP Adam Macko! That’s worse than La La Land. Macko better grow ten inches and become the next Randy Johnson for this trade to make sense. Okay, first my thoughts on middle relievers, such as Erik Swanson, then back to the trade. They are failed starters! Take Yusei Kikuchi and make him a middle reliever if you want a middle reliever. What are you doing?! Jays ain’t no Rays, but the M’s might be. Rays know that anyone can be a great reliever. Yanks seemed to figure it out when they took a guy who flamed out in Pittsburgh and made him great–Oh, wait, that could be Gerrit Cole too. Or any pitcher leaving Pittsburgh. Okay, sorry, that Pittsburgh hate is off-topic. Focus! This trade just has me so discombobulated. Why would you trade Teoscar Hernandez for a middle reliever and a lottery ticket arm? The only reasons I can imagine are the Jays aren’t done and will acquire another bat. Or the Jays know something on Teoscar that we don’t know. Something like he wanted out; clashing with some of the other players; something, and I don’t know what. So, Teoscar goes to a much worse park. Seattle is the worst park, by the by. Don’t trust me, ask Jesse Winker. Teoscar is no Winker though, and should be able to hit anywhere. What’s funny, and should be taken with a grain of salt, Teoscar’s expected homers in Toronto last year was 28 (he actually hit 25), and in Seattle it was 31. He’s regularly a top five-percenter in MaxEv, and regular Exit Velocity. Red marks after red marks indicating fire on all the best Statcast numbers. Barrel% upper 94-percenter; HardHit% is 98%; speed is even in the 84 percentile. I ranked Teoscar crazy high last year, and he disappointed, but it’s hard to not fall in love again. He really is that good, and Dipoto is robbing Canada like Mrs. Butterworth’s tapping maples. For 2023, I’ll give Teoscar Hernandez projections of  76/29/83/.264/7 in 517 ABs. Anyway, here’s what else I saw this offseason for 2023 fantasy baseball:

Bryce Harper – Will have UCL surgery next Wednesday. His family must be horrible for him to wait three weeks since the World Series just so he can raincheck Thanksgiving with surgery. “Bryce, don’t you want some more giblet gravy?” *Bryce dreaming about hospital food* So, this sounds fine for Bryce’s fantasy value, but might delay his start of the season. Will have to wait for a timetable. Rhys Hoskins had a similar surgery and was back for Opening Day, but had the surgery on October 2nd, not Thanksgiving Eve.

Jake Odorizzi – Traded to the AL West. Excuse me, traded to the Rangers, but same diff. Odorizzi seems to have some kind of contract where he pickleballs back and forth between the NL and the AL West. Back to take on the Astros now instead of pitch for them. By the by, I had a question in my head this offseason and I have no idea how to figure it out. Jake Odorizzi won a ring for the Astros, even though he didn’t appear in one World Series game for them (obviously). I was wondering, who has the most rings without appearing in a World Series winning game? Also, has anyone — I’m sure someone has — appeared for the losing World Series team, but got a ring because they faced their old team? Any hoo! Jake Odorizzi sucks, don’t draft him. (Someone pinged me and said the answer to most World Series rings without appearing in a clinching game might be Charlie Silvera. He’s credited with being on the roster of six different Yankee teams that won the Series, but only played in one Series game.)

Ryan Vilade – Claimed off waivers by the Pirates. He’s prolly nothing because that’s what the Pirates turn guys into, but you kinda have to chef’s kiss the Rockies giving away a 23-year-old, 2nd round pick who they gave only three games total in the major leagues.

Ji-Man Choi – Traded to the Pirates. Thinking about Oneil Cruz firing a 120 MPH throw to first for Ji-Man Choi to go into one of his patented splits and getting giddy. For fantasy? Ji-Meh. I’ll give Ji-Man Choi projections of 51/14/62/.231 in 412 ABs.

Tyler Anderson – Signed by the Angels. One thing always remains true: Angels buy the spike. I wouldn’t be surprised if Arte Moreno has to sell because he’s over-invested in crypto. Arte loves the spike! Change them to the Anaheim Stonks and send them career years. Angels get more out of a spike than Keith Raniere. So, last year Tyler Anderson went 2.57 ERA, 1.00 WHIP with incredibly good command — 1.7 BB/9 — with no strikeouts — 7 K/9. He’s the poster boy for the ratio boon of 2022, and where does that take him in 2023? I’d say regression and not on my teams. For 2023, I’ll give Tyler Anderson projections 8-10/4.09/1.19/134 in 172 IP. Honestly, it’s not the worst real world starter for the Angels, but not a great fantasy bet.

Sam Hilliard – Acquired by the Braves, and the Rockies got Dylan Spain, who sounds like a made-up name. Rockies always getting good stuff in their trades, huh? If you ask the Rockies’ GM, he’ll still say his favorite return for a player is the $50 million IOU he got from the Cards for Arenado, because it included his favorite psalm.

Nick Anderson – Signed by the Braves. About time Nick Anderson got out of the Orlando area and stopped relying on Shaq and Penny.

Garrett WhitlockRed Sox announced Whitlock and Houck would compete to be starters this year. *breathes in* Ah…yes, it must be the offseason.

Jose Ramirez – Underwent thumb surgery, but should be good to go to start the year. I hope the surgeon did the entire Where Is Thumbkin and didn’t cheat him out of the 2nd verse, which, for my money, is the best verse.

Kevin Cron – Signed a minor league deal with the A’s. That means the A’s have, “If it’s Brown, flush it down, and if it’s Cron’s, go see a doctor.”

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Nick B
Nick B
20 days ago

Benji Molina in 2010 won a ring “with” the Giants despite playing for the Rangers against the Giants in the series.

toolshed
toolshed
20 days ago

The RP market seems to be in hyperinflation mode. I get the deal for Diaz but guys like Saurez, Gonzalez and Montero also signed bigger deals than most would have expected. Outside of Diaz, those guys don’t have much of a track record of success. The Mariners sold high on Swanson after a career year. Good for them. Maybe I am looking at this the wrong way, but relievers seem to pop up all of the time. How many times have we seen a failed starter dial it up a couple notches for an inning instead of trying to leave gas in the tank to go 5+ or a mechanical tweak, new pitch, new pitching coach, etc. It seems like you can develop or groom guys like this rather than pay for them.

Stl Squat Cobblers
Stl Squat Cobblers
Reply to  Grey
20 days ago

a money move and a Springer to RF (or LF) move? Add Nimmo to CF?

Chhh
Chhh
Reply to  Grey
20 days ago

There was an absurd twitter rumor floating about an Acuna for Bichette and Springer deal (with other pieces) that some Braves homer tried to cook up. Made me laugh. But the. I thought about it….

And it made me laugh harder.

Phil
Phil
20 days ago

What’s up Grey! Can’t wait for February when I can get your rankings from Patreon! Keeper question…6×6 (OPS and holds)12-team roto league, you keep 4 players but give up a draft pick for each keeper. Which of the following 4 would you keep (this is a yahoo league, so Betts is 2B eligible):

Betts (1st rounder), deGrom (1st rounder), Olson (2nd rounder), Lindor (3), Cease (6), Schwarber (7), France (10), Kirk (23), Corbin Carroll (24), Josh Jung (24)

snapper
snapper
20 days ago

The love I am seeing from two sites for Eric Swanson in the trade for Hernandez is amazing. It looks like he is The Reincarnation of Dennis Eckersley. Hernandez in the middle of any lineup is going to be a plus. Great trade for Seattle.

junior56
junior56
20 days ago

Thanks for the Teo write up.
Do you think Nick Martinez breaks ST as a starter?

Thanks

galica1234
galica1234
20 days ago

Grey!!!!!

Awesome!!!!

a. Odorizzi, man. The Lastros (no more!) would have gladly given him a ring if he agreed to a trade to pitch for the Phils in the WS as the opposing pitcher, right?

b. Signed up for a dynasty (draft Feb 19, 2023). 12-team, daily lineups, H2H points with cats below. Total roster size 60, 20 minors slots and 15 injury list roster slots. Draft is for 40 rounds with the standard proviso for minors eligibility being hitter <130 AB and pitcher <50 IP. Waiver wire open for business after the draft. Cats are crazy!!

Hitting
Caught Stealing (CS) -0.5
Doubles (2B) 2
Game Winning RBI (GWRBI) 1
Grand Slams (Sl) 5
Hit For The Cycle (CYC) 10
Home Runs (HR) 4
Runs Batted In (RBI) 1
Runs Scored (R) 1
Singles (1B) 1
Stolen Bases (SB) 2
Triples (3B) 3
Total Bases (TB) 1

Pitching
Balks (BK) -1
Blown Saves (BS) -2
Earned Runs Allowed (ER) -1
Holds (HLD) 1
Innings Pitched (IP) 3
Losses (L) -5
No Hitters (NH) 10
Quality Starts (QS) 3
Saves (SV) 7
Strikeouts Pitched (K) 1
Walks Allowed (BB) -2
Wins (W) 10
WHIP Ratio (WHIP) 1

So first question obvi, Ohtani #1 because you can swap him from DH to P when he pitches and then move him back. In this dynasty format Masyn Wynn looking useful too.

Overall, what’s your strategy in H2H points and dynasty? I would definitely prioritize your fantasy outlook players like Frelick, Jordan Walker, Grayson etc. but when? Round 7 and then every three rounds? Then, after the draft quickly add guys who are awesome minors players but due in 2024/5 like Eury Perez. Thoughts? We have time until then…3 months and 2 days!

c. As a disgruntled Teoscar owner from 2022, I think the move will be bad for him despite the gains in HR (31 v 28 refers). Also, I don’t think his BA will be 0.264 given the park factor to suppress BA (my reference point is Winker). Would be interested to know why he had to go, Toronto media describes it as a cash flow problem plus he’ll be FA-eligible after 2023. Also they are high on Macko because

1 He’s Canadian!!! (though born in Slovakia, so a marketing move. Canadians really eat this stuff up.)
2 Someone saw him pitch well against the Blue Jays AAA affiliate Vancouver Canadians
3 He struck out 60 in 38 IP

d. George Carlin quote of the day for November 17, 2022

‘And some of us get to sit there with notebooks. And I’m a notebook kind of guy: [pretends to be taking notes] “Oh, my God, did you see that? Did you see what he just did?…” And I watch the freak show, and I kept my notes, and I make up stuff about it, and I talk about the freaks. And the freaks are all humans, and they are all like me, and we are all the same. I’m not better, I’m not different, I’m just apart now. I’m separate, I’m over here, because I put myself out of the mix. I don’t have a stake at the outcome. I’m not a cheerleader for a given outcome now.’

From his last tv interview in 2008

Cheers,
Ante

DanTheCanadianMetFanEh?
DanTheCanadianMetFanEh?
Reply to  galica1234
20 days ago

1 He’s Canadian!!! (though born in Slovakia, so a marketing move. Canadians really eat this stuff up.)
?
No we don’t Garlic

galica1234
galica1234
Reply to  DanTheCanadianMetFanEh?
20 days ago

Dan!!

Some Canucks do, man.

Cheers,
Ante

galica1234
galica1234
Reply to  Grey
20 days ago

Grey!!!

Thanks, man.

Crazy indeed. Carlin now, Carlin forever. Thanks for giving me the chance to get to know him a bit better.

Cheers,
Ante