Despite my best efforts, I can no longer avoid writing about this week’s most added player, Cincinnati Reds outfielder Adam Duvall (68.9% owned; +45.8% over the last seven days). It’s not that I don’t like him. I actually considered writing about him a few weeks ago. After deciding to go in another direction, that opportunity came and went quicker than a patron at a pay by the hour hotel. Everyone seemed to jump on the Duvall bandwagon, and for good reason. Over his last 14 games, he’s smashed 9 homers to go along with 14 runs, 19 RBI, and a .268/.293/.786 triple slash line. If you want to go back a bit further, he’s produced a 24/14/30/1/.292 line since May 3rd (31 games). Those are numbers that’ll have his fantasy owners frequenting the hourly hotels on a regular basis. While he’s unlikely to maintain this blistering power pace for the rest of the season, Duvall hit 35 homers between AAA and MLB in 2015, and 30 homers across those same levels in 2014. The power is very much for real. The strikeouts (29.7% K%) are likely to keep his average in the .250 range, and while his on-base skills (.327 or lower OBP at every stop but one since 2012) and speed (10 stolen bases since 2013) are severely limited, 35 homers appears to be in his wheelhouse. Think of him as the NL version of Mark Trumbo. In competitive leagues, Duvall is likely long gone, but if his owner is interested in “selling high,” it’s worth exploring a trade if you’re looking to add some power.

Here are a couple of other interesting adds/drops in fantasy baseball over the past week:

Byung-ho Park: 47.4% owned; -8.3%

Well, I suppose that this is turning into the donkey edition of trash/treasure. I guess that makes me an ass lover. Guilty as charged! Park is cut from the same donkeyish mold as Duvall and Trumbo: lots of power (.247 ISO), lots of fly balls (44.0% FB%), lots of strikeouts (30.7% K%), lots of hard contact (36.7% Hard%) and pull-heavy tendencies (49.5% Pull%). He’s coming off of back-to-back 50+ homer seasons in Korea, and is currently 12th in MLB in average fly ball distance (309.56 ft). His .217 batting average leaves something to be desired, but he possesses legit 35 homer power, and his average should settle into the .250 range (much like Duvall) with neutral luck. If he’s sitting on your wire, grab him and enjoy the free power. TREASURE.

Trayce Thompson: 23.7% owned; +7.0%

Entering this season, the Dodgers appeared to have an extremely crowded outfield. Yasiel Puig, Joc Pederson, Carl Crawford, Andre Ethier, and Scott Van Slyke were fixtures on the roster. There didn’t seem to be much room for the newly acquired Thompson. However, injuries to Ethier, Crawford, and Van Slyke created an opportunity for regular playing time for Thompson, and he’s taken full advantage. In 138 plate appearances, he’s produced a .279/.362/.566 line with 23 runs, 9 homers, 21 RBI, and 4 steals. He’s currently one of just four MLB players (min 100 PA) to have a 10+% BB% and a .280+ ISO. The other three players are Manny Machado, David Ortiz, and Todd Frazier. Thompson also currently has one of the lowest O-Swing percentages (20.1%) in the league, and his 7.7% SwStr% is below the MLB average as well. Ethier is still hurt, and Crawford was just recently designated for assignment, which means that Thompson is in line for everyday at bats moving forward. There’s .270/25/10 potential here. TREASURE.

  1. HelpMoiBBGod says:
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    Whhich 2 would you like ROS btwn Paxton, VV, Tillman or Gausman??
    Redraft H2H W K SV WHIP ERA K/BB

    Also I’ve been holding onto Grichuk, should I just replace him with Trayce?
    Thanks

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @HelpMoiBBGod: Gausman and Tillman out of those four. Paxton is a streamer at best, and Velasquez is likely to be shut down early (and has a 4.86 ERA and 1.49 WHIP since his first two starts). And though I’m still higher on Grichuk than most, I’d take Trayce over him.

  2. steve says:
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    need to stream
    archie Bradley vs Tam or
    Tillman vs KC
    thx

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @steve: I’d go with Bradley. He’s been on fire recently and has the added bonus of not having to face a DH in that start.

  3. Micah says:
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    Would you trade Benintendi and Keuchel for Jose Abreu?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Micah: I assume this is a dynasty/keeper format, but I’d need more specifics. How many teams and keepers? Limited keeper or keep forever? Salaries or round penalties? H2H or roto? OBP?

      • Micah says:
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        @Big Magoo: It’s a 12 team keeper league with 12 keepers plus 5 minor leaguers. It’s a head to head categories league and you can keep your players as long as you want. My other minor leaguers are Orlando Arcia, Blake Snell, Josh Bell and Jameson Taillon. My first base situation right now is Park.

        • Micah says:
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          @Micah: and YES, OBP.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Micah: You have a solid group of minor leaguers, and Park is a bit risky to rely on as a primary first baseman (though I do like him). Keuchel hasn’t looked very good either. I’d take Abreu there.

  4. Branta says:
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    My OF currently (in a keeper league):

    Joc Pederson
    Jackie Bradley Jr.
    Mark Trumbo (play him at 1B)
    Kris Bryant (play him at 3B after trading Arenado)
    Mookie Betts (who I traded Arenado for, primarily)
    Michael Conforto (another part of that trade)
    Leonys Martin
    Mike Napoli
    Aaron Judge (holding him because I think he’s gonna be great in Yankee Stadium)
    and I just picked up Steve Pearce, but I am going to be playing him at 2B.

    So…who would you drop for Trayce, if anybody. League is 12-team Yahoo! Keeper with OBP/SLG as 2 of the 6 categories.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Branta: Martin and Napoli are the most droppable players here. Napoli’s hot right now though, and it looks like you’re a bit thinner at CI than OF. I’d take Thompson over Martin unless you really need the speed.

      • Branta says:
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        @Big Magoo: I was too slow by an hour. Oh well!

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Branta: Damn! That’s ok. Your outfielders and CIs look solid.

          • Branta says:
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            @Big Magoo: Yeah, I didn’t even include that I also have Pujols, who has been rounding into form lately.

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
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              @Branta: Yeah, you’re in good shape

  5. Scott says:
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    WHo do you like as bench bat/ utility player?
    Pearce or Dietrich

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Scott: Both players are great in that role due to positional eligibility, but I’d go with Pearce there. More power.

      • Scott says:
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        @Big Magoo: Cool, that’s what I’m looking for. Thanks Bruh!

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Scott: No problem!

  6. J-FOH says:
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    Hey I wrote about the consigliere donkey in the preseason. Of course I had my reservations about playing time but I sure like what hes done even though I own him nowhere. I should stop talking about myself, it comes off schmucky, but great work as usual. I like the Trace stats. Look at Magoo, besting those before by laying it down like a gangsta

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @J-FOH: Nice call on Duvall. He looks good. That Cincinnati bandbox is perfect for his skillset too. Just like Duvall, it was mostly about opportunity for Trayce. I think he’ll take it and run with it now.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Big Magoo: I would of loved to hear your thoughts on Profar, the one yesterday was not so good

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @J-FOH: Another guy who needs regular playing time. Odor, Fielder, Moreland – it’s crowded out there.

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Big Magoo: More Odor in the Field

  7. Scott says:
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    Byung Ho on the waiver, but I already have Abreu, Franco, and Lamb as CI. Plus backups in Valencia and Eugenio.
    My MIs are Castro, Bogaerts, Merrifield.

    I could either drop one of my 4 MIs (includes Eugenio) or 5 CIs (includes Valencia and Eugenio) or hold. What say you?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Scott: I think that Merrifield is a deep league option, so he’s probably expendable. That being said, if you drop him, someone like Peralta might be a better fit if he’s available.

  8. OJ Simpson says:
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    love your trash or treasure articles. one of the many articles I get excited about.
    As a doyers fan, Trayce has

    Taillon got the call up!

    • OJ Simpson says:
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      @OJ Simpson:

      My bad, Trayce has me puzzled and I’m glad you could help clear it up!

      • J-FOH says:
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        @OJ Simpson: Viva Los Doyers! and with Trace daddy being a former Laker this only makes it sweeter watching him succeed

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @OJ Simpson: Thanks! Cue the barrage of Taillon articles!

  9. bobbo says:
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    Trayce or Dickerson ROS? Other option is to speculate on Bregman now that the callups have started.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @bobbo: Definitely Trayce over Dickerson. Dickerson can’t hit lefties and his foot issues have taken away his steals. You could spec on Bregman if you have another spot, but I’d go with Trayce over him too (in a redraft).

  10. Dustyfingers says:
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    Eno Sarris just published an article on Fangraphs about struggling outfielders. Basically TLDR; there’s a good chance that Leonys Martin & Trayce Thompson > Randal Grichuk & Jason Heyward. I have Heyward and think will improve but not be great. My utility/bench outfielders are Heyward, Duvall, and Mazara with Leonys Martin on DL. It looks like Heyward and Mazara project similar. When I have to activate Martin do I drop Heyward? I’m having a hell of a time trading Heyward. I do like the idea of taking a chance on Martin going forward more but Heyward seems like a lot of value/perceived value to drop.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Dustyfingers: Concerning those four outfielders, I’d rank them Heyward, Thompson, Martin, then Grichuk for the rest of this season. Obviously, Mazara and Duvall are holds. I wouldn’t drop Heyward. He plays everyday and hits 2nd in a great lineup. It looks like he’s slowly turning things around too (2 homers in the last week).

      • Dustyfingers says:
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        @Big Magoo: Thanks! I’ve liked Trayce T for a bit and it looks like his playing time is more secure now. I could see him and Martin both doing well with Trayce having some more power and Martin more speed. Hopefully Martin can pick up where he left off after rehabing his hamstring. Hamstring injuries can lag for a while.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Dustyfingers: Yeah, that’s why I listed Martin third there. Hamstring issues can linger and affect speedy players. He should be fine in the long run though. Good luck!

  11. Luke says:
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    Hey BM:
    Great article on Duvall…picked him up a couple of weeks ago. Question for you, deciding on who to drop between Segura or Rendon to activate DPeralta off the DL. Thoughts? Thanks much.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Luke: Thanks! I’d try to keep both players if possible. If not, I’d go with Segura in a standard format and Rendon in an OBP format.

  12. Chud says:
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    Big Magoo,

    Great stuff! I’m currently in 1st place in 10 team keeper with very limited ww picks. Only 1 this month (and no real need) so best player ROS:

    Leonys Martin/MSaunders/Johnny Peralta/Napoli/Shoemaker/JGray?

    Thanks!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Chud: Thanks! In a shallow keeper league with no real needs to address, I’d look for upside. Coors is a killer for Gray. Tough to recommend a Rockies pitcher. I’d go with Martin for the power/speed combo.

  13. Nightpandas says:
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    Hey Magoo,

    Got offered Contreras and Eaton for Neil Walker and Trayce in a 15 team keep 11. Was thinking of countering for Contreras and Duvall. Could use more power. Thoughts? Am intrigued in Contreras for the 2nd half

    • Nightpandas says:
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      @Nightpandas: also have Zobrist and Dozier that could play 2nd

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Nightpandas: Assuming it’s Willson and not old man Jose, that sounds like a fine deal, especially since you’ll be able to replace Walker.

      • Nightpandas says:
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        @Big Magoo: he came back with Eaton Contreras for Dozier Trayce

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Nightpandas: Hmm… that’s a close one. If you consider Trayce and Eaton about even, that would essentially make it a Contreras/Dozier deal. Are you hurting at catcher?

          • Nightpandas says:
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            @Big Magoo: got hundley there, nothing great

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
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              @Nightpandas: Hundley’s not bad, though he’s not keeper material. Contreras isn’t a sure thing, but he has lots of upside. If he would be a keeper for you, I say pull the trigger. It looks like Dozier can be replaced on your roster.

  14. Christian Herman says:
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    Thompson or Duvall

  15. Scott says:
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    Uh oh. Manny Machado punched Yordano Ventura. There goes another suspension.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Scott: Yup. Lots of history between those two.

  16. Crabman says:
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    If grichuk continues to struggle, whats the likelihood that Bader replaces him next year?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Crabman: He had a bad month to start the season. He was much better in May, though the Cards seem to have soured on him a bit. It’s definitely possible. I believe that Holliday is a free agent this fall, so Bader might just replace him though.

  17. moobs says:
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    Khris Davis, David Peralta, Leonys Martin– pick 2 ROS 7x 6 10 teamer h2h Hits, OPS, QS.

    I could keep all 3 OFs once Martin activated but it would mean dropping either my bench Trea Turner or my NAed Snell.

    My SS is Nunez and have no idea if he can keep it up.

    SPs are solid with Max, Thor, Carrasco, Matz, Maeda, Steven Wright, Chen, Fulmer.

    RPs Chapman, Colome, Dyson.

    Should I drop an OF or drop one of my 2 NA gents?

    Help Magoo….

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @moobs: I’m here for you, Billy Butler! I’d say to lose Snell in a redraft, but it looks like this is a dynasty, yes? Hang onto Turner. If it’s a redraft. lose Snell. You have plenty of pitching. If a keeper/dynasty, lose Davis. He has a wrist issue and his high K-rate keeps his OPS in check. Doesn’t exactly rack up the hits either.

      • moobs says:
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        @Big Magoo:

        Thanks sir. Its a 10 team deep pitching redraft. The pitching wire’s best SP is a Bartolo orEickhoff type. Given the total Ks, Ws and QS deep quality SPs staff is very valuable.

        I think I’ll lose Snell based on my lack of faith in Nunez. Also if Nunez continues to rake and Turner returns to the big club with productivity than I have a trade chip in Turner later in season.

        Thx for the advice.

        Signed,

        Billy Breasts

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @moobs: No problem. Good luck, Country Breakfast!

  18. Micah says:
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    Would you trade Andrew McCutchen for Kyle Seager and Trayce Thompson?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Micah: Sure, if you need a third baseman. Cutch is still a fine option, but he doesn’t run anymore, and isn’t a 30 homer hitter.

  19. Jag1364 says:
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    Who do you like best ROS. Jacoby Ellsbury, Adam Duvall, Trayce Thompson, or Odubel Herrera? My current OF is Stanton, Springer, Ozuna, Polanco, & Duvall. 10 team standard 5×5 league. Should I hold? Leaning towards dropping Duvall for Herrara. Thanks for your time.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Jag1364: I’d hold Duvall there

  20. Milarky says:
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    Hey Magoo, looking for a second opinion on this deal – give Hosmer to get Belt and Conforto. The context is I’ve been hit by a rash of injuries in the OF (Sano, Pence, Soler), and our waiver wire is barren. Thoughts?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Milarky: How deep is your league? In a 12 team mixed or shallower, I’d hold onto Hosmer. The high-end players are worth more in those formats. If you’re in a deeper league, you can go with Belt and Conforto.

      • Milarky says:
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        @Big Magoo: 10-team mixed roto, but we carry 40-man rosters (start 2 at each IF, 5 OF, 3 utility on offense). I already have Rizzo at 1B and Shaw as a DH (qualifies at 1B only). I guess this really boils down to the gap between Hosmer and Belt? What to expect from Conforto for the rest of this season?

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Milarky: Belt looks good, but his current home park will always limit his power numbers. He hasn’t been the most durable player either. Conforto’s going through an adjustment period right now. He’s really struggling to hit left-handed pitching. I think he’ll make the necessary improvements, but it might not happen for another year or two. Hosmer is polished and in his prime. Doesn’t have the question marks of the other two. If you need the depth, it’s a fair deal though.

          • Milarky says:
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            @Big Magoo: I do need the depth, but I’m trying not to make a desperate move. Belt is the best he’s got at 1B to replace Hosmer, but I could always try to see if he will include Piscotty instead of Conforto? Or even Grichuk – though I’m not sure he’s much better than Conforto if at all. He also has Duvall, but I don’t think he’ll give him up (plus my league is veto-happy). Thoughts? Thanks again in advance – really appreciate it!

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
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              @Milarky: Ultimately, I think it’s a fair deal if you’d rather have the depth. You could try for Piscotty in place of Conforto (and I do like Piscotty a bit more), but his numbers are much better at the moment, so that might not be accepted. You’d have to include another piece or wait until he cools down if you want Duvall and Belt, most likely. Are there any Trayce Thompson types available on the wire?

              • Milarky says:
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                @Big Magoo: I actually already claimed Trayce awhile ago. We must start one rookie – another reason Duvall would also be even more valuable (and hard to get). I scanned the wire – unbelievably, Chisenhall may be the best OF available. I’m down 2 OFs in my starting lineup with the Sano, Pence and Soler injuries, which is the main reason I’m considering this.

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
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                  @Milarky: It looks like Pence will be out for awhile, and I’m not sure how reliable Soler is even when healthy. You could try to include another piece for Duvall or Piscotty, but Hosmer for Belt + Conforto would be fine.

  21. Andre says:
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    Thoughts on Correa’s struggles this year? Any evidence he’s going to break out? I picked him up off waivers last year….and now I’m wondering if I should move him and a 6th round pick for Lindor and a 2nd round pick. My team is in 5th and he’s really be hurting my counting stats. Talk me out of hitting accept! AH!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Andre: Correa’s on a 20/20 pace, and is in line for around 90 ribbies too. Elite walk rate. Batted ball profile is very similar to last year, except that he’s making more hard contact and popping up less. HR/FB has come down a bit and he’s striking out more. Those are the only real negatives. Still just 21 years old. He’ll be fine. I’d hold.

  22. Christian Herman says:
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    Reddick or Lenoys Martin?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Christian Herman: Slight edge to Martin since Reddick is due to miss a few more weeks.

  23. luvdarooks says:
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    reynolds or O’brien ROY 5×5 OBP league instead of average

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