After a rough showing in Week 4, we bounced back last week. Our most helpful section has been the SAGNOF portion of the article because we’ve stumbled into some great closers over the last two weeks. Will Smith and Carlos Estevez are scattered across all my leagues, and this article helped me to make those moves. We also got some great starts from Seth Lugo and Hayden Wesneski and will look to build off that momentum here. With that in mind, let’s look at the favorable matchups and our favorite streamers!
Favorable Team Matchups
Arizona Diamondbacks (vs. MIA, vs. SF)
Chicago White Sox (at KC, vs. HOU)
Pittsburgh Pirates (vs. COL, at BAL)
San Francisco Giants (vs. WAS, at ARI)
Cleveland Guardians (vs. DET, vs. LAA)
Colorado Rockies (at PIT, vs. PHI)
Milwaukee Brewers (vs. LAD, vs. KC)
Brandon Pfaadt, ARI (vs. MIA, vs. SF)
Pfaadt was undoubtedly picked up in your league last week, but there’s a good chance he was dropped immediately after a nightmarish outing. He surrendered seven runs and 10 baserunners across 4.2 horrific innings against the Rangers, but we’re betting on him to bounce back here and become one of our best streamers. This youngster had a 3.58 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 31 percent K rate throughout his minor league career. He also showcases some of the nastiest stuff around, and it should be easy for him to rebound against teams like the Marlins and Giants. San Fran sits 19th in runs scored and last in K rate, while Miami ranks 24th in xwOBA and 29th in runs scored.
Bryce Miller, SEA (at DET)
This rookie is looking like another great find for the Mariners. While Bryce has never pitched above Double-A, Miller maintained a 3.58 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 30 percent K rate since 2021 in the minors. He showed glimpses of that in his debut, striking out 10 batters across six two-hit innings. We know that was against an atrocious A’s team, but the Tigers offense might be even worse. Detroit ranks 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, wOBA, OPS, and xwOBA.
Colin Rea, MIL (vs. KC)
The Brewers have turned into one of those teams that pulls good streamers out of nowhere, and Rea is one of them. A 4.79 ERA might look ugly on the surface, but a 4.47 xFIP and 1.11 WHIP are more indicative of who this guy really is. That’s still nothing special, but we’re encouraged that he picked up nine Ks across a stingy Angels lineup in his most recent outing. He’s also allowed four runs or fewer in all five of his starts, totaling a 1.90 ERA and 1.01 WHIP at the minors over the last two years. The matchup with KC is his biggest asset, with the Royals ranked dead-last in OBP and wOBA. That’ll also have Rea entering this matchup as a -200 favorite, making him a good bet for a win as well.
Louie Varland, MIN (vs. CHC)
Here we are with another prospect! Lefty Louie struggled in his most recent start against the White Sox but has an 11.8 K.9 rate through his first two outings. That’s the stud we saw in the minors, accruing a 2.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 34 percent K rate. That strikeout stuff makes him tough to fade against Chicago because the Cubs offense is starting to fall apart. They scored just 10 runs in four games against a woeful Washington pitching staff early in the week, and it’s truly one of the least talented lineups in the league.
Rich Hill, PIT (vs. COL)
We have all of these youngsters as potential streamers, so we need to get an old geezer in here. Hill is certainly that, throwing meatballs at 43 years old. It’s funny that none of these youngsters can get a read on Rich, registering a 1.83 ERA and 1.37 WHIP across his last four starts going into Friday. That’s the stud southpaw we’ve seen for a decade, sporting a 3.36 ERA and 1.14 WHIP since 2015. Riding such an old guy feels silly, but the production is there, and the matchup is magical. The Rockies have been dead-last in OBP, runs scored wOBA, and OPS on the road in each of the last two years. That’s scary since Hill held them to one run across six innings in Coors Field just three weeks ago. This is The Streamonator’s favorite play of the week, projecting Hill to provide $10.9 worth of value.
Joc Pederson, SF (vs. WAS, at ARI)
Pederson is not an everyday player, but he’s always in there against right-handers. That’s massive this week because the Giants have seven games and five of them against righties. That means Joc should be in line for 25 at-bats in the heart of this order, and he’s always rocked righties throughout his career. Pederson has a .344 OBP, .497 SLG, and .840 OPS in over 2,500 at-bats against them. Joc can exploit these pitching staffs, with Washington ranked 24th in runs scored, 27th in xwOBA, and 23rd in WHIP, while Arizona sits 22nd in OBP and 26th in xwOBA.
Randal Grichuk, COL (at PIT, vs. PHI)
Grichuk just made his season debut a week ago, but this guy should be in the heart of the Rockies lineup every day. That already makes anyone fantasy-relevant, with Grichuk generating a .218 career ISO. That raw power made him a beast at Coors Field last season, compiling a .307 AVG, .513 SLG, and .851 OPS. He’s also gotten off to a hot start this year, totaling a .500 AVG and 1.087 OPS through his first five games. We don’t expect him to maintain those Barry Bonds-like averages, but facing three lefties and the backend of the Phils’ rotation should make it more likely.
SAGNOF (Saves/Steals Ain’t Got No Face)
Josh Rojas (ARI)
Rojas hits leadoff against righties for Arizona and faces five in this seven-game week. He’s also got 26 steals since the start of last year and is a sneaky bet for some runs as well.
Esteury Ruiz (OAK)
It’s wild that Ruiz is still below 50 percent rostered on Yahoo. This is the everyday leadoff hitter for the A’s, swiping 15 bags this year. He has no power, but he will be one of the league leaders in steals by the end of the year.
Michael King (NYY)
Clay Holmes has struggled recently, posting a 6.23 ERA and 2.08 WHIP across his last six appearances. He’s also blown two saves in that span which is awesome since King has two saves over the last week. Don’t be surprised to see King steal this job behind his 1.56 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
Jason Adam (TB)
This guy has likely been picked up already, but he’s still below 50 percent on Yahoo. He will step into the closer’s role with Pete Fairbanks out, picking up three saves over the last five days. If he’s available, go pick him up!
Feel free to comment here or reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel if you have any questions!