Astros starter Brad Peacock will take the mound on Thursday against the Athletics, making for an outstanding starting pitcher candidate on FanDuel. Peacock has an insane 13.3 K/9 in 44 2/3 innings this season, and in his six starts it’s actually even higher at 13.98. Peacock has more strikeout potential than pretty much any other pitcher on any given night, but on he’s got even more on Thursday as he takes on the A’s. Oakland has a 25.0% K-rate against righties this year, which is the third-highest rate in the league. Peacock and the Athletics is a lethal combination that’s going to result in some crazy strikeout totals. He has a ridiculous 2.08 FIP as a starter, and is coming off of a comfy ten days of rest from the paternity list. Hopefully his newborn can inspire him to pitch even better. At just $7,600, Peacock is an absolute steal of a play.
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Dinelson Lamet, SP: $8,100 – Lamet is another huge strikeout guy to consider with a 12.60 K/9. His horrible ERA is because of two implosions at the beginning of the month. I’m not saying you should just ignore those starts, but it’s not like he’s been consistently bad. Lamet has held his own against tough lineups his last two times out while keeping up the big K numbers. His matchup on Thursday is much easier, at home against the Braves. The Braves have just a .318 wOBA versus righties, which ranks them 20th in baseball. And of course, any Padres pitcher at home is worth a shot.
Boston Red Sox – Red Sox hitters are a dreamy bunch against Kyle Gibson in Fenway. Gibson has a 6.23 ERA and has got to be one of the worst regular starters in Major League Baseball. Betts and Bogaerts are two elite hitters that are underpriced, while HanRam and Benintendi are mid-tier guys who are well worth it. And if you’re looking for a cheap catcher, pairing Christian Vazquez with a few Boston hitters is a wise idea. Anybody who works their way into the Sox lineup is worth a shot.
Yadier Molina, C: $2,800 – Ugh, I know, Yadi is soooo boring. But catcher is really a crapshoot, and Yadi’s in Arizona against Corbin. Arizona is like Coors-lite, where anybody can produce offensively, even Molina. You can put up a ton of cash for Gary Sanchez, or just take Molina for dirt cheap and spend elsewhere.
Trey Mancini, 1B: $3,300 – Now this is what I’m talking about! Mancini has been obliterating the ball to the point that I’m truly astonished that his price is so low. Mancini has a 1.052 OPS in the last month with seven homers. He’s facing off in Toronto, a fantastic hitting environment, where the production should continue. Mancini has been an elite hitter, no question about it, so get him while he’s still priced so low.
Justin Bour, 1B: $3,100 – Bour is another guy who is not getting priced like he should, as he has a 143 wRC+ this year and is still mad cheap. In his last month, Bour is rocking a 1.036 OPS. What’s up with these four digit OPS guys getting priced so low? Bour will crush any right-handed pitcher, Seth Lugo included.
Jason Kipnis, 2B: $3,100 – As the Indians leadoff hitter, Kipnis is in line for lots of points against Andrew Cashner. Cashner has a disgustingly poor 4.28 K/9 and 4.02 BB/9, so you know the Tribe is gonna post some runs on him. Kipnis should get lots of plate appearances, and lots of chances at runs and RBIs.
Jedd Gyorko, 3B: $3,400 – Like Molina, Gyorko also gets the amazing Chase Field Corbin matchup. Gyorko is heating up again, too, with a .877 OPS in his last 15 games. He kills lefties, with a 134 wRC+ against them.
Eugenio Suarez, 3B: $2,900 – Suarez absolutely mercs at home in Cincinnati, as he has a 167 wRC+ at home this year. His crazy home/road split is probably due to Great American Ballpark being such a good hitter’s park, so he’s always a smart play at home.
Troy Tulowitzki, SS: $3,100 – Tulo just ain’t the same any more, but you know who is? Ubaldo Jimenez. You can keep coming back to the Ubaldo well, start after start, because he just gets rocked every time. He’s got a 7.26 ERA, for crying out loud. So take Tulo at this price and enjoy the benefits, maybe pair him with some other Jays as well.
Didi Gregorius, SS: $3,100 – With injuries to the Yankees lineup, Didi is now batting cleanup, which is freaking awesome for his value. With the Yanks facing human batting machine James Shields in Chicago, there’s an opportunity tons of ribbies.
Bradley Zimmer, OF: $2,800 – I hinted at an Indians stack earlier with Kipnis, and if you’re gonna go that route, Zimmer is a must-own. But even as a standalone play, you can’t go wrong with him against Cashner. Zimmer has an .835 OPS in his past 15 days and can put up points with both his power and his speed. I don’t know why his price fell so low, cause he hasn’t stopped hitting since reaching the bigs.
Josh Reddick, OF: $3,100 – Reddick has been nasty since returning to the Stros lineup, with a .474 average, and he even swiped two bags last night. As the two-hitter in a loaded lineup, Reddick can put up points from all five categories. And it’s at a really low price, too.
Domingo Santana, OF: $3,100 – Homer Bailey’s ERA is 43.20. Domingo is gonna go deep.
Gregor Blanco, OF: $2,600 – Okay, so Blanco has completely stopped hitting, but as long as he’s still the Dbacks leadoff hitter, he can regain his value against Lance Lynn. Lynn has given up seven earned runs his last two times out (each time, not combined!) and will be pitching at the Diamondbacks insanely hitter-friendly park.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Chance for a thunderstorm for the TEX/CLE, KC/DET, and NYY/CHW matchups, but it doesn’t look like anything that will cancel a game. We’ve got some huge winds in a lot of ballparks, though. Wind is going out in Cleveland, Washington, Pittsburgh, Toronto, Boston and Chicago. In Detroit, though, it’s blowing in.
Doing Lines In Vegas
I’m liking the Mets at +120 against Jose Urena, as well as the Cardinals at +111. The Cards lineup can do some damage against Corbin.
