Happy Friday everyone! We have a 14-game slate on FanDuel to start the weekend. During draft season of 2018, I had a pitching starved dynasty team where I made Dinelson Lamet ($8,200) one of my first round pick. Four days later, I lost Lamet to TJS. This year an owner who’s clearly smarter than me took a shot on Lamet in the 20th round, as the 541st player rostered. That minimal risk is now paying dividends as Lamet has returned to his pre-TJS self, with some slight improvements. Lamet has bumped up his swinging strike rate and strikeout rate, while lowering his walk rate and home run rate. Today, Dinelson Lamet gets his cushiest matchup since his return in Oracle Park against the Giants. For the season, the Giants have put up a 86 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers, however, that number drops to 68 when you factor in only games they’ve played at home. Let’s take a look at the rest of today’s slate.
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Kyle Gibson, SP: $8,400 – Gibson had a mixed bag start against the Tigers in his last outing, striking out eight and earning the win while allowing four earned runs on 10 hits. I’m going back to the well with Gibson as the Tigers have the third-worst wRC+ against righties in the second half while striking out at the highest clip.
Jose Abreu, C/1B: $3,600 – Abreu has been on an absolute heater in August, going 14/29 with four bombs against lefties.
Tom Murphy, C/1B: $2,900 – Murphy is my favorite sneaky play, as no one rosters catchers not named Sanchez on FanDuel, but Murphy has crushed five taters against lefties in August.
Austin Nola, C/1B: $2,800 – Pairing Nola with Murphy versus a mediocre lefty is just smart business. However, I’m sad that they switched Nola to 1B eligibility. He was 2B yesterday.
Ryan Goins, 2B: $2,400 – The White Sox are one of my favorite under the radar stacks today. Max Fried has seemed to start running out of gas and the White Sox have been good against lefties since the All-Star Break, putting up a 111 wRC+. Goins has certainly done his part, batting .406 against southpaws in August with two bombs.
Giovanny Urshela, 3B: $3,300 – Keep an eye on the lineup, but if Urshela’s back, I love this spot for him.
Jose Osuna, 3B: $3,100 – Keep an eye on the lineup, but Osuna has been hot and this is a cheap way to get a piece of Coors.
Sheldon Neuse, 3B: $2,000 – Khris Davis hit the paternity list and the Athletics called up Neuse, who has mashed in AAA this year. Neuse will make his major league debut under the bright lights of Yankee Stadium.
Marcus Semien, SS: $4,000 – The Athletics get the biggest park upgrade on today’s slate. The A’s face CC Sabathia, who has been brutal after the All-Star Break. In five starts, CC has an 8.44 ERA and has allowed 10 homers.
Aaron Judge, OF: $4,500 – Court is in session and Judge is back to hitting bombs? What’s the cute little phrase they use for him? Whatever, he’s back to being good. Play him.
Charlie Blackmon, OF: $4,400 – With all the value on the infield, I find myself with an excess of money to spend on the outfield. Oh, hello Charlie, didn’t see you there. *LOCK*. You’re staying with me now.
Bryan Reynolds, OF: $3,900 – Can we talk about how good Reynolds has been this year? Not in an “I’m mashing bombs” way, but in being one of just five qualified batters in the .300/.400/.500 club. The other four players are Christian Yelich, Anthony Rendon, Cody Bellinger, and Jeff McNeil.
Yordan Alvarez, OF: $3,900 – The Astros are in a smash spot, facing Trent Thornton, and Alvarez is just a special player. He makes a nice pivot from Coors if you’re looking to get away from ownership.
Mookie Betts, OF: $3,700 – This is just too cheap for Mookie, even if there are other bats I’d rather get to.
Shohei Ohtani, OF: $3,300 – There are so many good spots today. Ohtani gets a matchup against Eovaldi, who’s allowed seven earned runs in five innings over his last two “starts”.
Sam Hilliard, OF: $2,900 – The cheapest non-catcher bat on today’s Coors slate.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
While there is some light rain forecasted for the Cardinals/Reds game, it shouldn’t be enough to even cause a delay. Other than that, just a beautiful day for baseball. Most games will be played in temperatures ranging from the mid-70s to the mid-80s, except in Texas, where the Rangers/Mariners will see the mid-90s.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Four games are without lines as of this writing, but currently, the Nationals are the biggest favorites on the slate at -250. The next closest are the Astros -205 and the Braves -200, but we know how I feel about the White Sox against Max Fried today. Coors easily has the biggest total, with a massive 14.5 runs. Last night was a pretty good indication of what happens when two poor pitchers face off. Other games with double-digit totals are Yankees/Athletics (11), Astros/Blue Jays (10.5), and Braves/White Sox (10.5).