Welcome back for another Tuesday baseball edition of FanDuel DFS here on Razzball. It’s going to be cold in Chicago, Kansas City, and Denver tonight. By mid-game in each of these spots, it’s going to feel almost freezing. That could dampen the expected runs in those games so keep an eye out for any changes. Let’s look at some of these east coast games where the weather is a bit warmer and plenty of runs should be scored. This is a Coors slate so keep that in mind. Lance McCullers has been scratched due to a non-COVID related illness and is being replaced by Luis Garcia. If the Astros are rolling out a full lineup, that could mean trouble for Gray, so check to see if Altuve, Alvarez, and Bregman are back in action. Good luck tonight. And away. We. Go!
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Starting Pitchers to Target
Corbin Burnes, SP: ($10,500) – Burnes is off to an amazing start. He’s allowed just 4 hits and 1 run through 18 innings, and owns an insane 30/0 K/BB, and looks like a true ace. This is a tough matchup but when guys this good are going good, it doesn’t matter who’s in the box. The main downfall here is the Padres have the lowest K-rate and highest BB-rate of any NL team vs righties. The K upside might be lower than usual for Burnes, but he’s the best pitcher on the slate.
Zack Wheeler, SP: ($9,400) – Wheeler has a much better matchup than Burnes tonight, as the Giants have the highest K% in baseball vs righties. That gives Wheeler the boost he needs to be ace caliber today. I usually shy away from Wheeler when the slates have guys with better strikeout potential, but I think Wheeler can put up plenty of Ks tonight and get to that 40 pt range we look for in our FanDuel pitchers.
Mid-Tier Potential
Taijuan Walker, SP: ($7,700) – Walker is another guy whose K numbers are nothing special. However, it’s going to be freezing in Chicago tonight and the Cubs have shown a tendency to strike out a ton. I like Walker as a sneakier option tonight that will allow you to get some bigger bats in the lineup from the Angels, Cardinals, or the Coors game.
Wild Card
Shohei Ohtani, SP: ($9,000) – I can’t wait to sit down and watch this game. This dude is amazing. Now, the question is going to be how deep Ohtani can go. This could go many ways tonight, but if Ohtani can throw strikes and have a couple 12 pitch innings, 6 innings would be masterful. The Rangers strike out at the highest rate in the AL vs righties and this could be another early-season showcase for Ohtani, who’s been hitting the ball as hard as anyone all over the diamond this season. If I build 10 lineups, I’ll likely have 2 Ohtani builds. It’s all about having fun!
Catcher/First Base
Vlad Guerrero Jr., 1B/C (3B): ($3,900) – Here we are again. Vlad is locked in and is starting to elevate the ball. I don’t like picking on Eduardo Rodriguez much, but if the Blue Jays can get to him early, he’s had blowups in the past and is prone to giving up the long ball to righties. I like a little Bichette/Guerrero stack.
Paul Goldschmidt, 1B/C: ($3,800) – Patrick Corbin looked lost his last time out. Even if he’s fixed a few things, he’s not Patrick Corbin from 2018. I love the Cardinals tonight as they are crushing lefties early in the season and Goldschmidt is right in the thick of it.
Jared Walsh, 1B/C: ($3,600) – This is a great matchup for the halos tonight. Lyles gives up a ton of fly balls and a good amount of hard contact. Walsh has been pretty fantastic through the first few weeks and he’s in a great spot to keep that going tonight.
Yadier Molina, 1B/C: ($3,100) – He’ll be in there catching his buddy Wainwright and has looked awesome at the dish. Yadier should be a cheaper option at C/1B to get in that Cards stack we like tonight vs Corbin.
Second Base
Ryan McMahon, 2B: ($4,000) – I don’t like this matchup too much, but McMahon is at home and is crushing the ball. This is the type of play where ownership will be high so you’ll have to differentiate elsewhere. I’m going to have my share of this game with McMahon being the main piece.
Enrique Hernandez, 2B: ($2,900) – Another guy where I don’t love the matchup. Ryu has been awesome through his first 3 starts, but Hernandez is historically better vs Lefties and is hitting atop a seemingly hot lineup with plenty of thunder behind him. The Red Sox are a low-owned GPP play tonight that could be beneficial in a big way if Ryu faulters.
Josh Harrison, 2B: ($2,800) – This dude is on fire and I’m not scared of Adam Wainwright. I don’t think Soto or Turner need mentioning when talking Nats stack, but if you’re building them, get Harrison’s red hot bat in there.
Third Base
Nolan Arenado, 3B: ($4,000) – Love Arenado always and especially tonight in DC. He’s fit nicely into this Cardinal lineup and should have a nice ROI tonight vs a struggling Patrick Corbin. Hopefully, Coors takes some ownership away from this game but I’m not too worried about that with a guy like Areando tonight.
Alec Bohm, 3B: ($2,400) – He’s been quiet to this point in the season but the talent is definitely there. The Phillies are a team that could explode for 10 runs on any given night and Bohm has been hitting behind Hoskins, Harper, Realmuto. He should have some opportunities to drive in runs and I’m calling a bop for the young third baseman tonight at home vs Logan Webb and the Giants.
Short Stop
Bo Bichette, SS: ($3,400) – Another Blue Jay that could make E Rod pay if he leaves balls up in the zone. Again, just like with Vlad, I’m not totally crazy about this matchup, but if the right things go wrong for the Red Sox, the Blue Jays could be that sneaky stack that wins people money tonight.
Outfield
Bryce Harper, OF: ($4,300) – Bryce gets on crazy heaters throughout the season. We don’t know when there going to start or stop but, regardless, he’s hitting the ball hard as hell. His hard contact rate is above 68% right now. Balls are going to start flying out of the park and that could start happening tonight. I love Harper tonight.
JD Martinez, OF: ($4,400) – This game could be 3-2. Ryu doesn’t give up a lot of runs. However, I could also see this game being 8-7 and being a spot for plenty of fantasy production on a night where it’s going to be extremely cold in other places. JD is back and he’s showing it in a big way. We know he loves to hit at home and the ownership should be way down.
Dylan Carlson, OF: ($3,200) – Another piece of this Cardinals team that should score some runs tonight. Carlson is showing life vs lefties and should be right in the middle of this lineup vs Corbin. The Cards can string runs together without the long ball, but I think they’ll hit a few tonight and Carlson is as good a bet as almost any of them.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
It’s cold across the midwest, especially in Chicago where we are seeing projected temperatures as low as 35 degrees. Wrigley, as well as Kansas City and Colorado, are all going to be pretty chilly and could cap the potential offense in these matchups.
Doing Lines In Vegas
1-1 on the season as the Dodgers were 1 run away from covering that 7 ½ on their own last week. Today I’m going to DC where the Cardinals @ Nationals game is sitting at 8 ½ right now. I think the Cards get to Corbin and I like the Nationals tonight vs Waino. This number seems too low for me. Take the over and take it with confidence.
Stacks & Fades
Favorite Stacks: Cardinals, Nationals, Angels
Fades: Rays, Cubs, Royals
