Cleveland starter Shane Bieber ($9,800) has put together an outstanding season thus far, posting an elite 31.4% K-rate with just a 5.7% walk-rate, good for a 3.68 FIP and a 3.27 SIERA. He’s coming off of two straight dominant outings where he’s struck out 20 batters in 13 2/3 innings and faces a Royals lineup that is in the bottom-third of the league in wOBA against righties with their .309 mark. There’s a ton of quality starting pitching to choose from on the slate, but Bieber’s strikeout upside puts him in the same class as Scherzer and Cole – only Bieber will save you $1,300 in payroll.
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Madison Bumgarner, SP: $8,300– I’m not that big on Bumgarner, but he’s still got 93 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings, and has a perfect matchup against the Rockies. Colorado is dead last in wOBA on the road at just .283, along with a 27.3% K-rate. They are impotent away from Coors Field, and Bumgarner gets to face them in an extremely pitcher-friendly park at home.
Eric Hosmer, 1B: $3,100– Hosmer has performed well over the last two weeks, batting .292 with an .813 OPS. He’ll be batting second for the Padres against the Orioles, who have the worst pitching staff in the league and play in a hitter’s park. That puts Hosmer in an ideal spot to rack up counting stats.
Robinson Cano, 2B: $2,800– While Cano has struggled this year, he’s an even cheaper play that can produce runs and RBI, as he’s still batting third for the Mets. Cano is obviously being hindered by a career-low .263 BABIP, butshould show signs of life against Jake Arrieta, owner of an awful 5.03 FIP.
Rafael Devers, 3B: $3,600 – Devers’ breakout season has put him among the top third basemen in fantasy, as he’s got 12 homers and eight steals to go with a strong 123 wRC+. The Red Sox should tee off at home against Carson Fulmer, who has a 6.35 ERA, so make sure to get in on Devers at this price.
Jean Segura, SS: $3,600 – After a rough stretch in June, Segura broke out last night, going 4-for-6 with a home run. The Phillies put up 13 runs yesterday, and can expect another big offensive showing against Walker Lockett, who gave up six earned runs in his only start of the year last time out.
Shohei Ohtani, OF: $3,500 – Ohtani has been absolutely dominant in the last month, batting .301 with a .941 OPS and seven homers. He’ll be back in the lineup with the Angels at home in an AL park, batting third against Reds starter Tyler Mahle. Mahle has a poor 1.51 HR/9, so Ohtani has home run potential.
Mallex Smith, OF: $3,300 – Smith turned his season around after being demoted, and he’s now one of the top speed options with 13 steals in the last month. He’s also batting .308 in that span and will be leading off for the Mariners in a hitter-friendly park in Milwaukee, making him a modestly priced option for runs and steals.
Trey Mancini, OF: $3,400 – Mancini is obliterating left-handed pitching with a 155 wRC+ in 2019. Opposing starter Logan Allen is indeed left-handed, and can be exploited in just his second big league start.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
It looks like there will be light rain in the Chicago-Boston game, but nothing to force a cancellation. That’s all you have to worry about on tonight’s slate, which is a huge relief after last night.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The Cubs at +108 are an attractive play if you’re a believer in Adbert Alzolay.
