Greetings from the inter web! I’m glad you’re all back for another amazing Wednesday slate on FanDuel. Today is going to be a fun day full of chunky first basemen and pitchers you’re going to second guess at first. First I want to start with my favorite stack/team of the night. That’s going to be the Boston Red Sox. I couldn’t decide on just one or two players to pick from Boston. Instead I’m going to recommend everyone in the lineup (basically.) I’ll mostly be rolling with Mookie Betts, Dustin Pedroia, Xander Bogaerts, and Chris Young. I wouldn’t fault you for using Hanley Ramirez, Andrew Benintendi or Deven Marrero either. Why do I like these guys so much? Because they get to face off against Martin Perez. He’s been really bad to start the year, and over his career in general. Once seen as the next up and coming LHP for Texas, he’s now just another bad LHP in the MLB. He has horrible numbers against RHBs and gives up solid power numbers against LHB. No one is off the table for Boston today.
Now on to the picks…
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Charlie Morton, SP: $8,300 – Morton has been a pretty good starter for much of the year and even better than his ERA suggests. His K/9 is at an unsustainable level, but it’s still a very good sign. His BABIP is also higher than his career norm which suggests he’s actually getting a little unlucky. I know Detroit looks scary on paper but Kinsler isn’t hitting, Cabrera is a shell of his old self and in a small rut right now, and the same can be said for Victor Martinez. Only one really hiting right now is JD Martinez; he’s been great but that’s not enough to scare me off. Also consider Morton is a big favorite going up against a bad pitcher in Daniel Norris.
Luis Severino, SP: $9,500 – Similar to Morton, Severino has been pitching well and could be even better. His K/9 (like Morton) has inflated this year to a level it won’t stay at, obviously. That’s ok, though, as we’re not worried about the season; all we care about is today. He faces off with Kansas City, who’s one of the worst teams in the league right now. They can’t hit or pitch at the moment so take advantage with Severino.
Gary Sanchez, C: $3,700 – This is a no-brainer; Hammel’s ERA is over 6 and he can’t get anyone out right now. I don’t think I’ll cover any more Yankees today, but I’ll tell you right now: if you want to stack the Yankees today go for it as I can’t argue with you. I personally think it seems a little too obvious, but if you don’t then by all means. Sanchez is the one guy I think you have to go with. Catcher is pretty brutal today, so to me Sanchez is really the only option. I’d do whatever I can to make him fit.
Matt Adams, 1B: $2,400 – The positive coming from the Freeman injury is I can finally write up Matt Adams and he’ll actually play! He’s settled into the middle of the lineup against RHP since being traded. He’s always shown power and a solid eye with decent average at the plate. He’ll face Trevor Williams who gives up almost two HR/9 and has a nice 6+ era on the year. This has value play of the day written all over it.
Jose Altuve, 2B: $4,100 – I know I covered Pedroia but if you want to use someone else at 2B, Altuve is your guy. He’s one of the best 2Bs in the league, with a above average power stroke and blazing speed. Factor in his good eye and ability to hit for .320+ average and you get a complete hitter. It’s just a plus he gets to face off against another bad tossing LHP in Norris.
Kris Bryant, 3B: $4,300 – After a slow start to the season, Kris Bryant is beginning to look like the reigning mvp. He’s pricey but it’s worth it; I expect him to knock around Mr inconsistent, aka Matt Moore. He isn’t the only reason, though; the Giants bullpen has been abysmal.
Kyle Seager, 3B: $3,100 – Brother Kyle always seems to be under-priced on FanDuel. I like him a lot today against Tanner Roark; he’s always been the kind of hitter to come up big against soft tossing RHP. Roark is also struggling right now (ERA over 4.5.)
Carlos Correa, SS: $3,900 – I like him today essentially for the same reasons I like Altuve. He has a rare skill set you don’t see often at SS. He also hits in the middle of a good lineup, and against a bad SP. In general I could use a few Houston players today as well.
Carlos Gonzalez, OF: $3,200 – Another guy who struggled to start the year, but he’s making strides in his game. The break out away from Coors is coming soon. Personally I think it happens tonight against Hellickson who’s pitching way above his FIP and XFIP right now. I think that changes soon and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if tonight was the night. Rest of the Rockies lineup doesn’t really excite me. I will have Cargo anywhere I can.
Ender Inciarte, OF: $3,300 – He isn’t flashy but he has decent pop, good speed, and a solid average. He also hits lead off so he’ll get plenty of at bats. Lastly, hes hitting .400+ in the last week including a 5 hit game.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Today’s weather doesn’t look too bad, though it looks like there could be some late rain at Wrigley Field. Nothing too concerning, though; it may affect the game late, but I wouldn’t count on it. Also seems to be a chance of thunderstorms in Atlanta, but not sure if I’d worry too much about this just yet. Just be sure to keep your eye on it closer to lock.
Doing Lines In Vegas
It’s an interesting slate when you look at overs/unders. With four games slated at over/under 9 or higher, it could be an offensive slate. One of those games is one I already targeted a bit, but I may find a way to get even more Atlanta exposure today. I also see a 7 1/2 in there which is a game I didn’t really cover much. I can see Hill being a solid pitching option when you pair the over/under with a pretty decent line of -170.