I’m going to have to wait until at least 9pm PST to see if I am going to win anything in a big ‘Guaranteed’ entry. Particularly because I am going to start a lot of players in the late games. The pacific time zone graces DFS nearly every night, making you east-coasters fall asleep before the end result. Today will especially be a patient DFS day as the last two games of the day are between the Rockies/Padres and the Diamondbacks/Dodgers, and I love the hitter match-ups in both games. However, I am mostly targeting Padres’ hitters. The Rockies are starting Jorge De La Rosa. In 2 starts this season he has pitched 7 innings, allowing 9 earned runs, and 13 hits. It is still too early in the season to focus on such a small sample, but the career BvP some of the key Padres’ hitters have had against De La Rosa makes for great late night plays. Matt Kemp’s career BvP against De La Rosa is 17-41 with 3 home runs, 15 RBI’s, and a 1.237 OPS. So no matter what, make sure Kemp is in your lineup. Justin Upton is 8-21 with 5 walks, Jedd Gyorko is 11-16 with 5 walks, Alexi Amarista is 3-9, Yonder Alonso is 2-9, Derek Norris is 2-2, Yangervis Solarte is 2-6, and even Wil Myers has 2 at-bats against him, one of them being a base hit. Regardless of how many career at-bats, I’ll be trying to squeeze in as many Padres’ hitters in my lineup as possible. You’ll also be happy to know that De La Rosa has a career 4.70 ERA on the road, and if there is a way for you to get even more excited, he has a career 4.81 ERA in 798 innings with a worse than 2:1 K/BB ratio in night games. So before you fall asleep and wake-up to an accidental butt text, get on your smart phone at 8pm EST and plug in those Padres!
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Collin McHugh, P: $7,900 – He’s no longer an in between SP in DFS. He’s proven that he can pitch and is a top tier option. He has 23 strikeouts in 24 innings with only 4 walks so far this year. His WHIP is good, and don’t let the .260 BAA make you hesitate. I like the matchup he has at home against the Mariners.
Edinson Volquez, P: $6,800 – No one wants to start a SP vs the Tigers, but Volquez could be a sneaky pick. He hasn’t faced many of their hitters in his career. The big 3 of Miguel Cabrera, Ian Kinsler, and Victor Martinez haven’t had success against him in only a few games. Volquez has started off really well this season and with a good lineup to support him, he’s worth consideration today.
Jose Abreu, 1B: $5,300 & White Sox batters – Today the White Sox face Ricky Nolasco who is coming off the DL. I never like starting players in DFS right after coming off the DL, especially Starting Pitchers. Aside from that, Nolasco just isn’t good. The White Sox have had a slow start so far but this could be a big offensive day.
Trevor Plouffe, 3B: $4,000 & Twins batters – On the other side of the White Sox/Twins matchup is John Danks against Minnesota. Although the Twins have been bad vs Left-handed Pitchers, I’m buying the fact that Danks isn’t a good pitcher more so. The numbers don’t lie and I’m not focusing on his good outing vs the Royals last week. Plouffe should be batting cleanup again in the Twins’ lineup.
C.J. Cron, 1B: $3,400 – Cron gets Tim Hudson today and as much as I like to usually take the vet over the inexperienced young player, how can I not like Cron at this price. He’s a solid option as a deep 1B. So if you build your lineup around your pitchers and need a cheap position player, here he is.
Odubel Herrera, 2B/OF: $3,100 – Herrera is definitely a better DFS player on DraftKings than he is a season-long fantasy player and a real life player. He hits the ball and gets on base, and that’s about it. But that’s all you really need in the DraftKings scoring format. If he gets a couple singles and a stolen base, then he’s done his duty in DFS.
Matt Holliday, OF: $4,300 – He also has hit very well against Francisco Liriano in his career. He is 7-21 with 3 walks, and there isn’t many other OF options that you can have in your lineup at a good price.
Jorge Soler, OF: $4,100 – Friday’s Brewers/Cubs game was a surprising pitchers duel. I’m not expecting the same for today. Over the past week, Soler looks like he’s a bit more at ease even though his stats haven’t been great. He’s still batting second in the Cubs’ lineup which at this price makes him a good option.
Joc Pederson, OF: $4,100 – How he can still be this cheap is baffling, but I’m no one to complain. Pederson has been batting leadoff in the Dodgers’ lineup. With a strong lineup behind him and at home against Jeremy Hellickson, I’m all in!
Yasmany Tomas, OF: $4,100 – Like Joc Pederson, Yasmany Tomas is also a great value. You already know he was a top international signee in the offseason. Since Jake Lamb has been on the DL, it looks as though Tomas will get regular playing time at 3B. The Dodgers are starting Scott Baker on the mound, soooo…….need I say more?
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Very slight chance of rain in Kansas City and New York, but nothing to worry about. Roll out your Padres, I mean, players!
Doing Lines In Vegas
The Over/Under on the Rockies/Padres game is 7 runs. If you thought for a second I was going to take the under on this one, then you are now my second best friend. The two so-so pitchers in the Athletics/Rangers game has made this an over/under 9 runs, but I don’t think these hitters are good enough to score the over. I’ll also take the over 8.5 runs in the White Sox/Twins game.