Can today be Wednesday instead? How about Tuesday? I’d gladly pick Chris Sale and watch him fail — mad rhymes — because it’s the right pick for DraftKings. Instead, it’s like a Black Friday meal when you could have gotten everything fresh the day before on Thanksgiving. True to form, I’m picking my pitcher as my building block, and although I’m not super excited for it, Jason Hammel is my guy at $10,300. Super expensive for a back-end top-30 pitcher, but he’s the best of the best today.
Sure, his last start was fine, but he hasn’t recorded a quality start since his July 3 start against the Marlins. Marlins Man could throw a quality start against the Marlins. It could be the hamstring, which is what I’m banking on. He’s at home, at night, which makes me feel OK, but this is a rare occurrence I’d be happy if he was pitching on the road instead.
Straight to the cash, homie.
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Matt Wisler, SP: $7,400 — Speaking of pitching well against the Marlins. It’s a good matchup for Wisler, and it’s encouraging that he’s gone at least six innings in three of his past four outings.
Kyle Schwarber, C: $3,700 — This is assuming that he’s in the lineup, but with neither Jon Lester or Jake Arrieta on the mound, the probability is high that he’s behind home plate. Chris Heston isn’t as good as his numbers suggest he is. I’m comfortable starting Schwarber.
Justin Bour, 1B: $2,700 — It’s a home run play, literally. I don’t want to pay up for Anthony Rizzo, so I’m hoping for a home run from Bour as all 10 have come against a right-handed pitcher.
Brian Dozier, 2B: $4,800 — Brian Dozier vs. a left-hander is something I always feel great about. When that pitcher is Mark Buehrle, I feel even better.
Alex Rodriguez, 3B: $5,300 — The magic has to stop eventually, right? He’s hitting .287 against lefties, so I’ll pay up for him against the Yankees rival.
Brandon Crawford, SS: $4,100 — I can’t afford Tulo or Correa, so Crawford is the consolation prize. His splits are reversed, but I prefer his upside to anyone else on the list.
Chris Young, OF: $3,300 — Say it with me, folks: A lefty is on the mound, Chris Young is in your lineup. Don’t question it, just do it.
Jose Bautista, OF: $5,200 — Runs are going to be scored here, and Bautista is hitting third in the best lineup in baseball. Yes, please.
Aaron Hicks, OF: $3,700 — I love what Hicks has been doing, especially with his .381 average against left-handers. Small sample size, sure, but I’ll roll with it against Buehrle.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
We have a 58 percent chance of rain in Atlanta for the Marlins game. Watch this one carefully if you’re going to go with Wisler. No one else really matters. The rest of the slate is clear.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Yankees and Red Sox are predicted to be the high scoring game of the night at 9 over/under. I wouldn’t be surprised if Toronto was the highest scoring game, but CC Sabathia is pretty bad.
