You know, it’s been a rough week for Astros stud Carlos Correa. He’s batting .227 over his last seven games and hasn’t hit a home run since April 6. On top of that, he’s only making $516,700. Former elite shortstop and now DH for the Yankees, Alex Rodriguez, is making $21 million this season. Talk about income inequality. Anyway, when it’s all said and done, Correa has a real chance to earn more over the length of his career than A-Rod. He’s not just an up-and-coming player, he’s a total stud. Sometimes a day of rest is all you need to snap out of a funk. Correa got that rest on Sunday and now he’s ready to get back to business against a guy with the worst mustache in Texas, Derek Holland, who he just so happens to be 4-for-5 lifetime against with two homers. Can you taste that cheddar? Take advantage of Correa’s reasonable price tag like you take advantage of an open bar at your cousin’s wedding. The drought is over–everyone is drinking tonight.
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Francisco Liriano, SP: $9,800 – This one isn’t too difficult. As a collective unit, the Padres are batting .185 at Petco Park this season. Liriano should be able to make quick work of a feeble lineup and has the highest upside of any pitcher on the slate. Double-digit strikeouts would just be an added bonus.
Jaime Garcia, SP: $9,200 – HI-ME was totally lights out in his last start and pitched a one-hit complete game shutout with 13 strikeouts. While it’s unlikely that he will repeat that type of dominant performance, he will start against a Cubs team that is batting .191 against left-handed pitching. Another positive is that Garcia will pitch at home in the friendly confines of Busch Stadium where he owns a 2.63 ERA. Just hope his shoulder doesn’t rip to shreds.
Yordano Ventura, SP: $8,200 – Ventura has pitched relatively well this season, but he has had a real problem with free passes. Over his first 11 innings, Ventura has walked nine batters. Luckily for him, he’ll face off against the Tigers who are in the bottom third of the league (32) when it comes to drawing walks this season. Expect him to be low owned in GPPs, which is where I prefer him the most.
Logan Verrett, SP: $5,600 – Normally I would say that this is getting too cute, but Verrett’s success as a starting pitcher cannot be denied. Not only did he pitch six scoreless innings with six strikeouts last week against the Marlins, but also he owns a lifetime 2.86 ERA as a starter compared to a 3.76 ERA as a reliever.
Stephen Vogt, C: $3,100 – Vogt is heating up at the plate and hit two home runs over the weekend against Kansas City. He gets Michael Pineda and a short porch at Yankee Stadium. Sign me up.
Devin Mesoraco, C: $2,900 – Mesoraco has been colder than a corpse this season, but it’s nothing that a night against Jorge de la Rosa can’t fix. It’s rare that you can find a punt play with as much upside as Mesoraco. He is a career .284 hitter against LHP and gets a very mediocre one on Tuesday night.
Paul Goldschmidt, 1B: $4,500 – This hasn’t been a great start for Goldschmidt. He’s batting .205 on the season and is already making our Xanax popping readers nervous. Have no fear, though. Matt Cain will be on the mound for San Francisco serving up gopher balls as he usually does. Goldschmidt will never be cheaper this season. You know what to do.
Adrian Gonzalez, 1B: $3,700 – Gonzalez is in a bit of a slump right now—4 for 23 over his last seven games—but there is reason to love him on Tuesday night. He is 4-for-12 lifetime against Braves starter Julio Teheran and he’s batting .429 away from Dodgers Stadium. A .358 wOBA against righties this year only helps matters.
Roughned Odor, 2B: $3,900 – Houston’s starter, Scott Feldman, owns a 5.5 K/9 over his 12-year career. Couple that with the fact that Odor is batting .320 over the last week and it’s seems likely that the budding superstar will see a least a few hittable pitches.
Brandon Phillips, 2B: $3,300 – This seems like another great opportunity to pick on Jorge de la Rosa. Phillips is batting .385 at home this season and is 3-for-10 lifetime with a home run against de la Rosa.
Nolan Arenado, 3B: $4,700 – Some things in life aren’t fair. Take for instance Alfredo Simon having to pitch against Nolan Arenado. Take advantage of using Arenado for under $5,000 because you know that ain’t ever happenin’ in Colorado.
Mike Moustakas, 3B: $3,900 – It would be wise to have some exposure to Tigers starter Shane Greene. Even though Greene has struck out seven batters over his first seven innings, he still owned a K/9 of just 5.3 last year. Moustakas is batting just .217 on the season, though he has gone deep four times. He is a fine GPP play.
Nick Ahmed, SS: $2,300 – Last season, Ahmed could only hit lefties. This year, he’s still hitting lefties, but also holding his own against righties (.265). He’ll get Matt Cain on Tuesday night. You can’t find a cheaper punt play that could actually do some damage.
Jose Bautista, OF: $5,300 – Not having exposure to the Blue Jays against Mike Wright would be a recipe for disaster. Using Edwin Encarnacion or Josh Donaldson would be fine, but Bautista is the preferred play. With a .474 wOBA against RHP on the road combined with the fact that he’s already taken Wright deep before, Bautista is bordering on must-play territory.
Carlos Gonzalez, OF: $4,700 – Gonzalez has mashed right-handers this year (.412 avg., 3 HR) and fewer matchups are juicier than Alfredo Simon. Left-handers maul him as evident by their .369 wOBA against him a season ago.
David Peralta, OF: $3,300 – With zero home runs so far this season, Peralta continues to be underpriced given his all-around potential. He gets Matt Cain on Tuesday night and will likely bat cleanup as usual.
Nomar Mazara, OF: $3,200 – Mazara is locked into the two hole and has done nothing but hit since being called up. He’s a bargain for his price. Plus, Scott Feldman.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
There is a chance for showers in Minnesota and St. Louis, but neither game is in real danger of being postponed.
Doin’ Lines in Vegas
Having exposure to the Blue Jays, Rangers, Astros, Reds, and Rockies would be recommended as Vegas expects all five times to be involved in high scoring affairs. Michael Pineda and the Yankees are -170 favorites at home against Oakland. If you’re looking for a contrarian stack, try the Angels against Mat Latos, the Orioles against Marcus Stroman, or the Marlins against Stephen Strasburg.
