Happy Friday and welcome to another huge, twelve-game slate! Finding a sneaky stack in a slate as large as this is tough but I have one in mind:
Going up against Shane Bieber carries some risk but his K% for this season is a lowly 17% and the K% for the Cardinals as a team is 22%. Their wRC+/ISO for the last thirty days is 115/.195! Even as they come down to Earth a bit on wRC+, they are well above the average of 100. Bieber’s ERA is 3.08 but his FIP is 4.92 and given the power bats of St. Louis, this is a good spot to get sneaky! It won’t get much sneakier than Brendan Donovan ($2,200) who is both, very cheap, and a sneaky pivot at first base. Let’s get into some more plays for this Friday.
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Other stacks I like for tonight are: Baltimore (another sneaky stack?), Philadelphia, Boston, and Houston
My sneaky lineup will feature five Cardinals and will be peppered with some Colorado Rockies and New York Mets.
SP1 – SFG Alex Wood $6,300: The Brewers are prime to be picked on.
SP2 – BAL Grayson Rodriguez $8,300: Hold your nose, but I like Grayson in this spot tonight.
C – STL Willson Contreras $4,400:
1B – STL Brendan Donovan $2,200: As mentioned, Pete Alonso will likely be the highest-rostered player here, so a cheap pivot will set you far apart from the crowd.
2B –STL Nolan Gorman $4,700:
SS – NYM Francisco Lindor $5,300: We can find our Mets elsewhere.
OF – STL Lars Nootbaar $3,600:
OF – NYM Brandon Nimmo $4,900: Leadoff hitter for the highest projected scoring team tonight is never a bad place to start.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Main area to keep an eye on is CO but that should be ok.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Vegas has the BAL/TEX over/under at 8.5 runs, but I like the Gray v Grayson match-up to keep that in check and go under.