Just over 6 weeks are left in the MLB season. That’s still 1/4 of the games remaining to fix your fantasy teams if you haven’t given up and moved on to football. Of course, there were a good chunk of fantasy baseball managers who woke up this week and bid the rest of their FAAB budget on Dustin May. I know more than a few guys in big money leagues who were a little miffed, but at the end of the day, they’re still gonna be the ones cashing. Also, plenty of time to dig out of a DFS hole if you are in one. Let’s get to the DFS picks for tonight.
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main evening slate on Tuesday, August 23rd, 2022. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 15-game slate starting at 6:05 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you play on Fanduel I encourage you to sign up for the DFS tools to help you make the best decisions for your lineups on FanDuel, DraftKings, and Yahoo.
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Dylan Cease, SP: $10,000. It’s an expensive night at the ballpark when it comes to starting pitcher options. I looked at trying to fill some double-ups with cheaper options, but I think I need to get Cease in the lineup. While Baltimore has shown they are no longer a pushover at the plate they still are middle of the pack vs righties. The Camden yard park factor still puts Home Runs in Baltimore at 25th in MLB. Cease’s last outing was his first allowing more than 1 ER in over 2 months. I like him to get back on track and move closer to taking the lead in the AL Cy Young.
Jose Suarez, SP: $6,600. Suarez has been solid in his last 4 starts allowing just three earned runs in one of those starts vs the Mariners. In addition, he struck out 5+ batters in 3 of those 4 outings. The other opponents? Oakland twice and the Royals so not exactly Murderer’s Row. Neither are the Rays at 25th in MLB in OPS. Suarez has made an adjustment increasing his slider percentage in his last five outings. I think he’s found something and I am gonna give him a shot in a pitcher’s park against a subpar lineup in Tampa tonight.
Shea Langeliers, C: $2,800. Shea faces Pablo Lopez who has really struggled lately with a 7.20 ERA in his last six starts. Shea has started off his MLB career hitting safely in 4 of 5 games and has a Home Run to his name. I’ll try the value play here at catcher.
Nathaniel Lowe, 1B: $3,600. Again there are many times I just don’t get how these values are calculated for players that aren’t call-ups and have been around all season. Lowe is 10th in MLB in overall hits. Put that together with 18 Bombs and a visit to Coors with German Marquez on the mound and somehow he’s the 27th most expensive option. Speaking of Marquez he has a 5.85 ERA at home this year and a .307 BAA. I think a Texas Tornado is coming to Denver tonight. (Elehuris Montero is also a big value at $2,800 and is a hot schmotato if you want to go a different route)
Marcus Semien, 2B: $4,900. I think Semien is a value here as well in Coors, albeit not as much as Lowe. Look for him to explode, like a well-shook Coors Banquet Beer.
Wilmer Flores, 3B: $4,300. I can’t play all Rangers. Flores goes against Drew Hutchinson and the Tigers in Detroit. Regression fairies are due to pay him a visit with his xFIP up at 4.95 and his K-Rate under 6K/9IP. Flores has hit safely in 13 of 15 and hopefully, he can connect tonight.
Corey Seager, SS: $5,800. While Seager has slowed down lately with only 2 HRs in his last 15 games, he’s part of the overall plan and even at the inflated price has to be a part of the Rangers stack.
Lars Nootbaar, OF: $2,700. Lars has home runs in 2 of his last five games and has been a scoring machine crossing the plate 11 times in those games and the Cardinals offense has been rolling. He’ll face Adrian Sampson and the Cubs at Wrigley tonight. The wind will be light and blowing in. Sampson has had a nice run this year, but he too is due for some regression. Hopefully, Lars can take advantage of the coming fairies.
Adolis Garcia, OF: $4,700. Completing the Rangers stack is Garcia who hasn’t homered since August 9th. No better way to get back on track than a visit to Coors. Adolis fun fact: He is #19 on the Razzball player rater, sandwiched between Julio Rodriguez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr…. The More You Know!
Kyle Tucker, OF: $4,700. For those of you with a calculator, I’m over the salary cap by $100. Sue me. This is usually the last spot I fill, the third OF. It’s typically a mid range priced player. In that spot I look for the best match-up and value I like in that price range. I could not find anything I liked just below that line here. So I am going over the cap, and I will go back once lineups get released and likely adjust some combination of Nootbar and Flores to get Tucker in the lineup. Tucker is hot and has hit safely in his last 14 straight with 5 multi hit efforts and 2 Home Runs in that span. There’s some confusion yet as to who will start for the Twins as of writing time. It will either be Aaron Sanchez, Dylan Bundy, or Cole Sands. Either way, gimme some Tucker. (Edit: You can also sub Christian Bethancourt in at catcher which is what I am going to start with)
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Small chances of precipitation in Boston, New York, and Coors, but nothing that should cancel a game.
Doing Lines In Vegas
I did mention I do a bit of Sports Handicapping. Follow me on Twitter @TheGreat Knoche for more info. I’ll give out a Free Play here every Tuesday, but you can find all my free and premium picks for MLB and a few other sports at The Odds Breakers
My Tuesday Play lines up with the DFS Picks. Gimme over 11 runs in Coors tonight.