Well folks, Monday’s have definitely been interesting at times but I don’t think we have seen a woof level like this slate in quite a while. 6 game main slate today and the options are dicey at best. Pitching looks like land mines everywhere you step so tread carefully today and do your homework. When diving into pitching today the only guy on the slate that’s going to provide you with the strikeouts and innings you need is Lance Lynn ($10,100). Lynn is one of a handful of pitchers I think that can safely navigate this Blue Jay lineup and after his 1st ejection of his MLB career in his last start, he’s probably eager to get back out there. Lynn is an absolute bulldog out there and although he is the obvious chalk today I don’t see anyone else worthy of deviating from the plan here.

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Welcome Back! It’s been an exciting week, we got to watch the “corn” game this week (Thanks Tony L.) we had a pitcher starting his 1st game throw a no-hitter (Woof Padres) even Triston McKenzie flirted with a perfect game yesterday (Oy Vey). Today starts the beginning of another great week only 6 more to go let’s dive into it. We got a nice tidy 10 game slate and there is a pitcher that caught my eye right away. Carlos Hernandez ($7,100 ). I know you are all scared of the Astros hitters and all but hear me out. This guy can throw heat (98 MPH) does not allow HR (4 in 46 INN) K% is outstanding and limits hard contact. You would like to see him limit the BB’s but he commands 5 pitches and if he is off on a pitch, he can adjust to other pitches to get the hitter out. He has a veteran C to throw too so hopefully if Hernandez gets into trouble Salvy will be there to guide him through. Astros had to travel yesterday after a loss against the Angels and Reid Detmers so there could be some fatigue and I think this is a great letdown spot for Hernandez to capitalize on. No one will be playing him because some of the other options on the board (Cole, Gausman, Montas) are all on the board today so you will be different than most people and that’s what you got to do sometimes to reach the top.

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Playing DFS is like a puzzle right, trying to find the pieces to make it work and fit just perfectly. I was doing a puzzle with my daughter the other day and I was like this is a similar feeling that I get when I’m doing my lineups sifting through all this information to make lineups and get them to fit just right is like sifting through a big ole puzzle box to find the right pieces. Writing on Mondays it’s always a crapshoot on how many teams play and today we have the fewest number of teams playing on a Monday this season with 4 games on the main slate. It’s the hand we are dealt with so let’s get into it. The interesting part of the slate to me is we have four pitchers that will garner attention across the board from everybody making lineups today which is good that we have some variation in such a small slate today. 3 of the pitchers — Peralta, Musgrove, and Tallion — are all pitching very well as of late and Giolito plays for a team that can put up a huge number of runs today, and although inconsistent this season he can put up a 50 for you with no problem against the Twins. I think I’m going with the guy who I think will be the lowest if not the 2nd lowest owned pitcher and the one you will have to wait to see until the last game of the night which is fine with me and that’s Joe Musgrove ($9,000). I think he is pitching the best out of the four right now and although Freddy is also pitching well I’ll take the $1,200 savings and use it to make my lineup a lot stronger hitting-wise. Both have great matchups against their opponents with Peralta facing the Cubs and Musgrove against the Marlins. Musgrove is at home while Peralta is away and I just think DFS players on the east coast especially would rather stay up and watch their pitcher so Musgrove might be a little under-owned which gives me an edge today. I’ll take any edge I can get today on this slate.

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All right All right..back again for another DFS degen special. Today we have a tidy 7 game main slate to choose from and the pickings are slim when it comes to pitchers to choose from. Two teams haven’t announced their starters as of yet but one pitcher suddenly stood out as a play today that looks mighty nice. The Mets organization can certainly be looked at as a team that often leaves fans head-scratching or downright furious at some of their handling of players but if they play their cards right they might have found a hidden gem in Tylor Megill ($8,500 ). Tylor is the younger brother of Trevor Megill who also is a MLB player and pitches for the Chicago Cubs. Tylor made his MLB debut in late June in a start against the Braves and hasn’t looked back since. Megill features a 94-95 mph fastball which he commands quite well but the pitch that is getting the most whiffs is his changeup which dips down into the 85 mph range with good deception down in the zone. Megill also features a slider which he dots on the corners and is generating a lot of weak hits and ground-outs. Megill has the 2nd lowest ERA in Mets history for any rookie after seven starts (Nolan Ryan is no.1) so Megill has definitely raised some eyebrows. Megill goes against a young Marlins team who he has not faced yet and has been really impressive so far against right-handed hitters .171 avg .455 OPS and only 1 HR allowed vs. righties. The Marlins really only have a couple of lefties they can employ against Megill that might give him trouble (Jazz Chisholm and M. Sierra) so that certainly doesn’t scare me away from using Megill today. The Marlins also will start a reliever today or bring up an arm from the minors so even with the Mets not having an impressive homestand at 5-6 and averaging 2.7 runs during the homestand I think the bats can give Megill enough firepower to squeak out a win against the Marlins today. The Mets are also 6-1 when Megill starts so it definitely seems Megill is in a great situation today and one that I will definitely be taking advantage of on my slates today.

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What a great weekend right? Right in the thick of the summer season, Grilling out by the pool drinking your Trulys and White Claws, playing some cornhole and what the hell else that’s right you degenerates, that’s why we are here to win some cash playing DFS. Hope you cashed some this weekend and are back at it today for some more sweats. All right let’s get to it. Not a big MLB slate today (7 games) We do also have a Mets/Braves doubleheader but for DFS purposes I’ll just avoid those games altogether. The three pitchers that jumped out at me right away were Luis Garcia, Ohtani and Marquez. I also think they will be the highest owned of the slate as the rest are dicey at best. You can make a case for Joe Ross as a cheap low owned pitcher that was playing really good before the stint on the IL so no problems if you want to get behind Ross but I think the other three I mentioned have a way bigger floor. I’m planting my flag on my main teams on Luis Garcia ($10,000). I don’t know if he will be the lowest owned of the three but I can easily envision a scenario where Garcia goes deep into this ballgame against the Mariners today. The Mariners are coming off a successful 3-1 winning series against the Athletics where the three games the Mariners won were all by one run. It was a very hard fought series and I think a weary Seattle team and bullpen is what we get tonight with no announced starting pitcher yet from Seattle. Luis Garcia has been a very productive pitcher so far this season and has racked up the K’s with 105 K’s in just over 90 Innings. Garcia has a 5 pitch arsenal and predominately uses a 94 mph fastball to set up his cutter and slider which he can pinpoint at the edges of the plate. Garcia has improved his command and his last two starts have only walked 2 batters in 11 innings so if he can get a umpire that gives a little on the edges Garcia will be in great shape here. Garcia is filthy against right handed batters at a 0.92 WHIP and slightly elevated against lefties but Seattle doesn’t have a great left handed lineup right now with really only Kyle Seager presenting any issues against righties. I think this is a smash spot for Garcia and he goes at least 7 INN with 4 Hits 1 BB 9 K’s and 0 ER today and gets the win. I think he can match Ohtani’s numbers today with a discounted price and lesser ownership.

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All right here we go with another Monday edition of what pitcher do I think will be slightly low owned but I won’t get killed with playing. Not too many great options out there today as I think Gausman looks to be the chalk and best pitcher on today’s slate so can’t go wrong with him today if you would like but I’m going to stick with my man Kyle Gibson ($9,100). Kyle has really continued his out of nowhere great 1st half of the season and there is nothing to suggest that regression is around the corner. He throws down in the zone with his sinker slider changeup mix and up and in with his fastball and mixes speeds with a curveball every now and again and does it with great command of all pitches. The hitters are off balance the whole time they are in the box and it’s just a guessing game as to what pitch he is going to throw and usually they are wrong and whiff or they get a weak hit and no harm is done. Now the Rangers are coming off getting swept by the Blue Jays and the Tigers are coming off a sweep by the Twins so I’m thinking a little turnaround is coming for both teams and this looks like a good spot for it to happen. The Tigers are throwing Casey Mize out there who doesn’t miss too many bats and I think the Rangers will be hungry like a wolf to swing those sticks today and get some runs on the board. The Tigers are coming off a high of sweeping the Twins as mentioned previously and I see a let down from them today and Gibson is good enough to keep them frustrated in the box. Gibson’s last start before the break was against these Tigers and the Tigers did give Gibson his 1st loss of the season at home but I can’t see that happening again as Gibson got himself into a bases loaded jam and the reliever came in and gave up a HR. I’m confident Gibson will make adjustments and get these guys out. I see Gibson going 7 solid innings giving up 6 hits 1 ER and striking out 8 today and getting the win.

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SP- Kevin Gausman ($10,600) Like I said up top, Gausman is a good play today as well. The Dodger lineup has seen some heavy hitters get dinged up lately and Betts and Lux could also be out of the lineup today so check out the lineup before finalizing your team but could be a relatively thin lineup and Gausman is more than capable of getting the Dodger reserves out. Will be heavily owned though so get different with your hitters if you play Gausman.

C/1B- Jesus Aguilar ($3,000) Against a TBA pitcher today (maybe Lester?) in Washington. This doesn’t bode well for Mr. Lester.  Gimme Aguilar and his .489 SLG and .825 OPS anyday against Lester or bullpen arm.

2B- Jeff McNeil ($2,600) 7 game hitting streak and is a high contact hitter against a sub par pitcher in Gutierrez who pitches to contact. I’m going out on a limb here that McNeil hits the ball hard all 4 times at bat today with at least 3 balls that don’t find gloves.

SS- Bo Bichette ($3,600) His 8 game hitting streak got snapped yesterday and you would have to go all the way back to the month of May before you found two days in a row where he did not have a hit in a game. Pretty good chance here he has a multi-hit game against Nick Pivetta who he has seen plenty of lately including a June 12th game where Bo hit a 468 foot missile in center for a HR. Wouldn’t be surprised one bit if it happened again.

3B- J.D. Davis ($2,800) J.D. is back and blasted 2 HR’s on Saturday and no hits on Sunday so hopefully he won’t be as fresh in people’s minds when they scroll through the 3B options. I think another good spot for a Mets player against Gutierrez today and J.D. could easily pop one out today.

OF- Jesse Winker ($3,300) I know I know he has been terrible lately but come on this guy was raking just a couple of weeks ago and all hitters go through slumps. Jerad Eickhoff seems like a guy who could remedy the sort of aliment that Winker has been dealing with lately. There will be plenty of DFS players who won’t want to take that chance so there’s your advantage you need right there.

OF- Cedric Mullins ($3,700) Not scared off by a lefty on lefty matchup here. Yarbrough doesn’t pitch deep into ballgames and Mullins holds his own vs lefties as well. I’m sure the RIays have plenty of righty options that will find there way into this game and Mullins will be perfectly ok with taking one of these guys deep today. Just got a 8 game hitting streak snapped yesterday so he will be hungry to start another streak today.

OF- Joey Gallo ( $3,900 ) It’s been a whole three games without a HR from Gallo. I’m betting there won’t be a 4th against Mize and the Tigers here.

UTIL- Jonathan India ($2,700) Will get plenty of at bats today in a high scoring contest and will gets lots of looks against Eickhoff and the Mets bullpen. Hitting the ball well and no reason to think he lets off the gas now. Lots of counting stats with India and will give you plenty of opportunity to put up a good number of points today.

 

I’m Only Happy When It Rains

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

Very good chance weather could be a factor here due to rain lingering most of the day so make sure you check back to see the latest news.

 

Doing Lines In Vegas

Got two for you:

Reds ML -110 against the Mets

Orioles TT over 3 -120

 

 

 

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Well that was fun right? Hope everybody had a great time yesterday hopefully hanging out with friends and family eating and drinking to your heart’s content. Cooked up some ribs and everybody devoured them so I guess my contribution to the gathering was a hit(or there wasn’t anything else). Played a little DFS yesterday did pretty good with the White Sox and Padres in some games so off we go to today where we have a nice tidy 11 game slate to discuss. My focus pitcher on today’s games is Max Fried ($9,100). If you watched the Brave game yesterday or highlights it went back and forth all game between the Marlins and the Braves pulled it out in extra innings on a pinch hit base hit by none other than your boy Max Fried. The way he celebrated it looked like he had just pitched a perfect game or something it was pretty cool to see. Fried has been pitching well of late after a dismal April and has a tasty matchup today against the Pirates who look pretty awful right now and other than the Diamondbacks have to be one of the worst teams in the league at the moment. Fantasy players are usually indifferent towards Fried as he can be sometimes soft at times and gets nicked up and misses starts but in certain situations Fried can really be dominant. Two starts stand out to me both in May where he went against the Dodgers and Cardinals and pitched a combined 13 innings with 13 k’s and only gave up 2 ER. Both of those starts where at home where Fried has pitched better but this road match up is just too good to pass up. The Pirates are throwing Chase Dejong out there who has not pitched well and I don’t see the Braves losing here. I think Fried carries his momentum from last night’s game into tonight’s game and pitches very well. Fried is one of the best pitchers right now at limiting hard contact and exit velocity and the lineup the Pirates threw out there against another lefty on Saturday (Lauer) had C Stallings in the 4th spot and guys like Oliva Evans and Newman in the starting lineup so the only righty batter that can really cause some damage is KeBryan Hayes. I think Fried will be owned significantly but with Gausman Woodruff Buehler and Musgrove there are other options that will lower his ownership. I think Fried goes at least 7 INN with 5 Hits 1 ER and 7 K’s and gets the win today.

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Welcome back and today we have a nice 11 game slate in which to click players we hinge our DFS greatness on and hope we can break even on the day in order to do it all again the next day. Nothing better right? Hope everybody had a great weekend as we are almost halfway through the season already and we should be seeing some exciting young players making their way to the minors. (Hope you all got on the Wander Franco train his 1st game up before his price went up last week.) Plenty of pitchers to choose from today that look interesting so let’s get into our focus pitcher for today and I’m going with Kyle Hendricks ($9,300 ).

Hendricks has a great floor for you to work with, doesn’t break the bank for your lineup and there hardly is any foot traffic on the bases when he is on the mound. You all remember late April early May Hendricks was dreadful for 3 starts during that span and we were all flabbergasted as to what the heck is going on. Well since May 16th (8 starts) Hendricks is back to being the Hendricks of old and has gone at least 6 INN in every start, no more than 3 ER, and has gone 9-1 with a 2.50 ERA. Hendricks faces the Brewers today which he faced twice earlier in the season both starts were quality starts going his usual 6 INN with 6 K’s and 2 ER’s combined in both starts. I don’t see anything changing from the norm we have seen from Hendricks lately. The Brewers are awful against righties with .213 avg and .298 OBP and they are trotting out strikeout artists like Keston Hiura and Tyrone Taylor these days so I wouldn’t be too concerned about the lineup. The Cubs are starting Freddy Peralta today which will get high ownership so you will probably see a 2-1 game here but I like the Cubs’ chances of getting into the Brewers’ bullpen and pulling out a victory here.

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Happy Monday! Hope all you father’s out there had a great day yesterday and it was exactly what you were hoping for. Lots of sports on yesterday so if you just were relaxing and chilling out at home it was a good day to watch a lot of different sports at one time. Today we got another short slate and a doubleheader thrown in there as well so not counting the doubleheader we have a 6 game slate today. During these short slates, I find myself limiting my exposure somewhat as I don’t feel I have as much success as the larger slates in the middle of the week. I’ll usually throw in a few lineups in a single entry tournament or cash game but really it’s just to keep the games interesting and watch some of the players and I’ll use the time to get ready for the rest of the week. That being said the show must go on for today and the pitcher I am targeting today is Tyler Mahle ($8,800). Mahle is one of those pitchers I liked coming into the draft season but it seemed that there was always somebody else who liked him a tad better and would get him a few picks before me.  He has really looked great this season and the first thing that jumped off the page for me is his home and away splits are drastic. Mahle has started 9 of his 14 appearances away from home and is 5-1 with a 1.63 ERA 0.95 WHIP 59 K’s in 49 INN and has allowed only 2 HRs. Mahle has started 5 games at home and let’s just say not good as the ball loves to travel in Great American Ball Park and Mahle has been a victim of that many times so far this year ( 6 HR and 19 ER in 24 INN). Mahle gets the Twins today in an interleague matchup and the Twins are coming off a 3 game road sweep of the Texas Rangers this past weekend. Mahle has a 3 pitch combo he focuses on with a 4 seam rising fastball he likes to pound high in the zone averaging 94 MPH and backs that up with a lethal slider which he has increased the use of this year. Mahle also sports a split-finger fastball which drops in the zone suddenly and batters have had a hard time figuring what is coming next from Mahle as he has terrific command of all three pitches. The Twins are very pedestrian against righties with a .238 Avg .316 OBP and .418 SLG and Mahle has the long leash to go at least 6 INN which he has done his past 3 starts in June. I think you can expect 7 INN 5 Hits 8 K and 1 ER today from Mahle as the Twins really don’t have any power lefties (Kepler, Kiriloff, Larnach) that are producing right now and Mahle limits damage from both sides of the plate.

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What a great looking Monday slate today we have on tap for our viewing pleasure. 13 games to be played 10 more than last Monday and I can’t wait to watch some of these games as the runs are coming fast and furious and I don’t see that letting up anytime soon. Some of these teams have woefully bad bullpens and with the weather heating up them balls will be flying out of the parks. Pitching is going to be extra important to get right so do your homework and make sure your pitching spot is locked in with a top pitcher that day and then hit on a couple of one-off bats potentially to get different in tournament play. Don’t be afraid to leave $ on the table sometimes and use that C/1B on a C as most people don’t like to roster a C. All right let’s dive into our profile pitcher Sean Manaea ($9,900). Manaea has always been a little underperforming in my eyes and kind of just blah but taking a closer look into his year so far offers some interesting takeaways. The first thing I noticed was he started throwing a curveball to go along with his sinker and changeup and has thrown the curveball around 15% so far this season which is just enough to keep the hitters thinking about it. Manaea got rid of his slider as well and if you remember last season Manaea was getting lit up at the beginning of the season and nobody was playing him and pissed off they drafted him. These changes he was working with was obviously affecting him and he needed time to work through it. This season his numbers have looked tremendously better and he is having one of his best starts to the season in his career. What you like to see his the barrel % is below average and his BB rate is low. Manaea is around the plate so batters will make contact but it’s ground balls and popups that are being hit and Manaea doesn’t seem to be getting into many jams and has been throwing nice clean games this season. Manaea faces the Angels today who he has faced 2 times already this year with good outings and Manaea has pitched well at home this year. The Angels are coming off a sweep of the Diamondbacks and although it’s not necessarily a far travel time from Arizona it’s still a road trip and Manaea had the benefit of staying in town all weekend and getting ready for his start. I think you will see a solid start from Manaea with the potential of it being outstanding 7 INN 5 Hits 1 ER 8 k’s today is what I’m seeing here.

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Hey! What you say let’s play 3 today. Not quite the ring of the ole doubleheader phrase but we got to work with what we have and that’s what MLB has bestowed on us this lovely Monday afternoon. 3 whole games! So if you had a rough week and wanted to take a day off from DFS or betting I guess this one is good as any. Most of us press on and today as the title suggests, It’s Pablo Time ladies and gentlemen. Miami travels to Boston for this makeup game smack dab in the middle of the day and Fan Duel does have it on its main games so I’m going with it and starting Pablo Lopez ($9,600). Pablo has performed admirably so far this season with not a lot to show for it with only one victory. He’s had a couple of stinkers thrown in there but has given his team more often than not a pathway to win the game and the Marlins just haven’t come through for him in the end. Pablo limits the hard contact by commanding five pitches (4 seam, change up, cutter, curve, sinker) and mixes them well. Pablo throws his changeup more than any other pitch and when it is on it is a devastating pitch to a right-hand hitter. The Marlins just got swept by those pesky Pirates and with the late-night game last night that Boston won against the Yankees and had to travel back home for this one makeup game before hosting the Astros for 3 games starting on Tuesday. I haven’t seen a lineup yet but I figure some of the regular Boston players will get a breather and Lopez is more than capable of shutting down a lineup for 6-7 innings. I’m penciling in Lopez for 7 Innings today, 5 hits, 2 ER, and 9 K’s.

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Ah, What a lovely day we are about to embark on. Memorial Day lots of day baseball, bbq, and some adult beverages if you are in to that sort of thing. Sign me up right. I’m going to cut right to the chase today since I’ve got a little shindig I’ve got to get ready for later today so here we go:

I wanted to wake up this morning to see Carlos Rodon penciled in as the Chicago White Sox starter for one of the games today. They still haven’t announced starters this morning but I’m not seeing anything that would lend me to believe he won’t start one of the games so I’m sticking to my guns and announcing him as my pitcher to target today. Even in an 6 inning game, Rodon could seriously go out and throw a 7 inning no hitter today. He has looked that dominant and if you haven’t watched one of his games today do yourself a favor and sit back and relax and enjoy some pitching mastery. Rodon faces the Cleveland Indians today who he no-hit in April and then faced them his next start also where he only went 5 innings due to some control issues (5 BB). I think he will be just fine and I expect him to go the distance today in a 3-0 victory against the Indians who are coming off a nice come from behind win yesterday and will be playing their 2nd back to back doubleheader today and you got to thing they will be just a tad fatigued. Rodon goes 7 INN 2 Hit 1 BB 9 K’s in a win today. Doesn’t look as if Rodon is on any slates as of now so other than Burnes who I’m recommending below I’m getting behind Johnny Cueto ($7,500) today against the Angels. Cueto has looked good so far this year limits hard contact and doesn’t walk anybody. I think he does enough today for the win against the Angels.

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