We’ve reached the end of the NL Central, and with only one division left to cover I’d say it’s been a productive offseason. The redbirds are in good shape down on the farm – as you’d expect. The top two specs should be flipped and flopped according to your window of opportunity. Reyes will start contributing this season, while Gorman – who I think is the better overall prospect – won’t be ready for harvest until late 2021/2022. Since Opening Day is an ungodly March 28th this year (hooray for postponed games!) I’ll put out a list of prospects you should know for redrafts this Wednesday. Best thing to do is just stay seated and keep refreshing this site until then. No need to burn those precious calories moving.

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1. Nolan Gorman, 3B | Age: 18 | ETA: 2021
To give you an idea of how close Gorman and Reyes are in my mind, they’re ranked 28th and 33rd overall in my Top 100. You’re basically choosing between hitter/pitcher and far away/help me now. Gorman did unkind things to opposing pitchers in his pro debut – hitting .291 with 17 homers in 275 plate appearances. He struck out a lot (28%) but also walked a lot (12%) so I’m not super concerned. He’d be the first guy I take from last year’s new crop of talent – big fantasy potential from the left side of the plate and the diamond.

2. Alex Reyes, RHP | Age: 24 | ETA: 2019
Reyes has been around forever as a prospect mainly due to Tommy John surgery et al. That’s Latin for “I have had a lot of trouble staying healthy thus far.” Before being shut down in 2018, Reyes racked up 46 strikeouts in 27 innings pitched. That’s the sexy potential/ceiling – a frontline starter with big strikeout numbers. However, there is also the very real possibility he’s a reliever with big strikeout numbers, and also the non-zero chance he can’t stay healthy and is completely worthless. I don’t take those types of gambles, but I also haven’t left my house in a decade so take it with a grain of salt.

3. Jhon Torres, OF | Age: 18 | ETA: 2022
Torres might have just as much upside as Gorman. He’s a solid power/hit combo who slashed .321/.409./525 (not a typo) in 185 rookie league plate appearances. I don’t see his name around much, so he might not be owned in some shallower formats. I’d scoop him up if that’s the case. If he keeps this up in High-A etc. against better pitching, his stock will do that thing where it goes up really fast. Then you’ll look really smart even if you’re not wearing glasses.


Grade B

4. Elehuris Montero, 3B | Age: 20 | ETA: 2021
This Cardinals farm is your typical white middle-class preschool roster…Andrew, Dylan, Dakota, Jhon (dyslexic parents – not his fault), Alex, Malcolm, Randy, Lane and Nolan. Imagine the culturally unresponsive teacher’s frustration when she gets to the new transfer student – Ele…Eleho…Elehue…well sweetie we’ll just call you Elvis okay? Love you though! You’re so ethnic! Montero split time between A and High-A ball and, well, went HAAM. For kicks – .315/.371/.504 with 16 homers. Yup. He good.

5. Malcolm Nunez, 1B/3B | Age: 17 | ETA: 2023
If a prospect on your roster can’t vote, serve in the military, or buy a pack of Newports, you need to be patient with their progress. Luckily, Nunez seems to have a lot of potential and should be worth the wait. Already graded as an above average power bat with a good approach, Nunez hit .415 with 13 homers in 200 rookie league appearances last season. It gets better though. He also paired a 15% strikeout rate with a 13% walk rate. Nunez is Spanish for ‘pick him up’.

6. Andrew Knizer, C | Age: 24 | ETA: 2019
They’re not saying boo when a catcher appears in a top ten. They’re saying boo-urns. As in, it boo-urns like chlamydia when I realize I just drafted a catcher in anything higher than the 20th round. Knizer is decent though. He can hit and get on base, even if there isn’t much power to dream on. Even with a banged up Molina, I doubt we see Knizer before September.

7. Dakota Hudson, RHP | Age: 24 | ETA: 2019
Hudson is more likely to make an impact in 2019. He’s on the 40-man, has a double-plus fastball, and threw close to 140 innings between Triple-A and MLB last year. He made all of his appearances as a reliever for the Cards in 2018, but the recent injury to C-Mart has left an opening in the rotation to fight for. Hudson won’t have to be coddled like Reyes, but he also struggles with his control, which might pin him to the ‘pen.

8. Dylan Carlson, OF | Age: 20 | ETA: 2020
Carlson is a solid average hit/power right fielder who can attack pitchers from both sides of the plate. Take that, platoon-happy managers! He has a good approach and put up a .348 OBP in 2018 with a 12% walk rate and a 17% strikeout rate. The ceiling is 20+ homers in an everyday corner outfield role.


Grade C

9. Lane Thomas, OF | Age: 23 | ETA: 2019
Thomas put up outstanding numbers AA and AAA in 2018 – 27 homers, 17 steals. The damper is that this power burst came out of the clear blue sky and most reports still have him pegged as a fourth outfielder in the big leagues. Another glitch is his health history – which isn’t exactly…healthy. He’s on the 40-man and could see some action this summer in St. Louis.

10. Randy Arozarena, OF | Age: 24 | ETA: 2019
Arozarena crushed in AA (.396) but struggled a good bit when he was promoted to AAA Memphis (.232). He’ll likely start the 2019 season there and I doubt we see him before September. His profile is pretty balanced (a touch low on power). Last seen getting helped into a cop car shouting, “I thought this was America!”. Nevermind…wrong Randy.


2019 Index

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Quintero
Quintero
3 years ago

Mike,
Would you replace Buster Posey with Danny Jansen in dynasty league this year with a win-now team? I have Willians Astudillo on my minor league roster. You and Grey both like Jansen a lot. Thanks mate!

thatguy
thatguy
3 years ago

Is Mercado considered graduated?

Mike
Reply to  thatguy
3 years ago

Oscar? I thought they traded him but I could be wrong.

nightpandas
nightpandas
3 years ago

Hey Mike,

15 team keep 11 my keepers lock tomorrow night

r h sb rbi hr k obp slg / w l era whip k k/9 qs sv

My 11 right now are: Vlad, Eloy, Tatis, Ohtani (pitch), Inciarte, Lucchessi, Castillo, Wheeler, Heaney, Meadows, Ohtani (Bat)

Others are: I Happ, Desmond, CSantana, Adell, Markakis, DPeralta, Hamels, Soroka, Kopech, JUrias, Sheffield

Would you swap any out? I am looking more towards 2020.

nightpandas
nightpandas
Reply to  nightpandas
3 years ago

@nightpandas: I have 6 first round picks and 2 seconds in our 10 round draft as well

Mike
Reply to  nightpandas
3 years ago

Nice team. I’d consider Happ over Heaney

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
3 years ago

You wouldn’t take a chance on Reyes?

Not one roster spot for this season? You’re out of your mind. He’s well worth the risk. Draft him late, and smile from ear to ear at the end of the season saying “I told you so.”

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

@Mike: I’ll be telling you I told you so in a few months!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

@Mike: I love Reyes in the 16th round!!!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Mike
3 years ago

@Mike: Haha!!!

Keep up the good work. Agree with everything here (except Reyes! lol).

Aufan
Aufan
3 years ago

Love these previews!

Question for you…12 team h2h dynasty..his travis shaw for my chris paddack and ryan mcmahon.

I have villar at 2b and matt carpenter at 3b (senzel on the bench).

Do you like this deal? Outside of paddack i dont have much in terms of pitching prospects (10 prospects ..matt manning and nate Pearson are other 2). Thanks!

Mike
Reply to  Aufan
3 years ago

Thanks! Yeah it’s not bad. If you’re in it this year I’d take it. I like Manning and Pearson so you’re in good shape.

Dazed and Confused
Dazed and Confused
3 years ago

Dynasty lge standard 5×5 12tm h2h

Adonis Medina or Dustin May??

Smokers Delight
Smokers Delight
3 years ago

Hi Mike – – Love the series. I particularly like the regular stream of content that I can read through the cold Canadian winters. I am a recovering prospect junkie still wanting to build from within. I play in a pretty deep 12 team AL only auction 5×5 that uses OBP. We have a 10 round Ultra where I always choose to draft prospect hitters or fill ins for an injured roster slot. I’m going into the second year of a 2 year rebuild with Royce Lewis, Julio Martinez and Alex Kiriloff in my minors. I also have Gleyber and Mondesi cheap on my active who I will be signing next year. I had to activate Kyle Tucker so I am throwing him back at 10 bucks because I will get either him or Wander franco with the second pick.
I have 5 picks in the first 2 rounds. I never take pitchers because they always burn me or don’t have value before their contract needs to be extended. IF you could have any 5 of these players in a dynasty, who would you want . The first 4 picks hold a salary of 10 in a standard auction which only is an issue when I activate them but they need to be worth the money.
Vidal Brujan
Nick Madrigal ( do I want both if I can get them even with my holdovers?)
Sean Murphy (C time to develop and value at 10?)
Ronaldo Hernandez
Jarred Kelenic
Evan White
Leody Taveras
Trevor Larnach
Yu Chang
Daz Cameron
Bubba Thompson
Brayan Rocchio
Nick Solak
George Valera
Shane Baz
Isaac Paredes
Shed Long
Khalil Lee
Jordyn Adams
Shereten Apostal
Ryan Mkenna
Antobio Cabello
Zack Colllin
Jordan Groshans
kevin Smith
Julio Rodriguez
Myles Straw
Kevin Paredes
Myles Straw ( worry he may end up traded to NL)
Seth Beer ( i hear he can really hit and was a steak for the Astros)
Ryan Noda (my sleeper crush as a Jays fan)

Preference is for anyone who will have a starting job by 2021

If you see anyone I am missing let me know. Yes the Tuckers Guerreros and Eloys are held and this list is pretty accurate by most list orders.
I would appreciate a look see and some recommendations. Which 5 or 6 would you love to have off this list disregarding my comments

Landisimo3
Landisimo3
3 years ago

Great Stuff Mike…

12 team roto / keep 10 + 10 farm

Im in complete rebuild retool mode ..

Trade my Khris Davis for Gorman and the 1st overall pick?

My farm is
Senzel
Bichette
Royce
India
Rodgers
Trammel
Robert
Florial
Jesus Sanchez
Valera

Thank you as always !

Mike
Reply to  Landisimo3
3 years ago

Thanks!

That’s tempting. I’d hold Davis though. That’s the kind of deal that will keep stalling the competitive window.

ichirosan
ichirosan
3 years ago

Hi Mike,

16 man H2H dynasty league with OPS and QS. My team is still rebuilding, but should be competitive next year. I’ve been offered either Dylan Cease or Mike Soroka for Estevan Florial. I’ve always been wary of pitching prospects, but I do have a glut of OF prospects, as I also have Robert, Mesa and Alvarez. Thoughts?

Mike
Reply to  ichirosan
3 years ago

I’d take Cease.

Earl
Earl
3 years ago

Does anyone want to take my spot in 2019 MLB RCL #4 draft tonight?

I will not be able to participate. If not, I will just set to autopick from large queue and what not.

Let me know ([email protected]). Thanks

Big league choo
Big league choo
3 years ago

10 team dynasty 5×5 OBP saves+holds

1) My starling marte/ohtani dh/sp for trout

2) drop Ken Giles for matt Barnes?

3) peter Alonso for Honeywell/heaney

Love the prospect articles. Thanks for helping me ger tatis jr in the same league.

Luke Skywalker
Luke Skywalker
Reply to  Big league choo
3 years ago

@Big league choo:

1) Nobody in their right mind would take this offer. Marte wrong side of 30 and might be most overrated player per ADP. Terrible offer but a fool might bite!

2) Giles, he’s sole closer there

3) Alonso, his power and an OBP league he may be top 10 by end of year at 1st.

big league choo
big league choo
Reply to  Luke Skywalker
3 years ago

@Luke Skywalker:
Ohtani is 24. his closest hit comps are stanton/judge. Per razzball player rater OBP leagues he is no.11 hitter right behind judge in $/game. His 150 IP of ace numbers (not this yr) plus 20+ hrs and 8ish sbs in 300 ABs is really valuable. Hes one of the most impressive players if not the most ive seen in my life. Marte i am definitely trying to offload unsuccessfully so far before he has 0 value. Pirates team is awful they should move him for a prospect haul.