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Please see our player page for Joshua Baez to see projections for today, the next 7 days and rest of season as well as stats and gamelogs designed with the fantasy baseball player in mind.

Graduated from Stash List #5: Christian Moore

1. Cardinals OF Joshua Baez (22, AAA) 

If St. Louis leaves Baez in the minors all season, we might see some records fall. Joe Hauser hit 63 International League home runs in 1930. Hauser played 168 games to reach that number. Baez has 26 home runs through 70 games. The season lasts 150 games these days, but Baez has hit 15 over the last month (26 games). I’m hoping this all becomes irrelevant. Baez is also hitting .327 with a 24.6 percent strikeout rate over that stretch (slugging .827!), so there’s little reason to leave him in Memphis unless I guess they want to see him walking there a little more. 

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Graduated From Stash List #4: Lara At The Top Of His Craft: Edwin Arroyo, Cole Carrigg, Braden Montgomery 

1. Rockies 1B/OF Charlie Condon (23, AAA) 

With seven home runs in his last 15 games, Condon is angling for a big league lineup spot despite a season-long batting average of .251. His strikeout rate over this hot streak is 19.7 percent against a 16.9 percent walk rate. Edouard Julien has played 58 games with a 69 wRC+ alongside negative defensive value. The organization picked up some found money over the off-season by trawling the depths of other clubs, but whatever they’ve found in Julien is messing with their invested wealth. 

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The easiest mistake prospect evaluators make is falling in love with tools. The hardest part is identifying which tools will survive major-league pitching. Evaluators spend years discussing ceilings, physical projection, bat speed, athleticism, and future potential. Eventually, however, production starts carrying more weight than projection. Organizations stop asking what a player might become and start asking whether he is already one of the best offensive options available. Today’s hitter profiles will dig into the upper levels of the minor-leagues to identify players producing against advanced competition. Some are former first-round picks whose talent has long been recognized. Others have elevated themselves into the conversation through performance. Each has put together a statistical profile that demands attention, but the path to major-league success remains different for every player. The challenge for fantasy managers is determining which performances are signaling a legitimate breakthrough and could impact leagues this season and which players still require additional development before their tools fully translate against major-league pitching. Let’s dig into a minor-league edition of our Hitter Profiles.

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1. Giants 1B Bryce Eldridge (21, AAA) 

Patience has been key to Eldridge’s approach so far this year. He’s been on base 31 times in 63 plate appearances, good for a .492 OBP. Over his last three games, he got on base ten times in 15 plate appearances and hit his first home run of the season. San Francisco is playing utility man Casey Schmitt at first base, and he’s not making many friends over there. Doesn’t make much sense to me. “Play your f*cking prospect!” That’s what Matt Chapman really meant to say that day. 

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Pirates SS Yordany De Los Santos has been living in the present and making the most of his limited opportunities with Pittsburgh this preseason, popping three home runs in just 11 plate appearances, good for a 394 wRC+. Prior to spring training, he had played just two games above Low-A and slashed .249/.311/.388 in 116 games there last year, but he was 20 years old posting an average (95 wRC+) against older players (+1 years on average) in full-season ball, so I’m looking past the slash line a little bit and gazing longingly at his 51 stolen bases in 65 attempts. That’s a 78 percent success rate, which ain’t great but isn’t the kind of red flag that would stop a youngster from running. He looks bigger this year than his listed 6’1” 170 pounds, and while a reality beyond their listed size is true of just about every international signing, De Los Santos looks like a major leaguer, physically, when glanced through my admittedly large television screen. At 21 years old, he’s ripe for a statistical breakthrough playing in a hitter-friendly home park for High-A Greensboro. If that materializes, he’ll be headed to Double-A by midseason. Won’t turn 22 until February 17 of next year. There’s a lot to like here. 

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Hunter Greene is the best person you ever dated. The one that got away. Not necessarily, hot and crazy while they’re keying your car. They were, like, super awesome. You guys used have a ton of fun, and your friends would be like, “How’d you ever snag them?” And you’d say wistfully, “I don’t know.” […]

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76. Pirates RHP Seth Hernandez | 19 | NA | 2029

I might wind up low on Seth Hernandez despite loving the player. How could you not? He throws a hundred miles an hour with an adult change-up and solid command. Comes down to timeline stuff. Pittsburgh can develop pitching, but they won’t be in any kind of hurry with Hernandez. They have Oneil Cruz and Paul Skenes today. Jared Jones is on the way back and Bubba Chandler is on the way up. Why take a player who’s five years away? It’s certainly defensible because Hernandez is awesome, but it also feels like old thinking in that a front office shouldn’t draft for short-term impact. We have all seen the opposite over the last several years. Amateur baseball has come a long way. Then I think of Jackson Jobe and Andrew Painter, who’ve both been great in the minors at times but have battled injuries throughout their careers. Can’t predict that, of course, but it’s just hard to point to a high school right-hander who has returned a ton of dynasty value. There’s Hunter Greene, but he’s been hurt, too

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In our 96th episode, Mike Couillard and Jeremy Brewer open by discussing the latest wave of injuries hitting the player pool, including Corbin Carroll, and freshest callups, including Chase Burnes. Then we discuss prospects that have caught our eyes to acquire in both fantasy leagues and stash away in our card collections. You can find us on […]

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If you look around my minor league rosters, you’ll find a few organizations extremely well represented, especially the Red Sox, Brewers, Mets, and Dodgers. My favorite way to play this game is to identify competent developmental teams and lean into that. It’s not like I refuse to roster someone from a bottom-feeder; I just zoom in more closely on great organizations and give tie-breaker preference in that direction. Perhaps that understates the reality of how my rosters end up looking. For example, I have five minor league pitchers on my Razz 30 roster: three Red Sox (Yordanny Monegro, Juan Valera, Eduardo Rivera) and two Dodgers (Sean Linan, Christian Zazueta).  

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I thought about my early days at Razzball while building this list. He’s a link to my draft recap from 2020: Baseball is Back With a Whimper: Pandemic Draft Week RecapSt. Louis did about as well as you can at just about any task in that draft. They picked after 20 teams had their choice, but the top four names on this list were their top four picks in that draft, and they’re all exciting players with likely big league outcomes. 

 

1. 3B/OF Jordan Walker | 20 | AA | 2023

If I had to reshuffle the Top 100 today, I think I’d put Walker number one overall. At 6’5” 220 lbs with 80-grade power, plus athleticism and easy speed, Walker belongs to a rare class. No offense to Corbin Carroll or Gunnar Henderson. I’m just slightly more confident Walker will be an impact fantasy player. Check out Grey’s Jordan Walker, 2023 Fantasy Outlook for more. Fun videos in there. Really drives home how easy it can look for Walker when he’s on his game.

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