Sorry I missed you guys… and girls last week. I was having computer issues, and when you couple that with all my other issues, well then, you got a lot of issues. This week I’m going to keep focusing on steals after last week’s… I mean two weeks ago post where I went over the top pitchers and teams to steal against. You can read that here. It’s really exciting stuff. Speaking of exciting stuff, did any of you get a chance to stream Blake Snell? I didn’t see him getting called up this early, but as always, we get crushed when he gets sent down and now we have to wait for his next arrival. Stupid friggin’ Rays. I’m just glad he wasn’t Ian Snell out there.

 

Top SAGNOF Options

Players under 20% owned that should be available in most leagues.

Player Steals % Owned
Rajai Davis 5 12.7
Coco Crisp 4 2.3
Odubel Herrera 4 11
Leonys Martin 2 6.7
Jonathan Villar 2 12
Michael Taylor 2 4.4
Cesar Hernandez 1 9.9
Rafael Ortega 1 0.1
Jarrod Dyson 2 19
  • Rajai is still the king, but the return of Michael Brantley coupled with the emergence of Jose Ramirez as an outfield option might end up hurting the AB’s. The Cleveland outfield is crowded and the King is relegated to off-day SAGNOF for now. Keep in mind that you only want to use him versus RHP.
  • Coco Crisp is old (36) but he can still run. Expect a four-times-a-week player that has shown signs of life with his 2 dongs and 4 steals on the year. I’ll take an off day bowl of Crisp.
  • Odubel Herrera is way way way too under owned and its ridiculous that I’m talking about him. With a line of 10/2/8/4/.283 so far he shouldn’t be under 20% owned.
  • Martin was once a draft day steal back in 2014. Last year, he was a bust and now he has been relegated to mop up SAGNOF. He’s a RHP-only play on an off day with a gentle wind from the east.
  • Villar was a draft day SAGNOF’er, as some wanted to cuff the looming Orlando Arcia call up. Villar is an everyday player which is extra nice, because he gets to call Miller Park home.
  • Michael Taylor needs to stop hitting the snooze button. This beast will wake up at some point, and when he does you want him. Like a wave, he will come crashing down but while that wave is up you need to ride him. An off day upside play for both speed and power, ala slam and legs.
  • Hail SAGNOF! Hernandez is really starting to piss me off. Cesar you better run before you get shanked in the clubhouse. Just run already!
  • Rafael Ortega is not just a crappy jarred salsa. It’s the new two-hole hitter for the Halos. He’s one to watch if he heats up. Batting in front of Trout and Pujols is a good place to be. He flashed some speed in his early minors years. After swiping a bag in his debut, I started getting high hopes but that got dashed a bit. He’s a total off day play especially when the Angels of not L.A. play the Rays (see below).
  • Jarrod Dyson. This one is a gimme. He’s still under 20% owned and can lead to a standings jump if you play it right. Not an off day call but a rostered player. Yes, a bench bat. There I said it. Sometimes you need one of the SAGNOF variety.

Who To SAGNOF Against

Team SB CS
Brewers 16 12
Rays 15 0
Braves 14 3
Cubs 14 4
Rockies 14 4

 

Catcher SB Allowed
Jonathan Lucroy 15
Hank Conger 11
Francisco Cervelli 10
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 10
A.J. Pierzynski 9
Chris Iannetta 9
Travis d’Arnaud 9
  • Crazy to see that 28 attempts have been made against the Brew Crew… and they haven’t even played the Reds yet! Lucroy has given up 15 of those steals and now I have just angered our resident giant JB. But wait, JB, he has also thrown out the most runners too with 8! This one is a mess, but I like my odds.
  • The Rays haven’t thrown out one player! Not one f*%#&ng player. Jebbus Kristobal Hank Conger. 11 of those 15 are his problem.
  • Cervelli was one of the worst last year and he picked up right where he left off. SAGNOF against right handed Pirates starter is advisable without a prescription.
  • A.J.’s old and old people can’t throw out runners. The Braves are always one to stream pitchers against but now they are also a source of SAGNOF when mapping out your plays. The Braves play at Boston on Friday and Jackie Bradley Jr. should be available for the batty call.

 

  1. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    great info,thanks

    • J-FOH says:
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      @AL KOHOLIC: you’re very welcome AL

  2. knucks says:
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    So useful, I love these articles. Thank you!!

    The last blurb, the Braves play Boston “until” Friday? I think that’s what you meant? I just checked, Braves are @NYY over the weekend.

    • knucks says:
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      @knucks: My b, Braves at cubs over the weekend. Sox at Yanks.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @knucks: I meant Thursday. My bad

  3. Scott says:
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    JFOH! Who is droppable from these 6? aka streamer

    Cueto
    Liriano
    Ventura
    Hammel
    Rodon
    Santiago

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Scott: santiago

  4. Bread n Mustard says:
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    Is there a way to get alerts immediately after a player is called up? I check pretty often but I feel like others always know before me. I would be crushed if I didn’t get Jose Berrios or Lucas Giolito.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Bread n Mustard: there are a few apps that give you player notifications. Some allow you to get notifications on certain players too. Another way is to use twitter and follow the beat writers. Matt truss had a good post that has all the beat writers handles. If you have the space keep adding and dropping them and maybe you hit it right. I’ve done that when I have no need for my bench player and will add the prospect til I need a player then drop them and pick them back up after you are done with the player.

  5. Big Mike says:
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    Good move or bad move? In a league that uses Holds, I dropped Buchholz for David Phelps, because (a) I hate what Buchholz does to my team, (b) Phelps has SP/RP eligibility, and (c) Phelps sets up Ramos, who is on my team already.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Big Mike: I’d want Phelps. It’s a smart play. I’ve had Phelps on one of my teams for a about a week.

      • Big Mike says:
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        @J-FOH: Complimenting me on a move? You’ve just earned a follower. Tell Grey he can pound sand.

        How long until AJ Reed gets called up?

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Big Mike: hehe. He can pound it!

          The stros lineup has been icy. Best case scenario, without looking at how reed is doing, I would say mid may.

  6. Ante GALIC says:
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    Hey, Jack!

    Great work, hermano.

    Also, great work in that RCL we’re both in. You shot up from 4th to 1st overall. Extremely volatile position changes.

    Do you see any mistakes that I’m making in our RCL? Anything particularly stupid.

    Otherwise really enjoying it. Many thanks for having me in your league.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Thanks. You have too many starting pitchers. You can dump hill and nola to start. Plug in high k/9 MR’s to boost k’s and help ratios. Then use those slots to flow in batty calls on off days(mon and thurs) for whenever you have no one playing. Rudy’s hitter tron is great for batty call help. The key to rcl is having 2-5 fluid spots to maximize games played and use those high k relievers to give you an edge. I hope this makes sense.

      And I had harper on my bench yesterday. Stupid pinch hit appearance.

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        @J-FOH: Ok, thanks. It makes a lot of sense. I was just studying the math of 180 starts divided by 26 weeks. Or 6 good starters multiplied by 30. What if there are no good starting pitchers near the end and I can’t get to 180 starts? Rhetorical question, do not answer.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Ante GALIC: look at my team. I only have three and usually only carry two. You don’t need to go the full 180 if you have great ratios and k’s from the middle relievers. I also forgot to mention with those fluid roster spots you can stream starters. Again rudys tools are invaluable for that.

  7. JimmyJackJames says:
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    Who do you like as the better speculation pickup for saves – T.May or Andrew Bailey? Note, I have Perkins on the DL but not sure if that matters.

    Thanks!

    • J-FOH says:
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      @JimmyJackJames: assuming cingrani is gone I’d say bailey.

  8. knucks says:
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    You like Cingrani over Cotham in that dumpster fire? I have both stashed away on the bench until someone gets a save or two. Betances/O’day’s ratios can only support so much, ya know? Cingrani would make the most sense, but I will be so bummed when some rando name pops up and I don’t fork out enough FAAB. Bryan Price has been pretty brutal with some of the decisions made with his bullpen. The day after one of the more brutal Hoover outings, he had Blake Wood batting in the 8th, with a guy on 2B. That said, not one of the arms in that pen has done anything at all other then explode when I tune in, so there are zero RP with any confidence at his disposal.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @knucks: it’s a shituation. But yes I prefer cingrani. I said last season he was the guy long term.

  9. Coolwhip

    Todd25 says:
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    Prob worth adding to this list is Navarro who is replacing Avila on DL. This weekend he looked horrendous. Desmond/Odor etc looked like Ricky Henderson against him. I’m sure Fielder could have taken a base on him.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Todd25: thanks for the heads up. I always like good commenter contributions

  10. Chris says:
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    Good stuff J-Foh,

    I’m in a 14 team league so a lot of those guys aren’t available. Not doing well with steals thought I’d be doing better. My steal guys are:

    Deshiz
    Polanco
    then I have Pedersen-Pence-Kemp-Andrus(seriously I don’t think he has a stl) and Conforto all which I thought would give me some steals. Thought I would compete with that. It’s early maybe I still will.

    Sell High on Walker or is he going to keep it up? And would someone buy high right now?

    Thanks

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Chris: your steals will come around. I liked walker coming into the year. The short porch at Citi is nice.

  11. Mr. Homolka says:
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    In a saves+holds dynasty league (saves worth double) I drafted Hunter Strickland and Tony Watson thinking they’d get some holds and maybe saves along the way with good ratios. Both have struggled a bit. Would you drop either for David Phelps, Daniel Hudson, Nate Jones or Alex Wilson? Thanks.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Mr. Homolka: watson is usually better than this but I think the differences is small. That said I want Jones over Strickland for now. If watson continues to suck then move on from him too.

  12. Scott says:
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    Thanks for the JBJ tip. I even got a homer out of it!

Comments are closed.