I’m rearranging the rankings this week, so I figured I’d highlight the players that are rising so fast it’s hard to place them.
10. Padres SS Leo De Vries
11. Brewers SS Jesus Made
12. Giants 1B Bryce Eldridge
It’s more than just attrition: these guys have locked in their place among the top ten prospects in baseball until proven otherwise.
De Vries has a 132 wRC as an 18-year-old in High-A, which puts him on track to join the Double-A club this summer before he turns 19 in October? Sorry, that’s not a question. I just . . . it’s hard to put a period there. That means he’s 19 in Triple-A to open 2025 if everything just stays peachy keen? Short list. Wouldn’t find many failures on that one, I’d guess.
Made had every good metric in his favor coming out of the Dominican Summer League, but you never know how that will translate stateside, especially when a club invites a player to skip the complex league. He’s got a 142 wRC+ through 31 games, which is a much better start than De Vries had following the same path. Made turned 18 on May 8th. The age-to-level math can get out of hand in a hurry here, too, but both of these organizations push that envelope as far is it’ll go, which is much, much better than the alternative in my opinion.
Eldridge played just nine games at Double-A last year but had no trouble dropping back into a season already underway and posting a 161 wRC+ in 22 games. He’ll probably make the next stash list as a corner-only 20-year-old who can’t order a drink until October 20th. Just brain-breaking, Cthulhu-calling stuff.
31. Cardinals SS JJ Wetherholt
33. Red Sox SS Marcelo Mayer
34. Reds RHP Chase Burns
37. Dodgers OF Zyhir Hope
46. Dodgers OF Josue De Paula
50. Red Sox SS Franklin Arias (19, A+)
Every one of these guys went from someone you could probably acquire in most leagues via draft or trade to someone you cannot acquire without “a significant overpay,” as the cool kids say these days if they don’t want to engage in trying to price a player on the rise. Chase Burns is my favorite target among the group. If you’re going to overpay for a prospect, you could do a lot worse than Mr. Burns, which is also something you might hear Smithers whispering into his pillow at night.
55. Pirates SS Konnor Griffin
57. Athletics SS Jacob Wilson
58. Braves C Drake Baldwin
59. Cubs RHP Cade Horton
60. Rays OF Chandler Simpson
61. Blue Jays SS Arjun Nimmala
Holy cow I was cooking in this section, although, paradoxically, perhaps I missed an ingredient or two up until this point. Also, I traded Baldwin away everywhere I had him, and to that I say: Ouch. He’s slashing .357/.400/.583 with five home runs in 29 games. I wasn’t even low on him or whatever. He was just the piece people wanted to push a deal over the line. So it goes.
I felt like I was really high on Jacob Wilson coming into the year, but I still don’t have him in any leagues. Mostly because I only play a couple redrafts a year.
Konnor Griffin could’ve gone in the group above. He’s pushing toward the top five. Feels like a matter of time more than it does some distant hope. Could probably say something similar about Nimmala.
66. Athletics RHP Luis Morales
69. Brewers RHP Jacob Misiorowski
74. Marlins C Agustin Ramirez
77. Royals 1B Jac Caglianone
Gross. I was way too low on Caglianone. I mean, you could say the same for these other guys, but it’s less egregious. Woof, let’s move along to some guys who didn’t make the hundred but have a helluva case this time around.
Brewers SS Luis Pena (18, A)
Reds RHP Luis Mey (23, MLB)
Marlins C Joe Mack (22, AAA)
Phillies RHP Mick Abel (23, MLB)
Mets RHP Jonah Tong (21, AA)
Mets OF AJ Ewing (20, A+)
Nationals OF Daylen Lile (22, AAA)
Dodgers OF Mike Sirota (21, A+)
Diamondbacks OF Kristian Robinson (24, AA)
Dodgers RHP Sean Linan (20, AAA)
Royals OF Asbel Gonzalez (19, A)
Cardinals C Rainiel Rodriguez (18, CPX)
Athletics LHP Gage Jump (22, AA)
Had to stop somewhere to resist listing names forever. The number of guys rewriting their scouting report can be a little overwhelming this time of year. This is by no means an exhaustive sample.
Luis Pena feels like the highest jumper to me. Will be tough to keep him out of the top 25.
Luis Mey has made the late-inning-arm jump from dynasty free agent to borderline untouchable in trade.
Sean Linan made his last start on May 17 in Triple-A, skipping the Double-A level entirely after starting just one game in High-A. I wouldn’t say it means a whole lot. Chances are it’s an issue created by them toggling the big league pitching staff as much as they have.
Gage Jump is living up the name. Hard to measure how much he’s moved in the echo chamber because pitchers with stats are a dime a dozen this time of year, but Jump looks like a freight train coming for that rotation.
Let me know in the comments who you think should be under the microscope as I reshuffle the rankings.
Thanks for reading!
Here are some pitchers I’m curious about: Ryan Sloan, Connelly Early, Brando Clarke, Jaxon Wiggins, Kohl Drake.
Here are some young hitters I’m keeping an eye on as potential future Top 100s, but haven’t done enough yet: Tyson Lewis, Luke Dickerson, Griffin Burkholder, Kale Fountain, Kellon Lindsey.
Thoughts on Ronny Mauricio? Think he could get the call soon.
Feel like Yahoo has a new alert for him everyday.
Dude looks like the next Yordan Alvarez with speed.
don’t know if it’s a lot of extra work on your end, but it’s always helpful when you add ETA years!
what is wetherholt’s offensive likely outcome, hard to tell how much of his prospect shine is better than expected defense. how does his floor/upside compare to jett williams? will either be up in 2025?
Would you target Brady House or James Triantos? Do you think either has regular MLB starter upside?
Thanks!
I think both do, and i like house better since there is more of an opening for him. I could see him up any time.
Saw Zyhir Hope ranked #10 in someone’s list earlier this week. What’s the scoop on him rising so fast this year? I’ve got him in a deep dynasty league. Thanks.
I, personally, don’t like Hope as much as De Paula, but it’s a personal thing. Hope’s tools are off the charts and his skills are catching up. It looks sustainable.
What are your thoughts on CHC Jonathon Long? Org depth or not enough top 150 honorable mention?
Thank you.
Oh I think he’s a Top 100 guy for sure. Blocked, of course, and injured at the moment, but he hits and hits and hits.
Ok, sounds good. Thank you!
In addition to the names you mentioned, I’ll certainly be keen to see how you evaluate / where you place Bryce Rainer.
Right on. I like him. Good value for the spot at 11 overall. Good outcomes so far as a youngin in Low-A. All signs are a Go for a now.
I always sort of run into a log jam of pitchers I like, that teams either seemingly dont or wont give much of a chance to.
Do you have a method to culling the herd of guys you like for actual guys who will get a shot?
Weve discussed before guys like Seymour and Burrow, and guys like Tong/Bragg/Bratt/Wiles who seem to popup and do well but I tend to be unsure what to do with and who is “legit” vs “who is a AAA arm”.
Plus, not you, but a lot of guys like Sproat people buy into and I struggle seeing the hype.
Bolte seems like a guy pushing to rise up rankings.
Lin is in intriguing but in high A.
Tolle has me buying in.
Thomas for COL …I know another COL OF. He is way out though.
Another deep one is Tyson Lewis ??? I think that is name for the Reds. Crazy high EV.
Bummed out how guys like Caissie, Lombard, and Montgomery have been when I was really into them at one point.
Mostly I just hover the drop button at all times with all arms. Just dropped Felipe De La Cruz in an active 15-teamer. Still like him, but they’re throwing him in relief at AAA, so . . . on to the next one. Lotta solid arms out there. It’s part of the reason I never loved Sproat. Why buy the cow, you know?
Son of a gun. I added him after that big K start and you made me look and he hasnt had a start since. Time to cut him as well. Bummer.
Does Burns get the call in the second half?
Kind of wondering the same with ChiSox, Noah Schultz. Hagen Smith looks like a better call up so far. Need Noah as a call up!
I suspect they’ll run out the clock on this season, far as these two go. Even the Smith shutdown happening this week steers toward that road.
Unless they totally lose sight of contention, yes.
Wondering your thoughts on Collin “CJ” Kayfus. He destroyed AA for 18 games and got promoted to AAA…and has now destroyed AAA for 16 games. Bigger thing though is it seems like he’s been playing RF way more lately instead of his normal 1B. Any chance that’s because the Guardians have yucky outfielders and are thinking it’s his fastest way to the majors? You think he’s up this year? Sooner vs later?
Yep, dude can rake. Give him a whirl while he’s locked in, is my thinking. I suspect they will.
I am evaluating some prospects in my FA pool. What are your thoughts on Colby Thomas, Henry Bolte, Jefferson Rojas, Parker Messick and Nolan McLean?
Yeah, I’ll take em all.
Any preference between Reimer, A. Gonzalez, and Chen-Wei Lin?
Gonzalez.
Thanks for the update Itch! I have Baldwin in 3 of my 5 leagues. Looks like a nice bat!
Would you deal Yolfran Castillo for Miguel Vargas?
Do you think Shay Whitcomb gets a call anytime soon?
Yeah, it’s a good time to take a chance on Vargas, and Castillo is so far away.
Could be, RE Whitcomb. Though I’d lean no on them giving him a significant shot this season.
Gonna be an interesting debate between Walcott, Made and DeVries!
Yep. Gonna see a lot of that over the winter.
Glad to see Kristian Robinson resurfacing. Would love to see him make it.
Agreed. Been a long while since we’ve heard positive things from him
Same. I’m thrilled to see him thriving.