We should just stop freaking out about Fernando Tatis Jr every April. He hates April. Tatis dislikes April the way the Joker dislikes Batman. All the native son of the world’s greatest fake Microsoft Paint artist has done is slash a cool .350/.421/.621 with 7 homers and 7 steals since May 1st. It gets even better! Over his last ten games Tatis is hitting .390/.432/.585, including a 4-for-5 performance last night where he scored three runs, drove in three, and stole a base. Are you excited yet? You should be, Tatis is a true middle infield talent with the ability to hit for power, run, and get on base at a fairly high clip. Now for the question on all of your minds; “when’s he up, Ralph?” Ehhh, you’re not going to like this answer. But, what reason do the Padres have to call him up? Net zero. He’s just 19, and will be for the entirety of the season. Likely the earliest we see Tatis is September, outside of some whacked out scenario where every usable middle infielder is injured. My guess is we’re looking at a June 2019 ETA, there’s a chance that timeline is moved up depending upon what the next few months look like, and how the Padres look a year from now. If their window opens earlier than expected, we could be looking at the Acuna timeline. I traded Tatis for Ozzie Albies in one dynasty recently, and I’d be lying if I said I didn’t kind of regret it. Crazy. Here’s what else went on in MiLB the last week.

  • Just when you thought it was safe to write off Houston pitching prospects, they pop up with another talented out-of-nowhere name with big production. The latest in a long line is righthander Cristian Javier of Low-A Quad City. So far this year Javier is 2-1 with a 1.87 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, a BAA of .171, and 74 Ks in 43.1 innings split between the rotation and long relief. He doesn’t throw hard, but it’s hard to pick up his low 90’s fastball out of his hand. His slider is his best secondary, and was getting some nice swings and misses in the starts I watched. His changeup is pedestrian, but he can land it in the zone for strikes. His mechanics are kind of funky, but really it’s his arm action more than anything else, he really extends his arm during his wind up, which makes it difficult to time his pitches, or pick up the spin from his hand. He’s not scared to elevate the fastball, and I even watched him sit down Royce Lewis a few weeks ago on three swinging strikes. To put that in perspective, Lewis is striking out at just 14.8% of the time, with a 10% SwStr, both are in the bottom third of the Midwest League. Based on build and arsenal, there’s a very good chance that Javier ends up in the pen, but he’s got the stuff to have value for your dynasty team, even in a relief role.
  • Tuesday marked the return of the White Sox Luis Robert for the Low-A Kannapolis Intimidators. His debut was nothing to write home about, going 0-for-4, with a walk and a strikeout. His second appearance however was a glimpse of what’s to come, as he went 2-for-5, with a single, a double, and a stolen base. My expectation for Robert is a five tool beast, with impact power and speed, and good on base ability, albeit a profile that will come with some strikeouts. Yes, I just described Yoan Moncada.
  • I’ve had a few conversations with Tampa fans the past day or so since the Rays promoted first baseman Jake Bauers. The athletic corner infielder, has the ability to get on base, hit for some power, and run. The numbers, particularly the power isn’t overwhelming, but as we’ve seen before, players seem to hit for more power in the majors than the International League. Bauers fantasy upside is predicated more on his ability to steal bases and take an extra base on gap shots. He’s not a burner in the technical sense, but he runs well, has great instincts and reads, and it has led to 30 steals over his past season and a third. Pretty impressive, while he’s not your traditional mashing first baseman, a combination of across the board skills with .280 20/20 upside is a very usable piece.
  • Go add Seuly Matias in all dynasty formats. So far at the tender age of 19, the Royals power prodigy is absolutely mashing in the Midwest League, on Tuesday he connected for his 18th homer of the season. This follows a two homer game from Saturday, highlighted below by @prospectgifs

  • The Red Sox called up their top performing pitching prospect in lefty Jalen Beeks. So far his season in Pawtucket has went as well as it could go, he sits at 3-3, with a 2.56 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, .195 BAA, and a 35.4% K%. He mixes a Low 90’s fastball with an above average to plus cutter, a plus chageup, and a fringe to average curveball. He commands well, changes eye level, and has done a good job stealing strikes on the black. My expectation is he has the skills to develop into a solid mid-rotation lefty, but I’d be shocked if he comes close to replicating his 35% K rate this season. A steamer in 12 teamers when he has the right matchup, a worthwhile add in all other deeper formats.
  • I’d like to dismiss Brandon Lowe as a advanced college hitter that beat up on the lower levels, but his production at AA in 2018 is making that a hard narrative to sell. Right now he sits at a wRC+ of 153, which is the 6th highest mark in the Southern League, and 15th in all of AA. Some of the names ahead of him are Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Eloy Jimenez, Cavan Biggio, and Zack Collins. With a slashline of .291/.400/.508, with 8 homers, and 8 steals, and a 14.6% walk rate, it’s not crazy to think we might be looking at a MLB regular. A lefthanded hitting middle infielder with some power and on base ability is a rare combination. Not rushing out to add Lowe in shallower formats, but he’s got my attention.
  • Guess who’s back? Actually don’t because you likely won’t guess. It’s the Mariners Eric Filia! You might know him from such previous shows as “Star of the Arizona Fall League 2017” or “Second Failed Drug Test”. The suspension was for a drug of abuse, which isn’t great, but it’s weed. So, who cares? That said, he’s done nothing but hit throughout his time in professional baseball. Hitting .455/.538/.606 through his first 8 AA games. He’s an older guy at 25, but the approach, outfield skills and the combination of average power and base running ability should get him to the majors. BTW you can blaze away once you’re on the 40 man brah! I’ll have a cone waiting for you.
  • There’s a ton of talk about Alex Verdugo, but as far as fantasy futures go, there’s few players in the Doyers system I’m more excited to own than Tulsa centerfielder Yusniel Diaz. The 21 year old saw a little over a month in Tulsa last year, and returned to the Texas League out of camp in 2018. So far he’s showing the skills that made him one of the top names on the international market back in 2015. He’s slashing .311/.431/.513 with 4 homers and 6 steals. However, it’s that boner inducing 16.7% Bb% that has me drooling. A player that gets on base at a clip that high, with the ability to play all three outfield positions is going to get plenty of MLB playing time in the near future. If he’s available in any of your dynasty formats I would make a move to add him in the right situation.
  • The other night my Fantrax Baseball Show, joined forces with Lance’s colleagues at the Collegiate Baseball Scouting Network to bring you a draft recap. Check it out here.  One of the comments of the night in the live chat came courtesy of Razzball’s own Paul Martin, when he said “Tell me more about this octopus the Yankees drafted”. That octopus would be catcher and first round pick Anthony Seigler. One of the more interesting players in the draft Seigler was arguably the top prep backstop in the class. He’s a switch-hitter at the plate, but most notably is a switch pitcher on the mound. He’s likely to only catch in the pros, but it’s a damn interesting angle, and speaks to this kid’s supreme athleticism.
  • One of the better long term dynasty prospects in this draft was Canada’s Noah Naylor. Brother of  Padres AA slugger Josh Naylor, the younger Nails is a far more athletic version of his brother with a better body. I’m not so sure where he ends up defensively but he’s got some of the better power in the 2018 class, backed by quick hands, and powerful stroke from the leftside. He has a big leg kick that might get quieted down some, but IMO he was a steal for the Indians at 28th overall. In fact, I ranked Naylor within the top 10  of my First Year Player Draft ranks on last week’s Prospect Podcast.

  • If you don’t know by now, one of my favorite pitching prospects in the game is the Padres Logan Allen. Last night the lefty continued his hot run at AA going 7 scoreless vs. Midland. This is his second straight appearance where he’s gone 7 scoreless, piggybacking this start on his no hitter last Thursday. Allen’s arsenal is led by a plus changeup that plays up both his fastball and breaking ball. His command has been steadily improving but is still nothing to write home about.
  • Where’s Halp? Why do I ask? Because our old boy Zack Collins is really putting things together in AA. After hitting just .206 in April, Collins has been on a tear. Since May 1st the catcher is slashing .318/.476/.542 with 6 homers and 22 RBI. No that’s not a typo, his on base for the last month plus is nearly .500, driven by a downright silly walk rate of 23.4%. There’s always going to be some swing and miss in Collins game, but he seems to have made the right adjustments to turn the corner, and is finally approaching the upside we saw when he was drafted 10th overall out of Miami.
  • Bonus: I had the pleasure of talking shop with Kyle Glaser of Baseball America last night. We spoke for over an hour, touching on players like the aforementioned Jalen Beeks and Jake Bauers while digging in on the Rangers Jonathan Hernandez, and much, much more. Check it out here.

BTW: Get your Prospect Jesus and Grey Albright Tout Wars Champ shirts here!

Find all of the 30 Minor League Previews, and Offseason Rankings on the Minor League Index
On Twitter as @ProspectJesus

   
  1. Scott says:
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    What’s your take on Nick Castellanos go forward?

    In a dynasty league I was offered Castellanos for a package of Trammell and two draft picks in our mid-season draft (basically will be top guys from the new draft class as well as helium prospects who have entered the top 100 conversation who weren’t there last year).

    Trying to figure out how real this breakout is and whether he is worth 3 quality prospects.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Scott: It’s real, but it’s inflated by an insane BABIP. Are you in win now? If so make the deal, if not, hold.

  2. Marti Harris says:
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    do you see a Tom Murphy call up anytime soon? The Rockies catches are not exactly tearing it up.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Please say yes Ralph

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Marti Harris: The Rockies plan on calling up Murphy at 36, and have already signed away the movie rights to Disney for “The Rookie 2”

      • LenFuego says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: How about this: Who gets called up first with an opportunity to play – Tom Murphy or Zack Collins?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @LenFuego: Collins

  3. cyler8 says:
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    Love me some Tatis! (both the player and body part.)

    Need some help on a prospect trade.

    I am in 2nd place now and struggling a bit in hitting. I was offered Votto for a 2nd rd pick and Taylor Trammel. I drafted Aaron Nola in the 2nd rd of our league this year for pick value context.

    This is a 6X6 OPS and QS dynasty league where we get to have 5 MiLB players. My current prospects are:

    Trammel
    Robles
    Luis Robert
    Luis Urias
    Heliot Ramos

    here are a few guys available if I move Trammel:

    Florial
    Willie Calhoun
    Hiura

    I have had Trammel as a deep sleeper for a little over a year so I am having a hard time moving him

    Thoughts?

    • cyler8 says:
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      @cyler8: A few more available guys I could replace him with that I like:

      Jesus Sanchez
      Yordan Alvarez
      Akil Baddoo

      Also this is a 10 team league.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @cyler8: With that available there, and Votto going Votto, I say do it!

  4. Lincoln Hawk says:
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    Ralph,

    Would you drop Shane Bieber to add either Matias or Drew Waters in a 100 prospects rostered league?

    Thanks

  5. Miketron says:
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    You forgot Filia is also a former Playboy mansion butler. Nice to see you back on Yusniel. Is he back above Starling Heredia yet?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Miketron: Kicks Rocks, stares aggregated stare, moves Diaz up. Asks Mike what happened to his Crab Amry team.

      Every time I write about Filia you drop a gem. Are you his biographer? LOL

      • Miketron says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: yeah I went all out rebuild in Razz30, though I’m happy with it so far. I’m sure you know by now I get infatuated with guys, especially if they have interesting stories. Should have picked up Filia last week in Razz30.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Miketron: I was busting your chops about the RCL.

  6. Captain James at Kirk says:
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    Thoughts on Carter Kieboom? He is having a nice season and should be climbing the charts…I would think.

    Also, any news on Yordan Alvarez? It was suppose to he a minor injury but he has been out over a month with no updates…

    Thanks!

      • Stove says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Astro’s beat writer Jake Kaplan tweeted that Alvarez “should be back soon”. So that’s good news I guess

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Stove: Not too shabby.

  7. Capatain James T Kirk says:
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    Thoughts on Carter Kieboom? Is he a top 50 prospect?

  8. jose H. says:
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    Ralph,
    I found this two players in another site and would like your opinion on them:

    3B- Elehuris Montero STL (19) A Peoria : 310/353/480/833 and 6 HRs

    RHP- Pablo Lopez Mia (22) AA : 0.62- 0.87
    AAA (debut) : 3.00- 1.17

    I am really more impressed by the 19 year old 3B with good numbers all around.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @jose H.: I like Montero, decent contact/power mix.

      I haven’t seen much Lopez, I’d be talking out of hand. As much as this may surprise many, I can’t see everyone.

  9. Crabman says:
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    Yes what ever happened to halp? He kinda fell off the map…miss that dude. My pitching is atrocious and i have been trying to jump on some free upside. What do you think about banuelos and helsley? Any 2018 starter value?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Crabman: If take the gamble on Haseley there.

  10. sport says:
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    I was waiting on your Seuly analysis! Love hearing it. And now KC is loading up on pitching. Lots of college arms in the draft and a couple more arms for John Jay. Anymore insight on Luciano? Seems like a safe route to get a younger arm.

    Reading your blogs makes dynasty hard! Every time I read I feel like I need to go drop another older prospect for the “go add”. I’m going to wait to add Seuly so I don’t jinx the Royals, but Yusniel Diaz I will look into. You were down on him on Dodger 2018 write up bit really like him now! Is 2019 still the ETA? Is he ownable over Jahmai Jones, Marsh, Julio Pablo, Jesus Sanchez, Heliot Ramos, Pache, Christin Stewart, or Drew Waters! Thanks to you, my prospect lists on all my teams are pretty stacked. At least compared to your rankings.

    One final question. Schoop a buy low in dynasty settings?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      Thanks! Yeah I like the route they went, really cool they got Singer and Kowar.

      I’d add both Seuly and Diaz over Jones and Waters. It’s close for Diaz with this guys. You won’t get Seuly if you don’t add him now. My two cents.

  11. Gfhyde says:
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    Thanks Ralph!

    I was just offered Arias for my Clarke Schmidt in a 20tm dynasty but i was thinking of countering with Schmidt for Seuly. Is that the better deal?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      If someone gives you Seuly for Schmidt you should buy them a birthday present for the next 10 years.

      • Gfhyde says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: LOL ok good to know tx.

        And Arias > Schmidt or is that one closer?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Gfhyde: Sure

  12. Jimmy Jack James says:
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    Ralph, thank you for the content – what are your quick thoughts on Brendan Rodgers? Any chance he makes an impact this year?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      He’s really good, made some improvements at the plate and seems to be driving the ball more. With the Rockies track record I’m unsure of the ETA.

  13. Slappy Jack says:
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    great work dude!

    Matias got my attention but it seems like he strikes out a lot though, like in super bunches
    You think he’s going to cut that down to a playable number ?
    Did you get to see him recently?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Slappy Jack: I’ve seen only MiLB games and video. Lance will likely see him next week.

      He’s Ks a ton but his power is rare. That’s easily plus likely plus plus. He’s young and I think they give him time to develop.

  14. Mike L says:
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    Finally in win now mode and half the team hits the DL and Ive got guys like Rodgers, Senzel, and Mejia that are taking up valuable spots. I’ll take dynasty leagues over daily 99 out of 100 but after 3 years of a rebuild I still cant get in the money.

    Now to the question, do I sit with a guy like Ruiz or Mejia or roster a turd like Zunino or Murphy who probably dont have the most long term value? Great fantasy catchers are like a needle in the hay.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mike L: I’d hold Ruiz.

  15. JoeyBats says:
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    Hi Ralph, love the articles!

    Florial was just dropped in my 16 team dynasty, scoop him up despite the wrist, right? Twice weekly waivers and very active owners so I’m worried I might only get one of seuly or florial who should I put in the top claim?

    My other prospects are Michel Baez and jahmai Jones. Is there anyone from outside your preseason top 100 you recommend over them?

    Thanks for all info!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @JoeyBats: I say add Floria.

  16. JoeyBats says:
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    @Ralph Lifshitz:
    Thanks!

    Could you give me one or two more names from outside your preseason top 100 that would jump up the list if u did another one today?

    Much appreciated

    • greggpatenaude says:
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      Suely or oneill in dynasty?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @greggpatenaude: O’Neill was on my top 100 for like 10 years.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @JoeyBats: Seuly Matias and Cavan Biggio

  17. Randy says:
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    Great info as always, thank you.

    Thoughts on Brusdar Graterol? If you were re-ranking right now is he in the top 50?

    Also, I saw someone in a previous comment suggest that you do a list ranking by just ceilings and wanted to add my two cents that I’d really like to see that.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Randy: Still outside the Top 50, he’s a young pitcher, and injury prone. Love him still but he’s holding on the back 50.

  18. Mex says:
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    AL only auction league. Looking to make trades for next year.

    Some of players that are on the table:Jorge Mateo. Adalberto Mondesi, Anthony Alford, Michael Chavis and Derek Fisher.

    I’m Having a crappy year so teams are looking to trade for my guys that are on the last year of their contracts. The guys listed above are some that may be available to me. How do you rank these guys for next year? Are any of them worth trading for in the hopes that they are gonna be productive players next year? Thanks in advance

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mex: Alford, Mateo, Chavis, Fisher, and Mondesi

      • Mex says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: thanks as always. A follow up question if you don’t mind. Which ones(if any) do you think are gonna be productive enough next year that would be worth while acquiring this year?

  19. Jason Allen Collier says:
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    Great write up! I checked out the interview with Andy Singleton as well. Great job!

    Are Yusniel Diaz or Seuly Matias approaching top 50 status for you?

    I have Vladimir Guerrero, Fernando Tatis, Juan Soto, Luis Robert, Scott Kingery, Bo Bichette, Jesus Sanchez, Yordan Alvarez, Willy Adames, Jo Adell, Logan Allen, Jonathan Hernandez, and Enyel De Los Santos in my minors spots right now… Are any of those guys droppable for Seuly or Yusniel?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jason Allen Collier: Neither are top 50 just yet. I’d drop Allen for either.

  20. Joe says:
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    Hey Ralph what are your thoughts on Austin meadows in a dynasty league. Was offered him and giolito for wood. I would get wood

    • AllThePrettyStantons says:
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      @Joe:

      I’d keep Meadows for dynasty. Wood’s health and recent form is pretty sketchy.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Joe: I’d keep Meadows.

  21. Yes Pepper says:
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    Hey love the content, this is great stuff and I appreciate your work.

    Need help in my dynasty league.

    gotta drop one to play Franken-catcher. I’m in win now mode however I have young talent so my eyes are on the future too.

    W. Smith on the list because holds are a category and I only have him, Hildenberger, and Hader. I have a well rounded team, a little light on pitching and moderately deep at OF. Correa DTD that’s the only reason Adrianza even on this list. Thanks in advance.

    Will Smith
    Adrianza
    Domingo German
    Freddy Peralta
    Jalen Beeks
    Jhailyn Ortiz
    Brent Rooker
    Monte Harrison

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Yes Pepper: Cut Beeks

  22. Dyson says:
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    Hey Ralph! Good stuff as always. Who u like better? Kirilloff or Matias? Thx!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Dyson: Still rolling Seuly

  23. The Big Yabu says:
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    Thoughts about Erick Fedde? I’ve got him in a keep-forever dynasty league, but starting to wonder if he’s worth the roster spot. From his AAA stats this year, looks like the K-rate is still good but he’s giving up a LOT of hits. Haven’t seen a recent analysis, so not sure what to make of him. Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The Big Yabu: He’s sliding into that frnge area. It’s been a long time coming with no breakout.

  24. Drew says:
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    Been holding Jhailyn Ortiz in my NA slot in a 16-team dynasty. What’s he been up to? Would you drop him for Seuly?

    • Drew says:
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      @Drew: just check out Ortiz’s slashline this year. Basically wondering if I should cut bait on him or hold. In addition to Seuly, all these dudes are available:
      Ian Anderson, Albert Abreu, Monte Harrison, Colton Welker, Brandon Marsh, Mitch White, Will benson, George Valera, Jose Suarez

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Drew: I’d add Marsh

  25. VegasJim says:
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    He Ralph, I just traded Peter Alonso for Willy Adames. Am I crazy for this or do you think this was a solid trade for a dynasty league? Thanks

  26. VegasJim says:
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    Hi Ralph, I just traded Peter Alonso for Willy Adames in a dynasty league, am I going to regret this trade? Thanks

  27. Frank Fimano says:
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    Hi Ralph, thanks for all your great insights on MLB’s up and coming prospects.

    In a 14 Team H2H League which requires 5 Prospects being kept.

    I have at least 10 on my roster at this point. Please rank for best impact in a Dynasty League thanks!
    Willie Calhoun
    Nick Kingham
    Bo Bichette
    Peter Alonso
    Jon Duplantier
    MacKenzie Gore
    Shane Bieber
    Brent Honeywell
    Mitch Keller
    Chance Adams

Comments are closed.