Kyle Lewis is in my top 100 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball, but, as mentioned the other day, these Dart Throws are me being a little more footloose and fancy-free like Kevin Bacon on Casual Fridays with projections and possible upside. By the way, can you imagine explaining to an alien right now what Casual Fridays are? “It’s when you don’t have to dress up for work on Friday.” Alien speaks in an alien language while you wait for the Alien Language Translator to give you back what it’s saying. Finally, the Alien Language Translator says, “You’ve been wearing sweatpants for the last five weeks. What’s more casual? Your stained gotchies?” Yo, that Alien has a smart mouth, which is located on its feet, because it’s an alien. Any hoo! In my top 100 outfielders, I threw Kyle Lewis a bone by including him. To get him in the lineup, Dee Gordon has to be benched; Mitch Haniger’s Mr. Peanut has to be crushed; Austin Nola has to do whatever it is Austin Nola does, but on the bench; Jake Fraley has to do a bit better than Austin Nola, but not good enough to start and Dylan Moore…Well, who? Your 2020 Mariners are tight eh-eff team of recycled garbage that was never recycled. But, when the league starts up again, and, if the M’s are playing in Arizona — better! — then Kyle Lewis could be the starting right fielder. So, what can we expect from Kyle Lewis for 2020 fantasy baseball and what makes him a great dart throw?

Kyle Lewis made Prospect Itch’s top 50 prospects for 2020 fantasy baseball, and his (Itch’s, not Lewis’s) whole thing was, if he (Lewis, not Itch) makes contact, he (Lewis still, not Itch) will mash. I agree, so can Lewis not flail like an inflatable in front of a used car lot? In Double-A last year, Lewis hit 11 homers in 122 games with a 29.4% strikeout rate, which is *Michael Scott grimace GIF* but that Double-A environment is actually not great for power, and Lewis can hit bombs. Raw power, as they say. As his three homers in his first three MLB games last year and six homers in his first ten games shows, he could get hot in Arizona (well, everyone will technically because you can fry an egg on your forehead there in August) and hit 20 homers in a 100-game season. I don’t think teams will be playing in Arizona, but if they are, then that’s all the better. In Seattle, Lewis can still hit the ball out, and, with raw power, that’s a recipe for “pitchers don’t know what to do with a guy, so just throw him fastballs” and Lewis mashes. Less time to plot out a plan of attack against Lewis will be better for him. If anyone screams having potential to have a hot month or two…Well, look at what Lewis did in September last year. To make that same point again, he homered three times in The First Spring Training in only 11 games. Lewis is the type that will punish pitchers who are ill-prepared for a season, when it starts. For a cheap power Dart Throw? Aim for Kyle Lewis.

 
  1. BB says:
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    Not sure Lewis is in that big of a playing-time pinch, he should still be starting in right if Fraley starts in left (which is what most folks seem to expect).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, hopefully, though the M’s do have other garbage players to choose from

  2. Tigres says:
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    Hey Grey! I watched 15 minutes of the KBO game this morning. Nice to see live baseball, anywhere, in any form… No fans, but it sounded like the stadium was playing “fan noise” in the background. Live umps, wearing face masks. What look like reporters / scouts in the stands, spaced out and using laptops while wearing masks. Aaron Altherr hit a HR, which is great… for my 2017 fantasy team! Apparently celebratory high fives not allowed; butt slaps are fine. ESPN broadcasters doing interviews mid-inning and chattering on about stuff that has little to do with the actual game being played. So – they’re in mid-season form!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, that’s awesome…It’s like the old game reruns tho, I just don’t think I can get into it — will be going back to my 2017 fantasy baseball team and adding an extra homer fro Altherr too, good call!

    • baby seal says:
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      Haha, love this comment!

  3. galica says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Awesome dart throw report!

    a. Kyle Lewis, sounds good. But I bet there will be an increase in power and runs scored if the season starts July 1 thus benefiting most if not all warm weather hitters, right?

    b. MLB quote of the day for August 2, 1986

    ‘A woman will be elected President before Wade Boggs is called out on strikes. I guarantee that.’

    George Howard Brett, coined the term ‘The Mendoza line’ and set a modern day record for batting average for a 3B at .390 in his 1980 season.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

      A. Yeehaw!

      B. Brett came up with Mendoza Line? Really? Hmm, don’t think I knew that

      • galica says:
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        Grey!!

        a. Yeah, according to wikipedia. I could be right, I could be wrong.

        b. The person I was going to chose for the quote took a meandering route today. It started with Cecil Fielder (there are only four of his quotes known on the Internet so he’s not really outspoken and a no-go), to Robin Yount (I wasn’t sure you’d appreciate Yount given that most of his success lies in playing forever, kind of like a white Harold Baines and you didn’t like Harold Baines so didn’t want to disappoint you twice in the same season) to another white…George Brett. Frank Voila.

        c. No news on the MLB front, man. It is so frustrating as a baseball fan. Saw that a game in the Japanese Nippon Baseball league was called because a fire broke out really close to the stadium and the black plume of smoke made it impossible to breathe causing the umps to call it. Good thing there were no fans at the stadium ’cause I’d be pissed off at the guy (had to be a guy who started the fire, you do the math why it couldn’t be a girl) who started the fire. The last thing I read MLB was that Schwarber would be the beneficiary of the universal DH rule if it becomes a rule in this shortened season. But IMHO the biggest beneficiary would be the left field grass and the team pitching ERA for Schwarber’s move to the DH slot, right?

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Sounds like everything I’ve ever said

          B. Excellent manœuvre (whoa, not sure why my autocorrect wrote it like that, but I’m keeping it)

          C. Haha, awesome…Yes, LF grass is very thankful

    • George Brett was the total package, lacking only speed. As well as he swung it, he could flash the leather too. Charley Lau disciple more interested in barrels than launch angle. Pure hitter

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        What he lacked in speed he made for in roids……….hemmoroids that is …………good old Tim McCarver

        • Ha McCarver! yeah he had a bout with those too! Hey JustUnderstood I coached Lenny’s son Luke a few years back. Think he may still be in the Atlanta Org? or is it KC? Could be out of baseball, not sure. Talented kid

          • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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            Dykstra was fun to watch as a player; hopefully his kid is as good and can keep his head on straight.

      • 183414 says:
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        Living in nyc from ‘73-78, I saw a lot of Brett. Had season box seats. Probably my favorite non Yankee baseball player with the exception of Mays, Marichal, McCovey, Frank Robinson, Clemente.
        Great hitter, elite fielder, unbelievable competitor, as well as a clutch hitter. Rank him ahead of Schmidt.

        • Andrew! Sweet swing for sure. I was born in NYC – still have family in Washington Heights

          • 183414 says:
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            Bronx (University Ave./174th st.) until 4th grade; then to Forest Hills; moved to Manhattan (40 e. 64th st.) after law school (Univ. of Miami, ’73).
            Came out to San Diego in april’79. Had to pass 3 bar exams.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Forest Hills! Nice! My grandparents were off Jewel Ave

              • 183414 says:
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                Forest Hills Tennis Stadium. Such great memories. Graduated FHHS ’65.

              • 183414 says:
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                I lived off 108th St., closer to Corona. You remember Paul Simon’s, Me and Julio Down By the Schooltard Not far from the Corona Ice King.
                These days I walk 10 miles a day. Could go from Where I lived 62nd rd/108th st to Jewel Ave. and back 6 times.
                Took the Jewel Ave. bus to Queens College.

          • 183414 says:
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            Went to every post season Yankee/Royal game from ’73 through ’78. Went to every World Series game as well. Reggie’s 3 h.r. game. Chambliss’ h.r. sending the Yankees to their 1st W.S. in 13 years was pretty special.
            Brett’s on my all world team, if Honus is playing s.s.

          • 183414 says:
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            Have 2 sons in Williamsburg, with a grandson, and 1 in N.J.
            Newsome sucks, but Murphy/Cuomo just as bad. Nothing is as beautiful as So. Cal., though.

  4. DonnieB says:
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    In an NFBC 15 team, where would you really draft Lewis if thought your OF needed a little pizzazz? Or upside? Ian Happ territory? Santander territory? Does from there? Thanks and thanks for being here for us through this bullshit shutdown.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Around 275-300 overall — After Happ — Santander, around there

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        and No problem!

      • baby seal says:
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        Really? That seems a little… high?

        I didn’t just pull any fresh data, but I track the ADP data biweekly from Jan-Mar, plus have OC data from April…

        Lewis’ average ADP range is 390-415 (not min/max, just biweekly average)… Not sure you’d need to jump it by much more than that even if you really wanted him… no?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          300 is around last round of 12 teamer…That’s all…Saying he’s a last round pick (if you wanna make it)….

          • baby seal says:
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            Ahhh, OK

    • 183414 says:
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      29-30 th round. Just a dart.

  5. Homers got the runs says:
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    Hello,. A little off topic but I was reading up on Jordan Hicks. Turns out he may be back if the season opens up in June or July. Do you think he gets his closer gig back? I would like to store him on my injured list if there is a high probability of him getting it back.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think if he’s ready to go, he’s the closer — I don’t think he’ll be ready to go…Maybe August tho, which is only a month away from start date, so maybe 12 saves from him this year, which is now good

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        Thanks for that info Mr. Seal, good stuff. Stash away!

    • Homers got the runs says:
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      Thanks for the help. Was leaning towards stashing him.

    • 183414 says:
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      If you have an I.l. stash, yeah, but not wasting a bench spot.

  6. lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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    What do you have against Mr. Peanut?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Didn’t he die?

  7. lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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    Funny thing on the cardboard cutouts at the Korean games………back in college went to a WWF wrestling match just a bunch of drunk college kids but they filled up sections with cutouts and then would pan the camera past out of focus. also fake boos/cheers but it was fun

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I used to have a Reagan cardboard cutout, and now that I think about it, I have no idea why

  8. lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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    any one else having issues with the comments showing on the screen? there are no comments until i post one . it started yesterday.

    • NUX says:
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      Yea same

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        Does the server have the KungFlu too?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, so bad

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Yeah, server is having some issues, we’re aware of it…I need to refresh it in morning — is the problem mostly on mobile?

        • William Hung says:
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          That explains why i thought i was the first comment, and then ended up being the 3rd or 4th

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Yeah, it’s funky in the morning before I’m on manually refreshing the server

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Until we find fix, at least

    • baby seal says:
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      Still not having this issue FWIW, Grey…

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Thanks, BS!

  9. lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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    test

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sorry, yeah, we’ve been having issues, trying to resolve — are you on your phone?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Cause that seems to be the problem

        • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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          No on a PC……….seems better now

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Thanks!

  10. DonnieB says:
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    Who you like for a 3B dart throw this year: Kyle Seager, Alec Bohm, Markell Franco, Austin Riley( if qualifies in a couple weeks), or Hayes? Thanks as always.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I love Riley, I need to write him up

    • baby seal says:
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      Seager… has a full-time job, which includes batting third. Hits 20+ homers every year. Both him and Riley have BA issues. No-brainer in a deeper league.

      His price is artificially low due to injury last year and being on a crappy team. Pretty solid plate discipline and hard hit%.

      Riley might be better if it’s a shallow league, bc you can quickly cut bait and get a good replacement guy off the wire…

      • DonnieB says:
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        Thanks Baby Seal. Makes feel better drafting Seager at a $1. The others are free agents I could add instead. Seager got kind of hot in second half but would like more upside at 3B. Love Riley but doesn’t come into year eligible at 3B.

        • 183414 says:
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          Love Riley’s august/sept. ?

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Not great, but that’s not everything

            • 183414 says:
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              haha, neither is his 1st 2 months.
              Seager is the model of consistency and will be hitting 3d/4th every day. Check out his consistency. As a b/up at 3d or util. Killed it after he came back last year. Definitely didn’t lose his power.
              I know you like Riley, but if Camargo hits at all, Riley will be part time of/d.h. (assuming universal d.h.)
              Grey, he was so god awful the last 2 months. I was thankful I only owned him 1 place, and had him on the bench before Braves demoted him.

  11. Coolwhip

    Coolwhip says:
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    The mariners logo this year should be Oscar the Grouch. Though they might have competition with Astros for different reasons.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      M’s are the garbage plate

  12. NUX says:
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    You’re feeling like hot shiz after that start 3 rounds in, aren’t you G? Guess what, Baby Seal went to college in my town Grey!

    Baby Seal, one day we will need to grab a drink somewhere (not Talley-Ho!) when you come back for your reunion.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Really? Where’d he go to college? Baby Seal is a mystery that we are unraveling!

      • NUX says:
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        I will allow Baby Seal to disclose that information, for privacy purposes.

        But my sneaky clue is that we both root for the Iron Pigs. Reports are that Baby Seal was lobbying them to change their names to the Iron Seals for a home game during the 2019 season. But they went with the Iron Pugs instead.

        https://ballparkdigest.com/2019/08/07/ironpigs-to-play-as-ironpugs-august-19/

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh my god, Pittsburgh College of Culinary Trade and Jorts?!

          • NUX says:
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            I ain’t no yinzer, Grey!! You got the right state, but only about 7 hours away. Someone in our current draft lives in Union county NJ btw. That makes 3 Jersey boi’s in this thing between me, you and he. LMK when you run out of “Taylor Ham” out there on the left coast and I’ll break out the dry ice. During a pandemic. Only for you G!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Oh my god, University of Penn for Aquarium Life?!

              We can actually get Taylor Ham (Pork Roll!) out in LA…Supermarkets carry it by me… Where in Union County?

              • baby seal says:
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                Lehigh U

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I wanted to guess!

                  • baby seal says:
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                    You did!

            • baby seal says:
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              Wow, never heard of “Yinzer” before, learn something new on here every day!

            • Malicious Phenoms says:
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              Should be 4 Jersey bois, shit site..

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Damn, MP got left out

          • baby seal says:
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            lolol

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      Totally down! Why don’t you like the Ho?

      10-year reunion will be in 2022… maybe we’ll have a vaccine by then?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Just ordered a do-it-yourself vaccine off the tv from the My Pillow Guy, will be putting it together soon

  13. William Hung says:
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    Cohen, Darling, and Hernandez did commentary on last night’s game – Jeff McNeil also stopped by to talk about The Show 20 player’s tournament he played in. They kept him on long enough to see his digital self hit a 2nd bomb of the game.

    Loved how they did the SNY intro video too

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F7nsIOJ3Vg4&t=323s

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, this is amazing

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, looks exactly like every Vikings show…I wanna watch tho, I love Vikings, who knew

      • baby seal says:
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        I was thinking TLK!

        Clearly you didn’t watch all the way through… references to England and (I think) Alfred… Danes invading… c’mon!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, that’s what I meant by Vikings…TLK is vikings, they’re all the same story — Vikings on History channel was Alfred/Edward too

          • baby seal says:
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            AH, you are a TV legend, sir!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

  14. krazyivan says:
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    I would like to combine the Mariners OF prospects along with Eaven White with the Jays IF of Vlad, Bichette and Biggio. (through in Lourdes Jr for fun). That would be to the most exciting offense for years.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      An interesting crop!

  15. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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    trying to access the TB podcast from april 5th, i signed up for anchor, but it appears it only prompts me to make my own podcast, not listen to yours.

  16. baby seal says:
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    Coolwhip!

    Continuing our LONG convo from yesterday – wanted to bring it back onto the latest and greatest post from G! Follow along here y’all—warning!—you will need at least 20 mins to catch up on the 3K words (correction: 5K words?) already written by the both of us, LOL: https://razzball.com/rougned-odor-2020-fantasy-baseball/#comment-2956153

    Glad I wrote this last night, since today has been crazy busy!

    Happy you took the joke well! Was mostly messing around with that. Almost deleted because I didn’t want it to come off wrong.

    HAHA, yes, the before times from the long-long ago! When the heck is South Park coming back on?? I feel like this situation is not only A) right up their alley, but also B) would be some much-needed comedic relief for everyone.

    2a) Because he is really bad at baseball (Mallex Smith for those reading this series for the first time)! I guess one thing he has going for him is that he’s still only 27. Definitely thought he was a bit older, for whatever reason. Probably confused his age w/ Dee Gordon, lol.
    It’s not exactly a great sign when you’re on one of the worst teams in baseball and you get optioned down to AAA for performance reasons. The Rays sold high, as usual. His defense is also surprisingly bad, which you’d think may be his saving grace for playing time w/ all that speed in CF. But the issue there seems to be boneheaded plays, not talent, since his OAA is actually pretty solid. Although, there may be a data issue there… either that or he somehow got a lot better out there last year from previous years. Moving on!
    The K% (and IFFB%) skyrocketed, xwOBA and average EV tanked, contact rates were all terrible… you get the point. And to top it off, everything was on a worse trajectory to end the year. It’s not like his skills started showing improvement.
    This pretty much explains it all right here (lmk if that link works for ya, just curious if FG fixed the previous issue; have had trouble getting that to work for others in the past): https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mallex-smith/13608/graphs?statArr=44,102,107,106,211&legend=1,2,3,4,5&split=base&time=daily&ymin=&ymax=&start=2019&end=2019&rtype=single&gt1=20&dStatArray=
    The most impressive thing for him *IS* the number of stolen bases, while having such an abysmal OBP.
    He *does* fit your team—it’s just a bad sign when you *NEED* to take Mallex—because it strongly implies one has messed up the draft in some capacity.

    2b) I thought you may read that the wrong way, haha. Robles’ max EV being comparable to Muncy was certainly not meant to imply that he has similar overall power, was just for context, and to say that he has more power potential than many realize, IMO.
    And yes, of course I know about FB/LD. Meant to include that somewhere in my ramblings, but think it got lost in the sauce. In no way would I compare him to those power guys there… otherwise he’d be a first rounder!
    Speaking of which… go take a look at Treat’s Statcast history and let me know if he always hit the ball as hard as he does now, or if he grew into it. Do you know what Turner’s max EV was last year? :-)
    Sounds like you aren’t up to speed on the importance of max EV (link below!). Hitting the ball very hard, even if only one time, IS really all that matters… and you don’t know his EV distribution, do you? I’d be interested to see that myself. Quick glance at the EV chart indicates he had multiple balls hit at 108 MPH or better. Your bias is getting the best of you now! Please read (will copy-paste the relevant snippet down below in case you don’t have a sub), from Rob Arthur at The Athletic: https://theathletic.com/321270/2018/04/19/want-to-predict-a-hitters-future-sometimes-it-takes-just-a-single-batted-ball/

    5) Wasn’t a mistake… Adell at 180 is a big reach. I know you ain’t scared! It may work out! No doubt about it. But that’s not my point. All about process over results. FWIW, current ADP is 254 and was 240 at the time of your draft.

    7) Yes, Danny S, the guy who had accumulated a negative 2.3 WAR over the past 4 years in his aged 24-27 seasons. I get that he made some big changes last year and could be a new player. Very much open to that idea – I’m a big believer in breakouts, generally speaking. I just hope you realize that you’re comparing a career bum to a blue-chip prospect, and shrugging it off as if they are similar players… doesn’t make sense to me. His contact metrics got WORSE last year (despite the BA improvement), career high BABIP, hadn’t stolen bases like that since his rookie year. That is risky as FK!
    7 BONUS) Here’s an idle thought that may interest you. While we obviously do not care about most of the 5-tools in fantasy baseball when discussing players… think for a moment about the guys who are taken in the first couple rounds of drafts and what their overall skillset looks like. The game has become MUCH more athletic in the last decade or so… Robles is a true 5-tool guy (with power being the weakest tool, obviously, lol). I know you played baseball like I did, think about who the best hitters on the team were – in my experience – it was the guys who had all 5 tools. Lindor, Story, Yelich, Trout, Bellinger, Soto, Acuna, etc. are like that. You know Robles can throw it 100 MPH? I know this is a very random observation. I have no data to back this idea up, whatsoever, but it seems to pass the sniff test to me. You have to have a certain level of “power” or strength to throw a ball that hard. Think about some of last year’s biggest breakouts: Devers, Meadows, Ketel, Tatis, etc. – they are all very well-rounded players with top-tier pedigree.

    8) I hear you, haha. And to be certain, we’re (at least I am) having a lot of fun here!
    Your logic makes sense on wRC+, to some extent, but it’s really not the optimal way to back into CT (btw, why not just use something like RP for Runs Produced? “Counting stat Totals” is a bit odd but whatever, lol).
    Jeff McNeil had a 143 wRC+, in 510 ABs, yet only had 158 R+RBIs. Acuna nearly lead baseball w/ 228 RPs, yet his wRC+ was “only” 126. Escobar had 212 RPs with a wRC+ of 109. Eddie Rosario: 200 RP, 103 wRC+.

    Nice chat! I’m sure you’ll do great… honestly. Appreciate the convo! Was a very useful exercise, at least on my end. Always good to challenge assumptions and test new perspectives.

    Snippet from The Athletic, as promised:

    For every mile per hour above 108, a hitter is projected to gain about 6 points of OPS relative to their predicted number. Hitters like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, who regularly smoke the baseball at exit velocities most players will never achieve in their careers, tend to inhabit the top right part of this graph.
    They also tend to outperform what the projection systems say. For example, PECOTA was skeptical of Judge, as it is with most unproven youngsters. After all, many players can mash in the minors but struggle to make solid contact in the big leagues, and his only previous MLB experience yielded a pitiable 62 weighted Runs Created plus (wRC+). But with the benefit of Statcast (not to mention hindsight), it’s easy to see that Judge is the real deal — he outperformed his projected OPS by almost 300 points last year by repeatedly driving 120 mph batted balls beyond the fence.
    The players with limited exit velocity tend primarily to be speed-and-defense stalwarts like Billy Hamilton. It’s hard to overcome a complete lack of pop, but one way to do it is by reaching base quickly. Another is to make up for it in other ways, with excellent fielding or exceptional pitch framing. Either way, those who can’t hit the ball hard rarely find themselves sporting good triple-slash numbers.
    The higher an exit velocity, the bigger the expected performance boost. But some players’ projections already take into account their hard-swinging ways, so top-notch batted ball speeds are to be expected. By comparing a player’s maximum exit velocity in 2017 to their previous high in 2016, the projections can be further improved. Every additional mile per hour they add is worth a further eight points of OPS gain.

    • NUX says:
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      Was this your dissertation at Lehigh U?

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
        (link)

        HAHAHA… I literally just said that to him

        • NUX says:
          (link)

          Haha great wall of text was good, well done. I love baby seal(s)! You heard it here first.

          Me and baby seal will Insta-Live (is that what the kids call it?) that beer he and I have when I crash his Class 2012 Reunion.

          • baby seal says:
            (link)

            Let’s doooo itttttt

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
      (link)

      Woahhhhhhh The Great Wall of Text… hahaha.

      1) Seal, i take everything you say on here as a joke, ba-zing! ;-)

      2a) during the summer he hit .250 after he came back up, he’s projected for .250 this year.
      The funny thing here, is you made the joke i’m leaning too much into stats/metrics and yet you are throwing way more at me! LOL. Mallex is what he is, I’m fine with that pending moves. context context.

      2b) i get the EV stuff, trust me. LOL. I get Robles improving, I know he’s the shizz-in-waiting as i said hes on at least 2 of my dynasty teams, including my CF on a 24 team league. But, he’s still got a ways to go, haven’t seen any stories yet about successful weight training or specific improvements… so i’ll just wait and trade for him if things start trending up.

      5) context context, that league was very reachy moreso than other drafts, and I grabbed him at a reasonable buy point in my mind based on what I expected at the time, especially compared to Robert like I said.

      7) “His contact metrics got WORSE last year” you lost me. His Barrel% went done a tad, but everything else was improved including LA and EV. He clearly made changes. Of course he didn’t steal that much, because he didnt play that much LOL. but in 2017 he stole 6 bags in 70 games so the skill/speed was still there. I’m comparing them to relative cost, not 1:1, you silly seal.

      8) CT matters because this is a Roto league, lol. Thats 80% of the competition, tally more stats. RP and wRC+ are completely different measurements. wRC+ is comparing players to their peers, 130 = 30% above avg. etc. I wasn’t trying to shoehorn them together just using 2 different measurements. I have wRC+ to be useful during drafts in the past and has worked out in my favor more than not.

      good stuff my dude. You like to argue more than my daughter! hahaha

      • Cram It says:
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        Kids these days and their wRC+. What a world.

        • Coolwhip

          Coolwhip says:
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          LOL it is indeed Cram. It is indeed.

      • baby seal says:
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        7) Quality of contact is different than contact metrics!

        8) Ah man, you completely misread that. I was saying to use the term “RP” instead of “CT” since CT is a made up thing, whereas RP is a real thing. Obviously I know what wRC+ is… you’re not using it right but whatever!

        Rosario had a league average wRC+, yet elite run production. That’s the simplest I can break it down for you. There isn’t a direct relationship between the two.

        We’ll agree to disagree! I just enjoy writing the analysis and seeing what you have to say.

        Cheers!

        • Coolwhip

          Coolwhip says:
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          hahaha of course its made up, i made it up on the spot LOL

  17. Prolly not in, do you prefer Lewis or Seth at that point? Leaning Brown, thinking they find a spot in the lineup for his LH bat vs RHP, but Lewis does have some juice.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Brown still

      • thought so – where is MacKenzie, swimming around with baby seal?
        have a great day

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, you too!

  18. krazyivan says:
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    No disrespect to , but why are there so many 30 hit 70 raw power guys in everyone’s farm system. I like Lewis as much as I like Austin Riley but these guys are becoming a dime a dozen.
    Then when you get a guy like Nate Lowe, who has a 50 hit tool, but ONLY has a 65 raw power, and you see that he’s probably destined for a AAAA player for the Rays.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      It’s how teams build/draft for the future now…Different mindsets

  19. Otters of Boyztown says:
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    the tiny little otariidae is absolutely delicious and correct about the misuse of weighted metrics for fantasy porpoises, maybe it’s time for a little roll in the waves?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I ain’t messin’ with no otters

  20. Rick Brown says:
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    Hey Grey,
    Still having problems logging in like I did last night.Once I signed on for ad-free I was always logged in.Have one attempt left to log in-even tried to get a password emailed to me but no link appeared.
    This isn’t that big a deal but ad-free is SO nice and quick.I love it!
    RICK

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Will ping Rudy again, did you try emailing him? rudy @ razzball dot com

      • Rick Brown says:
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        Thanks. Will do that.
        RICK

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

        • LOLmets says:
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          This is how my mom sends texts

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