Let’s be honest, the final week of the regular season can be a total crap shoot. This is the reason you don’t have H2H finals the final week of the year. Oh, you do? Well, you should give your commish a firm kick in the arse and tell them to get their head out of there ‘cuz that’s crummy with crackers. It’s for this same reason that cash games in DFS the final week of the season are a no-no. GPPs though, go for it. I’m basing my calls this week on pure narrative. The narrative for James Paxton ($19,600) is finishing the season on a high note and not finishing on the DL for once. The Rangers have been coasting the final month of the season, ranking 22nd in team OPS the final month. I’ve been picking on them plenty with pitchers of much less talent than Paxton. Paxton is my top choice over Kluber, who will likely only see a few innings and Nola, who is facing the Braves who still have something to play for. If you like a different narrative though, by all means, I’ll meet up with you in Narrative City.
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Steven Matz, SP: $12,800 – More narratives as I look for young players that are looking to end the season on a high note. Matz gets the Marlins who we’ve picked on all year, no reason to stop now.
Tyler Skaggs, SP: $12,800 – My narrative here is that Oakland is already looking ahead to the Wild Card game vs. New York. Skaggs meanwhile looks to end the season strong. He’s been on a light pitch count the past couple outings, but should be good for 5+ IP here. It’s a dice roll, but that’s what we’ve got the final weekend.
Kyle Gibson, SP: $16,200 – This is Gibson vs. Moncada right? Gibson vs. Daniel Palka I suppose. The point is, the White Sox are trash to finish out the year and should be picked on with reckless abandon.
Zack Godley, SP: $12,300 – In what was supposed to be an encore to a 2017 break-out Godley has been Meh-ley. He owes us this one. Give us just one awesome start to cap the season. It’s the Padres, in Petco. You can do it!
Yonder Alonso, IF: $8,100 – I’ve enjoyed picking on Jake Junis all season long and that won’t stop now. Yonder has enough pop to make him worthwhile tonight.
Adalberto Mondesi, IF: $8,300 – I think Mondesi is priced down due to facing Kluber, but I’m a sucker. Mondesi has been red hot and I don’t buy that Kluber is lasting more than a couple tune-up innings for the playoffs.
Logan Forsythe, IF: $5,800 – Forsythe is no great shakes, but he is darn cheap. $5,800 is basically a free space for a guy that max is getting you 10 points. But, with that price savings you can pay up for some Coors upside.
Nicholas Castellanos, IF/OF: $8,700 – I know Wade Miley has turned to Cy Miley in Milwaukee but I’d still bet against him most nights. Castellanos has been decent enough this season that I’m willing to roll with him for this price.
Dee Gordon, IF/OF: $8,000 – For some reason Dee Gordon has been out of the lineup the past few days, so check in that he’s back in there tonight before plugging him in. There’s no word of an injury, so who knows. The Mariners get to face Adrian Sampson tonight, so I’m on board with most or all of the them that start; Cruz, Cano, Haniger and even Seager.
Ryan Braun, OF: $9,300 – When Braun has played lately, he’s been hitting bombs. Braun also seems like the type of guy that would be up there padding stats any chance he gets. I’m fine with that in my DFS players, so pad away Ryan, pad away.
Shohei Ohtani, OF: $8,100 – Can I draft Ohtani everywhere as a hitter next year? It’s been a few seasons since we had a player worth drafting and sticking in the UTIL spot (David Ortiz) but I’m totally in on Ohtani (as I was this year). More narratives, Ohtani goes out with a bang before heading for the operating table.
Charlie Blackmon, OF: $9,800 – I would be remiss if I didn’t mention it’s a Coors night. A Matz/Godley lineup would allow all kinds of room for pricey Coors bats. Dahl might be the better play, but is more expensive too ($10,800). I’m all for stacking against Strasburg tonight, so play them both if you can. Be warned though, Strasburg is best in games where nothing is on the line and there’s nothing to play for, ie: no pressure.
Victor Robles, OF: $9,200 – I’m not taking many Nats bats against Jon Gray, but if do use one, it will be Robles. Robles is hot and cheap(er) than the other Nats. Narrative alert: he’s another young player looking to make a big impression for next season.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Looks like we’re free and clear of weather issues. Whoo hoo! Go Autumn!
Doing Lines In Vegas
Wade Miley and the Brew Crew are your biggest favorites of the night (-255) over Detroit. The Brewers need the win and Miley has been solid, so I can see it. At $11,900 I wouldn’t blame you for rolling with Miley given the chance for the win. That game also features the night’s highest non-Coors (9.5) over/unders at 8.5 runs so buyer beware.
