FanDuel’s main slate for Monday consists of nine contests. But our focus is going narrow to basically just two of those games that we will hope leads us to a path of success. Both of these games that we are targeting have the highest over/under on the board as well as plenty of options to choose from. With that in mind, let’s dive right in and see which games we should look to attack when building our DFS lineups for Monday.
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Trevor Bauer, SP: $11,200 – Bauer has picked up right where he left off last season. He has a 2.29 ERA and a 30.4 K% through three starts this season. This is not the best of matchups as the Mariners have a .280 BAA and a league-high 30 home runs against right-handed pitching this season. But Las Vegas appears to be on the side of Bauer as the over/under for this game opened at seven, while the Indians are road favorites at -120.
Joey Lucchesi, SP: $8,200 – While Bauer is a good pitcher in a not so great spot, Lucchesi is neither of those. But the Padres’ hurler is not as bad as his 4.40 ERA suggests. He has a slate low 2.85 xFIP with an above average 27.4 K%. Combine that with the Rockies’ offensive woes and you got a recipe for success on Monday. Against left-handers this season, Colorado has a .201 batting average, a 27.8 K% and a measly .118 ISO. Lucchesi could be the key to unlocking some of the high priced hitters below.
Yasmani Grandal, C/1B: $4,000 – The Brewers’ backstop finds himself in a great spot on Monday. To start the 2019 season he is raking against right-handed pitching. Grandal has a .395 batting average as well as a 1.181 OPS against righties. But wait there is more. The Cardinals’ Dakota Hudson has always struggled against left-handed bats. The pitcher has allowed a 44% hard contact rate in his career to left-handed batters. That should match up well with Grandal and his 97.6 average exit velocity this season.
Paul Goldschmidt, C/1B: $3,800 – Goldschmidt has just 12 hits on the season so far but the newest Cardinal should break out in this one. The Brewers’ Freddy Peralta has been a one-pitch pitcher in 2019. 80% of his pitches this season have been fastballs. The one pitch pony should play right into Goldy’s strength as four of his six home runs this season have been on fastballs.
Ryan O’Hearn, C/1B: $3,300 – The Chicago White Sox will be rolling out Ervin Santana in this one. Just about any way that you slice it, the pitcher is past his prime. He is allowing an 88% contact rate on his pitches this season. O’Hearn owns a .226 ISO against righties so he is in play on Monday.
Mike Moustakas, 2B: $3,900 – As mentioned above, St. Louis’ Hudson has not been very successful versus lefties. He is allowing a .333/.469/.524 slash line the lefties in his career. Now consider that Hudson’s fastball is four MPH slower this year that it was at the end of last season and you got to think Moose is in position to thrive on Monday. He has smashed righties all season long as evident by his .368 ISO against them in 2019. Look for Moose to bust loose in this one.
Kolten Wong, 2B: $4,000 – The Cardinals’ second baseman has a .417 batting average versus fastballs this season. With Peralta throwing some many of those, there will be nothing Wong with playing the St. Louis infielder.
Hunter Dozier, 3B: $3,800 – In 2018 Ervin Santana allowed a .515 wOBA to right-handed batters. Dozier has smashed righties to a tune of a .241 ISO this season so he needs to be a part of your Royals’ stack.
Matt Carpenter, 3B: $3,400 – Carpenter has scored double-digit FanDuel points in each of his last two games. Look for the Cardinals’ third baseman to stay hot on Monday. Not only does he have a 122 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, but he also has a .304 ISO against them in 2019.
Tim Anderson, SS: $3,800 – Anderson has been crushing the ball all year as he leads the league in batting average with a .429 BA. His success should continue on Monday as he faces the Royals’ Heath Fillmyer. In his career, the Kansas City hurler has allowed a .348 wOBA to right-handed batters.
Adalberto Mondesi, SS: $4,300 – Mondesi has been smashing this season against right-handed pitching as he has produced a .308 ISO against them.
Mike Trout, OF: $5,000 – If the outfielder is in the starting lineup, he certainly should be part of your plans for FanDuel. The Rangers’ Shelby Miller has allowed a 40% hard contact rate versus righties in 2019. While Trout has a .435 ISO and a .532 wOBA against right-handed pitching.
Christian Yelich, OF: $4,800 – The reigning MVP is probably a decent play every day, but on Monday he is more than a decent option. The Cardinals’ Hudson has allowed 1.8 HR/9 to lefties in his career. While Yelich has a .509 wOBA against righties so far in the 2019 campaign.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Despite most of the midwest seeing inches of snow dumped on their yards on Sunday, all looks fairly quiet from a weather point of view for Monday.
Doing Lines In Vegas
With so many of the recommended hitters coming from the Cardinals/Brewers matchup, it would only make sense to be interested in the over 9.0 at even money.
If that doesn’t catch your fancy, consider the Royals over 4.5 runs at -105.